High Surf Advisory 2, NWS New York, NY

000 
WHUS41 KOKX 022029
CFWOKX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
429 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

...A POWERFUL COASTAL STORM WILL AFFECT THE COAST TONIGHT INTO THE
WEEKEND...

.HURRICANE NOEL...LOCATED ABOUT 425 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF CAPE
HATTERAS THIS AFTERNOON...IS FORECAST BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS THIS EVENING...BUT REMAIN AN
INTENSE EXTRATROPICAL STORM...AND INCREASE IN SIZE AS IT RACES NORTH-
NORTHEAST OFF THE EAST COAST TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS
STORM WILL BRING A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...HIGH SURF...AND
MINOR COASTAL FLOODING TO THE REGION TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY NIGHT.

NYZ075>077-030430-
/O.CAN.KOKX.CF.S.0004.071102T2200Z-071104T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.CF.Y.0013.071103T0800Z-071103T2200Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.SU.Y.0002.071102T2200Z-071104T1000Z/
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-
429 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 6 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 6 PM EDT SATURDAY. A
HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY. 

NORTHEAST WINDS BETWEEN A POWERFUL COASTAL STORM AND STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND SHOULD INCREASE TO STORM FORCE ACROSS THE
MUCH OF THE COASTAL WATERS LATE TONIGHT. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL
CONTINUE DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY...AND GENERATE OCEAN SEAS OF 9 TO
13 FEET LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...POSSIBLY HIGHER.
THIS SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO CAUSE BREAKING WAVES OF AT LEAST 7 TO 9
FEET IN THE SURF ZONE AT THE WESTERN LONG ISLAND AND NEW YORK CITY
OCEAN BEACHES LATER TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

THE STRONG NORTHEAST TO NORTH FLOW WILL ALSO PRODUCE TIDAL
DEPARTURES OF UP TO TWO AND A HALF FEET ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON SATURDAY...PRODUCING WIDESPREAD MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING ACROSS WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND... THE LONG ISLAND SOUTH
SHORE BACK BAYS INCLUDING JAMAICA BAY...AND NEW YORK HARBOR. 

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN THE
ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

HIGH TIDE CYCLE SATURDAY MORNING

LOCATION.........TIME OF......HEIGHT....MINOR/MODERATE....FORECAST
................HIGH TIDE.....OF TIDE....FLOOD HEIGHT......HEIGHT
..............................(MLLW).....(MLLW)............(MLLW)

WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND... 
KINGS POINT........735 AM.......7.3........../10.5..........9.7


HIGH TIDE CYCLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON

LOCATION.........TIME OF......HEIGHT....MINOR/MODERATE....FORECAST
................HIGH TIDE.....OF TIDE....FLOOD HEIGHT......HEIGHT
..............................(MLLW).....(MLLW)............(MLLW)

NEW YORK HARBOR AND ATLANTIC OCEAN... 
BATTERY............418 PM.......4.5.......6.7/8.0...........6.9
SANDY HOOK.........341 PM.......4.6........../8.1...........7.0

$$

NYZ080-030430-
/O.CAN.KOKX.CF.S.0004.071102T2200Z-071104T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.CF.Y.0013.071103T1700Z-071103T2200Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.SU.Y.0002.071102T2200Z-071104T1000Z/
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
429 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM EDT SATURDAY. A
HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY. 

NORTHEAST WINDS BETWEEN A POWERFUL COASTAL STORM AND STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND SHOULD INCREASE TO STORM FORCE ACROSS THE
MUCH OF THE COASTAL WATERS LATE TONIGHT. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL
CONTINUE DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY...AND GENERATE OCEAN SEAS OF 10 TO
14 FEET LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...POSSIBLY HIGHER.
THIS SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO CAUSE BREAKING WAVES OF AT LEAST 7 TO 10
FEET IN THE SURF ZONE AT THE CENTRAL LONG ISLAND OCEAN BEACHES LATER
TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. 

THE STRONG NORTHEAST TO NORTH FLOW WILL ALSO PRODUCE TIDAL
DEPARTURES OF UP TO TWO AND A HALF FEET ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON SATURDAY...PRODUCING WIDESPREAD MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING IN THE WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUTH SHORE BACK BAYS. 

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN THE
ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

HIGH TIDE CYCLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON

LOCATION.........TIME OF......HEIGHT....MINOR/MODERATE....FORECAST
................HIGH TIDE.....OF TIDE....FLOOD HEIGHT......HEIGHT
..............................(MLLW).....(MLLW)............(MLLW)

SOUTH SHORE BACK BAYS... 
LINDENHURST........418 PM.......1.2.......3.3/3.8...........3.6

$$

NYZ079-081-030430-
/O.CAN.KOKX.CF.S.0004.071102T2200Z-071104T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.CF.Y.0013.071103T0800Z-071103T1500Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.SU.Y.0002.071102T2200Z-071104T1000Z/
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
429 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 11 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 11 AM EDT SATURDAY. A
HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY. 

NORTHEAST WINDS BETWEEN A POWERFUL COASTAL STORM AND STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND SHOULD INCREASE TO STORM FORCE ACROSS THE
MUCH OF THE COASTAL WATERS LATE TONIGHT. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL
CONTINUE DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY...AND GENERATE OCEAN SEAS OF 8 TO
11 FEET BY LATE TONIGHT AND 11 TO 15 FEET BY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...POSSIBLY HIGHER. THIS SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO CAUSE
BREAKING WAVES OF AT LEAST 8 TO 10 FEET IN THE SURF ZONE AT THE
EASTERN LONG ISLAND OCEAN BEACHES LATER TONIGHT THROUGH 
SATURDAY NIGHT.

THE STRONG NORTHEAST TO NORTH FLOW WILL ALSO PRODUCE TIDAL
DEPARTURES OF UP TO TWO AND A HALF FEET ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE SATURDAY MORNING...PRODUCING WIDESPREAD MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING IN PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN THE
ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

HIGH TIDE CYCLE SATURDAY MORNING

LOCATION.........TIME OF......HEIGHT....MINOR/MODERATE....FORECAST
................HIGH TIDE.....OF TIDE....FLOOD HEIGHT......HEIGHT
..............................(MLLW).....(MLLW)............(MLLW)

PECONIC BAY... 
NEW SUFFOLK........739 AM.......2.6.........................5.0
SOUTH JAMESPORT....746 AM.......2.8.........................5.2


$$

CTZ009-NYZ071-073-030430-
/O.CAN.KOKX.CF.S.0004.071102T2200Z-071104T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.CF.Y.0013.071103T0800Z-071103T1500Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-BRONX-
429 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 11 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 11 AM EDT SATURDAY. 

