Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 49, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

May 3, 2007Henderson County, North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 3, 2007, 2:43 PM EDT for Henderson County, North Carolina. It was in force for 62 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
May 3, 2007, 2:43 PM EDT (18:43 UTC)
Expired
May 3, 2007, 3:45 PM EDT
In force
62 min
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Henderson County, NC

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 56 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
May 3, 2:44 PM EDTHAIL 0.752 Nw Hendersonville, NCPEA TO DIME SIZED HAIL COVERED THE GROUND AND SHREDDED PLANTS ON LONG JOHN MOUNTAIN.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 6.7 hours before the alert went out and 248 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2007-05-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 108 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2007-05-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 43 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
108 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-144 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
711 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
43 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
144 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS52 KGSP 031843
SVRGSP
NCC089-031945-
/O.NEW.KGSP.SV.W.0049.070503T1843Z-070503T1945Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
243 PM EDT THU MAY 3 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  HENDERSON COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA

* UNTIL 345 PM EDT

* AT 240 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND
  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
  MOUNTAIN HOME...OR ABOUT 3 MILES WEST OF HENDERSONVILLE...AND WAS
  MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  HENDERSONVILLE BY 250 PM EDT...
  FLAT ROCK BY 255 PM EDT...

PEOPLE IN THE PATH OF THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM SHOULD BE ALERT FOR
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN CAN OCCUR WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AWAY FROM
WINDOWS AND DOORS UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS LIGHTNING
IS OCCURRING WITH THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. STAY INDOORS AWAY FROM
WINDOWS. AVOID USING APPLIANCES THAT REQUIRE AN ELECTRICAL CORD.
UNPLUG EXPENSIVE ELECTRONIC EQUIPMENT.

TO REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...OR FLOODING...THROUGH OUR
AUTOMATED REPORTING SYSTEM...CALL OUR TOLL FREE NUMBER...
1 8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

LAT...LON 3541 8261 3523 8259 3520 8236 3541 8227

$$

MCAVOY
2 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS52 KGSP 031907
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
306 PM EDT THU MAY 3 2007

NCC089-031945-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0049.000000T0000Z-070503T1945Z/
HENDERSON NC-
306 PM EDT THU MAY 3 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM EDT 
FOR HENDERSON COUNTY...

AT 301 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR HENDERSONVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  EAST FLAT ROCK BY 315 PM EDT...
  DANA BY 330 PM EDT...

LAT...LON 3542 8249 3523 8250 3523 8236 3541 8227

$$

BPM
000 
WWUS52 KGSP 031948
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
347 PM EDT THU MAY 3 2007

NCC089-031957-
/O.EXP.KGSP.SV.W.0049.000000T0000Z-070503T1945Z/
HENDERSON NC-
347 PM EDT THU MAY 3 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR HENDERSON COUNTY EXPIRED AT 
345 PM EDT...

THE STORM HAS WEAKEND BELOW SEVERE LIMITS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PART 
OF THE COUNTY. 

LAT...LON 3542 8249 3523 8250 3523 8236 3541 8227

$$

BPM

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 3, 2:23 PM EDT, 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 3, 2:23 PM EDT, 20 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
223 PM EDT THU MAY 3 2007

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE NEAR-TERM FORECAST IS UNFOLDING MORE OR LESS AS PLANNED...AS
CONVECTION SO FAR TODAY HAS BEEN CONFINED TO AREAS OF TERRAIN
FORCING OVER THE MTNS. MEANWHILE...NOT MUCH IS GOING ON ALONG THE
BACKDOOR FRONT...WHICH IS CURRENTLY MAKING ITS WAY TOWARD THE I-85
CORRIDOR IN NC. IN FACT...THE CU FIELD LOOKS QUITE SUPPRESSED
DESPITE AN AREA OF 1000 J/KG MUCAPE WITHIN THE POOLING MOISTURE AXIS
ALONG/JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT. WE WILL CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE CHANCE
POPS FOR THIS EVENING FROM ROUGHLY I-85 NORTH.

