Alert archive / Iowa / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2007
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 280, NWS Omaha, NE
NWS Omaha, NE issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 12, 2007, 7:14 PM CDT for Page County, Iowa. It was in force for 16 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 12, 2007, 7:14 PM CDT (00:14 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 12, 2007, 7:30 PM CDT
- In force
- 16 min
- Issued by
- NWS Omaha, NE
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Page County, IA
The radar
The Omaha radar (KOAX), 121 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 0.2 hours before the alert went out and 121 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 30 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -510 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1634 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 45 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 190 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 298 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Omaha, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 12, 5:19 PM CDT, 1 hour 55 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 12, 5:19 PM CDT, 1 hour 55 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
519 PM CDT SUN AUG 12 2007
.DISCUSSION...
MCS HAS DEVELOPED EXPLOSIVELY THIS AFTN AND IS NOW TURNING ESE
TOWARD THE RICHEST SOURCE OF LOW LVL MOISTURE/CAPE OVER SE NEB AND
SW IA. ALTHOUGH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH STORMS...MOVEMENT
APPEARS TO BE FAST ENOUGH TO REDUCE POTENTIAL FOR SERIOUS FLASH
FLOODING. IN FACT...THERE IS ENOUGH ACCELERATION IN FORWARD
MOVEMENT THAT THIS COULD BE THE EARLY STAGE OF A DERECHO. MAY BE
SOME NEW DEVELOPMENT BEHIND MAIN SYSTEM LATER TNGT AS LLJ PICKS UP
FROM THE SW...BUT MAIN SEVERE POTENTIAL IS WITH FIRST SYSTEM.
OUTFLOW IS EXPECTED TO BRING COOLER AIR ALL THE WAY SOUTH TO THE
KS AND MO BORDERS EARLY TONIGHT. THIS SHOULD BRING TEMPORARY
RELIEF FROM THE HEAT AND ALLOW EXPIRATION OF HEAT ADVISORY.
HOWEVER...NEW ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TMRW AS DEVELOPING
LOW IN SD BRINGS HOT AIR BACK INTO THE AREA ON GUSTY WINDS.
FOLLOWING PASSAGE OF THE SFC LOW...CDFNT WILL MAY SOME HEADWAY
BACK SOUTH TUE NIGHT INTO WED...THEN IS FORECAST TO HANG UP IN
OUR VICINITY FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST. THERE IS NOT
MUCH DOUBT ABOUT THE OVERALL PATTERN...WITH OUR AREA HANGING OUT
AT THE SOUTH EDGE OF THE WESTERLIES. THERE IS A LOT OF DOUBT
ABOUT THE EXACT LOCATION OF THE FRONT ON ANY GIVEN DAY...WHETHER
IT IS MOVING NORTH OR SOUTH...AND WHERE AND WHEN TO LOCATE BEST
POPS. THUS MOST OF THE FORECAST REFLECTS HOT BUT NOT EXTREME
TEMPERATURES AND POPS GENERALLY GREATER IN THE NORTH. USED
HPC FRONTAL GUIDANCE FOR GENERAL PLACEMENT OF THESE FEATURES.
&&
.AVIATION...LINE OF STRONG/SVR TSTMS MOVING RAPIDLY THROUGH
THE AREA WILL PRODUCE BRIEF VERY STRONG WINDS AND LOW VSBYS.
SHOULD BE EAST OF THE AREA BY 00Z...BUT SOLID LOOKING LINE WILL
NOT BE SAFE TO FLY THROUGH. LNK IS ON THE SOUTH EDGE OF THE
STRONG LINE...AND IT MAY BE POSSIBLE TO SKIRT IT TO THE SOUTH.
LATER TNGT THERE MAY BE SOME FOG...BUT SHOULD NOT BE DENSE AS
RETURN FLOW PICKS UP TOWARD MORNING.
&&
.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR NEZ050>053-065>068-
078-088>093.
IA...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR IAZ069-079-080-090-
091.
&&
DEE/POLLACKHazardous weather outlook, Aug 12, 6:29 PM CDT, 45 minutes before
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Local storm report, Aug 12, 6:09 PM CDT, 1 hour 5 minutes before
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</html>The office that day
Everything else NWS Omaha, NE issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 1:24 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | OAX | Saunders | 11 hr |
| Aug 13, 3:49 AM CDT | Heat Advisory | OAX | Butler, Cass, Colfax, Dodge, Douglas, Gage and 13 more | 39 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Iowa, 2007Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.