Flash Flood Warning 37, NWS Memphis, TN

000 
WGUS74 KMEG 102200
FFSMEG

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
500 PM CDT THU MAY 10 2007

MSC115-102210-
PONTOTOC MS-
500 PM CDT THU MAY 10 2007

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR PONTOTOC COUNTY...

THE HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS DIMINISHED OR
EXITED THE WARNED AREA. THUS THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED
TO EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 3410 8885 3437 8884 3437 8919 3414 8918

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1011 AM CDT THU MAY 10 2007

.DISCUSSION...

A WARM AND HUMID AIRMASS PERSISTS ACROSS THE MID SOUTH THIS
MORNING. DAYTIME HEATING CONTINUES ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA AND
THIS HAS ALLOWED FOR INCREASED INSTABILITY TO DEVELOP. THIS SHOULD
CONTINUE AND WITH THE ENVIRONMENT ONLY WEAKLY CAPPED IN MOST
AREAS...EXPECT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE TO BECOME
MORE NUMEROUS LATER THIS AFTERNOON DURING PEAK DAYTIME HEATING.
HAVE RAISED POPS TO LIKELY ACROSS SOUTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE AREA
WHERE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALREADY ONGOING THIS
MORNING. HAVE ALSO LOWERED TEMPS A BIT IN WESTERN AREAS DUE TO
INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND ONGOING CONVECTION. OTHERWISE...FORECAST
LOOKS ON TRACK.

UPDATED ZONES AND GRIDS WILL BE OUT SHORTLY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 224 AM CDT THU MAY 10 2007/

DISCUSSION...

ANOTHER DAY OF SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS IS IN STORE FOR
THE AREA. CONDITIONS HAVE NOT CHANGED MUCH FROM YESTERDAY EXCEPT
THAT THERE IS MORE CLOUD COVER FROM LAST NIGHT/S THUNDERSTORMS
ACTIVITY. THIS MAY KEEP TEMPS DOWN A COUPLE DEGREES FROM
YESTERDAY. ATMOSPHERE REMAINS MOIST AND UNSTABLE OVER THE REGION
AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES THROUGH EAST TEXAS TODAY. WIND FIELDS ARE
WEAK IN THE LOWER LEVELS WHICH SHOULD PREVENT WIDESPREAD SEVERE
ACTIVITY. LIKE YESTERDAY...THERE COULD BE AN ISOLATED STORM OR TWO
THAT PRODUCES SMALL HAIL WITH LOCALIZED DAMAGING WIND. CONVECTION
SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT.

VERY MUCH A REPEAT SITUATION FOR FRIDAY AS THE UPPER LOW BEGINS TO
MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL GULF. ACTIVITY MAY BE MORE CONTAINED
ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA AS MODELS ARE
SHOWING SOME DRIER AIR OVER MS. ALTHOUGH...THERE ARE SOME DOUBTS
AS TO WHETHER OR NOT THE LACK OF MOISTURE IS PROPERLY RESOLVED.

RAIN CHANCES SHOULD BEGIN TO DECLINE ON SATURDAY AS THE LOW MOVES
FURTHER INTO THE GULF. GFS/NAM CONTINUE TO SHOW MOISTURE HANGING
OVER THE REGION WITH THE NAM A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH WITH THIS MOISTURE.

ON SUNDAY...DRIER AIR ADVECTS INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTH AND
THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK APPEARS TO BE DRY WITH TEMPS IN THE 80S
AND LOWS MAINLY IN THE 60S. NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN IS WEDNESDAY AS A
FRONT APPROACHES THE REGION FROM THE NORTH.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  88  69  86  68 /  50  30  50  30
MKL  89  65  85  63 /  50  30  50  30
JBR  86  65  84  65 /  50  30  50  30
TUP  89  66  86  65 /  50  30  40  30

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

JLH/DNV

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
314 AM CDT THU MAY 10 2007

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-111015-
ALCORN-BENTON(MS)-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE(AR)-LEE(MS)-
MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-
PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-
ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-
UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
314 AM CDT THU MAY 10 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN IN THE
AFTERNOON HEAT AND HUMIDITY AND LINGER THROUGH THE EVENING.
ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE ALONG WITH SMALL HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE ALONG WITH SMALL HAIL
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

VALLE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
147 PM CDT THU MAY 10 2007

TNZ004-101930-
HENRY TN-
147 PM CDT THU MAY 10 2007

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR...HENRY COUNTY.

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND 40 TO 50
MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF COTTAGE GROVE AT 147 PM
CDT...MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH.

PEOPLE IN HENRY COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY. THIS
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM CDT.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
155 PM CDT THU MAY 10 2007

MSZ014-101945-
UNION MS-
155 PM CDT THU MAY 10 2007

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR...UNION COUNTY.

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND 40 TO 50
MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF ETTA AT 155 PM CDT...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

PEOPLE IN UNION COUNTY...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ALBANY...SHOULD
MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY. THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 245 PM CDT.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
232 PM CDT THU MAY 10 2007

MSZ006-017-102015-
TISHOMINGO MS-ITAWAMBA MS-
232 PM CDT THU MAY 10 2007

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR...ITAWAMBA AND TISHOMINGO
COUNTIES THROUGH 315 PM CDT.

A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND 40
TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED FROM 4 MILES EAST OF TISHOMINGO TO 7
MILES SOUTH OF BELMONT AT 232 PM CDT. THE LINE WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

PEOPLE IN ITAWAMBA AND TISHOMINGO COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE CITY OF
IUKA...SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY..

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
240 PM CDT THU MAY 10 2007

TNZ055-092-102015-
DECATUR TN-HARDIN TN-
240 PM CDT THU MAY 10 2007

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR...DECATUR AND HARDIN COUNTIES.

A BROKEN LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE
HAIL AND 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED FROM 3 MILES EAST OF
DECATURVILLE TO 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF PICKWICK DAM AT 240 PM CDT.
THESE THUNDERSTORMS WERE NEARLY STATIONARY.

PEOPLE IN DECATUR AND HARDIN COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE CITY OF
SAVANNAH...SHOULD MONITOR THESE STORMS CLOSELY. THIS SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ALERT IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM CDT.

PWB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
248 PM CDT THU MAY 10 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0115 PM     HAIL             W RIPLEY                34.73N 88.94W
05/10/2007  E0.88 INCH       TIPPAH             MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HAIL NEAR RIPLEY AIRPORT ON HWY 4

0215 PM     FLASH FLOOD      BLUE MOUNTAIN           34.67N 89.03W
05/10/2007                   TIPPAH             MS   POST OFFICE

            STANDING WATER ON MILL STREET.

0230 PM     HAIL             ECRU                    34.36N 89.03W
05/10/2007  E1.00 INCH       PONTOTOC           MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL

&&

TAB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
254 PM CDT THU MAY 10 2007

MSZ006-102030-
TISHOMINGO MS-
254 PM CDT THU MAY 10 2007

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR...TISHOMINGO COUNTY.

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND 40 TO 50
MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED 3 MILES NORTHEAST OF MIDWAY AT 254 PM CDT. THE
STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

PEOPLE IN TISHOMINGO COUNTY...INCLUDING THE CITY OF IUKA...SHOULD
MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY. THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM CDT.