A STRONG NORTHEAST TO NORTH FLOW LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING
WILL PRODUCE TIDAL DEPARTURES OF TWO TO TWO AND A HALF FEET ABOVE
NORMAL AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE SATURDAY MORNING. THESE TIDAL
DEPARTURES WILL PRODUCE SPOTTY MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ALONG SOUTH
FACING SHORES OF WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL
COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. 

&&

HIGH TIDE CYCLE SATURDAY MORNING

LOCATION.........TIME OF......HEIGHT....MINOR/MODERATE....FORECAST
................HIGH TIDE.....OF TIDE....FLOOD HEIGHT......HEIGHT
..............................(MLLW).....(MLLW)............(MLLW)

WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND... 
BRIDGEPORT.........659 AM.......6.1.......8.9/10.4..........8.6
KINGS POINT........735 AM.......7.3........../10.5..........9.7

$$

NJZ006-NYZ072-074-030430-
/O.CAN.KOKX.CF.S.0004.071102T2200Z-071104T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.CF.Y.0013.071103T1700Z-071103T2200Z/
HUDSON-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
429 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM EDT SATURDAY. 

A STRONG NORTHEAST TO NORTH FLOW LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY WILL
PRODUCE TIDAL DEPARTURES OF TWO TO TWO AND A HALF FEET ABOVE NORMAL
AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THESE TIDAL
DEPARTURES WILL PRODUCE MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IN NEW YORK HARBOR. 

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

HIGH TIDE CYCLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON

LOCATION.........TIME OF......HEIGHT....MINOR/MODERATE....FORECAST
................HIGH TIDE.....OF TIDE....FLOOD HEIGHT......HEIGHT
..............................(MLLW).....(MLLW)............(MLLW)

NEW YORK HARBOR AND ATLANTIC OCEAN... 
BATTERY............418 PM.......4.5.......6.7/8.0...........6.9
BERGEN POINT.......414 PM.......4.9........../8.5...........7.3
SANDY HOOK.........341 PM.......4.6........../8.1...........7.0

$$

CTZ010-NYZ078-030430-
/O.NEW.KOKX.CF.Y.0013.071103T0800Z-071103T1500Z/
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
429 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 11 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 11 AM EDT SATURDAY. 

A STRONG NORTHEAST TO NORTH FLOW LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING
WILL PRODUCE TIDAL DEPARTURES OF TWO TO TWO AND A HALF FEET ABOVE
NORMAL AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE SATURDAY MORNING. THESE TIDAL
DEPARTURES WILL PRODUCE ONLY SPOTTY MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ALONG
WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL
COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. 

&&

HIGH TIDE CYCLE SATURDAY MORNING

LOCATION.........TIME OF......HEIGHT....MINOR/MODERATE....FORECAST
................HIGH TIDE.....OF TIDE....FLOOD HEIGHT......HEIGHT
..............................(MLLW).....(MLLW)............(MLLW)

WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND... 
BRIDGEPORT.........659 AM.......6.1.......8.9/10.4..........8.6
PORT JEFFERSON.....703 AM.......6.4.........................8.9

$$

CTZ012-030430-
/O.CON.KOKX.SU.Y.0002.071102T2200Z-071104T1000Z/
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-
429 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY. 

NORTHEAST WINDS BETWEEN A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE AND
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING EAST ACROSS NEW ENGLAND SHOULD
INCREASE WINDS TO STORM FORCE ACROSS THE WATERS LATE TONIGHT.
THESE STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE DURING THE DAY SATURDAY.

THESE WINDS WILL LIKELY GENERATE SEAS OF 4 TO 8 FEET ACROSS EASTERN
LONG ISLAND SOUND AND WESTERN BLOCK ISLAND SOUND LATE TONIGHT INTO
SATURDAY. LONG PERIOD SWELLS FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN MAY ALSO AFFECT
THE WATERS AS WELL. THIS SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO CAUSE HIGH BREAKING
WAVES ALONG THE BEACHES OF SOUTHERN NEW LONDON COUNTY LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

$$

GOODMAN

000 
WHUS41 KOKX 030404 AAA
CFWOKX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
1204 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...A POWERFUL COASTAL STORM WILL AFFECT THE COAST TONIGHT INTO
THE WEEKEND...

.THE POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL REMNANTS OF NOEL...LOCATED ABOUT 250
MILES SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS THIS EVENING...WILL CONTINUE ON A
NORTH-NORTHEAST TRACK THROUGH SAT NIGHT WHILE INCREASING IN
FORWARD SPEED. THIS STORM WILL BRING A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS...HIGH SURF...AND MINOR COASTAL FLOODING TO THE REGION
TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY NIGHT.

CTZ012-030515-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SU.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-071104T1000Z/
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-
1204 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH SURF
ADVISORY. 

ALTHOUGH STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL AFFECT THE AREA ON
SATURDAY...SEAS OF AT LEAST 7 FT ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED TO IMPACT
COASTAL NEW LONDON COUNTY. THEREFORE...THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS
BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

NYZ075>077-031215-
/O.CON.KOKX.SU.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-071104T1000Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.Y.0013.071103T0800Z-071103T2200Z/
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-
1204 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 6 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY. A
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 6 PM EDT
SATURDAY. 

NORTHEAST WINDS BETWEEN A POWERFUL COASTAL STORM AND STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND SHOULD INCREASE TO STORM FORCE ACROSS
MUCH OF THE COASTAL WATERS LATE TONIGHT. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL
CONTINUE DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY...AND GENERATE OCEAN SEAS OF 9
TO 13 FEET LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... POSSIBLY
HIGHER. THIS SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO CAUSE BREAKING WAVES OF AT
LEAST 7 TO 9 FEET IN THE SURF ZONE AT THE WESTERN LONG ISLAND AND
NEW YORK CITY OCEAN BEACHES LATER TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

THE STRONG NORTHEAST TO NORTH FLOW WILL ALSO PRODUCE TIDAL
DEPARTURES OF UP TO TWO AND A HALF FEET ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON SATURDAY...PRODUCING WIDESPREAD MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING ACROSS WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...THE LONG
ISLAND SOUTH SHORE BACK BAYS INCLUDING JAMAICA BAY...AND NEW YORK
HARBOR.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

HIGH TIDE CYCLE SATURDAY MORNING

LOCATION.........TIME OF......HEIGHT....MINOR/MODERATE....FORECAST
................HIGH TIDE.....OF TIDE....FLOOD HEIGHT......HEIGHT
..............................(MLLW).....(MLLW)............(MLLW)

WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND... 
KINGS POINT........735 AM.......7.3........../10.5..........9.7

HIGH TIDE CYCLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON

LOCATION.........TIME OF......HEIGHT....MINOR/MODERATE....FORECAST
................HIGH TIDE.....OF TIDE....FLOOD HEIGHT......HEIGHT
..............................(MLLW).....(MLLW)............(MLLW)

NEW YORK HARBOR AND ATLANTIC OCEAN... 
BATTERY............418 PM.......4.5.......6.7/8.0...........6.9
SANDY HOOK.........341 PM.......4.6........../8.1...........7.0
FREEPORT CREEK.....418 PM.......2.9.......5.2/5.9...........5.3

$$

NYZ080-031215-
/O.CON.KOKX.SU.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-071104T1000Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.Y.0013.071103T1700Z-071103T2200Z/
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
1204 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY. A
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM EDT
SATURDAY. 

