Severe Thunderstorm Warning 106, NWS North Platte, NE

000 
WWUS53 KLBF 051513
SVSLBF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1013 AM CDT SAT MAY 5 2007

NEC069-075-051545-
/O.CON.KLBF.SV.W.0106.000000T0000Z-070505T1545Z/
GARDEN NE-GRANT NE-
913 AM MDT SAT MAY 5 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 AM MDT
FOR WESTERN GRANT AND NORTHERN GARDEN COUNTIES...

AT 909 AM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER
SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS
WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM BRITTON LAKE TO SWEDE
LAKE...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 30 MILES NORTH OF OSHKOSH TO 24
MILES NORTHWEST OF ARTHUR...MOVING NORTH AT 40 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  KINCAID LAKE BY 920 AM MDT...
  DOMINICK LAKE BY 925 AM MDT...

HAIL UP TO QUARTER SIZE HAS BEEN REPORTED IN SOUTHWEST GRANT COUNTY 
WITH THIS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THE STORM...TAKE 
IMMEDIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

LAT...LON 4169 10254 4150 10200 4173 10199 4204 10178
      4199 10203 4199 10241

$$

MASEK

000 
WWUS53 KLBF 051538
SVSLBF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1038 AM CDT SAT MAY 5 2007

NEC069-075-051548-
/O.EXP.KLBF.SV.W.0106.000000T0000Z-070505T1545Z/
GARDEN NE-GRANT NE-
938 AM MDT SAT MAY 5 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WESTERN GRANT AND NORTHERN
GARDEN COUNTIES EXPIRES AT 945 AM MDT...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS MOVING INTO SHERIDAN COUNTY.

LAT...LON 4169 10254 4150 10200 4173 10199 4204 10178
      4199 10203 4199 10241

$$

MASEK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
426 AM CDT SAT MAY 5 2007

.UPDATE...
GRIDS AND TEXT PRODUCTS UPDATED TO REMOVE TORNADO WATCH FOR ALL
BUT CUSTER...LOUP...GARFIELD AND WHEELER COUNTIES. STORMS ARE NOW
LIFTING NORTHEAST OUT OF SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA WITH A POTENTIAL WIND
AND LARGE HAIL THREAT WHILE MOVING NORTHEAST IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF
HOURS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 358 AM CDT SAT MAY 5 2007/

DISCUSSION...
AT 08Z SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED SURFACE FRONT EXTENDING NORTHEAST
FROM SOUTHWEST INTO NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. WIDESPREAD CONVECTION
ONGOING WITH HEAVY RAINFALL CREATING FLASH FLOODING IN PORTIONS OF
EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY. THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH
72 HOURS WITH THE RAIN TO CONTINUE TODAY INTO TONIGHT WITH HEAVY
RAINFALL LINGERING WITH THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH EXTENDED THROUGH 12Z
SUNDAY FOR AREAS GENERALLY EAST OF HIGHWAY 83 INCLUDING HAYES
COUNTY.

MODEL BLEND USED WITH COOLER MAV NUMBERS IN TEMPERATURES.

PLENTY OF MOISTURE WILL BE PRESENT TODAY AND SUNDAY AS UPPER LOW
DEEPENS NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS REGION AND LIFTS NORTHEAST ON THE
HIGH PLAINS THROUGH SUNDAY. THE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN
EXTENSIVE TAP INTO MID LEVEL MOISTURE AT 0745Z FROM THE
SOUTHWEST...WHILE THE H85 SOUTHERLY JET STRENGTHENS TO 40 KNOTS
AND BRINGS GULF MOISTURE NORTH THROUGH THE DAY. TODAY THE UPPER
TROUGH ACROSS THE WEST WILL DEEPEN AS THE H3 JETSTREAM AXIS DIGS
WITH A 160 KNOT MAXIMUM DIVING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE WEST. THE
UPPER RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING NORTH THROUGH THE MIDWEST WILL CREATE A
PROLONGED PERIOD FOR UNSETTLED WEATHER WITH RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES
ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. THE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
WILL PUSH RAINFALL BEYOND FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE WHERE RAINS
OVERNIGHT HAS SURPASSED GUIDANCE NUMBERS IN LINCOLN COUNTY. THE
POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING WILL ONLY BE SURPASSED BY THE CHANCE
FOR SEVERE WEATHER TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH MODERATE RISK COVERING
ALL BY THE EASTERN NEBRASKA PANHANDLE AS OF 0550Z.

THEN THE BLOCKING PATTERN LINGERS THROUGH 72 HOURS WITH LITTLE OR
TO NO CHANGES MADE BEYOND DAY 3 AS ECMWF MAINTAINS SPLIT FLOW
PATTERN WITH UPPER TROUGH TO KEEP ACTIVE WEATHER POSSIBLY WELL
INTO NEXT THURSDAY.

