Alert archive / Indiana / Flash Flood Warnings in 2007
Flash Flood Warning 3, NWS Northern Indiana
NWS Northern Indiana issued this flash flood warning at May 15, 2007, 4:33 PM CDT for LaPorte County, Saint Joseph County, Indiana. It took effect at May 15, 2007, 4:38 PM CDT. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- May 15, 2007, 4:33 PM CDT (21:33 UTC)
- In effect from
- May 15, 2007, 4:38 PM CDT
- Expired
- May 15, 2007, 7:30 PM CDT
- In force
- 3 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Northern Indiana
- Area
- Whole counties
Counties LaPorte County, IN, Saint Joseph County, IN
The radar
The Northern Indiana radar (KIWX), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 9.6 hours before the alert went out and 237 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 20 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -273 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1998 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 18 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -6 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 49 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WGUS53 KIWX 152138
FFWIWX
INC091-141-160030-
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
433 PM CDT TUE MAY 15 2007
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
ST. JOSEPH COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL INDIANA
LA PORTE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST INDIANA
* UNTIL 730 PM CDT(830 PM EDT)
* AT 428 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN MOVING ACROSS
NORTHWEST INDIANA. 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN ACROSS
PARTS OF THE COUNTY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
THE WARNING AREA THROUGH 830 PM EDT (730 PM CDT) WITH AN ADDITIONAL
1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN EXPECTED.
* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO LAPORTE
...ROLLING PRAIRIE...SOUTH BEND...ROSELAND...NEW CARLISLE...
MISHAWAKA AND MICHIGAN CITY
EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY
ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW
LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.
DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY.
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.
LAT...LON 4176 8607 4150 8607 4149 8647 4145 8648
4144 8665 4140 8672 4132 8675 4130 8679
4125 8694 4172 8694 4176 8685
$$1 follow-up statement
000
WGUS73 KIWX 152322
FFSIWX
FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
720 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2007
INC091-141-152330-
ST. JOSEPH IN-LA PORTE IN-
620 PM CDT TUE MAY 15 2007
...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR ST. JOSEPH COUNTY
IN NORTH CENTRAL INDIANA...AND LA PORTE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST
INDIANA...
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL DID NOT MATERIALIZE AS PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED.
THEREFORE...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.
SHOWERS...AND PERHAPS A THUNDERSTORM...WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
NORTHWEST INDIANA THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. ONLY AN ADDITIONAL
HALF INCH OR LESS OF RAIN IS EXPECTED.
IF YOU HAVE FLOODING TO REPORT...YOU CAN CALL YOUR LOCAL LAW
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY FOR RELAY TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
LAT...LON 4176 8607 4150 8607 4149 8647 4145 8648
4144 8665 4140 8672 4132 8675 4130 8679
4125 8694 4172 8694 4176 8685
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Northern Indiana wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at May 15, 3:07 PM CDT, 1 hour 26 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 15, 3:07 PM CDT, 1 hour 26 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
407 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2007
.SHORT TERM...
TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.
THE SHORT TERM FCST CONCERN THIS AFTN REVOLVES AROUND SEVERE WEATHER
POTENTIAL. FCST AREA IS UNDER A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL
02Z...OR 10 PM EDT. ONCE COLD FRONT SLIDES SOUTHEAST ACRS THE
REGION...THE WATCH WILL GRADUALLY BE LIFTED AS COOLER...MORE STABLE
AIR FILTERS INTO THE REGION. UNTIL THAT TIME...THUNDERSTORMS ARE
DEVELOPING OUT AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THIS AFTN IN A MODERATELY
UNSTABLE AIRMASS (SBCAPES 1000-2000 J/KG) WITH MODERATE 0-6 KM BULK
SHEAR. OF INTEREST IS MCV OVER W CENTRAL ILLINOIS...WHICH IS
ROTATING NE TOWARD OUR REGION. THIS FEATURE AND ITS ASSOCD QLCS
DEVELOPING ALONG AND AHEAD OF IT WILL AFFECT OUR REGION LATE THIS
AFTN AND EVENING. THUS...LIKELY TO CATEGORICAL POPS WILL BE EMPLOYED
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS FROM THUNDERSTORMS. PCPN WILL COME TO AN END FROM NW
TO SE FROM LATE EVENING INTO EARLY MORNING AS LARGE SCALE FORCING
MOVES AWAY FROM THE AREA.
