Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 74, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

June 8, 2007Mitchell County, Yancey County, North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 8, 2007, 3:17 PM EDT for Mitchell County, Yancey County, North Carolina. It was in force for 43 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jun 8, 2007, 3:17 PM EDT (19:17 UTC)
Expired
Jun 8, 2007, 4:00 PM EDT
In force
43 min
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Mitchell County, NC, Yancey County, NC

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 113 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jun 8, 3:35 PM EDTHAIL 0.755 Sw Spruce Pine, NCPUBLIC REPORTED 3/4 INCH HAIL ALONG CRABTREE CREEK RD. WHICH RUNS ALONG COUNTY LINE OF YANCEY AND MITCHELL COUNTIES.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 7.3 hours before the alert went out and 205 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2007-06-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1047 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2007-06-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 8 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1047 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-120 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1144 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
7 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
8 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
70 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS52 KGSP 081917
SVRGSP
NCC121-199-082000-
/O.NEW.KGSP.SV.W.0074.070608T1917Z-070608T2000Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
317 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  EASTERN YANCEY COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
  SOUTHEASTERN MITCHELL COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA

* UNTIL 400 PM EDT

* AT 317 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND
  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES
  WEST OF SPRUCE PINE...OR ABOUT 3 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MICAVILLE...AND
  WAS MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  SPRUCE PINE BY 335 PM EDT...

PEOPLE IN THE PATH OF THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM SHOULD BE ALERT FOR
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN CAN OCCUR WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AWAY FROM
WINDOWS AND DOORS UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

TO REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...OR FLOODING...THROUGH OUR
AUTOMATED REPORTING SYSTEM...CALL OUR TOLL FREE NUMBER...
1 8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

LAT...LON 3593 8226 3582 8225 3584 8203 3599 8205

$$

BSH
1 follow-up statement
000 
WWUS52 KGSP 081958
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
358 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2007

NCC121-199-082008-
/O.EXP.KGSP.SV.W.0074.000000T0000Z-070608T2000Z/
YANCEY NC-MITCHELL NC-
358 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN MITCHELL AND EAST
CENTRAL YANCEY COUNTIES EXPIRES AT 400 PM EDT...

LAT...LON 3593 8226 3582 8225 3584 8203 3599 8205

$$

BSH

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 8, 2:18 PM EDT, 59 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 8, 2:18 PM EDT, 59 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
218 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST WILL WEAKEN TODAY AS A COLD
FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST LATE IN THE DAY. THE FRONT SHOULD
MOVE INTO THE AREA LATE FRIDAY NIGHT OR SATURDAY MORNING...AND
SHOULD EVENTUALLY WASH OUT TO OUR SOUTH BY SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
TO OUR NORTH BUILDS BACK IN FOR THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
DEEPER MOISTURE WILL ADVECT INTO THE MTNS THIS AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE
OF A RATHER VIGOROUS...BUT WEAKENING FRONTAL SYSTEM. THIS MAY BE THE
ONLY ARGUMENT IN FAVOR OF BETTER COVERAGE OF CONVECTION THIS
AFTERNOON THAN WAS OBSERVED YESTERDAY. THE MID/UPPER LEVELS REMAIN
RATHER NON-CONDUCIVE TO CONVECTION...WITH HIGH PRESSURE PERSISTING
ALOFT AND AN ASSOCIATED RIDGE IN THE H5 TEMP FIELD ANALYZED THROUGH
THE APPALACHIANS. WITH RATHER DEEP (ALBEIT WEAK) WESTERLY FLOW...
WOULD EXPECT A LEE TROUGH TO BECOME ESTABLISHED ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE
THIS AFTERNOON AND SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR INITIATION OF ISOLATED TO
WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTION. HOWEVER...THE BEST CONVERGENCE WILL BE
TO OUR WEST...ALONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ASSOCIATED WITH MISS VALLEY
MCS...AND TO OUR EAST AS PIEDMONT TROUGH BECOMES ESTABLISHED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH LOW LEVEL THERMAL RIDGE.

REGARDING THE MCS...IT APPEARS THAT THIS WILL NOT BE A FACTOR FOR
THE WESTERN CAROLINAS UNTIL AT LEAST EARLY EVENING. CONSIDERING THE
ABSENCE OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR...THIS MCS WILL BE DRIVEN LARGELY BY
BUOYANCY. THEREFORE...IT IS EXPECTED TO BECOME LESS ORGANIZED AS IT
MOVES ACROSS THE TENN VALLEY...AND IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH AS THE
ATM BEGINS TO STABILIZE AROUND SUNSET. WE WILL BASICALLY MAINTAIN
POPS AS IS FOR THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...BUT BASED ON WHAT WE/RE
SEEING IN THE DATA...WE/RE BECOMING DISCOURAGED REGARDING PRECIP
CHANCES FOR THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING OUTSIDE THE MTNS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
ON SATURDAY...INCREASINGLY ILL-DEFINED SURFACE BOUNDARY WILL
PROBABLY LAY EAST-WEST ACROSS THE CAROLINAS DURING THE DAY. THIS
WILL KEEP IT NEAR ENOUGH TO PROBABLY PROVIDE SOME SORT OF LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE OR WEAK FORCING. MEANWHILE...A WEAK SHORT WAVE
IS FORECAST TO FALL DOWN FROM THE NW LATE IN THE DAY AS THE UPPER
FLOW BECOMES INCREASINGLY NORTHWESTERLY WITH THE UPPER RIDGE
BUILDING TO THE WEST. IT IS REASONABLE TO EXPECT MODERATE
INSTABILITY BY THE AFTERNOON AS SHOWN BY THE MODELS. WITH THAT IN
MIND...HAVE BUMPED UP CONVECTIVE CHANCES BACK INTO THE LOWER PART OF
THE CHANCE RANGE...FAVORING THE SRN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA WHICH
FIGURES TO BE A LITTLE CLOSER TO THE DYING BOUNDARY. ANY CONVECTION
SHOULD DECAY QUICKLY AROUND SUNSET.

