Alert archive / North Carolina / Red Flag Warnings in 2007

Red Flag Warning 8, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

April 5, 200717 counties in North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this red flag warning at Apr 5, 2007, 9:50 AM EDT for 17 counties in North Carolina. It took effect at Apr 5, 2007, 1:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 2 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 5, 2007, 9:50 AM EDT (13:50 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 5, 2007, 1:00 PM EDT
Expired
Apr 5, 2007, 3:01 PM EDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

Counties Avery County, NC, Buncombe County, NC, Burke County, NC, Caldwell County, NC, Graham County, NC, Haywood County, NC, Henderson County, NC, Jackson County, NC, Macon County, NC, Madison County, NC, McDowell County, NC, Mitchell County, NC, Polk County, NC, Rutherford County, NC, Swain County, NC, Transylvania County, NC, Yancey County, NC

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 83 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 1.8 hours before the alert went out and 244 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2007-04-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2007-04-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -91 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1339 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
67 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-91 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-92 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS82 KGSP 051350
RFWGSP

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
950 AM EDT THU APR 5 2007

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-052200-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FW.W.0008.070405T1700Z-070405T2300Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
950 AM EDT THU APR 5 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM
EDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL FALL INTO THE 20 TO 25 PERCENT RANGE IN THE
NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAIN VALLEYS THIS AFTERNOON. COMBINED WITH
NORTHWEST WINDS OF UP TO 25 MPH AND OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH
...A HEIGHTENED STATE OF FIRE DANGER IS EXPECTED.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$
1 follow-up statement
000 
WWUS82 KGSP 051901
RFWGSP

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
301 PM EDT THU APR 5 2007

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-052015-
/O.CAN.KGSP.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-070405T2300Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
301 PM EDT THU APR 5 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS
CANCELLED THE RED FLAG WARNING. 

WINDS ARE TAPERING OFF OVER THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS.
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN MOUNTAIN VALLEYS DID NOT FALL TO CRITICAL
LEVELS AS EXPECTED. FOR THIS REASON THE WARNING HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Apr 5, 3:47 AM EDT, 6 hours 3 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 5, 3:47 AM EDT, 6 hours 3 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
347 AM EDT THU APR 5 2007

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A DRY FORECAST IN THE FIRST TWO PERIODS. A NORTHWEST TO NORTH
FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE REGION DUE TO A RATHER TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT WITH NEW ENGLAND LOW PRESSURE MOVING EAST. THE GRADIENT
WILL RELAX LATER TODAY...BUT IN THE MEAN TIME THE RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE AROUND 25 PERCENT. A LAKE WIND
ADVISORY WILL BE EXTENDED TODAY FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS.
AS COLDER AIR CONTINUES INTO THE REGION...THE LOW TONIGHT WILL BE
NEAR FREEZING IN MANY AREAS OUTSIDE OF THE MOUNTAINS. DUE TO
STATION POLICY...WE DO NOT ISSUE FROST OR FREEZE PRODUCTS FOR THE
MOUNTAINS UNTIL APRIL 15. HOWEVER...THE FREEZE WATCH WILL BE
UPGRADED TO A WARNING TONIGHT FOR THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT.

STRONG SHORT WAVE DIGS EAST COAST TROF EVEN DEEPER FRIDAY BRINGING
THE MUCH ANTICIPATED VERY COLD AIR MASS. NAM IS THE ODD MODEL OUT
WITH ITS SHORT WAVE. IT HAS IT WEAKER AND MORE CHANNELED THAN THE
GFS OR CANADIAN. ALSO GFS HAS MORE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE WITH THE
MORE CYCLONICALLY CURVED JET MAX THAN THE FLATTER NAM. AS A
RESULT...THE NAM HAS A DRY FORECAST WHILE THE GFS IS QUITE WET. THE
CANADIAN...SREF AND MREF ALL HAVE PRECIP DEVELOPING AS SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE DEVELOPS IN THE LEE AND MOVES OFF THE COAST. THAT
SAID...SREF AND MREF KEEP THE NON-MOUNTAIN PRECIP TO OUR EAST. SREF
ALSO HAS VERY HIGH CHC PRECIP OVER THE NC MOUNTAINS FRIDAY NIGHT.
FOR NOW...WILL KEEP POP IN THE LOW CHC RANGE FOR THE BORDER COUNTIES
WITH SMALL AREA OF SLIGHT CHC OVER THE NRN FOOTHILL MOUNTAINS AND
CENTRAL NC MTNS. SREF ALSO LINGERS CHC AND SLIGHT CHC SATURDAY
MORNING AND AFTERNOON RESPECTIVELY AND HAVE FOLLOWED THAT TREND.
THICKNESSES AND VALLEY TEMPS RISE ENOUGH ON FRIDAY TO KEEP ANY
PRECIP A MIX EXCEPT AT THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS...THEN SNOW SHOWERS
ONLY P-TYPE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. CANNOT RULE OUT SOME LIGHT
ACCUMULATIONS FRIDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE NRN MOUNTAINS.

