Severe Thunderstorm Warning 37, NWS Wichita, KS

000 
WWUS53 KICT 061918
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
218 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2007

KSC079-113-155-173-062000-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0037.000000T0000Z-070506T2000Z/
MCPHERSON KS-HARVEY KS-RENO KS-SEDGWICK KS-
218 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN
SEDGWICK...NORTHEASTERN RENO...WESTERN HARVEY AND SOUTHEASTERN
MCPHERSON COUNTIES UNTIL 300 PM CDT...

AT 217 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING UP TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HALSTEAD...
OR 9 MILES WEST OF NEWTON...MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE...
  NEAR HESSTON BY 235 PM CDT.
  NEAR MOUNDRIDGE BY 240 PM CDT.
  NEAR CANTON BY 300 PM CDT.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3784 9788 3774 9751 3818 9735 3841 9736
      3848 9766

$$

KRC

000 
WWUS53 KICT 061932
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
232 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2007

KSC155-061942-
/O.CAN.KICT.SV.W.0037.000000T0000Z-070506T2000Z/
RENO KS-
232 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR RENO COUNTY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED...

AT 227 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE EITHER WEAKENED OR
MOVED OUT OF THE AREA...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE RISK TO LIFE
OR PROPERTY. THEREFORE...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3779 9769 3775 9752 3818 9735 3841 9736
      3848 9766

$$

KSC079-113-173-062000-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0037.000000T0000Z-070506T2000Z/
MCPHERSON KS-HARVEY KS-SEDGWICK KS-
232 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN
SEDGWICK...WESTERN HARVEY AND SOUTHEASTERN MCPHERSON COUNTIES UNTIL
300 PM CDT...

AT 227 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING UP TO QUARTER
SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED
NEAR HESSTON...OR 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF NEWTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
35 MPH.

AT 230 PM CDT...A TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN 
HESSTON.

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHERN
SEDGWICK...SOUTHEASTERN MCPHERSON AND WESTERN HARVEY COUNTIES...
INCLUDING THE TOWN OF HESSTON.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3779 9769 3775 9752 3818 9735 3841 9736
      3848 9766

$$

000 
WWUS53 KICT 061947 RRA
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
247 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2007

KSC079-113-173-061957-
/O.CAN.KICT.SV.W.0037.000000T0000Z-070506T2000Z/
MCPHERSON KS-HARVEY KS-SEDGWICK KS-
247 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN SEDGWICK...WESTERN
HARVEY AND SOUTHEASTERN MCPHERSON COUNTIES HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

AT 243 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE EITHER WEAKENED OR
MOVED OUT OF THE AREA...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE RISK TO LIFE
OR PROPERTY. THEREFORE...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3779 9769 3775 9752 3818 9735 3841 9736
      3848 9766

$$

KRC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
703 AM CDT SUN MAY 6 2007

.UPDATE...

&&

.AVIATION...

MAIN AVIATION CONCERNS WILL BE THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING AND
AGAIN OVERNIGHT.

CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT LIGHT THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT
ICT...CNU...SLN AND HUT THROUGH 15Z. THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED
TO BE SEVERE ARE NOT CURRENTLY PRODUCING VERY STRONG WIND GUSTS.
CIGS AT SITES REPORTING STORMS HAVE NOT DROPPED MUCH BELOW 3,000.
JUST LIKE THE LAST FEW DAYS...CIGS SHOULD REMAIN AT OR ABOVE THE
3,000FT RANGE DURING THE DAY. STORMS ARE AGAIN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
WEST OF THE AREA AND SHOULD START TO IMPACT RSL...SLN AND POSSIBLY
ICT BETWEEN 00Z AND 06Z. RSL...HUT AND SLN WILL HAVE THE BEST SHOT
TO EXPERIENCE SEVERE STORMS OVERNIGHT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 341 AM CDT SUN MAY 6 2007/

DISCUSSION...

MAIN FORECAST CONCERNS WILL BE CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION THIS AFTERNOON
AND POTENTIAL FOR ROUND THREE OF SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING FOR
TONIGHT.

