Alert archive / New York / Wind Advisories in 2007

Wind Advisory 5, NWS New York, NY

November 2, 2007Hudson County, Passaic County, New Jersey; 6 counties in New York; 4 counties in Connecticut

NWS New York, NY issued this wind advisory at Nov 2, 2007, 4:02 PM EDT for Hudson County, Passaic County, New Jersey; 6 counties in New York; 4 counties in Connecticut. It took effect at Nov 3, 2007, 6:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 14 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 2, 2007, 4:02 PM EDT (20:02 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 3, 2007, 6:00 AM EDT
Expired
Nov 3, 2007, 8:00 PM EDT
In force
14 hr
Issued by
NWS New York, NY

Counties Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, CT, Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, CT, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, CT, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Hudson County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Bronx County, NY, Kings County, NY, New York County, NY, Richmond County, NY, Suffolk County, NY, Westchester County, NY

The radar

The Brookhaven radar (KOKX), 55 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 55 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2007-11-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2007-11-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -64 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1261 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-64 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
31 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS71 KOKX 022002
NPWOKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
402 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

...VERY STRONG WINDS LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY EVENING...

.HURRICANE NOEL WILL EVOLVE INTO A STRONG COASTAL STORM AND TRACK
TO THE SOUTHEAST AND EAST OF THE AREA SATURDAY. BY LATE
TONIGHT...STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS OF 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH
ARE QUITE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. THE WINDS WILL
INCREASE EVEN MORE SATURDAY MORNING...FROM THE NORTH...BEFORE
DIMINISHING LATE IN THE DAY SATURDAY.

CTZ008-011-012-NYZ079-081-030900-
/O.UPG.KOKX.HW.A.0003.071103T0900Z-071103T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.WI.Y.0005.071103T1000Z-071104T0000Z/
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
402 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY. THE
HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

AS THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE NOEL APPROACH LATE TONIGHT WINDS
WILL INCREASE FROM THE NORTHEAST TO AROUND 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
45 MPH. DURING SATURDAY MORNING THE WINDS WILL BECOME MORE
NORTHERLY AND INCREASE RAPIDLY TO 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS 45 TO
55 MPH. SOME GUSTS MAY EVEN NEAR 60 MPH FOR A BRIEF TIME LATE
SATURDAY MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE
IMMEDIATE COAST OF NEW LONDON COUNTY...ACROSS MONTAUK POINT AND
SOUTH FORK OF LONG ISLAND. DAMAGING WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO
SATURDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE THE WINDS BEGIN TO DIMINISH AS THE STORM
STARTS TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE REGION.

ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES AND DOWNED TREES ARE A POSSIBILITY WITH
THESE HIGH WINDS.

AS IS ALWAYS A POSSIBILITY...THE EXACT TRACK
AND STRENGTH OF THE STORM COULD CHANGE...SO PLEASE STAY TUNED FOR
FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS IMPENDING STORM.

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

NYZ078-080-030900-
/O.UPG.KOKX.HW.A.0003.071103T0900Z-071103T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.WI.Y.0005.071103T1000Z-071103T2200Z/
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
402 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EDT SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EDT SATURDAY. THE
HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

AS THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE NOEL APPROACH LATE TONIGHT WINDS
WILL INCREASE FROM THE NORTHEAST TO AROUND 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 40 MPH. DURING SATURDAY MORNING THE WINDS WILL BECOME MORE
NORTHERLY AND INCREASE RAPIDLY TO 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS 45 TO
55 MPH. DAMAGING WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON
BEFORE THE WINDS BEGIN TO DIMINISH AS THE STORM STARTS TO MOVE
AWAY FROM THE REGION.

ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES AND DOWNED TREES ARE A POSSIBILITY WITH
THESE HIGH WINDS.

AS IS ALWAYS A POSSIBILITY...THE EXACT TRACK
AND STRENGTH OF THE STORM COULD CHANGE...SO PLEASE STAY TUNED FOR
FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS IMPENDING STORM.