NORTHEAST WINDS BETWEEN A POWERFUL COASTAL STORM AND STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND SHOULD INCREASE TO STORM FORCE ACROSS
MUCH OF THE COASTAL WATERS LATE TONIGHT. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL
CONTINUE DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY...AND GENERATE OCEAN SEAS OF
10 TO 14 FEET LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... POSSIBLY
HIGHER. THIS SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO CAUSE BREAKING WAVES OF AT
LEAST 7 TO 10 FEET IN THE SURF ZONE AT THE CENTRAL LONG ISLAND
OCEAN BEACHES LATER TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

THE STRONG NORTHEAST TO NORTH FLOW WILL ALSO PRODUCE TIDAL
DEPARTURES OF UP TO TWO AND A HALF FEET ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON SATURDAY...PRODUCING WIDESPREAD MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

HIGH TIDE CYCLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON

LOCATION.........TIME OF......HEIGHT....MINOR/MODERATE....FORECAST
................HIGH TIDE.....OF TIDE....FLOOD HEIGHT......HEIGHT
..............................(MLLW).....(MLLW)............(MLLW)

SOUTH SHORE BACK BAYS...
LINDENHURST........418 PM.......1.2.......3.3/3.8...........3.6

$$

NYZ079-081-031215-
/O.CON.KOKX.SU.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-071104T1000Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.Y.0013.071103T0800Z-071103T1500Z/
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
1204 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 11 AM
EDT SATURDAY...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY. A
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 11 AM EDT
SATURDAY. 

NORTHEAST WINDS BETWEEN A POWERFUL COASTAL STORM AND STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND SHOULD INCREASE TO STORM FORCE ACROSS
MUCH OF THE COASTAL WATERS LATE TONIGHT. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL
CONTINUE DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY...AND GENERATE OCEAN SEAS OF 8
TO 11 FEET BY LATE TONIGHT AND 11 TO 15 FEET BY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...POSSIBLY HIGHER. THIS SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO CAUSE
BREAKING WAVES OF AT LEAST 8 TO 10 FEET IN THE SURF ZONE AT THE
EASTERN LONG ISLAND OCEAN BEACHES LATER TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
NIGHT.

THE STRONG NORTHEAST TO NORTH FLOW WILL ALSO PRODUCE TIDAL
DEPARTURES OF UP TO TWO AND A HALF FEET ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE SATURDAY MORNING...PRODUCING WIDESPREAD MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING IN PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

HIGH TIDE CYCLE SATURDAY MORNING

LOCATION.........TIME OF......HEIGHT....MINOR/MODERATE....FORECAST
................HIGH TIDE.....OF TIDE....FLOOD HEIGHT......HEIGHT
..............................(MLLW).....(MLLW)............(MLLW)

PECONIC BAY... 
NEW SUFFOLK........739 AM.......2.6.........................5.0
SOUTH JAMESPORT....746 AM.......2.8.........................5.2

$$

CTZ009-010-NYZ071-073-078-031215-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.Y.0013.071103T0800Z-071103T1500Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-BRONX-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
1204 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 11 AM
EDT SATURDAY...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 11 AM EDT
SATURDAY. 

A STRONG NORTHEAST TO NORTH FLOW LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY
MORNING WILL PRODUCE TIDAL DEPARTURES OF TWO TO TWO AND A HALF
FEET ABOVE NORMAL AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE SATURDAY MORNING.
THESE TIDAL DEPARTURES WILL PRODUCE SPOTTY MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
ALONG SOUTH FACING SHORES OF WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

HIGH TIDE CYCLE SATURDAY MORNING

LOCATION.........TIME OF......HEIGHT....MINOR/MODERATE....FORECAST
................HIGH TIDE.....OF TIDE....FLOOD HEIGHT......HEIGHT
..............................(MLLW).....(MLLW)............(MLLW)

WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND... 
BRIDGEPORT.........659 AM.......6.1.......8.9/10.4..........8.6
KINGS POINT........735 AM.......7.3........../10.5..........9.7

$$

NJZ006-NYZ072-074-031215-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.Y.0013.071103T1700Z-071103T2200Z/
HUDSON-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
1204 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM EDT
SATURDAY. 

A STRONG NORTHEAST TO NORTH FLOW LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY WILL
PRODUCE TIDAL DEPARTURES OF TWO TO TWO AND A HALF FEET ABOVE
NORMAL AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THESE
TIDAL DEPARTURES WILL PRODUCE MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IN NEW YORK
HARBOR.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

HIGH TIDE CYCLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON

LOCATION.........TIME OF......HEIGHT....MINOR/MODERATE....FORECAST
................HIGH TIDE.....OF TIDE....FLOOD HEIGHT......HEIGHT
..............................(MLLW).....(MLLW)............(MLLW)

NEW YORK HARBOR AND ATLANTIC OCEAN... 
BATTERY............418 PM.......4.5.......6.7/8.0...........6.9
BERGEN POINT.......414 PM.......4.9........../8.5...........7.3
SANDY HOOK.........341 PM.......4.6........../8.1...........7.0

$$

000 
WHUS41 KOKX 030926
CFWOKX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
526 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL STORM WILL AFFECT THE COAST TODAY
AND INTO TONIGHT...

.THE POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL REMNANTS OF NOEL WILL CONTINUE
ON A NORTH-NORTHEAST TRACK THROUGH TONIGHT...AND PASS TO THE EAST
OF THE AREA. THIS STORM WILL BRING A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS...HIGH SURF...AND MINOR COASTAL FLOODING TO THE REGION TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

NYZ081-031900-
/O.CAN.KOKX.CF.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-071103T1500Z/
/O.EXB.KOKX.CF.Y.0013.071103T1800Z-071104T0000Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.SU.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-071104T1000Z/
SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
526 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM
EDT THIS EVENING. THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.
A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY. 

