Severe Thunderstorm Warning 80, NWS Jacksonville, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
842 AM EDT TUE JUN 12 2007

...ANOTHER ROUND OF SEVERE WEATHER FOR TODAY...

.UPDATE...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 384 IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE FORECAST
AREA THROUGH 40 PM EDT. LARGE MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM OVER
SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA MOVING SOUTH. MAIN CELL IS NEAR VALDOSTA AND
LOOKS LIKE IT IS GRADUALLY WEAKENING AS IT MOVES SOUTHEAST. DEW
POINTS ARE IN THE MID 70S ACROSS THE AREA AND THE AIR MASS IS NICE
AND MOIST. ADD A BIT OF DAYTIME HEATING AND LAPSE RATES WILL BE
SET TO GO THIS AFTERNOON. SO FOR THE SHORT TERM THE AIR MASS OVER
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA HAS BEEN WORKED OVER BUT THREAT SHOULD END LATER
THIS MORNING AND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WITH MAX DIURNAL HEATING.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  88  65  86  63 /  70  40  40  20
SSI  84  71  81  70 /  80  40  60  30
JAX  85  67  82  64 /  80  50  50  20
SGJ  84  69  78  67 /  90  50  60  30
GNV  88  67  83  65 /  70  40  40  20
OCF  87  68  86  64 /  60  40  40  20

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

SANDRIK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
830 AM EDT TUE JUN 12 2007

FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-121700-
ALACHUA-APPLING-ATKINSON-BACON-BAKER-BRADFORD-BRANTLEY-
CAMDEN (COASTAL)-CAMDEN (INLAND)-CHARLTON-CLAY-CLINCH-COFFEE-
COLUMBIA-DUVAL-ECHOLS-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-GLYNN (COASTAL)-
GLYNN (INLAND)-HAMILTON-JEFF DAVIS-MARION-NASSAU-PIERCE-PUTNAM-
ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION-WARE-WAYNE-
830 AM EDT TUE JUN 12 2007

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.HEADLINES...

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTH FLORIDA
AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA UNTIL 400 PM EDT...

A LARGE CONVECTIVE CLUSTER CONTINUES TO EXPAND IN AREAL COVERAGE
AHEAD OF UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH DIGGING SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS GEORGIA
THIS MORNING. AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER WARMS AND INSTABILITY
INCREASES...THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD INCREASE IN INTENSITY AS THEY
SPREAD AND DEVELOP SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN
FLORIDA PENINSULA.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...
AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD RETURN TO THE
REGION THROUGH LATE WEEK. OTHERWISE...NO SEVERE WEATHER IS
ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAX.

SANDRIK

SANDRIK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
719 AM EDT TUE JUN 12 2007

GAZ152-165-121200-
BRANTLEY-INLAND CAMDEN-
719 AM EDT TUE JUN 12 2007

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR BRANTLEY AND
CAMDEN COUNTIES FOR STRONG WINDS...SMALL HAIL AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING
VALID UNTIL 800 AM EDT...

AT 719 AM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 2 MILES NORTHEAST OF NAHUNTA...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS
AROUND NAHUNTA...ATKINSON...WAVERLY AND TARBORO THROUGH 800 AM EDT.
HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH
POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

ZAPPE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
755 AM EDT TUE JUN 12 2007

FLZ020-GAZ162-163-121300-
CLINCH-ECHOLS-HAMILTON-
755 AM EDT TUE JUN 12 2007

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR CLINCH...ECHOLS
AND HAMILTON COUNTIES FOR A STRONG THUNDERSTORM APPROACHING THE
AREA...

AT 755 AM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM NORTHWEST OF VALDOSTA MOVING SOUTHEAST TOWARD
THE HOMERVILLE...JASPER AND STATENVILLE AREAS. IF THIS STORM
MAINTAINS ITS CURRENT INTENSITY IT SHOULD ENTER PORTIONS OF CLINCH...
ECHOLS AND HAMILTON COUNTIES BETWEEN 830 AND 930 AM EDT. EXCESSIVE
LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM AND SHOULD CONTINUE...IT WOULD
BE PRUDENT TO SECURE ELECTRICAL EQUIPMENT PRIOR TO THE STORMS
ARRIVAL. REMAIN ALERT FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
STORM.

SANDRIK

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
848 AM EDT TUE JUN 12 2007

FLZ020-022-121330-
COLUMBIA-HAMILTON-
848 AM EDT TUE JUN 12 2007

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR HAMILTON AND
NORTHERN COLUMBIA COUNTIES FOR STRONG WINDS...SMALL HAIL AND
EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING VALID UNTIL 930 AM EDT...

AT 848 AM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM APPROACHING ECHOLS AND CLINCH COUNTY LINE...
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. THIS THUNDERSTORM WILL LIKELY AFFECT
AREAS AROUND JENNINGS...WEST LAKE...JASPER AND BELMONT BETWEEN
930 AND 1030 AM EDT. HAIL...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND
STRONG GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE DAMAGE. IF THIS
THUNDERSTORM MAINTAINS SEVERE INTENSITY...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL
BE ISSUED. IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE PONDING OF
WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS.

THE AREA REMAINS UNDER A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

ZAPPE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
911 AM EDT TUE JUN 12 2007

FLZ023-GAZ150-164-121400-
BAKER-CHARLTON-WARE-
911 AM EDT TUE JUN 12 2007

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR NORTHERN
BAKER...WESTERN CHARLTON AND CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN WARE COUNTIES FOR
STRONG WINDS...SMALL HAIL AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING VALID UNTIL 1000
AM EDT...

AT 911 AM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 24 MILES NORTHWEST
OF STEVEN FOSTER STATE PARK TO 22 MILES WEST OF STEVEN FOSTER STATE
PARK TO 39 MILES SOUTHWEST OF STEVEN FOSTER STATE PARK...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT THE
OKEFENOKEE NATIONAL WILDLIFE REFUGE...INCLUDING STEVEN FOSTER STATE
PARK THROUGH 1000 AM EDT. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...
EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH
CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF
LOW-LYING AREAS.

THE AREA REMAINS UNDER A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

ZAPPE