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

CTZ006-007-009-010-NJZ003>006-011-NYZ071>077-030900-
/O.NEW.KOKX.WI.Y.0005.071103T1000Z-071103T2200Z/
NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-
402 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EDT SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EDT SATURDAY. 

AS THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE NOEL APPROACH LATE TONIGHT WINDS
WILL INCREASE FROM THE NORTHEAST TO 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS 35 TO 40
MPH. DURING SATURDAY MORNING THE WINDS WILL BECOME MORE NORTHERLY
AND INCREASE RAPIDLY TO 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS 45 TO 55 MPH.
DAMAGING WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE THE
WINDS BEGIN TO DIMINISH AS THE STORM STARTS TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE
REGION.

AS IS ALWAYS A POSSIBILITY...THE EXACT TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THE
STORM COULD CHANGE...SO PLEASE STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON
THIS IMPENDING STORM.

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$
4 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS71 KOKX 030313
NPWOKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
1113 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

...VERY STRONG WINDS LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY EVENING...

.THE POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL REMNANTS OF NOEL WILL TRACK TO THE
SOUTHEAST AND EAST OF THE AREA SATURDAY. BY LATE TONIGHT...STRONG
NORTHEAST WINDS OF 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE QUITE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. THE WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE
NORTH AND INCREASE EVEN MORE SATURDAY MORNING...BEFORE
DIMINISHING LATE IN THE DAY SATURDAY.

CTZ012-NYZ079-081-031100-
/O.UPG.KOKX.WI.Y.0005.071103T1000Z-071104T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.HW.W.0002.071103T1000Z-071104T0000Z/
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
1113 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY. THE
WIND ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

AS THE POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL REMNANTS OF NOEL APPROACH LATE
TONIGHT WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE NORTHEAST TO AROUND 30 MPH
WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. DURING SATURDAY MORNING THE WINDS WILL
BECOME NORTHERLY AND INCREASE RAPIDLY TO 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS
60 TO 70 MPH...HIGHEST ACROSS THE TWIN FORKS OF LONG ISLAND AND
THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF NEW LONDON COUNTY. DAMAGING WINDS WILL
CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON...THEN WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
DIMINISH AS THE STORM STARTS TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE REGION.

POWER OUTAGES AND DOWNED TREES ARE VERY POSSIBLE WITH THESE HIGH
WINDS. RESIDENTS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION TO TIE DOWN OR
STORE ANY LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

AS IS ALWAYS A POSSIBILITY...THE EXACT TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THE
STORM COULD CHANGE...SO PLEASE STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON
THIS IMPENDING STORM.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

$$

CTZ008-011-031100-
/O.CON.KOKX.WI.Y.0005.071103T1000Z-071104T0000Z/
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-
1113 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY.

AS THE POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL REMNANTS OF NOEL APPROACH LATE
TONIGHT WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE NORTHEAST TO AROUND 30 MPH
WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. DURING SATURDAY MORNING THE WINDS WILL
BECOME MORE NORTHERLY AND INCREASE RAPIDLY TO 30 TO 40 MPH WITH
GUSTS 45 TO 55 MPH. SOME GUSTS MAY EVEN NEAR 60 MPH FOR A BRIEF
TIME LATE SATURDAY MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. DAMAGING
WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE THE WINDS BEGIN
TO DIMINISH AS THE STORM STARTS TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE REGION.

ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES AND DOWNED TREES ARE A POSSIBILITY WITH
THESE HIGH WINDS.

AS IS ALWAYS A POSSIBILITY...THE EXACT TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THE
STORM COULD CHANGE...SO PLEASE STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON
THIS IMPENDING STORM.

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

CTZ006-007-009-010-NJZ003>006-011-NYZ071>078-080-031100-
/O.CON.KOKX.WI.Y.0005.071103T1000Z-071103T2200Z/
NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
1113 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EDT SATURDAY.