SYNOPSIS:
HAVE A COUPLE OF DIFFERENT BOUNDARIES FLOATING AROUND NOW. ORIGINAL
DRYLINE HAS NOW BECOME VERY DIFFUSE AND IS STILL WEST OF THE
FORECAST AREA. A CONVECTIVELY INDUCED BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM SOUTH OF
SLN TO JUST NORTH OF HUT. IN THE UPPER LEVELS A DEEP TROUGH
CONTINUES TO DIG TO OUR WEST WITH THE CENTER OF THE UPPER LOW
EXTENDING FROM FROM NE CO THROUGH NW NEW MEXICO.

TODAY-TONIGHT:
TODAYS CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT WILL BE DIFFICULT COMPARED TO THE
LAST THREE DAYS. CONVECTIVE COMPLEXES HAVE NOW WORKED OVER THE
ATMOSPHERE THE LAST FEW DAYS AND NOW HAVE KICKED OUT AN OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY OVER CENTRAL KS. HOWEVER ONE THING IS FOR CERTAIN...OUR
RICH MOISTURE IS NOT GOING ANYWHERE TODAY OR TONIGHT. CURRENT
THINKING IS THAT THE ONGOING CONVECTION WILL SLOWLY TRACK EAST AS
CORFIDI VECTORS SHOW A SLOW E/SE MOVEMENT. THIS BROKEN LINE OF
STORMS SHOULD AT LEAST AFFECT LOCATIONS ALONG AND WEST OF I-135 THIS
MORNING AND MAKE MAKE IT INTO THE FLINT HILLS.

DRY LINE THIS AFTERNOON DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE WELL DEFINED AT ALL.
BUT UNLIKE YESTERDAY THERE WILL BE A WIND SHIFT/WEAK COLD FRONT
ENHANCING CONVERGENCE OVER WESTERN KANSAS. CURRENTLY THINKING THAT
STORMS WILL EITHER GO ALONG THE CONVERGENCE ZONE OVER WESTERN KANSAS
OR ON THE EDGE OF THE DEEPER MOISTURE WHICH SHOULD BE JUST WEST OF
THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON. BOTH GFS AND NAM HAVE VERY LITTLE
CIN IN PLACE THIS AFTERNOON OVER WESTERN KS/WESTERN OK. SHEAR
PROFILES EAST OF THE INITIATING STORMS CONTINUE TO LOOK VERY
IMPRESSIVE WITH 35-40KTS OF 0-3KM SHEAR WITH SIGTOR PARAMETERS
IMPRESSIVE FOR THE THIRD DAY IN A ROW.

ONCE AGAIN EXPECTING STORMS TO GET INTO OUR WESTERN AREAS AFTER 21Z
AND MORE LIKELY AROUND 00Z. WITH FLOODING ALREADY OCCURRING AND
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL LIKELY TONIGHT...RAN WITH A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH FOR CENTRAL KS THROUGH 12Z MON. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF THIS
HAS TO BE EXTENDED SINCE THE UPPER PATTERN CHANGES LITTLE THROUGH
TUE.

MON-TUE:
BY 18Z MON UPPER TROUGH WILL STILL BE TO OUR WEST AND WILL BECOME
MORE POSITIVELY TITLED. AT THE SURFACE A DIFFUSE TROUGH WILL EXTEND
FROM EASTERN NE THROUGH WESTERN OK WITH RICH GULF MOISTURE STAYING
IN PLACE ALONG AND EAST OF THIS BOUNDARY. MUCH OF THE AREA MON AND
MON NIGHT WILL BE IN THE RIGHT REAR QUAD OF A NORTH/SOUTH ORIENTED
UPPER JET. THIS SHOULD PROMOTE ADDITIONAL CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT FOR
BOTH MON AND MON NIGHT. PATTERN WILL REMAIN FAIRLY UNCHANGED FOR TUE
AND TUE NIGHT WITH THE UPPER TROUGH STILL LINGERING TO OUR WEST AND
A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH STAYING AROUND AREA. GIVEN THIS SCENARIO KEPT
PRECIP CHANCES IN FOR BOTH TUE AND TUE NIGHT.

CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT OVERNIGHT TEMPS SUN NIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT
WILL BE MUCH ABOVE NORMAL...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTH CENTRAL AND SE KS.
DAY TIME TEMPS SHOULD BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THESE SAME
PERIODS.

