Severe Thunderstorm Warning 124, NWS North Platte, NE

000 
WWUS53 KLBF 052002
SVSLBF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
302 PM CDT SAT MAY 5 2007

NEC101-052030-
/O.CON.KLBF.SV.W.0124.000000T0000Z-070505T2030Z/
KEITH NE-
202 PM MDT SAT MAY 5 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM MDT
FOR CENTRAL KEITH COUNTY...

AT 200 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR OGALLALA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LEMOYNE BY 205 PM MDT...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED... ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM.
WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A
TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A
STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

HAIL UP TO NICKEL SIZE IN DIAMETER HAS BEEN REPORTED IN OGALLALA 
WITH THIS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THE STORM...TAKE 
IMMEDIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

LAT...LON 4101 10200 4101 10162 4137 10150 4138 10200

$$

MASEK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
426 AM CDT SAT MAY 5 2007

.UPDATE...
GRIDS AND TEXT PRODUCTS UPDATED TO REMOVE TORNADO WATCH FOR ALL
BUT CUSTER...LOUP...GARFIELD AND WHEELER COUNTIES. STORMS ARE NOW
LIFTING NORTHEAST OUT OF SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA WITH A POTENTIAL WIND
AND LARGE HAIL THREAT WHILE MOVING NORTHEAST IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF
HOURS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 358 AM CDT SAT MAY 5 2007/

DISCUSSION...
AT 08Z SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED SURFACE FRONT EXTENDING NORTHEAST
FROM SOUTHWEST INTO NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. WIDESPREAD CONVECTION
ONGOING WITH HEAVY RAINFALL CREATING FLASH FLOODING IN PORTIONS OF
EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY. THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH
72 HOURS WITH THE RAIN TO CONTINUE TODAY INTO TONIGHT WITH HEAVY
RAINFALL LINGERING WITH THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH EXTENDED THROUGH 12Z
SUNDAY FOR AREAS GENERALLY EAST OF HIGHWAY 83 INCLUDING HAYES
COUNTY.

MODEL BLEND USED WITH COOLER MAV NUMBERS IN TEMPERATURES.

PLENTY OF MOISTURE WILL BE PRESENT TODAY AND SUNDAY AS UPPER LOW
DEEPENS NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS REGION AND LIFTS NORTHEAST ON THE
HIGH PLAINS THROUGH SUNDAY. THE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN
EXTENSIVE TAP INTO MID LEVEL MOISTURE AT 0745Z FROM THE
SOUTHWEST...WHILE THE H85 SOUTHERLY JET STRENGTHENS TO 40 KNOTS
AND BRINGS GULF MOISTURE NORTH THROUGH THE DAY. TODAY THE UPPER
TROUGH ACROSS THE WEST WILL DEEPEN AS THE H3 JETSTREAM AXIS DIGS
WITH A 160 KNOT MAXIMUM DIVING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE WEST. THE
UPPER RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING NORTH THROUGH THE MIDWEST WILL CREATE A
PROLONGED PERIOD FOR UNSETTLED WEATHER WITH RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES
ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. THE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
WILL PUSH RAINFALL BEYOND FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE WHERE RAINS
OVERNIGHT HAS SURPASSED GUIDANCE NUMBERS IN LINCOLN COUNTY. THE
POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING WILL ONLY BE SURPASSED BY THE CHANCE
FOR SEVERE WEATHER TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH MODERATE RISK COVERING
ALL BY THE EASTERN NEBRASKA PANHANDLE AS OF 0550Z.

THEN THE BLOCKING PATTERN LINGERS THROUGH 72 HOURS WITH LITTLE OR
TO NO CHANGES MADE BEYOND DAY 3 AS ECMWF MAINTAINS SPLIT FLOW
PATTERN WITH UPPER TROUGH TO KEEP ACTIVE WEATHER POSSIBLY WELL
INTO NEXT THURSDAY.

AVIATION...
WIDESPREAD MVFR AND IFR CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH 16Z ACROSS
EASTERN SECTIONS OF TWEB ROUTES 098...264 AND 274 AND AT KLBF AND
KVTN WITH OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORMS. CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED TO LIFT TO
MVFR THIS AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS...SOME SEVERE WITH
SURFACE WIND GUSTS OVER 50 KTS AND HAIL UP TO AN INCH IN DIAMETER ARE LIKELY
ALONG ALL OF TWEB ROUTES 264 AND 098...AND EASTERN SECTIONS OF TWEB
ROUTE 274 FROM KAKO-KLBF THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR NEZ005>010-025>029-
037-038-059-070-071.
TORNADO WATCH 231 THROUGH 8 AM CDT FOR CUSTER...LOUP...GARFIELD
AND WHEELER COUNTIES.