AS THE POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL REMNANTS OF NOEL APPROACH LATE
TONIGHT WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE NORTHEAST TO 25 TO 30 MPH
WITH GUSTS 35 TO 40 MPH. DURING SATURDAY MORNING THE WINDS WILL
BECOME MORE NORTHERLY AND INCREASE RAPIDLY TO 30 TO 35 MPH WITH
GUSTS 45 TO 55 MPH. DAMAGING WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY
AFTERNOON BEFORE THE WINDS BEGIN TO DIMINISH AS THE STORM STARTS
TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE REGION.

AS IS ALWAYS A POSSIBILITY...THE EXACT TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THE
STORM COULD CHANGE...SO PLEASE STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON
THIS IMPENDING STORM.

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$
000 
WWUS71 KOKX 030844
NPWOKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
444 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...VERY STRONG WINDS EXPECTED TODAY INTO THIS EVENING...

.THE POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL REMNANTS OF HURRICANE NOEL ARE
FORECAST TO WORK NORTH NORTHEAST TODAY...TRACKING TO ABOUT 175
MILES EAST OF MONTAUK POINT BY THIS EVENING. STRONG NORTHEAST
WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH THIS MORNING AND INCREASE IN SPEED
AS LOW PRESSURE NEARS THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY
DIMINISH THIS EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE RACES NORTHEAST INTO THE
GULF OF MAINE.

CTZ012-NYZ079-081-032100-
/O.CON.KOKX.HW.W.0002.071103T1000Z-071104T0000Z/
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
444 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

AS THE POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL REMNANTS OF HURRICANE NOEL TRACK
NORTH TOWARDS THE AREA...NORTHEAST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH
GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL DEVELOP EARLY THIS MORNING. THESE WINDS
WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH AND INCREASE TO 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
TO 60 TO 70 MPH FROM MID MORNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. THE
HIGHEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE TWIN FORKS OF LONG ISLAND
AND THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF NEW LONDON COUNTY. DAMAGING WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS EVENING AS THE STORM MOVES AWAY FROM THE
REGION.

POWER OUTAGES AND DOWNED TREES ARE VERY POSSIBLE WITH THESE HIGH
WINDS. RESIDENTS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION TO TIE DOWN OR
STORE ANY LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

$$

CTZ008-011-032100-
/O.EXT.KOKX.WI.Y.0005.071103T1000Z-071104T0300Z/
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-
444 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

AS THE POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL REMNANTS OF HURRICANE NOEL TRACK
NORTH TOWARDS THE AREA...NORTHEAST WINDS OF 25 TO 30 MPH WITH
GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL DEVELOP EARLY THIS MORNING. THESE WINDS
WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH AND INCREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS OF
45 TO 55 MPH FROM MID MORNING INTO THIS EVENING. SOME GUSTS MAY
EVEN NEAR 60 MPH DURING THIS TIME. THESE HIGH WINDS WILL GRADUALLY
DIMINISH LATE THIS EVENING AS THE STORM MOVES AWAY FROM THE
REGION.

ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES AND DOWNED TREES ARE A POSSIBILITY WITH
THESE HIGH WINDS.

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

CTZ006-007-009-010-NJZ003>006-011-NYZ071>078-080-032100-
/O.EXT.KOKX.WI.Y.0005.071103T1000Z-071104T0000Z/
NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
444 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

AS THE POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL REMNANTS OF HURRICANE NOEL TRACK
NORTH TOWARDS THE AREA...NORTHEAST WINDS OF 25 TO 30 MPH WITH
GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL DEVELOP EARLY THIS MORNING. THESE WINDS
WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH AND INCREASE TO 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OF
45 TO 55 MPH FROM MID MORNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. THESE HIGH
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS EVENING AS THE STORM MOVES
AWAY FROM THE REGION.

ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES AND DOWNED TREES ARE A POSSIBILITY WITH
THESE HIGH WINDS.

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$
000 
WWUS71 KOKX 032027
NPWOKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
427 PM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...VERY STRONG WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING...

.THE POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL REMNANTS OF HURRICANE NOEL ARE
FORECAST TO WORK NORTH NORTHEAST TONIGHT...TRACKING TO ABOUT 90 MILES
EAST OF CAPE COD BY EARLY THIS EVENING. STRONG NORTH WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE RACES NORTHEAST
INTO THE GULF OF MAINE.

