Severe Thunderstorm Warning 92, NWS New Orleans, LA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
352 PM CDT TUE JUN 12 2007

.DISCUSSION...
SAME OLD STORY HERE TODAY...TEMPERATURES HAVE CLIMBED IN THE MID
90S WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA. THE GREATEST COVERAGE HAS BEEN ALONG THE
MISSISSIPPI GULF COAST WHERE AN OLD BOUNDARY IS HELPING TO FOCUS
CONVECTION. THERE WILL BE NO REAL PATTERN CHANGE FOR TOMORROW AS
THE REGION REMAINS SANDWICHED BETWEEN THE SHORTWAVE OVER THE
ROCKIES AND THE LOW OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST. HAVE GONE ABOVE THE
GUIDANCE POPS AS PERSISTENCE HAS BEEN A BETTER INDICATOR THE LAST
FEW DAYS.

THE RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BREAK DOWN THURSDAY AS THE ROCKIES
SHORTWAVE MOVES SLOWLY EASTWARD AND THE NEW ENGLAND LOW DROPS
SOUTHWARD. WITH A LOW OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST...THIS SHOULD HELP
TO DROP TEMPERATURES BACK DOWN TO AVERAGE VALUES. PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES REMAIN AROUND 1.5 INCHES...WHICH IS ENOUGH TO SUPPORT
20-30 PERCENT DIURNALLY DRIVEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  68  93  70  91 /  10  30  10  30
BTR  72  94  72  92 /  20  30  20  30
MSY  74  92  74  89 /  20  30  10  30
GPT  72  91  73  90 /  20  30  10  30

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

92/JSS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1015 PM CDT TUE JUN 12 2007

LAZ034>040-046>050-056>070-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-131200-
AMITE-ASCENSION-ASSUMPTION-EAST BATON ROUGE-EAST FELICIANA-HANCOCK-
HARRISON-IBERVILLE-JACKSON-LIVINGSTON-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST BERNARD-LOWER TERREBONNE-
ORLEANS-PEARL RIVER-PIKE-POINTE COUPEE-ST CHARLES-ST HELENA-ST JAMES-
ST JOHN THE BAPTIST-ST TAMMANY-TANGIPAHOA-UPPER JEFFERSON-
UPPER LAFOURCHE-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-
WALTHALL-WASHINGTON-WEST BATON ROUGE-WEST FELICIANA-WILKINSON-
1015 PM CDT TUE JUN 12 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY.
A FEW STRONG TO LOCALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE...BUT THE
THREAT OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW THROUGH THE PERIOD.
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN CLOSER TO NORMAL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY.

LAZ069-130815-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
118 AM CDT WED JUN 13 2007

...THUNDERSTORM WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS APPROACHING THE LOWER
   DELTA...

AT 114 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS 20 MILES EAST OF PILOT
TOWN...SOUTHWEST AT 25 MPH.

THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
THE HEAD OF PASSES AND PILOT TOWN BY 215 AM CDT.

EXPECT FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM.
IF OUTDOORS...STAY AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES.
MOVE INDOORS IF POSSIBLE. WHEN INDOORS...STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND
DOORS AND AVOID USING TELEPHONES UNLESS IT IS AN EMERGENCY. TRY TO
UNPLUG UNNECESSARY ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES BEFORE THE THUNDERSTORM
APPROACHES.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION IF A WARNING IS ISSUED. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR
FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

24