ON WEDNESDAY...IT WILL BE MUCH COOLER FROM TODAY/S HIGHS AS CAA
INFILTRATES THE REGION. SKIES WILL START OUT CLOUDY. THEN...AS A
WEAK SFC RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTHEAST INTO THE
REGION...SKIES WILL BECOME PARTLY CLOUDY DURING THE AFTN. WITH 850
MB TEMPS FCST AROUND 3 C TO 4 C...AFTN HIGHS WILL PEAK INTO THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S...EXCEPT NEAR THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORELINE
WHERE NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS OFF THE LAKE WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES
IN THE LOWER 50S.
&&
.LONG TERM...
LEFT A SMALL CHANCE FOR RAIN IN FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MODELS ARE
CONTINUING TO SHOW AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE COMING DOWN FROM THE
NORTH AND MOVING THROUGH THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A LITTLE BIT OF A
QUESTION YET ON WHEN THE RAIN CHANCES SHOULD END. WITH MODEL QPF
WAVERING ON THIS FOR THURSDAY MORNING...LET THE SMALL CHANCE FOR
RAIN REMAIN IN THE SOUTHEASTERN PART OF THE CWA. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
QUICKLY REPLACE THE SHORTWAVE OVER THE CWA THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO
EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BE OVER THE CWA THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. WATCHING SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY FOR POSSIBLE RAIN
INTRODUCTION. THE GFS WAS BEING SOMEWHAT CONSISTENT IN MOVING A COLD
FRONT SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE CWA SATURDAY NIGHT AND THEN HAVING HIGH
PRESSURE MOVE IN ON SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY EVENING...DISSIPATING THE
FRONT/RAIN AS IT MOVED INTO THE CWA...BUT NOW THE LATEST RUN OF THE
GFS STALLS THE FRONT OUT IN THE CWA AND KEEPS THE QPF FURTHER
NORTH...UP INTO MICHIGAN. ALSO...WHERE THERE WAS NOTHING ON
MONDAY...NOW THE GFS SUGGESTS A BOUNDARY COULD BE HANGING AROUND FOR
SOME POSSIBLE RAIN. WITH NOT MUCH CERTAINTY AND MODELS CHANGING SOME
NOW FOR THE LATER PART OF THE WEEKEND INTO MONDAY...WILL STAY DRY
YET FOR THIS TIME PERIOD. INTRODUCED NEXT TUESDAY AS DRY...WITH
MODELS KEEPING A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH OFF TO THE WEST YET. NO MAJOR
CHANGES TO TEMPERATURES.
&&
.AVIATION...
AT 16Z...A COLD FRONT EXTENDED FROM ERN LAKE HURON...SOUTHWEST
INTO NRN MICHIGAN...SRN LAKE MICHIGAN...THEN INTO THE MID MS VLY.
THIS FRONT IS FCST TO TRAVERSE THE TAF SITES 21Z AND 02Z.
THE COLD FRONT WILL INTERACT WITH MODERATE INSTABILITY AHEAD OF
IT...WHICH WILL RESULT IN A 2 TO 4 HOUR WIND OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD AND JUST BEHIND THE FRONT. ATTM...HAVE
THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING AT KSBN AROUND 20Z AND AROUND 23Z AT KFWA.
WILL KEEP CONDITIONS IN THE MVFR CATEGORY...BUT LOCAL IFR CONDITIONS
..ESPECIALLY FROM HEAVY RAIN...CAN NOT BE RULED OUT AND WILL BE
MONITORED. ONCE THE FRONT PASSES BY...CAA AND LOW LVL MOISTURE
WILL CAUSE CIGS TO GRADUALLY LOWER BELOW THE 2000 FOOT LEVEL
OVERNIGHT. THERE WILL ALSO BE A PERIOD OF POST FRONTAL SHOWERS
BETWEEN 00Z AND 06Z. A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS FCST TO
BUILD INTO THE REGION AROUND 18Z. THIS WILL ALLOW LOW CIGS TO
EVENTUALLY SCATTERED OUT AROUND THAT TIME.
&&
.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
MI...NONE.
OH...NONE.
LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 5 PM EDT WEDNESDAY
FOR LMZ043-046.