AVIATION...
WIDESPREAD MVFR AND IFR CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH 16Z ACROSS
EASTERN SECTIONS OF TWEB ROUTES 098...264 AND 274 AND AT KLBF AND
KVTN WITH OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORMS. CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED TO LIFT TO
MVFR THIS AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS...SOME SEVERE WITH
SURFACE WIND GUSTS OVER 50 KTS AND HAIL UP TO AN INCH IN DIAMETER ARE LIKELY
ALONG ALL OF TWEB ROUTES 264 AND 098...AND EASTERN SECTIONS OF TWEB
ROUTE 274 FROM KAKO-KLBF THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR NEZ005>010-025>029-
037-038-059-070-071.
TORNADO WATCH 231 THROUGH 8 AM CDT FOR CUSTER...LOUP...GARFIELD
AND WHEELER COUNTIES.

19/CLB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
457 AM CDT SAT MAY 5 2007

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-061030-
SHERIDAN-EASTERN CHERRY-KEYA PAHA-BOYD-BROWN-ROCK-HOLT-GARDEN-
GRANT-HOOKER-THOMAS-BLAINE-LOUP-GARFIELD-WHEELER-ARTHUR-MCPHERSON-
LOGAN-CUSTER-DEUEL-KEITH-PERKINS-LINCOLN-CHASE-HAYES-FRONTIER-
WESTERN CHERRY-
457 AM CDT SAT MAY 5 2007 /357 AM MDT SAT MAY 5 2007/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

ANOTHER ROUND OF WIDESPREAD SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ACROSS ALL OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA. ONGOING THUNDERSTORMS WILL COME TO AND END THIS MORNING.
BY AFTERNOON...ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH THE
HIGH PLAINS OF EASTERN COLORADO. AS THIS FEATURE ENCOUNTERS RICH
BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE AND SURFACE HEATING...EXPLOSIVE
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL RESULT WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES EXPECTED. TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA...BUT THE GREATEST RISK IS SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 80. IN ADDITION TO TORNADOES...VERY LARGE HAIL IS
POSSIBLE AS WELL.

IN ADDITION TO SEVERE WEATHER...THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING
IS GOOD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MOST OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA HAS EXPERIENCED HEAVY RAIN OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS.
WITH SATURATED GROUND AND HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED TONIGHT...FLASH
FLOODING IS A CONCERN. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM
SUNDAY FOR LOCATIONS EAST OF A LINE FROM VALENTINE TO HAYES
CENTER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS FOR SUNDAY EAST OF A
LINE FROM BASSETT TO MASON CITY. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW...WILL MOVE
EAST OF THE ROCKIES ON SUNDAY. AS THIS FEATURE APPROACHES THE
WESTERN DAKOTAS AND WESTERN NEBRASKA...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. AT THIS TIME...LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE MAIN SEVERE THREATS. HEAVY RAIN AND
FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AS WELL.

BEYOND SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST EVERY DAY THROUGH
THURSDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN ANCHORED OVER
THE CENTRAL ROCKIES. UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
HIGH PLAINS EVERY 24 TO 36 HOURS. AT THIS TIME NO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER GROUPS ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...SHOULD
BE PREPARED FOR ACTIVATION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATOLOGICAL INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NORTHPLATTE

CLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
909 AM CDT SAT MAY 05 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0908 AM     HAIL             8 SSE CHAMBERS          42.10N 98.69W
05/05/2007  E1.00 INCH       HOLT               NE   PUBLIC

&&

CBUTTLER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
911 AM CDT SAT MAY 05 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0200 AM     FLASH FLOOD      ARNOLD                  41.42N 100.19W
05/05/2007                   CUSTER             NE   CO-OP OBSERVER

            WATER RUNNING OVER STREETS IN TOWN. 2.12 INCHES OF RAIN
            FELL.

&&

HENDERSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
920 AM CDT SAT MAY 05 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0200 AM     HAIL             12 NNE DUNNING          41.99N 100.01W
05/05/2007  E0.88 INCH       BLAINE             NE   PUBLIC

&&

MBYRD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
932 AM CDT SAT MAY 05 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0117 AM     HAIL             8 SSE CHAMBERS          42.10N 98.69W
05/05/2007  E1.00 INCH       HOLT               NE   PUBLIC

            PREVIOUS REPORT AT 908 AM WAS INCORRECT TIME.

&&

HENDERSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
934 AM CDT SAT MAY 05 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0345 AM     HAIL             W CALLAWAY              41.29N 99.92W
05/05/2007  E1.75 INCH       CUSTER             NE   PUBLIC

&&

MBYRD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
947 AM CDT SAT MAY 05 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0200 AM     HAIL             12 NNE DUNNING          41.99N 100.01W
05/05/2007  E0.88 INCH       BLAINE             NE   PUBLIC

&&

MBYRD