Flash Flood Warning 168, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

000 
WGUS74 KMAF 021141
FFSMAF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
641 AM CDT THU AUG 2 2007

TXC371-021345-
PECOS-
641 AM CDT THU AUG 2 2007

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 AM CDT FOR
NORTHERN PECOS COUNTY...

AT 630 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO 
DETECT SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN OVER MUCH 
OF NORTHERN PECOS COUNTY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES HAVE 
LIKELY FALLEN EARLY THIS MORNING...PARTICULARLY AROUND AREAS NEAR 
COYANOSA...IMPERIAL...AND RURAL AREAS NORTH OF BAKERSFIELD.

STORM RUNOFF FROM THE HEAVY RAINS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL LIKELY 
CAUSE FLOODING OF DRAWS...BAR DITCHES...LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND 
OTHER LOW LYING AND NORMALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS.

MOST FLOODING DEATHS ARE PREVENTABLE...AND MANY OCCUR WHEN MOTORISTS 
DRIVE ACROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS. IT IS NEVER SAFE TO DRIVE ON FLOODED 
ROADS. IT TAKES ONLY A FEW INCHES OF RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER TO QUICKLY
CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY
YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
MIDLAND.

LAT...LON 3124 10279 3128 10268 3121 10248 3111 10245
      3106 10240 3094 10196 3085 10188 3069 10182
      3074 10251 3101 10332 3135 10302
TIME...MOT...LOC 1139Z 180DEG 0KT 3110 10259

$$

000 
WGUS74 KMAF 021227
FFSMAF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
723 AM CDT THU AUG 2 2007

TXC371-021345-
PECOS-
723 AM CDT THU AUG 2 2007

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 AM CDT FOR
NORTHERN PECOS COUNTY...

AT 715 AM CDT...LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED TWO FEET OF WATER 
OVER FM 1053 20 MILES NORTH OF FORT STOCKTON.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO IMPERIAL AND
COYANOSA

MOST FLOODING DEATHS ARE PREVENTABLE...AND MANY OCCUR WHEN MOTORISTS 
DRIVE ACROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS. IT IS NEVER SAFE TO DRIVE ON FLOODED 
ROADS. TURN AROUND... DONT DROWN.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3124 10279 3128 10268 3121 10248 3111 10245
      3106 10240 3094 10196 3085 10188 3069 10182
      3074 10251 3101 10332 3135 10302
TIME...MOT...LOC 1223Z 180DEG 0KT 3105 10280

$$

000 
WGUS74 KMAF 021324
FFSMAF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
821 AM CDT THU AUG 2 2007

TXC371-021345-
PECOS-
821 AM CDT THU AUG 2 2007

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 AM CDT FOR
NORTHERN PECOS COUNTY...

AT 820 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO 
DETECT A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING OVER THE WARNED AREA. 
DOPPLER RADAR IS INDICATING HOURLY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES 
7 MILES NORTHWEST OF FORT STOCKTON.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO IMPERIAL... 
COYANOSA...AND FORT STOCKTON.

MOST FLOODING DEATHS ARE PREVENTABLE... AND MANY OCCUR WHEN MOTORISTS
DRIVE ACROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS. IT IS NEVER SAFE TO DRIVE ON FLOODED 
ROADS. TURN AROUND... DONT DROWN.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3124 10279 3128 10268 3121 10248 3111 10245
      3106 10240 3094 10196 3085 10188 3069 10182
      3074 10251 3101 10332 3135 10302
TIME...MOT...LOC 1321Z 180DEG 0KT 3105 10280

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
437 AM CDT THU AUG 2 2007

.DISCUSSION...
HVY RAINFALL SHIFTING S WITH LLJ AND W-SW WITH MEAN STEERING FLOW.
THRU 18Z HVY RAIN FOCUS WILL BE IN WRN PB...THE FT. STOCKTON AREA
AND THE LOWER TRANS PECOS REGION. GFS SEEMS TO HAVE BETTER HANDLE
ON QPF AND UPPER FEATURES. AS SUBTROPICAL RIDGE STRENGTHENS TO THE
N STEERING FLOW WILL BE FROM THE NE SUPPORTING CONVECTION RE-
FOCUSING INVOF HIER TERRAIN THIS AFTERNOON WHERE GFS INDICATES
SHRTWV TROF WILL TRACK. EXPECT THAT AN MCV (POSSIBLE TWO) WILL BE
LEFT OVER FROM INTENSE CONVECTION THIS MORNING. ALSO OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY WILL PUSH S OF THE PECOS RIVER AND MID LEVEL THETA-E
RIDGE AXIS ACRS THE W. HAVE OPTED TO INCLUDE MUCH OF THE PB IN THE
FLASH FLOOD WATCH EVEN THOUGH FOCUS WILL BE FARTHER W TODAY. WILL
UNDERCUT GUIDANCE TEMPS OR AT LEAST GO TOWARD COOLER GFS WITH SO
MUCH WATER ON THE GROUND. BY FRIDAY RIDGE WILL BE CENTERED ACRS
PANHANDLE WITH E MID LEVEL FLOW WHICH SHOULD GRADUALLY PUSH
THETA-E RIDGE W AND WILL CONTINUE TO PLACE HIEST POPS INVOF MTNS.
OTHERWISE LITTLE CHANGE MADE TO FCST BEYOND FRIDAY.