NUMERICAL GUIDANCE POPS GO THROUGH THE ROOF OVERNIGHT...AS HIGH
LEVELS OF DEEP MOISTURE WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION.
HOWEVER...FORCING IS VERY PALTRY. THERE IS A LITTLE BIT OF WEAK
LOW-MID LEVEL UPGLIDE...BUT THE FLOW IS EXTREMELY WEAK...SO THIS
UPGLIDE WILL NOT BE ESPECIALLY STRONG. SO FAR TODAY...GUIDANCE POPS
FROM EARLIER RUNS HAVE VERIFIED MUCH TOO HIGH...AND THINK THIS IS
LIKELY TO BE THE CASE AGAIN TONIGHT. WE HAVE STUCK VERY CLOSE TO OUR
ORIGINAL FORECAST OF LOW-END LIKELY TO CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE AREA
OVERNIGHT...WHICH UNDERCUTS GUIDANCE BY A GOOD 20-30 PERCENT.

COOL WEATHER EXPECTED ON FRIDAY...AS COLD AIR DAMMING/WIDESPREAD LOW
CLOUDS WILL LIMIT DIURNAL HEATING...ESPECIALLY EAST OF THE MTNS. WE
WILL CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE SOLID CHANCE POPS...AGAIN UNDERCUTTING
GUIDANCE SLIGHTLY DUE TO AN ABSENCE OF FORCING.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS CONTINUES FRI NIGHT AND SAT WITH SFC BOUNDARY
EXPECTED TO PUSH WELL S OF AREA SAT NIGHT. SFC HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS OVER REGION FROM THE NE ON SUN AS UPPER RIDGE BUILDS SUN
THROUGH TUE. EXPECT DRY FORECAST FIRST PART OF WEEK WITH TEMPS
WARMING EACH DAY AND REACHING INTO THE LOW 80S BY TUE AFTN.

AN UPPER WAVE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT ARE EXPECTED TO PUSH E
ACROSS THE PLAINS TOWARD THE REGION...BRINGING AN INCREASING
CHANCE OF RAIN...MAINLY TO THE MTNS WED-THU. AS SYSTEM APPROACHES
AND PUTS AREA INTO INCREASING S FLOW...AFTN HIGHS SHOULD WARM INTO
THE MID 80S BY LATE WED.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z-18Z/...
THE MAIN NEAR-TERM CONCERN WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTION AT
THE TERMINALS THIS AFTERNOON. THE BEST CHANCE APPEARS TO BE AT
KAVL...WHERE RADAR IMAGERY INDICATED TSRA OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
JUST WEST OF THE TERMINAL AT 18Z. TEMPOS FOR RA W/ 5SM HAVE BEEN
CARRIED THERE. OUTSIDE OF THE MTNS...THERE IS SOME INSTABILITY
AND BACKDOOR COLD FRONT MAY PROVIDE LOW LEVEL FOCUS FOR WIDELY
SCATTERED CONVECTION...BUT WE DO NOT FEEL THE THREAT IS HIGH
ENOUGH FOR EVEN A TEMPO ATTM. ALTHOUGH SCATTERED SHRA WILL LIKELY
BE AROUND OVERNIGHT...THE MAIN CONCERN WILL BE LOWERING
CIGS...WHICH SHOULD LOWER TO IFR AT MOST TERMINALS SHORTLY AFTER
MIDNIGHT. WIND SHOULD REMAIN OUT OF THE NORTHEAST AT AROUND 10 KTS
OR SO FOR MOST OF THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD...HOPEFULLY PRECLUDING FOG
DEVELOPMENT.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...JDL
LONG TERM...RB
AVIATION...JDL
Hazardous weather outlook, May 3, 4:41 AM EDT, 10 hours 2 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
441 AM EDT THU MAY 3 2007

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-041000-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER-
IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-
ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
441 AM EDT THU MAY 3 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

HG

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 3, 1:48 PM EDT, 55 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
148 PM EDT THU MAY 3 2007

NCZ064-065-031845-
HENDERSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
148 PM EDT THU MAY 3 2007

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT HENDERSON AND TRANSYLVANIA
COUNTIES THROUGH 245 PM EDT...

AT 145 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR ETOWAH...OR 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF BREVARD...
MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO MOUNTAIN
  HOME...MILLS RIVER...AND ETOWAH.

PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

INTENSE LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...STAY
AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. MOVE INDOORS IF
POSSIBLE. WHEN INDOORS...STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID
USING TELEPHONES UNLESS IT IS AN EMERGENCY. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY
ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES BEFORE THE THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

MCAVOY

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 3, 2:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPMadison41 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Carolina, 2007Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.