NORTHEAST WINDS BETWEEN A POWERFUL COASTAL STORM AND STRONG
HIGH PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND WILL INCREASE TO STORM FORCE TODAY
AND INTO TONIGHT. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL GENERATE
OCEAN SEAS OF 12 TO 16 FEET TODAY. THIS SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT
TO CAUSE BREAKING WAVES OF AT LEAST 8 TO 10 FEET IN THE SURF ZONE
AT THE EASTERN LONG ISLAND OCEAN BEACHES.

THE STRONG NORTHEAST TO NORTH FLOW WILL ALSO PRODUCE TIDAL
DEPARTURES OF UP TO TWO AND A HALF FEET ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE...PRODUCING WIDESPREAD MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING IN PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

HIGH TIDE CYCLE TODAY

LOCATION.........TIME OF......HEIGHT....MINOR/MODERATE....FORECAST
................HIGH TIDE.....OF TIDE....FLOOD HEIGHT......HEIGHT
..............................(MLLW).....(MLLW)............(MLLW)

MONTAUK PT........513 PM.......2.1.........................4.8


$$

CTZ011-012-031900-
/O.EXB.KOKX.CF.Y.0013.071103T0926Z-071104T0200Z/
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-
526 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

A STRONG NORTHEAST TO NORTH FLOW WILL PRODUCE TIDAL DEPARTURES OF
TWO TO TWO AND A HALF FEET ABOVE NORMAL AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH
TIDE TODAY AND THIS EVENING. THESE TIDAL DEPARTURES WILL PRODUCE
SPOTTY MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ALONG SOUTH FACING SHORES OF WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

HIGH TIDE CYCLE TODAY

LOCATION.........TIME OF......HEIGHT....MINOR/MODERATE....FORECAST
................HIGH TIDE.....OF TIDE....FLOOD HEIGHT......HEIGHT
..............................(MLLW).....(MLLW)............(MLLW)

WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...
NEW LONDON CT......544 PM.......2.6.......5.0/..............5.0 

$$

NYZ076-077-031900-
/O.EXT.KOKX.CF.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-071104T0200Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.SU.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-071104T1000Z/
QUEENS-NASSAU-
526 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
SUNDAY. 

NORTHEAST WINDS BETWEEN A POWERFUL COASTAL STORM AND STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND WILL INCREASE TO STORM FORCE ACROSS
MUCH OF THE COASTAL WATERS. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL GENERATE
OCEAN SEAS OF 10 TO 14 FEET. THIS SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO CAUSE
BREAKING WAVES OF AT LEAST 7 TO 9 FEET IN THE SURF ZONE AT THE
WESTERN LONG ISLAND AND NEW YORK CITY OCEAN BEACHES.

THE STRONG NORTHEAST TO NORTH FLOW WILL ALSO PRODUCE TIDAL
DEPARTURES OF UP TO TWO AND A HALF FEET ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE...PRODUCING WIDESPREAD MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
ACROSS WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND AND THE LONG ISLAND SOUTH SHORE BACK
BAYS INCLUDING JAMAICA BAY.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

HIGH TIDE CYCLE TODAY

LOCATION.........TIME OF......HEIGHT....MINOR/MODERATE....FORECAST
................HIGH TIDE.....OF TIDE....FLOOD HEIGHT......HEIGHT
..............................(MLLW).....(MLLW)............(MLLW)

WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...
KINGS POINT........735 AM.......7.3........../10.5..........9.7
                   802 PM.......7.1........../10.5..........9.7 

HIGH TIDE CYCLE

LOCATION.........TIME OF......HEIGHT....MINOR/MODERATE....FORECAST
................HIGH TIDE.....OF TIDE....FLOOD HEIGHT......HEIGHT
..............................(MLLW).....(MLLW)............(MLLW)

FREEPORT CREEK.....418 PM.......2.9.......5.2/5.9...........5.3

$$

NYZ075-080-031900-
/O.EXT.KOKX.CF.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-071104T0000Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.SU.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-071104T1000Z/
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
526 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS
IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY. 

NORTHEAST WINDS BETWEEN A POWERFUL COASTAL STORM AND STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND WILL INCREASE TO STORM FORCE ACROSS
MUCH OF THE COASTAL WATERS. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL GENERATE OCEAN
SEAS OF 11 TO 14 FEET. THIS SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO CAUSE BREAKING
WAVES OF AT LEAST 7 TO 10 FEET IN THE SURF ZONE.

THE STRONG NORTHEAST TO NORTH FLOW WILL ALSO PRODUCE TIDAL
DEPARTURES OF UP TO TWO AND A HALF FEET ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON SATURDAY...PRODUCING WIDESPREAD MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

HIGH TIDE CYCLE TODAY

LOCATION.........TIME OF......HEIGHT....MINOR/MODERATE....FORECAST
................HIGH TIDE.....OF TIDE....FLOOD HEIGHT......HEIGHT
..............................(MLLW).....(MLLW)............(MLLW)

SOUTH SHORE BACK BAYS...
LINDENHURST........418 PM.......1.2.......3.3/3.8...........3.6

$$

NYZ079-031900-
/O.EXT.KOKX.CF.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-071104T0200Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.SU.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-071104T1000Z/
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
526 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
SUNDAY. 

NORTHEAST WINDS BETWEEN A POWERFUL COASTAL STORM AND STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND WILL INCREASE TO STORM FORCE ACROSS
MUCH OF THE COASTAL WATERS. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL GENERATE SEAS
OF 7 TO 10 FEET...POSSIBLY HIGHER. THIS SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO CAUSE
BREAKING WAVES OF AT LEAST 6 TO 9 FEET IN THE SURF ZONE AT THE
EASTERN LONG ISLAND OCEAN BEACHES.

THE STRONG NORTHEAST TO NORTH FLOW WILL ALSO PRODUCE TIDAL
DEPARTURES OF UP TO TWO AND A HALF FEET ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE...PRODUCING WIDESPREAD MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IN
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

$$

CTZ009-010-NYZ071-073-078-031900-
/O.EXT.KOKX.CF.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-071104T0200Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-BRONX-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
526 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

A STRONG NORTHEAST TO NORTH FLOW WILL PRODUCE TIDAL DEPARTURES OF
TWO TO TWO AND A HALF FEET ABOVE NORMAL AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH
TIDE TODAY. THESE TIDAL DEPARTURES WILL PRODUCE MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING TO WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

HIGH TIDE CYCLE TODAY

LOCATION.........TIME OF......HEIGHT....MINOR/MODERATE....FORECAST
................HIGH TIDE.....OF TIDE....FLOOD HEIGHT......HEIGHT
..............................(MLLW).....(MLLW)............(MLLW)

WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...
BRIDGEPORT.........659 AM.......6.1.......8.9/10.4..........8.6
                   725 PM.......6.5.......8.9/10.4..........8.9   
KINGS POINT........735 AM.......7.3........../10.5..........9.7
                   802 PM.......7.1........../10.5..........9.7

$$

NJZ006-NYZ072-074-031900-
/O.EXT.KOKX.CF.Y.0013.071103T1800Z-071104T0000Z/
HUDSON-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
526 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

A STRONG NORTHEAST TO NORTH FLOW WILL PRODUCE TIDAL DEPARTURES OF
TWO TO TWO AND A HALF FEET ABOVE NORMAL AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH
TIDE THIS AFTERNOON. THESE TIDAL DEPARTURES WILL PRODUCE MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING IN NEW YORK HARBOR.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

HIGH TIDE CYCLE TODAY

LOCATION.........TIME OF......HEIGHT....MINOR/MODERATE....FORECAST
................HIGH TIDE.....OF TIDE....FLOOD HEIGHT......HEIGHT
..............................(MLLW).....(MLLW)............(MLLW)

NEW YORK HARBOR AND ATLANTIC OCEAN...
BATTERY............418 PM.......4.5.......6.7/8.0...........6.9
BERGEN POINT.......414 PM.......4.9........../8.5...........7.3
SANDY HOOK.........341 PM.......4.6........../8.1...........7.0

$$

000 
WHUS41 KOKX 030956
CFWOKX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
556 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL STORM WILL AFFECT THE COAST TODAY AND
INTO TONIGHT...

.THE POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL REMNANTS OF NOEL WILL CONTINUE ON A
NORTH-NORTHEAST TRACK THROUGH TONIGHT...AND PASS TO THE EAST OF
THE AREA. THIS STORM WILL BRING A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...
HIGH SURF...AND MINOR COASTAL FLOODING TO THE REGION TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

NYZ075-080-032030-
/O.EXT.KOKX.CF.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-071104T0000Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.SU.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-071104T1000Z/
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
556 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS
IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY. 

NORTHEAST WINDS BETWEEN A POWERFUL COASTAL STORM AND STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND WILL INCREASE TO STORM FORCE ACROSS
MUCH OF THE COASTAL WATERS. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL GENERATE
OCEAN SEAS OF 11 TO 14 FEET. THIS SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO CAUSE
BREAKING WAVES OF AT LEAST 7 TO 10 FEET IN THE SURF ZONE.

THE STRONG NORTHEAST TO NORTH FLOW WILL ALSO PRODUCE TIDAL
DEPARTURES OF UP TO TWO AND A HALF FEET ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON SATURDAY...PRODUCING WIDESPREAD MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

HIGH TIDE CYCLE TODAY

LOCATION.........TIME OF......HEIGHT....MINOR/MODERATE....FORECAST
................HIGH TIDE.....OF TIDE....FLOOD HEIGHT......HEIGHT
..............................(MLLW).....(MLLW).............(MLLW)

SOUTH SHORE BACK BAYS...
LINDENHURST........418 PM.......1.2.......3.3/3.8..........3.6

$$

NYZ076-077-032030-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-071104T0200Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.SU.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-071104T1000Z/
QUEENS-NASSAU-
556 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY. A
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

NORTHEAST WINDS BETWEEN A POWERFUL COASTAL STORM AND STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND WILL INCREASE TO STORM FORCE ACROSS
MUCH OF THE COASTAL WATERS. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL GENERATE
OCEAN SEAS OF 10 TO 14 FEET. THIS SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO CAUSE
BREAKING WAVES OF AT LEAST 7 TO 9 FEET IN THE SURF ZONE AT THE
WESTERN LONG ISLAND AND NEW YORK CITY OCEAN BEACHES.

THE STRONG NORTHEAST TO NORTH FLOW WILL ALSO PRODUCE TIDAL
DEPARTURES OF UP TO TWO AND A HALF FEET ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE...PRODUCING WIDESPREAD MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
ACROSS WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND AND THE LONG ISLAND SOUTH SHORE
BACK BAYS INCLUDING JAMAICA BAY.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

HIGH TIDE CYCLE TODAY

LOCATION.........TIME OF......HEIGHT....MINOR/MODERATE....FORECAST
................HIGH TIDE.....OF TIDE....FLOOD HEIGHT......HEIGHT
..............................(MLLW).....(MLLW)............(MLLW)

WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...
KINGS POINT........735 AM....... 7.3........../10.5..........9.7
                   802 PM....... 7.1........../10.5..........9.7

HIGH TIDE CYCLE

LOCATION.........TIME OF......HEIGHT....MINOR/MODERATE....FORECAST
................HIGH TIDE.....OF TIDE....FLOOD HEIGHT......HEIGHT
..............................(MLLW).....(MLLW).............(MLLW)

FREEPORT CREEK.....418 PM.......2.9.......5.2/5.9...........5.3

$$

NYZ081-032030-
/O.CON.KOKX.SU.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-071104T1000Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.Y.0013.071103T1800Z-071104T0000Z/
SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
556 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY. A
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

NORTHEAST WINDS BETWEEN A POWERFUL COASTAL STORM AND STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND WILL INCREASE TO STORM FORCE TODAY AND
INTO TONIGHT. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL GENERATE OCEAN SEAS OF
12 TO 16 FEET TODAY. THIS SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO CAUSE BREAKING
WAVES OF AT LEAST 8 TO 10 FEET IN THE SURF ZONE AT THE EASTERN
LONG ISLAND OCEAN BEACHES.

THE STRONG NORTHEAST TO NORTH FLOW WILL ALSO PRODUCE TIDAL
DEPARTURES OF UP TO TWO AND A HALF FEET ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE...PRODUCING WIDESPREAD MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
IN PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

HIGH TIDE CYCLE TODAY

LOCATION.........TIME OF......HEIGHT....MINOR/MODERATE....FORECAST
................HIGH TIDE.....OF TIDE....FLOOD HEIGHT......HEIGHT
..............................(MLLW).....(MLLW)............(MLLW)

MONTAUK PT........513 PM.......2.1.........................4.8

$$

NYZ079-032030-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-071104T0200Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.SU.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-071104T1000Z/
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
556 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY. A
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

NORTHEAST WINDS BETWEEN A POWERFUL COASTAL STORM AND STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND WILL INCREASE TO STORM FORCE ACROSS
MUCH OF THE COASTAL WATERS. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL GENERATE SEAS
OF 7 TO 10 FEET...POSSIBLY HIGHER. THIS SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO
CAUSE BREAKING WAVES OF AT LEAST 6 TO 9 FEET IN THE SURF ZONE AT
THE EASTERN LONG ISLAND OCEAN BEACHES.