.CLIMATE...
2.54 OF RAIN AT KMAF SINCE MIDNIGHT. THIS IS THE 2ND HIEST DAILY AMOUNT
FOR THE MONTH OF AUGUST. THE HIEST DAILY RAINFALL IN AUGUST OCCURRED
ON THE 24TH IN 1934 WHEN 5.32 OF RAIN FELL. WITH THIS MORNINGS RAIN
MAF HAS ALREADY SURPASSED THE NORMAL MONTHLY TOTAL OF 1.77.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BIG SPRING TX              80  68  86  69  /  50  40  30  20
CARLSBAD NM                87  69  84  69  /  50  40  30  20
DRYDEN TX                  88  72  89  72  /  60  50  30  20
FORT STOCKTON TX           86  71  85  70  /  60  40  30  20
GUADALUPE PASS TX          83  64  77  62  /  60  50  40  30
HOBBS NM                   85  69  87  70  /  50  40  30  20
MARFA TX                   80  63  77  60  /  60  50  40  30
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    83  68  85  70  /  50  40  30  20
ODESSA TX                  84  70  85  70  /  50  40  30  20
WINK TX                    89  72  89  71  /  60  40  30  20

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 4 AM EARLY THIS MORNING TO 6 PM MDT THIS
     AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF
     EDDY COUNTY.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 4 AM EARLY THIS MORNING TO 6 PM MDT THIS
     AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...CENTRAL LEA COUNTY...
     EDDY COUNTY PLAINS...SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY.

TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 5 AM CDT /4 AM MDT/ EARLY THIS MORNING TO
     7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...
     BIG BEND AREA...DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...GUADALUPE
     MOUNTAINS...MARFA PLATEAU...PRESIDIO VALLEY...VAN HORN AND
     HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 5 AM EARLY THIS MORNING TO 7 PM CDT THIS
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...ANDREWS...CRANE...
     DAWSON...ECTOR...GAINES...GLASSCOCK...LOVING...MARTIN...
     MIDLAND...PECOS...REAGAN...REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS
     PECOS...TERRELL...UPTON...WARD...WINKLER.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
133 PM CDT WED AUG 1 2007

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-021845-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
133 PM CDT WED AUG 1 2007 /1233 PM MDT WED AUG 1 2007/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ABUNDANT MOISTURE AVAILABLE IN THE ATMOSPHERE WILL COMBINE WITH
HEATING AND AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVER WEST TEXAS TO PRODUCE
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHEASTERN
NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.  THE BEST
CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL BE IN THE FAR WESTERN AREAS NEAR THE MOUNTAINS
IN CLOSER PROXIMITY TO THE UPPER LOW...AND WHERE UPSLOPE FLOW WILL
BE THE STRONGEST.  HEAVY RAIN IS STILL A CONCERN AND A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM THE BIG BEND REGION AND PRESIDIO
VALLEY...NORTH THROUGH THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS AND MARFA PLATEAU...TO
THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

MORE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE REST OF
SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS COULD RESULT IN LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL TOO.  HOWEVER...FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BE MUCH MORE
ISOLATED.

RIVER LEVELS ALONG THE RIO GRANDE REMAIN HIGH AND TRIBUTARIES ARE
LIKELY RUNNING WITH WATER.  ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT COULD PROLONG FLOODING CONCERNS ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE PERMIAN BASIN AND
LOWER TRANS PECOS EARLY THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY MORNING. DEPENDING ON
HOW THIS RAIN DEVELOPS ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOOD WATCHES MAY BE
NEEDED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WIDESPREAD SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED...HOWEVER LOCAL
OFFICIALS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF FLOODING AND
FLASH FLOODING THROUGH FRIDAY.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1130 PM CDT WED AUG 1 2007

TXZ051-052-062-063-020530-
HOWARD-MARTIN-GLASSCOCK-MIDLAND-
1130 PM CDT WED AUG 1 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR MARTIN...NORTHERN MIDLAND...
NORTHWESTERN GLASSCOCK AND WESTERN HOWARD COUNTIES.

A LARGE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES SOUTH OF TARZAN AT
1130 PM CDT. LITTLE MOVEMENT IS NOTED. THIS STORM CONTAINS
TORRENTIAL RAIN AND MAY HAVE DOWNBURST WINDS TO 55 MPH. ALSO OTHER
STORMS ARE RAPIDLY DEVELOPING ACROSS MIDLAND...HOWARD...AND
GLASSCOCK COUNTIES. THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE
FLOODING RAINS AND DOWNBURST WINDS TO 45 MPH. ALSO DRIVERS SHOULD BE
PREPARED FOR NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY WITHIN THESE STRONG STORMS.

PEOPLE IN MARTIN...NORTHERN MIDLAND...NORTHWESTERN GLASSCOCK AND
WESTERN HOWARD COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MIDLAND AND
STANTON...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY.