Alert archive / Kansas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2007

Flash Flood Warning 69, NWS Wichita, KS

June 30, 2007Butler County, Cowley County, Kansas

NWS Wichita, KS issued this flash flood warning at Jun 30, 2007, 3:32 PM CDT for Butler County, Cowley County, Kansas. It took effect at Jun 30, 2007, 3:38 PM CDT. It was in force for 8 hr. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jun 30, 2007, 3:32 PM CDT (20:32 UTC)
In effect from: Jun 30, 2007, 3:38 PM CDT
Expired: Jun 30, 2007, 11:30 PM CDT
In force: 8 hr
Issued by: NWS Wichita, KS
Area: Whole counties

Counties Butler County, KS, Cowley County, KS

The radar

The Wichita radar (KICT), 56 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jun 30, 5:20 PM CDT	HEAVY RAIN 4.28	Rose Hill, KS	4.28 INSHES OF RAIN MEASURED SINCE MIDNIGHT.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Lamont, OK (KLMN), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 114 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 270 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -1 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 469 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 7 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -14 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: -5 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS53 KICT 302038
FFWICT
KSC015-035-010430-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
332 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  BUTLER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS.
  COWLEY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

* UNTIL 1130 PM CDT.

* AT 328 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED SEVERAL   
  ROADS STILL UNDER HIGH WATER FROM FRIDAY NIGHTS HEAVY RAINFALL     
  ACROSS THE WARNED AREA.
     
* LOCATIONS WITHIN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
  ANDOVER...ARKANSAS CITY...ATLANTA...AUGUSTA...BENTON...BURDEN...
  CAMBRIDGE...CASSODAY...DEXTER...DOUGLASS...EL DORADO...ELBING...
  LATHAM...LEON...MAPLE CITY...POTWIN...ROSALIA...ROSE HILL...       
  TOWANDA...UDALL...WINFIELD...EL DORADO LAKE...ROCK.

* SEVERAL ROADS WERE STILL IMPASSABLE ACROSS BUTLER AND COWLEY       
  COUNTIES. MAJOR FLOODING PROBLEMS ARE BEING REPORTED NEAR THE
  THE CITY OF DEXTER...WITH PLUM CREEK AND GROUSE CREEK OUT OF THEIR 
  BANKS. SILVER CREEK...EAST OF WINFIELD AND ARKANSAS CITY WAS       
  ALSO OUT OF ITS BANKS CAUSING SOME FLOODING PROBLEMS. 

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

IN HILLY TERRAIN THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS
FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT ONLY TAKES A FEW INCHES OF
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES AWAY.

TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY
YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
WICHITA.

LAT...LON 3699 9714 3809 9715 3809 9652 3699 9650

$$

JAKUB

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wichita, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jun 30, 3:25 PM CDT, 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 30, 3:25 PM CDT, 7 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
325 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2007

.DISCUSSION...

TONIGHT-MON:

FLOODING AND PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION CONTINUE TO BE A BROKEN
RECORD. SERIOUS THREAT AGAIN TONIGHT BUT DEFINITE DIFFERENCES IN
SETUP. 1200 UTC UPPER AIR ANALYSIS SHOWS WELL DEFINED 850MB
EAST/WEST BOUNDARY INTO LOW OVER NORTHWEST OK. CONVERGENCE INTO
BOUNDARY AND WEAK MCV SUPPORTED MOST WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION ACROSS
EASTERN KS TODAY. UNCAPPED WARM SECTOR COMBINED WITH A LITTLE BIT
OF FILTERED SUN HAS RESULTED IN SLOWLY INCREASING RAIN
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON. GLOBAL FORECAST SYSTEM
MODEL APPEARS TO HAVE GOOD HANDLE OUT OF THE BOX AND WAS GENERALLY
USED FOR THE SHORT TERM. NORTH AMERICAN MODEL SHOWING USUAL
CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK PROBLEMS. 1000-2000 CAPES POSSIBLE IN WARM
SECTOR...BUT PRIMARY THREAT IS DEFINITELY TROPICAL/TORRENTIAL
RAIN. BELIEVE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION MAY OCCUR NEAR ICT/TOP BORDER
IN SOUTHEAST KS...AND AM NOT CONVINCED BOUNDARY WILL SAG AS FAR
SOUTH AS SOME OTHER MODELS SUGGEST. LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE MAY NOT
BE AS GOOD AS LAST NIGHT...BUT THERE IS NOTHING TO REALLY STOP THE
PRECIPITATION EITHER. WITH TROPICAL RAINFALL RATES...EVEN
SCATTERED PRECIPITATION WILL ADD UP...UNFORTUNATELY IN AREAS
ALREADY EXPERIENCING RECORD FLOODING.