CTZ006-007-009-010-NJZ003>006-011-NYZ071>077-032130-
/O.CAN.KOKX.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-071104T0000Z/
NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-
427 PM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

$$

CTZ011-032130-
/O.CAN.KOKX.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-071104T0300Z/
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-
427 PM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

$$

CTZ012-NYZ079-081-040000-
/O.EXT.KOKX.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-071104T0000Z/
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
427 PM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE HIGH WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

AS THE POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL REMNANTS OF HURRICANE NOEL TRACK
TO OUR EAST EARLY THIS EVENING...NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30 TO
40 MPH WITH GUSTS OF UP TO 60 MPH FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
EARLY THIS EVENING. THE HIGHEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
TWIN FORKS OF LONG ISLAND AND THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN NEW
LONDON COUNTY. DAMAGING WINDS WILL DIMINISH BY MID EVENING AS THE
STORM MOVES AWAY FROM THE REGION.

POWER OUTAGES AND DOWNED TREES ARE VERY POSSIBLE WITH THESE HIGH
WINDS. RESIDENTS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION TO TIE DOWN OR
STORE ANY LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

$$

CTZ008-NYZ078-080-040000-
/O.EXT.KOKX.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-071104T0000Z/
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
427 PM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

AS THE POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL REMNANTS OF HURRICANE NOEL TRACK
EAST OF THE AREA EARLY THIS EVENING...NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO
25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 45 TO 50 MPH LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY THIS EVENING.THESE HIGH WINDS WILL DIMINISH BY MID EVENING AS
THE STORM MOVES AWAY FROM THE REGION.

ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES AND DOWNED TREES ARE A POSSIBILITY WITH
THESE HIGH WINDS.

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

MALOIT
000 
WWUS71 KOKX 040001
NPWOKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
801 PM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

CTZ012-NYZ079-081-040115-
/O.EXP.KOKX.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-071104T0000Z/
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
801 PM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...HIGH WIND WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

WINDS HAVE DRAMATICALLY DIMINISHED...THEREFORE THE HIGH WIND
WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

$$

CTZ008-NYZ078-080-040115-
/O.EXP.KOKX.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-071104T0000Z/
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
801 PM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

WINDS HAVE DRAMATICALLY DIMINISHED...THEREFORE THE WIND ADVISORY
IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Nov 2, 3:01 PM EDT, 1 hour 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 2, 3:01 PM EDT, 1 hour 1 minute before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
301 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER UPSTATE NEW YORK AND NEW ENGLAND WILL BUILD
EAST TOWARD THE CANADIAN MARITIMES TODAY. MEANWHILE...HURRICANE
NOEL WILL MOVE NORTH TO NORTHEAST TODAY...AND GRADUALLY TRANSITION
TO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE. THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE NOEL ARE
FORECAST TO PASS AROUND 200 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MONTAUK POINT
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THIS TRACK WILL BRING RAIN AND HIGH WINDS TO
THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE REGION LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. THE
LOW WILL MOVE QUICKLY NORTHEAST TO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SATURDAY
NIGHT AND SUNDAY. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
FORECAST FOR TODAY IS ON TRACK. SUSTAINED WINDS AND GUSTS HAVE
ALREADY INCREASED FROM THE NORTHEAST AT AROUND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO
20 KT. STRONG SUBSIDENCE WILL KEEP AREA CLOUD FREE THROUGH MUCH OF
THE DAY WITH HIGH CLOUDINESS FROM HURRICANE NOEL BEGINNING TO
OVERSPREAD THE EASTERN ZONES LATER THIS AFTERNOON. WILL NOT UPDATE
FORECAST AT THIS TIME.