19/CLB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1157 AM CDT SAT MAY 5 2007

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-061030-
SHERIDAN-EASTERN CHERRY-KEYA PAHA-BOYD-BROWN-ROCK-HOLT-GARDEN-
GRANT-HOOKER-THOMAS-BLAINE-LOUP-GARFIELD-WHEELER-ARTHUR-MCPHERSON-
LOGAN-CUSTER-DEUEL-KEITH-PERKINS-LINCOLN-CHASE-HAYES-FRONTIER-
WESTERN CHERRY-
1157 AM CDT SAT MAY 5 2007 /357 AM MDT SAT MAY 5 2007/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

...HIGH RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER AND TORNODOES THIS AFTERNOON...
...FLOODING RAINS ALSO A SIGNIFICANT HAZZARD TODAY AND TONIGHT...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN NEARLY ONGOING OVERNIGHT AND INTO
THIS MORNING.  THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FOR TODAY IS
CURRENTLY AT A LULL HOWEVER TORNADO WATCHES ARE ALREADY OUT FOR THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THE SUN IS NOW BREAKING OUT ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN NEBRASKA AND WILL
SPREAD TO MUCH OF THE AREA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.  THIS BREAK IS
NOT...A BREAK IN THE WEATHER...BUT THE RELOADING OF ENERGY FOR A
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THERE IS A HIGH RISK FOR TORNADOES ACROSS THE AREA MAINLY EAST OF
HIGHWAY 83.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS SITUATION...STAY TUNED TO THE WEATHER TODAY FOR
LATER UPDATES AND WARNINGS.

IN ADDITION...TO THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT...WIDESPREAD HEAVY
RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS FOR SUNDAY EAST OF A
LINE FROM BASSETT TO MASON CITY. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW...WILL MOVE
EAST OF THE ROCKIES ON SUNDAY. AS THIS FEATURE APPROACHES THE
WESTERN DAKOTAS AND WESTERN NEBRASKA...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. AT THIS TIME...LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE MAIN SEVERE THREATS. HEAVY RAIN AND
FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AS WELL.

BEYOND SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST EVERY DAY THROUGH
THURSDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN ANCHORED OVER
THE CENTRAL ROCKIES. UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
HIGH PLAINS EVERY 24 TO 36 HOURS. AT THIS TIME NO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER GROUPS ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...SHOULD
BE PREPARED FOR ACTIVATION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATOLOGICAL INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NORTHPLATTE

CLB/HIRSCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
156 PM CDT SAT MAY 05 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0153 PM     TORNADO          5 E DUNNING             41.83N 100.01W
05/05/2007                   BLAINE             NE   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TRNADO ALONG HIWAY 2 NEAR RAIL ROAD RADIO
            TOWER...POSSIBLE AUTO ACCIDENT CAUSED BY
            TORNADO...INJURIES/FATALITIES UNKNOWN

&&

MBYRD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
157 PM CDT SAT MAY 05 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1223 PM     TORNADO          21 S ARNOLD             41.12N 100.19W
05/05/2007                   CUSTER             NE   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            CORRECTION...SPOTTERS HAD TRACKED TORNADO THAT TOUCHED
            DOWN AT 1223 PM CDT THAT LIFTED BY 1255 PM CDT. POWER
            LINES DOWN 5 MILES NORTH OF COUNTY LINE ON HWY 47.
            TRACKED TOWARDS ARNOLD BEFORE LIFTING.

&&

HENDERSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
158 PM CDT SAT MAY 05 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0155 PM     HAIL             2 W DUNNING             41.83N 100.14W
05/05/2007  E1.00 INCH       BLAINE             NE   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL COVERING HIWAY 2

&&

MBYRD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
231 PM CDT SAT MAY 05 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0115 PM     HAIL             1 E ARNOLD              41.42N 100.17W
05/05/2007  E1.00 INCH       CUSTER             NE   PUBLIC

&&

JSWEET

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
241 PM CDT SAT MAY 05 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     HAIL             5 S OCONTO              41.07N 99.76W
05/05/2007  E1.25 INCH       CUSTER             NE   PUBLIC

            WINDSS 40-50 MPH.

&&

HENDERSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
250 PM CDT SAT MAY 05 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0242 PM     HAIL             5 WSW DUNNING           41.80N 100.19W
05/05/2007  E0.88 INCH       BLAINE             NE   PUBLIC

&&

HENDERSON