AS FOR QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST...ANTICIPATE AMOUNTS
AROUND 2 INCHES LIKELY ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHEAST KS BY 12 UTC SUN
BUT WITH SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER LOCAL AMOUNTS IN CONVECTIVE CORES
AND TRAINING. INCREASED PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION ON SUN AND
INTO MON AS IT APPEARS THIS LOW WILL NOT BE MOVING OUT VERY
QUICKLY. TEMPERATURES TRIMMED BACK A BIT DUE TO CLOUDS/
PRECIPITATION.

WED-SAT:

WHILE OVERALL PATTERN REMAINS UNCHANGED FROM YESTERDAY AND MODELS
QUITE CONSISTENT ON LONG WAVE PATTERN DURING THIS PERIOD...THE
ACTUAL DETAILS OF THE FORECAST ARE PROBLEMATIC. RIPPLES IN NORTHWEST
FLOW AND COPIOUS MOISTURE IN OR JUST SOUTH OF THE AREA WILL LEAD
TO PERIODIC BOUTS OF THUNDERSTORMS. APPEARS UNLIKELY THAT
TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL WARM ENOUGH TO COMPLETELY NIX
PRECIPITATION. NOT ENTIRELY CONVINCED ON FRONTAL PASSAGE TIMING...
BUT SHOULD SEE EITHER MCS/FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE WED/EARLY THU.
ADDITIONAL WAVES EVIDENT ON FRI/SAT FROM BOTH EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR
MEDIUM RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS MODEL/GLOBAL FORECAST SYSTEM
MODEL...BUT SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES IN TIMING. AS EARLY AS 0000
UTC SAT EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS MODEL
SURGES 850MB MOISTURE UP HIGH PLAINS IN RESPONSE TO LEE TROUGHING
WITH FAVORABLE UPSLOPE HIGH PLAINS MCS REGIME. TEMPERED MAXES
ACROSS FLOODED AREAS OF SOUTHEAST KS WHERE MOIST GROUND WILL
RESULT IN SLIGHTLY MORE COOLER TEMPERATURES DUE TO EVAPORATION AND
INCREASED CUMULUS. -HOWERTON

.AVIATION...

WITH LITTLE CHANGES FROM 24HRS AGO...PERSISTENCE WILL BE THE RULE.
BASED ON LATEST TRENDS...INSTRUMENT FLIGHT RULES CONDITIONS ARE
LIKELY ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND THROUGH AT LEAST 1800 UTC SUN.
HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOST LIKELY AT KICT AND KCNU
WITH SLIGHTLY LESS CHANCES AT KSLN/KRSL/KHUT. WITH MOIST UPSLOPE FLOW
ON SUN...DO NOT ANTICIPATE QUICK CLEARING AT ANY LOCATION.

-HOWERTON

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    66  78  66  84 /  60  50  20  20
HUTCHINSON      64  79  66  84 /  50  40  20  10
NEWTON          65  76  66  84 /  60  50  20  10
ELDORADO        66  77  66  83 /  80  60  30  20
WINFIELD-KWLD   68  80  67  83 /  90  60  30  20
RUSSELL         62  81  65  86 /  20  10  10  10
GREAT BEND      63  80  66  85 /  20  20  10  10
SALINA          63  81  65  85 /  40  30  10  10
MCPHERSON       64  79  66  84 /  50  40  20  10
COFFEYVILLE     70  79  67  83 / 100  80  50  20
CHANUTE         67  79  66  83 / 100  70  40  20
IOLA            66  79  66  83 / 100  70  40  20
PARSONS-KPPF    68  79  67  82 / 100  80  40  20

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR KSZ052-053-068>072-
083-092>096-098>100.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 30, 1:52 PM CDT, 1 hour 40 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
152 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2007

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-011200-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
152 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PERSIST ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND
ESPECIALLY SOUTHEAST KANSAS TODAY AND TONIGHT. A FEW HISTORIC RIVER
LEVELS ARE ANTICIPATED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE NEOSHO...VERDIGRIS AND
FALL RIVERS. SEE THE LATEST FLOOD AND RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS FOR
ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
KANSAS. THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

MORE HEAVY RAINFALL IS ANTICIPATED FOR SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
KANSAS ON SUNDAY WHICH WILL RESULT IN MORE FLOODING. SEE THE LATEST
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION.