STRONG SUBSIDENCE TO THE NORTH OF NOEL AS HIGH PRESSURE TRACKS
JUST NORTH OF THE REGION. THIS WILL RESULT IN CLEAR SKIES TODAY
ACROSS THE CWA. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE NEAR SEASONABLE
LEVELS...MID TO UPPER 50S. WENT NEAR MOS AND DID NOT QUIBBLE WITH
THE DETAILS GIVEN MAJOR STORM HEADING OUR WAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
CONSENSUS LOOKING AT NUMEROUS OPERATIONAL MODEL FORECASTS...AND
ENSEMBLE CLUSTER STILL SUGGEST A TRACK JUST TO THE EAST OF THE 40/70
BENCHMARK. A SLIGHT JOG TO THE WEST NOTED THIS RUN...AND GFS
GENERALLY FOLLOWED HERE. OBVIOUSLY GFS/NAM MUCH TOO WEAK INITIALLY
WITH THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW. ALL OPERATIONAL MODELS DO PLAY CATCH
UP WITH REGARD TO THE STRENGTH...BUT IT IS NOT UNTIL SATURDAY UNTIL
THEY ACTUALLY DO. ANYWAY...INCREASING NE GRADIENT TONIGHT...AND WILL
FOLLOW HPC QPF FIELDS WHICH ARE CLOSER TO GFS SOLUTION. COULD SEE
RAIN HEAVY AT TIMES FOR A BRIEF PERIOD SATURDAY MORNING EASTERN
AREAS. WINDS WILL BE QUITE STRONG...AND MIXING OF 50 KT WINDS NOT
OUT OF THE QUESTION AS GFS INDICATES. WILL ISSUE HIGH WIND WATCH FOR
SUFFOLK COUNTY OF LI AND SE CT STARTING LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUING
INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH/DANGEROUS SURF AT AREA BEACHES WILL BE
OBSERVED...AND PLENTY OF BEACH EROSION DUE TO BATTERING WAVES IS
EXPECTED. REMNANTS OF NOEL MOVE RAPIDLY TO THE NORTHEAST.
MASSACHUSETTS CAPE/KACK GET THE WORST OF THIS. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY
SUBSIDE LATE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE STORM DEPARTS.

TEMPS SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL THIS TIME FRAME DUE TO CLOUDS AND THREAT
OF RAIN. SPEAKING OF RAIN...LAYERED POPS FROM WEST TO EAST. AS I SEE
IT NOW...MAY NOT SEE A DROP ACROSS ORANGE COUNTY...LITTLE MEASURABLE
IN AND AROUND NYC...AND COULD VERY WELL SEE OVER AN INCH TO AN INCH
AND A HALF ACROSS SE CT AND EASTERN LI. ANY EAST/WEST SHIFT IN
SUBSEQUENT TRACKS SHIFT AXIS OF QPF AS WELL. STAY TUNED.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
RIDGING BUILDS INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE DEPARTING EXTRATROPICAL
LOW AS SURFACE HIGH OVER THE GULF STATES DRIFTS EAST...MORE LIKE THE
ECMWF. SHOULD SEE INCREASE IN CLOUDS MONDAY WITH WARM FRONT AND WARM
AIR ADVECTION. ZONAL FLOW MONDAY...THEN NEXT DIGGING TROUGH TRACKS
ACROSS THE CENTRAL US MONDAY NIGHT. SURFACE COLD FRONT FROM THE
GREAT LAKES REGION TO THE GULF COAST WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION
LATER TUESDAY INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. WILL HAVE CHC POPS FOR THIS TIME
FRAME. FRONT IS STRONG AND WILL BRING MUCH COOLER AIR INTO THE
REGION ON A GUSTY NORTHWEST FLOW. HIGH BUILDS IN...INITIALLY FROM
WESTERN CANADA...THEN INTO THE CENTRAL US TUESDAY...BEFORE BUILDING
TOWARD THE AREA WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
STRONG COASTAL STORM TO AFFECT THE AREA TERMINALS LATE TONIGHT
INTO SATURDAY.

VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD AT THE TERMINALS WEST OF
ISP AND BDR...MAIN IMPACT WILL BE WINDS FROM THE NORTHEAST AROUND
15 KT GUSTING 25 KT...BECOMING NORTH 10Z AROUND 25 KT WITH GUSTS
TO 30 TO 35. FROM ISP AND BDR AND EAST MVFR CEILINGS ARE LIKELY
AFTER 07Z AS RAIN DEVELOPS. VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY TO BECOME MVFR
IN RAIN AND FOG AS WELL...AND BRIEFLY IFR IN WIND DRIVEN RAIN. THE
HIGHEST IMPACT WILL BE TO GON. WINDS AT THE EASTERN TERMINALS WILL
INCREASE TO AROUND 25 KT FROM THE NORTH TO NORTHEAST WITH GUSTS 35
TO 40 KT BY 08Z. THE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
THE WILL BE SOME IMPROVEMENT TOWARD 18Z AT ISP AND BDR.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...AS THE LOW PULLS AWAY
FROM THE REGION AFTER 18Z SATURDAY WINDS WILL BECOME MORE
NORTHWEST AND GRADUALLY DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH 06Z.
AFTER 06Z WINDS ARE LIKELY TO BE AROUND 10 KT WITH SOME GUSTS NEAR
20 KT. CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES WILL IMPROVE TO VFR AT GON BY 00Z
SUNDAY...WITH VFR CONDITIONS ARE THE REST OF THE AREA TERMINALS.

THE NEXT CHANCE OF SUB-VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE TUESDAY. STRONG AND
GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS AND SEAS ON THE WATERS HAVE ALREADY INCREASED AND FORECAST
IS CURRENTLY ON TRACK. WILL NOT UPDATE AT THIS TIME.

CAA WANES THIS MORNING...AND APPEARS THERE MAY BE A WEAKNESS IN
THE GRADIENT THIS AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE TRIES TO BUILD IN TO
THE N OF THE WATERS. CURRENTLY ONLY OCEAN WATERS EXPERIENCING SCA
GUSTS AND BELIEVE ONLY OCEAN WATERS WILL EXPERIENCE MARGINAL SCA
WIND IN THIS SCENARIO THIS AFTERNOON...SO WILL CONTINUE SCA FOR
ONLY THESE WATERS. CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH FOR FREQUENT SCA
GUSTS TODAY ACROSS REST OF WATERS.

GRADIENT TIGHTENS TONIGHT AS EXTRA-TROPICAL REMNANTS OF HURRICANE
NOEL TRACKS NORTH TONIGHT WITH HIGH PRESSURE SITUATED TO THE NORTH.
AS LOW PRESSURE NEAR LATE TONIGHT...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE
TO STORM FORCE ACROSS THE OCEAN WATERS...EASTERN LI SOUND...AND
PECONIC GARDINERS BAY LATE TONIGHT WITH GALES ACROSS ALL OTHER
WATERS. THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SAT AFTERNOON
AS EXTRA TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE STRENGTHENS AND TRACKS
NORTH...EAST OF THE 40/70 BENCHMARK.

AS A RESULT OF THESE WINDS...SEAS ON THE OCEAN MAY BUILD TO GREATER
THAN 15 FT. SEAS OF 5 TO 8 FT POSSIBLE ON THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
SOUND. CHAOTIC CONDITIONS AROUND THE ARE INLETS ARE EXPECTED.

WINDS GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TO BELOW SCA CONDITIONS LATE SAT NIGHT...BUT
OCEAN SEAS MAY STAY ABOVE CRITERIA UNTIL SUN NIGHT.