THE STRONG NORTHEAST TO NORTH FLOW WILL ALSO PRODUCE TIDAL
DEPARTURES OF UP TO TWO AND A HALF FEET ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE...PRODUCING WIDESPREAD MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
IN PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

$$

CTZ009>012-NYZ071-073-078-032030-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-071104T0200Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-BRONX-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
556 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

A STRONG NORTHEAST TO NORTH FLOW WILL PRODUCE TIDAL DEPARTURES OF
TWO TO TWO AND A HALF FEET ABOVE NORMAL AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH
TIDE TODAY. THESE TIDAL DEPARTURES WILL PRODUCE MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING TO WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

HIGH TIDE CYCLE TODAY

LOCATION.........TIME OF......HEIGHT....MINOR/MODERATE....FORECAST
................HIGH TIDE.....OF TIDE....FLOOD HEIGHT......HEIGHT
..............................(MLLW).....(MLLW)............(MLLW)

WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...
BRIDGEPORT.........659 AM....... 6.1.......8.9/10.4..........8.6
                   725 PM....... 6.5.......8.9/10.4..........8.9
KINGS POINT........735 AM....... 7.3........../10.5..........9.7
                   802 PM....... 7.1........../10.5..........9.7

$$

NJZ006-NYZ072-074-032030-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.Y.0013.071103T1800Z-071104T0000Z/
HUDSON-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
556 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

A STRONG NORTHEAST TO NORTH FLOW WILL PRODUCE TIDAL DEPARTURES OF
TWO TO TWO AND A HALF FEET ABOVE NORMAL AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH
TIDE THIS AFTERNOON. THESE TIDAL DEPARTURES WILL PRODUCE MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING IN NEW YORK HARBOR.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

HIGH TIDE CYCLE TODAY

LOCATION.........TIME OF......HEIGHT....MINOR/MODERATE....FORECAST
................HIGH TIDE.....OF TIDE....FLOOD HEIGHT......HEIGHT
..............................(MLLW).....(MLLW)............(MLLW)

NEW YORK HARBOR AND ATLANTIC OCEAN...
BATTERY............418 PM.......4.5.......6.7/8.0...........6.9
BERGEN POINT.......414 PM.......4.9........../8.5...........7.3
SANDY HOOK.........341 PM.......4.6........../8.1...........7.0

$$

000 
WHUS41 KOKX 032016
CFWOKX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
416 PM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL STORM WILL AFFECT COASTAL LONG ISLAND
AND SOUTHEAST CONNECTICUT TONIGHT...

.THE POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL REMNANTS OF NOEL WILL CONTINUE ON A
NORTH-NORTHEAST TRACK THROUGH TONIGHT...PASSING TO THE EAST OF
CAPE COD. THIS STORM WILL BRING A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...
HIGH SURF...AND MINOR COASTAL FLOODING TO COASTAL LONG ISLAND AND
SOUTHEAST CONNECTICUT TONIGHT.

NYZ079-032130-
/O.CAN.KOKX.CF.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-071104T0200Z/
/O.CAN.KOKX.SU.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-071104T1000Z/
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
416 PM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY. THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 


$$

NYZ076-077-040200-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SU.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-071104T1000Z/
/O.EXT.KOKX.CF.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-071104T0200Z/
QUEENS-NASSAU-
416 PM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH SURF
ADVISORY. THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM
EDT THIS EVENING. 

THE STRONG NORTH FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE STORM WILL PRODUCE
TIDAL DEPARTURES OF UP TO TWO AND A HALF FEET ABOVE NORMAL DURING
THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...PRODUCING WIDESPREAD MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
ACROSS THE BACK BAYS OF THE SOUTH SHORE OF LONG ISLAND INCLUDING
JAMAICA AND HUDSON BAYS AND REYNOLDS CHANNEL.

&&


LOCATION.........TIME OF......HEIGHT....MINOR/MODERATE....FORECAST..
................HIGH TIDE.....OF TIDE....FLOOD HEIGHT.... .HEIGHT...
...............................(MLLW)......(MLLW)..........(MLLW)...

FREEPORT CREEK.....418 PM.......2.9.......5.2/5.9...........5.3

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

$$

NYZ075-032130-
/O.CAN.KOKX.CF.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-071104T0000Z/
/O.CAN.KOKX.SU.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-071104T1000Z/
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-
416 PM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY. THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 


$$

CTZ009>012-NYZ071-073-078-032130-
/O.CAN.KOKX.CF.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-071104T0200Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-BRONX-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
416 PM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY. 


$$

NJZ006-NYZ072-074-032130-
/O.CAN.KOKX.CF.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-071104T0000Z/
HUDSON-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
416 PM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY. 


$$

NYZ080-081-040430-
/O.EXT.KOKX.CF.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-071104T0000Z/
/O.EXT.KOKX.SU.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-071104T0600Z/
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
416 PM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SUNDAY...

THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SUNDAY.
THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

NORTH WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH THIS
EVENING...WILL GENERATE OCEAN SEAS OF 12 TO 16 FEET TONIGHT. THIS
SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO CAUSE BREAKING WAVES OF 7 TO 10 FEET IN
THE SURF ZONE AT SUFFOLK COUNTY OCEAN BEACHES.

THE STRONG NORTHEAST TO NORTH FLOW WILL ALSO PRODUCE TIDAL
DEPARTURES OF UP TO TWO AND A HALF FEET ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE...PRODUCING WIDESPREAD MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
IN THE SOUTH SHORE BACK BAYS OF SUFFOLK COUNTY.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

LOCATION.........TIME OF......HEIGHT....MINOR/MODERATE....FORECAST..
................HIGH TIDE.....OF TIDE....FLOOD HEIGHT.... .HEIGHT...
...............................(MLLW)......(MLLW)..........(MLLW)...

MONTAUK PT........513 PM.......2.1.........................4.8
FREEPORT CREEK....418 PM.......2.9.......5.2/5.9...........5.3

$$

000 
WHUS41 KOKX 040009
CFWOKX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
809 PM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

NYZ076-077-040115-
/O.CAN.KOKX.CF.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-071104T0200Z/
QUEENS-NASSAU-
809 PM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

HIGH TIDE HAS PASSED ON THE SOUTH SHORE...AND WATER LEVELS ARE
DECREASING...THEREFORE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS
CANCELLED THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

$$

NYZ080-081-040600-
/O.EXP.KOKX.CF.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-071104T0000Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.SU.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-071104T0600Z/
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
809 PM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SUNDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A HIGH SURF
ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SUNDAY. 