RIVER FLOODING WILL ALSO CONTINUE ALONG THE VERDIGRIS AND NEOSHO
RIVERS ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. SEE THE LATEST FLOOD WARNINGS FOR MORE
INFORMATION.

THE THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ON MONDAY AND MONDAY
NIGHT ACROSS SOUTHERN KANSAS. A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
AND PRODUCE WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH...PEA SIZE HAIL AND HEAVY
RAINFALL.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS ON
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. SOME OF STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG WITH MORE
HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED...BUT ANY FLOODING OR
RAINFALL REPORTS WOULD BE GREATLY APPRECIATED.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP

COX/LAWSON

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 30, 1:17 PM CDT, 2 hours 15 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
117 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0110 PM     FLASH FLOOD      COYVILLE                37.69N 95.90W
06/30/2007                   WILSON             KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            THE TOWN OF COYVILLE IS IN THE PROCESS OF BEING EVACUATED
            DUE TO EXPECTED RISES IN THE VERDIGRIS RIVER.

&&

RBL

Local storm report, Jun 30, 1:40 PM CDT, 1 hour 52 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
140 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0131 PM     HEAVY RAIN       FREDONIA                37.53N 95.82W
06/30/2007  M1.75 INCH       WILSON             KS   CO-OP OBSERVER

            RAINFALL SINCE 7 AM SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

LFW

Local storm report, Jun 30, 2:46 PM CDT, 46 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
246 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0200 PM     HEAVY RAIN       FREDONIA                37.53N 95.82W
06/30/2007  E17.69 INCH      WILSON             KS   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            48 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL ENDING AT 12 PM SATURDAY.

&&

LFW

Local storm report, Jun 30, 2:49 PM CDT, 43 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
249 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0248 PM     FLASH FLOOD      INDEPENDENCE            37.23N 95.71W
06/30/2007                   MONTGOMERY         KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER FLOWING OVER HIGHWAY 160 EAST OF INDEPENDENCE.

&&

RBL

Local storm report, Jun 30, 3:18 PM CDT, 14 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
318 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0317 PM     FLASH FLOOD      NEOSHO FALLS            38.01N 95.56W
06/30/2007                   WOODSON            KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            VOLENTARY EVACUATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO START SOON IN
            NEOSHO FALLS. IN ADDITION HIGHWAY 54 IS CLOSED EAST OF
            YATES CENTER.

&&

RBL

Local storm report, Jun 30, 3:32 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
332 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0330 PM     FLASH FLOOD      IOLA                    37.93N 95.40W
06/30/2007                   ALLEN              KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HIGHWAY 169 IS CLOSED IN AND OUT OF IOLA DUE TO HIGH
            WATER. HIGHWAY 58 IS CLOSED FROM COLONY TO HIGHWAY 75 DUE
            TO HIGH WATER.

&&

RBL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Wichita, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 29, 7:39 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning Emergency	ICT	Wilson	14 hr
Jun 29, 8:45 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	ICT	Chautauqua, Montgomery	12 hr
Jun 29, 8:58 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	ICT	Elk	11 hr
Jun 29, 10:01 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	ICT	Labette, Neosho	12 hr
Jun 29, 10:16 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	ICT	Butler, Cowley, Sumner	12 hr
Jun 30, 5:45 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	ICT	Greenwood	9 hr
Jun 30, 7:05 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	ICT	Wilson	14 hr
Jun 30, 7:07 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	ICT	Chase	12 hr
Jun 30, 7:30 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	ICT	Chautauqua, Montgomery	13 hr
Jun 30, 7:45 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	ICT	Allen	12 hr
Jun 30, 8:15 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	ICT	Woodson	12 hr
Jun 30, 8:54 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	ICT	Elk	12 hr
Jun 30, 8:55 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	ICT	Chautauqua, Montgomery	12 hr
Jun 30, 9:46 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	ICT	Labette, Neosho	12 hr
Jun 30, 10:29 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	ICT	Butler, Cowley, Sumner	12 hr
Jun 30, 3:12 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	ICT	Allen, Woodson	8 hr
Jun 30, 3:12 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	ICT	Allen, Greenwood, Woodson	8 hr
Jun 30, 3:36 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	ICT	Elk, Neosho, Wilson	8 hr
Jun 30, 3:49 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	ICT	Chautauqua, Labette, Montgomery	8 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Kansas, 2007 Every flash flood warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.