NEXT CHANCE OF SCA CONDITIONS MAY BE LATE MON/TUES AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
DRY WEATHER TODAY...THEN AS LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH
TONIGHT...AND PASSES TO THE EAST OF THE REGION SATURDAY...RAINFALL
IS EXPECTED NEAR THE COAST...MAINLY EAST...WITH JUST A CHANCE TO THE
WEST. AS MENTIONED IN SHORT TERM PORTION OF THE DISCUSSION...MAY NOT
SEE A DROP OF RAIN OVER ORANGE COUNTY...LITTLE MEASURABLE IN AND
AROUND NYC...AND COULD SEE OVER AN INCH TO POSSIBLE AN INCH AND A
HALF OVER EASTERN LI AND SE CT SATURDAY. DRY WEATHER RETURNS
SATURDAY EVENING AND CONTINUES INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
WITH FLOW VEERING TO NE THIS AFTERNOON AND NIGHT AND WINDS
STRENGTHENING TO GALE/STORM FORCE...WATERS WILL BEGIN PILING UP IN
WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND... NY HARBOR...THE LONG ISLAND SOUTH SHORE
BACK BAYS...AND PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS. MOON PHASE IS 50 PERCENT
OF FULL SO ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES ARE AT THEIR EBB...AND DEPARTURES
OF 2.2-2.5 FT WOULD BE NEEDED TO CAUSE MINOR TIDAL FLOODING.

THE GREATEST PERIOD OF CONCERN WILL BE DURING THE LATE FRI
NIGHT/EARLY SAT MORNING HIGH TIDES AND THEN AGAIN THE SAT EVENING
HIGH TIDES...ON EITHER SIDE OF THE HEIGHT OF THE STORM DURING SAT
AFTERNOON.

BOTH NGM/GFS STORM SURGE GUIDANCE HAVE COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT
WITH MARGINAL MINOR COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE DURING SAT MORNING
HIGH TIDES FOR THE WESTERN LI SOUND. ANOTHER SHOT FOR MARGINAL MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING WILL BE SAT AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING ACROSS WESTERN
LONG ISLAND SOUND...NY HARBOR...THE LONG ISLAND SOUTH SHORE BACK
BAYS...AND PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS.

WILL HAVE TO WATCH SOUTH SHORE BACK BAYS AS HIGH SEAS AFFECT THE
WATER DRAINAGE ON SAT...WHICH MAY CAUSE COASTAL FLOODING TO REACH
SOLID MINOR OR POSSIBLY HIGHER.

HIGHEST DEPARTURES ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST TO OCCUR IN BETWEEN HIGH
TIDES FOR WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...BUT WILL OCCUR CLOSE TO HIGH
TIDE FOR THE OTHER AREAS MENTIONED ABOVE.

WILL ISSUE A COASTAL FLOOD STATEMENT TO HIGHLIGHT POTENTIAL SINCE
THIS IS MAINLY A THIRD PERIOD EVENT AND APPEARS TO BE MARGINAL AT
THIS POINT.

WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 15 FT OR GREATER ON THE OCEAN BY SAT
AFTERNOON...AND AT LEAST 5 TO 8 FT ON CENTRAL AND EASTERN LI
SOUND...HIGH SURF AND BEACH EROSION ARE EXPECTED FOR TONIGHT INTO
SAT NIGHT. STRONG RIP CURRENTS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON
     FOR CTZ008-011-012.
     HIGH SURF ADVISORY FROM 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING TO 5 AM EST
     SUNDAY FOR CTZ012.
NY...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON
     FOR NYZ078>081.
     HIGH SURF ADVISORY FROM 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING TO 5 AM EST
     SUNDAY FOR NYZ075>077-079>081.
NJ...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM EDT
     SATURDAY FOR ANZ330-335-338-340-345.
     GALE WARNING FROM 2 AM TO 10 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR ANZ335-338-
     345.
     STORM WARNING FROM 2 AM TO 6 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR ANZ330-340.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR ANZ350-
     353-355.
     STORM WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR
     ANZ350-353-355.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 2, 11:25 AM EDT, 4 hours 37 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
1125 AM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

CTZ011-012-NYZ080-081-031000-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
1125 AM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WATCH.

HURRICANE NOEL WILL TRANSITION TO A STRONG EXTRATROPICAL LOW
DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS IT TRACKS NORTHEAST...STAYING WELL
OFFSHORE THE EASTERN SEABOARD. WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE
NIGHT AND MAY REACH HIGH WIND WARNING CRITERIA DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS SATURDAY.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHERN NEW LONDON AND SUFFOLK COUNTIES. STRONG
NORTHEAST WINDS FROM THE OFFSHORE STORM WILL GENERATE HIGH SEAS
AND ROUGH SURF. THIS WILL RESULT IN BEACH EROSION...WASH OVERS
AND RIP CURRENTS. REFER TO THE LATEST COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
UNDER THE NYCCFWOKX HEADER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WATCH.