HIGH TIDE HAS PASSED ON THE SOUTH SHORE...AND WATER LEVELS ARE
DECREASING...THEREFORE THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY HAS BEEN ALLOWED
TO EXPIRE. STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
OVERNIGHT...WITH OCEAN SEAS SUBSIDING AS WELL. BREAKING WAVES OF
4 TO 7 FEET SHOULD REMAIN IN THE SURF ZONE AT SUFFOLK COUNTY OCEAN
BEACHES UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
425 AM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS NEW ENGLAND TODAY. MEANWHILE...HURRICANE
NOEL WILL MOVE NORTH TO NORTHEAST TODAY...AND GRADUALLY TRANSITION
TO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE. THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE NOEL
ARE FORECAST TO PASS AROUND 150 TO 200 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MONTAUK
POINT SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THIS TRACK WILL BRING RAIN AND HIGH WINDS
TO THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE REGION LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY.
THE LOW WILL MOVE QUICKLY NORTHEAST TO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
STRONG SUBSIDENCE TO THE NORTH OF NOEL AS HIGH PRESSURE TRACKS JUST
NORTH OF THE REGION. THIS WILL RESULT IN CLEAR SKIES TODAY ACROSS
THE CWA. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE NEAR SEASONABLE LEVELS...MID TO
UPPER 50S. WENT NEAR MOS AND DID NOT QUIBBLE WITH THE DETAILS GIVEN
MAJOR STORM HEADING OUR WAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
CONSENSUS LOOKING AT NUMEROUS OPERATIONAL MODEL FORECASTS...AND
ENSEMBLE CLUSTER STILL SUGGEST A TRACK JUST TO THE EAST OF THE 40/70
BENCHMARK. A SLIGHT JOG TO THE WEST NOTED THIS RUN...AND GFS
GENERALLY FOLLOWED HERE. OBVIOUSLY GFS/NAM MUCH TOO WEAK INITIALLY
WITH THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW. ALL OPERATIONAL MODELS DO PLAY CATCH
UP WITH REGARD TO THE STRENGTH...BUT IT IS NOT UNTIL SATURDAY UNTIL
THEY ACTUALLY DO. ANYWAY...INCREASING NE GRADIENT TONIGHT...AND WILL
FOLLOW HPC QPF FIELDS WHICH ARE CLOSER TO GFS SOLUTION. COULD SEE
RAIN HEAVY AT TIMES FOR A BRIEF PERIOD SATURDAY MORNING EASTERN
AREAS. WINDS WILL BE QUITE STRONG...AND MIXING OF 50 KT WINDS NOT
OUT OF THE QUESTION AS GFS INDICATES. WILL ISSUE HIGH WIND WATCH FOR
SUFFOLK COUNTY OF LI AND SE CT STARTING LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUING
INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH/DANGEROUS SURF AT AREA BEACHES WILL BE
OBSERVED...AND PLENTY OF BEACH EROSION DUE TO BATTERING WAVES IS
EXPECTED. REMNANTS OF NOEL MOVE RAPIDLY TO THE NORTHEAST.
MASSACHUSETTS CAPE/KACK GET THE WORST OF THIS. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY
SUBSIDE LATE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE STORM DEPARTS.

TEMPS SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL THIS TIME FRAME DUE TO CLOUDS AND THREAT
OF RAIN. SPEAKING OF RAIN...LAYERED POPS FROM WEST TO EAST. AS I SEE
IT NOW...MAY NOT SEE A DROP ACROSS ORANGE COUNTY...LITTLE MEASURABLE
IN AND AROUND NYC...AND COULD VERY WELL SEE OVER AN INCH TO AN INCH
AND A HALF ACROSS SE CT AND EASTERN LI. ANY EAST/WEST SHIFT IN
SUBSEQUENT TRACKS SHIFT AXIS OF QPF AS WELL. STAY TUNED.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
RIDGING BUILDS INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE DEPARTING EXTRATROPICAL
LOW AS SURFACE HIGH OVER THE GULF STATES DRIFTS EAST...MORE LIKE THE
ECMWF. SHOULD SEE INCREASE IN CLOUDS MONDAY WITH WARM FRONT AND WARM
AIR ADVECTION. ZONAL FLOW MONDAY...THEN NEXT DIGGING TROUGH TRACKS
ACROSS THE CENTRAL US MONDAY NIGHT. SURFACE COLD FRONT FROM THE
GREAT LAKES REGION TO THE GULF COAST WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION
LATER TUESDAY INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. WILL HAVE CHC POPS FOR THIS TIME
FRAME. FRONT IS STRONG AND WILL BRING MUCH COOLER AIR INTO THE
REGION ON A GUSTY NORTHWEST FLOW. HIGH BUILDS IN...INITIALLY FROM
WESTERN CANADA...THEN INTO THE CENTRAL US TUESDAY...BEFORE BUILDING
TOWARD THE AREA WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. MAIN CONCERN IS WITH THE
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION OF HURRICANE NOEL AS IT TRACKS NORTH
TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY INCREASE
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASES.
HIGH CLOUDS AND MID CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY WORK NORTH INTO THE REGION
AFTER MIDNIGHT...WITH LOW END MVFR OT IFR CIGS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT
NE WINDS WILL INCREASE TOWARD 15 TO 25 KT SUSTAINED AND GUSTS 25 TO
35 KT LATE TONIGHT. FOR KISP AND KGON...MVFR CONDITIONS MAY BE
POSSIBLE TOWARDS SAT MORNING AS RAIN SHIELD WORKS INTO THE REGION.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...SUSTAINED NE-N WINDS OF
20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS POTENTIALLY UP TO AROUND 40 KT EXPECTED ON
SATURDAY FOR THE CITY TERMINALS...BUT EVEN STRONGER FARTHER EAST.
LOW END VFR AND HIGH END MVFR CIGS POSSIBLE SAT FROM THE CITY
TERMINALS AND N&W.

MVFR CIGS MORE LIKELY SATURDAY FROM KISP AND KBDR EAST...WITH
POSSIBLE IFR AT KGON. VSBYS MAY BE REDUCED TO AT IFR IN RAIN DURING
THIS TIME.