ON SUNDAY...THE UPPER RIDGE SHOULD BUILD EASTWARD. A LACK OF UPPER
FORCING COMBINED WITH A SUBSIDENCE INVERSION AND A LIGHT EASTERLY
FLOW COURTESY OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE ERN GREAT LAKES SHOULD PUT A
CRIMP IN ANY PRECIP CHANCES...SO THE FORECAST WILL BE KEPT DRY FOR
THE MOST PART. THIS SHOULD ALSO KNOCK A CATEGORY OR SO OFF THE MAX
TEMPS COMPARED TO SATURDAY...BUT HAVE RAISED THEM A DEGREE OR TWO
BASED ON THE NEW GUIDANCE.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AN OMEGA BLOCK IS FCST TO DEVELOP EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH AN UPPER
LOW OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AND ANOTHER OVER THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES. THE STALLED OUT OLD FRONTAL BNDRY WILL LINGER NEAR THE
GULF COAST WITH EASTERLY FLOW TO ITS NORTH ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
THE MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE HAS COME IN A BIT WARMER FOR MONDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY...DESPITE LOW LVL ELY FLOW AND A LARGE SFC HIGH
THAT WILL ORIGINATE FROM CANADA PARKED OVER THE NORTHEAST STATES.
APPARENTLY LOW LVL THICKNESSES WILL SUPPORT MAX TEMPS 2-4 DEG F
ABOVE AVG.

THE BNDRY BEGINS TO ADVANCE N TUESDAY...AND WILL LIKELY AFFECT THE
CWFA WEDNESDAY. BOTH THE LATEST MEXMOS AND HPC GUIDANCE HAS
INCREASING POPS WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...AS THE BNDRY STALLS OUT
OVER THE AREA. HAVE TRENDED THE POP GRIDS UP TOWARD THESE
VALUES...BUT STILL 20-30 PCT FOR NOW.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE MAIN NEAR TERM AVIATION CONCERN IS WITH THE CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL
THIS AFTERNOON. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION IS
ALREADY FIRING THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE MTNS AND IN THE LEE
TROUGH...AS ATM HAS BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE. WE HAVE INCLUDED
VCTS IN THE KAVL AND KHKY TAFS...AND WILL HAVE TO STRONGLY CONSIDER
ADDING A TEMPO TO KAVL IN SHORT ORDER. OTHERWISE...WE HAVE LIMITED
THE CONVECTIVE MENTION TO A CB CLOUD GROUP AT THE UPSTATE TERMINALS.
CONVECTION SHOULD DIMINISH WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING. OTHERWISE...
THE SLIGHTLY MORE MOIST AIRMASS MAY LEAD TO SOME MVFR FOG TOMORROW
MORNING...ESP AT KAVL.

AVIATION OUTLOOK...ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTION IS
EXPECTED ON SATURDAY...BUT COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO BE SIGNIFICANTLY
LESS THAN THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
INTO THE REGION FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH NO SIG AVIATION WEATHER
IMPACTS EXPECTED.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...PM
NEAR TERM...JDL
SHORT TERM...PM
LONG TERM...ARK
AVIATION...JDL
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 8, 4:14 AM EDT, 11 hours 3 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
414 AM EDT FRI JUN 8 2007

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-090815-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER-
IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-
ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
414 AM EDT FRI JUN 8 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THERE IS THE
POSSIBILITY THAT A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS COULD PRODUCE
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL...MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTH
CAROLINA MOUNTAINS. OVER THE PIEDMONT...THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MORE
ISOLATED...BUT THERE REMAINS THE POSSIBILITY THAT ONE OR TWO COULD
BECOME SEVERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

MOORE

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 8, 2:01 PM EDT, 1 hour 16 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
201 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2007

NCZ053-081900-
BUNCOMBE-
201 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2007

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT BUNCOMBE COUNTY THROUGH 300 PM
EDT...

AT 156 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM WEAVERVILLE TO 5
MILES NORTH OF CANTON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  WEAVERVILLE BY 215 PM EDT.
  WOODFIN BY 230 PM EDT.
  UNC ASHEVILLE BY 245 PM EDT.
  DOWNTOWN ASHEVILLE BY 250 PM EDT.
  ASHEVILLE MALL BY 255 PM EDT.
  BILTMORE FOREST BY 300 PM EDT.

SMALL HAIL...AND WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

KRENTZ
Special weather statement, Jun 8, 3:03 PM EDT, 14 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
303 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2007

GAZ017-082000-
HABERSHAM-
303 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2007

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT HABERSHAM COUNTY THROUGH 400 PM
EDT...

AT 259 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES SOUTH OF BATESVILLE...OR 8 MILES
NORTHWEST OF CLARKESVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  CLARKESVILLE BY 320 PM EDT.
  TURNERVILLE BY 335 PM EDT.

SMALL HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 8, 2:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPHenderson, Polk60 min
Jun 8, 3:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPMcDowell50 min
Jun 8, 3:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPBuncombe, Rutherford44 min
Jun 8, 4:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPMcDowell17 min
Jun 8, 4:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPBurke42 min
Jun 8, 4:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPDavie, Iredell45 min
Jun 8, 5:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCatawba57 min
Jun 8, 6:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPLincoln48 min
Jun 8, 6:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPIredell33 min
Jun 8, 6:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPMecklenburg62 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Carolina, 2007Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.