Severe Thunderstorm Warning 85, NWS Jacksonville, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
842 AM EDT TUE JUN 12 2007

...ANOTHER ROUND OF SEVERE WEATHER FOR TODAY...

.UPDATE...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 384 IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE FORECAST
AREA THROUGH 40 PM EDT. LARGE MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM OVER
SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA MOVING SOUTH. MAIN CELL IS NEAR VALDOSTA AND
LOOKS LIKE IT IS GRADUALLY WEAKENING AS IT MOVES SOUTHEAST. DEW
POINTS ARE IN THE MID 70S ACROSS THE AREA AND THE AIR MASS IS NICE
AND MOIST. ADD A BIT OF DAYTIME HEATING AND LAPSE RATES WILL BE
SET TO GO THIS AFTERNOON. SO FOR THE SHORT TERM THE AIR MASS OVER
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA HAS BEEN WORKED OVER BUT THREAT SHOULD END LATER
THIS MORNING AND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WITH MAX DIURNAL HEATING.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  88  65  86  63 /  70  40  40  20
SSI  84  71  81  70 /  80  40  60  30
JAX  85  67  82  64 /  80  50  50  20
SGJ  84  69  78  67 /  90  50  60  30
GNV  88  67  83  65 /  70  40  40  20
OCF  87  68  86  64 /  60  40  40  20

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

SANDRIK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
830 AM EDT TUE JUN 12 2007

FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-121700-
ALACHUA-APPLING-ATKINSON-BACON-BAKER-BRADFORD-BRANTLEY-
CAMDEN (COASTAL)-CAMDEN (INLAND)-CHARLTON-CLAY-CLINCH-COFFEE-
COLUMBIA-DUVAL-ECHOLS-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-GLYNN (COASTAL)-
GLYNN (INLAND)-HAMILTON-JEFF DAVIS-MARION-NASSAU-PIERCE-PUTNAM-
ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION-WARE-WAYNE-
830 AM EDT TUE JUN 12 2007

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.HEADLINES...

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTH FLORIDA
AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA UNTIL 400 PM EDT...

A LARGE CONVECTIVE CLUSTER CONTINUES TO EXPAND IN AREAL COVERAGE
AHEAD OF UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH DIGGING SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS GEORGIA
THIS MORNING. AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER WARMS AND INSTABILITY
INCREASES...THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD INCREASE IN INTENSITY AS THEY
SPREAD AND DEVELOP SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN
FLORIDA PENINSULA.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...
AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD RETURN TO THE
REGION THROUGH LATE WEEK. OTHERWISE...NO SEVERE WEATHER IS
ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAX.

SANDRIK

SANDRIK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1032 AM EDT TUE JUN 12 2007

FLZ031-121500-
BRADFORD-
1032 AM EDT TUE JUN 12 2007

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR BRADFORD COUNTY
FOR STRONG WINDS...SMALL HAIL AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING VALID UNTIL
1100 AM EDT...

AT 1032 AM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 6 MILES WEST OF LAWTEY...OR 4 MILES EAST
OF RAIFORD...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM
WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND LAWTEY AND STARKE THROUGH 1100 AM EDT.
HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH
POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER
ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS.

THE AREA REMAINS UNDER A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

ZAPPE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1108 AM EDT TUE JUN 12 2007

FLZ037-121600-
PUTNAM-
1108 AM EDT TUE JUN 12 2007

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR EASTERN PUTNAM
COUNTY FOR STRONG WINDS...SMALL HAIL AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING VALID
UNTIL NOON EDT...

AT 1108 AM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED OVER BOSTWICK...OR 8 MILES NORTH OF
PALATKA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL
ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND PALATKA...ORANGE MILLS...BOSTWICK...EAST
PALATKA...SATSUMA...SAN MATEO...POMONA PARK...LAKE COMO AND CRESCENT
CITY THROUGH NOON EDT. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...
EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH
CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING
AREAS.

THE AREA REMAINS UNDER A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

ZAPPE

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