&&
SHORT TERM/AVIATION...HICKMAN
LONG TERM...LOTHAMERHazardous weather outlook, May 15, 3:55 AM CDT, 12 hours 38 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 455 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2007 INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005- 015-016-024-025-160900- LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE- PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN- MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-BERRIEN- CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE- HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND... MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA... KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON... WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW... WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE... MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH... NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR... BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...NILES... BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS... STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...BRYAN...WAUSEON... ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA... PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA 455 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2007 /355 AM CDT TUE MAY 15 2007/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO... SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN AND NORTHERN INDIANA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG A COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH THE PRIMARY THREAT BEING DAMAGING WIND. ISOLATED LARGE HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. && STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX LMZ043-046-061-160900- NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI- MICHIGAN CITY IN TO ST JOSEPH MI OUT TO MID LAKE- 455 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN LAKE MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG A COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH THE PRIMARY THREAT BEING DAMAGING WIND. ISOLATED LARGE HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION TO THUNDERSTORMS...WINDS WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE NORTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON BEHIND A COLD FRONT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT. THE WIND WILL ALLOW WAVES TO BUILD TO 3 TO 5 FEET. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY 3 TO 5 FOOT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE WAVES WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE AS NORTHWEST WINDS DIMINISH DURING THE DAY. && STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX/PROGRAMAREAS/MARINE/INDEX.PHP
In the hours before
Local storm report, May 15, 3:35 PM CDT, 58 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
435 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2007
..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0430 PM TSTM WND GST LA PORTE 41.61N 86.71W
05/15/2007 M63 MPH LA PORTE IN TRAINED SPOTTER
TREES AND FENCES DOWN.
&&
MCSLocal storm report, May 15, 3:46 PM CDT, 47 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
446 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2007
..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0441 PM TORNADO LA PORTE 41.61N 86.71W
05/15/2007 LA PORTE IN EMERGENCY MNGR
TORNADO REPORTED ON THE GROUND BY A SPOTTER.
&&
MCSLocal storm report, May 15, 3:51 PM CDT, 42 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
451 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2007
..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0449 PM TSTM WND DMG LA PORTE 41.61N 86.71W
05/15/2007 LA PORTE IN TRAINED SPOTTER
MULTIPLE TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN IN AND AROUND LA
PORTE... WINDS ESTIMATED BETWEEN 65 TO 70 MPH
&&
MCSLocal storm report, May 15, 3:52 PM CDT, 41 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
452 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2007
..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0452 PM HAIL 3 NNW NAPPANEE 41.49N 86.01W
05/15/2007 M0.50 INCH ELKHART IN NWS EMPLOYEE
&&
MCSLocal storm report, May 15, 4:27 PM CDT, 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
527 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2007
..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0512 PM TSTM WND GST 5 S CULVER 41.15N 86.42W
05/15/2007 M59 MPH FULTON IN AMATEUR RADIO
59MPH WIND MEASURED
&&
ELBLocal storm report, May 15, 4:28 PM CDT, 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
528 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2007
..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0510 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 N MILFORD 41.42N 85.85W
05/15/2007 KOSCIUSKO IN NWS EMPLOYEE
SEVERAL LARGE TREE BRANCHES DOWN.
&&
MCSThe office that day
Everything else NWS Northern Indiana issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 12:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Elkhart, Saint Joseph | 52 min |
| May 15, 1:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Kosciusko, Noble | 49 min |
| May 15, 2:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Kosciusko | 32 min |
| May 15, 3:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Pulaski | 42 min |
| May 15, 3:08 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | IWX | 97 min | |
| May 15, 3:13 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | IWX | LaPorte | 41 min |
| May 15, 3:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Fulton, Marshall | 52 min |
| May 15, 3:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Kosciusko | 62 min |
| May 15, 3:44 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | IWX | Saint Joseph | 46 min |
| May 15, 3:51 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | IWX | Pulaski, Starke | 39 min |
| May 15, 4:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | White | 25 min |
| May 15, 4:09 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | IWX | Fulton, Marshall, Starke | 39 min |
| May 15, 4:11 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | IWX | Cass | 49 min |
| May 15, 4:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Elkhart, LaGrange, Noble | 48 min |
| May 15, 4:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Fulton | 34 min |
| May 15, 4:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Kosciusko, Miami, Wabash | 34 min |
| May 15, 4:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Huntington, Noble, Whitley | 47 min |
| May 15, 5:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | DeKalb, Steuben | 42 min |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Indiana, 2007Every flash flood warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.