WED-SAT:
UPPER TROUGH WILL FINALLY START TO EJECT OUT ON WED THROUGH THU.
BOTH ECM AND GFS AGREE THAT THIS FEATURE WILL BE SITUATED JUST WEST
OF FORECAST AREA BY 00Z THU WITH AREA UNDER GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT.
THEREFORE WENT AHEAD AND BUMPED POPS UP FOR BOTH WED AND WED NIGHT.
PRECIP CHANCES GENERATED FROM THIS PESKY TROUGH SHOULD FINALLY LEAVE
THE FORECAST AREA FOR THE WEEKEND.

LAWSON

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    80  64  76  61 /  70  60  40  60
HUTCHINSON      78  63  75  59 /  80  70  40  40
NEWTON          79  64  76  61 /  70  60  40  50
ELDORADO        80  66  77  62 /  60  60  40  50
WINFIELD-KWLD   82  66  78  62 /  50  60  50  60
RUSSELL         74  59  74  57 /  50  70  30  40
GREAT BEND      75  60  75  57 /  50  70  30  40
SALINA          76  63  75  58 /  70  70  30  30
MCPHERSON       78  63  75  59 /  80  70  40  40
COFFEYVILLE     82  68  80  65 /  40  40  50  50
CHANUTE         81  68  79  64 /  40  50  50  50
IOLA            81  67  78  64 /  40  40  50  50
PARSONS-KPPF    82  68  80  64 /  40  40  50  50

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR KSZ032-033-047>052-
067-068.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
938 AM CDT SUN MAY 6 2007

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-071545-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
938 AM CDT SUN MAY 6 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON MAINLY
EAST OF THE KANSAS TURNPIKE. LARGE HAIL...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH AND TORNADOES ARE THE MAIN THREATS WITH THESE STORMS.

STORMS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WEST AND SOUTHWEST OF THE
AREA THIS AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY BECOME SUPERCELLS
WITH THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE VERY LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES. THESE
STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE AREA AS THE EVENING HOURS
APPROACH. WHILE SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND WEST OF
INTERSTATE 135...LOCATIONS ALONG AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 14 WILL HAVE
THE HIGHEST RISK FOR SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER.

FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS. PLEASE SEE LATEST FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR
ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR MONDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE MONDAY AND TUESDAY. WITH A PROLONGED PERIOD OF SHOWERS AND
STORMS ANTICIPATED...FLOODING WILL ALSO REMAIN A CONCERN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY MAINLY EAST OF THE KANSAS
TURNPIKE...AND ALSO THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT FOR LOCATIONS
GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 135.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP

SCHRECK/LAWSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
136 PM CDT SUN MAY 06 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0115 PM     FLOOD            E SMOLAN                38.74N 97.68W
05/06/2007                   SALINE             KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            6 TO 8 FT OF WATER ACROSS THE INTERSECTION AREA OF SMOLAN
            ROAD AND CENTENNIAL ROAD DUE TO DRY CREEK OVERFLOWING ITS
            BANKS.

&&

JAS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
137 PM CDT SUN MAY 06 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0115 PM     FLOOD            SMOLAN                  38.74N 97.68W
05/06/2007                   SALINE             KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EVACUATIONS ARE BEGINNING IN THE TOWN OF SMOLAN DUE TO
            FLOOD WATERS.

&&

JAS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
143 PM CDT SUN MAY 06 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0125 PM     FLASH FLOOD      NEWTON                  38.04N 97.34W
05/06/2007                   HARVEY             KS   PUBLIC

            1 INCH OF RAIN OCCURRED IN THE LAST 15 MINUTES IN THE
            NORTHEAST PORTION OF TOWN. 1.5 INCHES OF RAIN SINCE
            MIDNIGHT. CONSIDERABLE STREET FLOODING IN NEWTON.

&&

JAS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
150 PM CDT SUN MAY 06 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0150 PM     FLASH FLOOD      HARPER                  37.29N 98.03W
05/06/2007                   HARPER             KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            IN THE PROCESS OF DOING SOME EVACUATIONS IN THE CITY OF
            HARPER

&&

ELDER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
154 PM CDT SUN MAY 06 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0153 PM     HAIL             MOUNT HOPE              37.87N 97.66W
05/06/2007  E0.88 INCH       SEDGWICK           KS   PUBLIC

&&

ELDER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
155 PM CDT SUN MAY 06 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0155 PM     HAIL             ANTHONY                 37.15N 98.03W
05/06/2007  E0.88 INCH       HARPER             KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

ELDER