A STRONG EXTRATROPICAL LOW WILL TRACK TO APPROXIMATELY 300 MILES
EAST OF MONTAUK POINT EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL PLACE
THE FORECAST AREA ON THE WESTERN FRINGE OF THE STORM...WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH AND GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR
HIGHER DURING SATURDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON. A PERIOD OF HEAVY
RAIN MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY THE HIGH WINDS.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY CONTINUES THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

ANZ335-338-345-031000-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
1125 AM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 10 PM EDT SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

ANZ330-340-031000-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
1125 AM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 6 PM EDT SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

ANZ350-353-355-031000-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
1125 AM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

CTZ005-006-009-010-NJZ002>006-011-NYZ067>074-031000-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-WESTERN PASSAIC-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-
HUDSON-UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
1125 AM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WINDS WILL BECOME RATHER STRONG LATE TONIGHT AS HURRICANE NOEL
TRANSITIONS INTO A STRONG EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY...POSSIBLY REACHING WIND ADVISORY
CRITERIA...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH AND GUSTS 40 MPH OR
HIGHER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

NYZ075>077-031000-
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-
1125 AM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

HURRICANE NOEL WILL TRANSITION TO A STRONG EXTRATROPICAL LOW
DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS IT TRACKS NORTHEAST...STAYING WELL
OFFSHORE THE EASTERN SEABOARD. WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE
NIGHT AND MAY REACH WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS SATURDAY.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING. STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS FROM THE OFFSHORE STORM
WILL GENERATE HIGH SEAS AND ROUGH SURF. THIS WILL RESULT IN
BEACH EROSION...WASH OVERS AND RIP CURRENTS. REFER TO THE LATEST
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE UNDER THE NYCCFWOKX HEADER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY...POSSIBLY REACHING WIND ADVISORY
CRITERIA...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH AND GUSTS 40 MPH OR
HIGHER.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY CONTINUES THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

CTZ008-NYZ078-079-031000-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
1125 AM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WATCH.

HURRICANE NOEL WILL TRANSITION TO A STRONG EXTRATROPICAL LOW
DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS IT TRACKS NORTHEAST...STAYING WELL
OFFSHORE THE EASTERN SEABOARD. WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE
NIGHT AND MAY REACH HIGH WIND WARNING CRITERIA DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS SATURDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WATCH.

A STRONG EXTRATROPICAL LOW WILL TRACK TO APPROXIMATELY 300 MILES
EAST OF MONTAUK POINT NEW YORK EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL
PLACE THE FORECAST AREA ON THE WESTERN FRINGE OF THE STORM...WITH
THE POTENTIAL FOR SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH AND GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR
HIGHER DURING SATURDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON. A PERIOD OF HEAVY
RAINS MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY THE HIGH WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

CTZ007-031000-
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
1125 AM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WINDS WILL BECOME RATHER STRONG LATE TONIGHT AS HURRICANE NOEL TRANSITIONS
INTO A STRONG EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY...POSSIBLY REACHING WIND ADVISORY
CRITERIA...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH AND GUSTS 40 MPH OR HIGHER.
A PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY THE STRONG WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

The office that day

Everything else NWS New York, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 2, 6:30 AM EDTCoastal Flood StatementOKXHudson10 hr
Nov 2, 4:29 PM EDTCoastal Flood AdvisoryOKXHudson28 hr
Nov 2, 5:04 AM EDTHigh Wind WatchOKXSuffolk11 hr
Nov 2, 6:30 AM EDTHigh Surf AdvisoryOKXKings, Suffolk44 hr

Nearby

Wind Advisories in New York, 2007Wind Advisories in Connecticut, 2007Wind Advisories in New Jersey, 2007Every wind advisory in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.