IMPROVING CIGS AND VSBYS ALONG WITH DIMINISHING WINDS ACROSS THE
BOARD ON SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH THE NEXT CHANCE OF SUB-VFR
CONDITIONS NOT UNTIL TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
CAA WANES THIS MORNING...AND APPEARS THERE MAY BE A WEAKNESS IN THE
GRADIENT THIS AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE TRIES TO BUILD IN TO THE N
OF THE WATERS. CURRENTLY ONLY OCEAN WATERS EXPERIENCING SCA GUSTS
AND BELIEVE ONLY OCEAN WATERS WILL EXPERIENCE MARGINAL SCA WIND IN
THIS SCENARIO THIS AFTERNOON...SO WILL CONTINUE SCA FOR ONLY THESE
WATERS. CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH FOR FREQUENT SCA GUSTS TODAY
ACROSS REST OF WATERS.

GRADIENT TIGHTENS TONIGHT AS EXTRA-TROPICAL REMNANTS OF HURRICANE
NOEL TRACKS NORTH TONIGHT WITH HIGH PRESSURE SITUATED TO THE NORTH.
AS LOW PRESSURE NEAR LATE TONIGHT...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE
TO STORM FORCE ACROSS THE OCEAN WATERS...EASTERN LI SOUND...AND
PECONIC GARDINERS BAY LATE TONIGHT WITH GALES ACROSS ALL OTHER
WATERS. THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SAT AFTERNOON
AS EXTRA TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE STRENGTHENS AND TRACKS
NORTH...EAST OF THE 40/70 BENCHMARK.

AS A RESULT OF THESE WINDS...SEAS ON THE OCEAN MAY BUILD TO GREATER
THAN 15 FT. SEAS OF 5 TO 8 FT POSSIBLE ON THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
SOUND. CHAOTIC CONDITIONS AROUND THE ARE INLETS ARE EXPECTED.

WINDS GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TO BELOW SCA CONDITIONS LATE SAT NIGHT...BUT
OCEAN SEAS MAY STAY ABOVE CRITERIA UNTIL SUN NIGHT.

NEXT CHANCE OF SCA CONDITIONS MAY BE LATE MON/TUES AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
DRY WEATHER TODAY...THEN AS LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH
TONIGHT...AND PASSES TO THE EAST OF THE REGION SATURDAY...RAINFALL
IS EXPECTED NEAR THE COAST...MAINLY EAST...WITH JUST A CHANCE TO THE
WEST. AS MENTIONED IN SHORT TERM PORTION OF THE DISCUSSION...MAY NOT
SEE A DROP OF RAIN OVER ORANGE COUNTY...LITTLE MEASURABLE IN AND
AROUND NYC...AND COULD SEE OVER AN INCH TO POSSIBLE AN INCH AND A
HALF OVER EASTERN LI AND SE CT SATURDAY. DRY WEATHER RETURNS
SATURDAY EVENING AND CONTINUES INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
WITH FLOW VEERING TO NE THIS AFTERNOON AND NIGHT AND WINDS
STRENGTHENING TO GALE/STORM FORCE...WATERS WILL BEGIN PILING UP IN
WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND... NY HARBOR...THE LONG ISLAND SOUTH SHORE
BACK BAYS...AND PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS. MOON PHASE IS 50 PERCENT
OF FULL SO ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES ARE AT THEIR EBB...AND DEPARTURES
OF 2.2-2.5 FT WOULD BE NEEDED TO CAUSE MINOR TIDAL FLOODING.

THE GREATEST PERIOD OF CONCERN WILL BE DURING THE LATE FRI
NIGHT/EARLY SAT MORNING HIGH TIDES AND THEN AGAIN THE SAT EVENING
HIGH TIDES...ON EITHER SIDE OF THE HEIGHT OF THE STORM DURING SAT
AFTERNOON.

BOTH NGM/GFS STORM SURGE GUIDANCE HAVE COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT
WITH MARGINAL MINOR COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE DURING SAT MORNING
HIGH TIDES FOR THE WESTERN LI SOUND. ANOTHER SHOT FOR MARGINAL MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING WILL BE SAT AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING ACROSS WESTERN
LONG ISLAND SOUND...NY HARBOR...THE LONG ISLAND SOUTH SHORE BACK
BAYS...AND PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS.

WILL HAVE TO WATCH SOUTH SHORE BACK BAYS AS HIGH SEAS AFFECT THE
WATER DRAINAGE ON SAT...WHICH MAY CAUSE COASTAL FLOODING TO REACH
SOLID MINOR OR POSSIBLY HIGHER.

HIGHEST DEPARTURES ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST TO OCCUR IN BETWEEN HIGH
TIDES FOR WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...BUT WILL OCCUR CLOSE TO HIGH
TIDE FOR THE OTHER AREAS MENTIONED ABOVE.

WILL ISSUE A COASTAL FLOOD STATEMENT TO HIGHLIGHT POTENTIAL SINCE
THIS IS MAINLY A THIRD PERIOD EVENT AND APPEARS TO BE MARGINAL AT
THIS POINT.

WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 15 FT OR GREATER ON THE OCEAN BY SAT
AFTERNOON...AND AT LEAST 5 TO 8 FT ON CENTRAL AND EASTERN LI
SOUND...HIGH SURF AND BEACH EROSION ARE EXPECTED FOR TONIGHT INTO
SAT NIGHT. STRONG RIP CURRENTS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON
     FOR CTZ008-011-012.
     HIGH SURF ADVISORY FROM 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING TO 5 AM EST
     SUNDAY FOR CTZ012.
NY...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON
     FOR NYZ078>081.
     HIGH SURF ADVISORY FROM 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING TO 5 AM EST
     SUNDAY FOR NYZ075>077-079>081.
NJ...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM EDT
     SATURDAY FOR ANZ330-335-338-340-345.
     GALE WARNING FROM 2 AM TO 10 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR ANZ335-338-
     345.
     STORM WARNING FROM 2 AM TO 6 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR ANZ330-340.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR ANZ350-
     353-355.
     STORM WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR
     ANZ350-353-355.

&&

SYNOPSIS...PW
NEAR TERM...PW
SHORT TERM...PW
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...NV
MARINE...NV
HYDROLOGY...PW
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...NV

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
519 AM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

CTZ008-011-012-NYZ078>081-031000-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
519 AM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WATCH.

STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WATCH.

STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

CTZ007-031000-
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
519 AM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WINDS WILL BECOME RATHER STRONG LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

ANZ335-338-345-031000-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
519 AM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 10 PM EDT SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

ANZ330-340-031000-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
519 AM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 6 PM EDT SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

ANZ350-353-355-031000-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
519 AM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

CTZ005-006-009-010-NJZ002>006-011-NYZ067>077-031000-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-WESTERN PASSAIC-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-
HUDSON-UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-
519 AM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WINDS WILL BECOME RATHER STRONG LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

PW