OUTSIDE OF THE MOUNTAINS DRY FORECAST CONTINUES...BUT COULD BE SOME
VERY LIGHT PRECIP ACROSS THE NRN TIER FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
WINDS PICK UP AGAIN ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS FRIDAY AND ALL LOCATIONS
SATURDAY AND LAKE WIND ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED THEN. WELL BELOW
NORMAL TEMPS CONTINUE WITH SATURDAY LIKELY THE COLDEST DAY WHILE
SATURDAY NIGHT LIKELY THE COLDEST LOWS. EXPECT FREEZE WARNINGS TO BE
ISSUED FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT AS THOSE PERIODS APPROACH.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
STRONG UPPER LOW OVER THE NORTHEAST SLOWLY MOVES NORTHEAST AS A
STRONG SHORT WAVE DIVES INTO THE EAST COAST TROF ACROSS THE PLAINS
SUNDAY. THE GFS HAS THIS WAVE PHASE WITH A SRN STREAM WAVE AND MOVE
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. GFS DEVELOPS A GULF
LOW AT THE SURFACE WITH THIS FEATURE...BUT KEEPS IT FAR ENOUGH SOUTH
FOR OUR CWFA TO REMAIN DRY. CANADIAN AND MREF ALSO SHOW PRECIP TO
OUR SOUTH BUT DRY FOR THE CWFA. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN FOR TUESDAY
BEFORE A FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST ON WEDNESDAY
BRINING THE POTENTIAL FOR PRECIP. WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPS SUNDAY
THEN A SLOW MODERATION BACK TO NEAR NORMAL LEVELS FOR WEDNESDAY.
FROST/FREEZE POTENTIAL REMAINS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT BEFORE
THREAT FINALLY ENDS TUESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z-06Z/...
ONLY CLOUDS ARE FEW TO SCT CIRRUS. PRESSURE GRADIENT TO THE
SOUTHWEST OF NEW ENGLAND LOW CONTINUES TO BE RATHER TIGHT WHICH IS
CREATING BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS IN THE MOUNTAINS. THIS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY AND SETTLE NEAR SUNSET AS
GRADIENT GRADUALLY SUBSIDES. SOME CLOUDINESS ARRIVING LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT...BUT THAT INCREASE IN CLOUDS IS AT THE END OF THE
TAF PERIOD. THUS DECIDED TO HOLD OFF ANY INDICATION OF THAT UNTIL
LATER. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
THE LOW RH VALUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWFA...AND THE BREEZY TO WINDY
CONDITIONS IN THE MOUNTAINS...WILL CONTRIBUTE TO AN INCREASED
FIRE DANGER. BASED ON CALLS MADE TO FIRE DISTRICTS...FUEL MOISTURE
STILL IS AT A REASONABLE LEVEL TO SOMEWHAT SUPPRESS WILD FIRES.
THIS WILL BE MONITORED DURING THE UPCOMING DAY SHIFT.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...FREEZE WARNING FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR GAZ018-026-028-
     029.

NC...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR NCZ033-
     048>050-052-053-059-063>065-501-503-505-507-509.

     FREEZE WARNING FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR NCZ035>037-056-
     057-068>072-082-502-504-506-508-510.

SC...FREEZE WARNING FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR SCZ004>014-019.

&&

SHORT TERM...DEO/RWH
LONG TERM...RWH
AVIATION...DEO
FIRE WEATHER...DEO
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 5, 6:03 AM EDT, 3 hours 47 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
603 AM EDT THU APR 5 2007

GAZ010-017-NCZ051-058-062-SCZ001>003-061000-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-SWAIN-GRAHAM-MACON-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
603 AM EDT THU APR 5 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...WESTERN
NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

BREEZY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY COULD LEAD TO INCREASED
FIRE DANGER ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS.

A VERY COLD AIRMASS WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION TONIGHT. LOWS
TONIGHT WILL FALL BELOW FREEZING ACROSS MOST LOCATIONS IN THE
MOUNTAINS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

BREEZY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY COULD LEAD TO INCREASED
FIRE DANGER ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

THE VERY COLD AIRMASS WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE TEENS AND 20S WILL BE
LIKELY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ033-048>050-052-053-059-063>065-501-503-505-507-509-061000-
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-NORTHERN JACKSON-
SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-
BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
POLK MOUNTAINS-
603 AM EDT THU APR 5 2007

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE WIND ADVISORY

THE WINDY CONDITIONS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY COULD LEAD TO
INCREASED FIRE DANGER ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS.

A VERY COLD AIRMASS WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION TONIGHT. LOWS
TONIGHT WILL FALL BELOW FREEZING ACROSS MOST LOCATIONS IN THE
MOUNTAINS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

WINDY CONDITIONS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY COULD LEAD TO INCREASED
FIRE DANGER ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

THE VERY COLD AIRMASS WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE TEENS AND 20S WILL BE
LIKELY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

GAZ018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-506-508-
510-SCZ004>014-019-061000-
STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-
CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-GREATER RUTHERFORD-
EASTERN POLK-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-
SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-
CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
603 AM EDT THU APR 5 2007

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FREEZE WARNING

BREEZY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY COULD LEAD TO INCREASED
FIRE DANGER ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FREEZE WARNING

A VERY COLD AIRMASS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA...WITH
TEMPERATURES FALLING BELOW THE FREEZING MARK EACH NIGHT THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. ADDITIONAL FREEZE WATCHES AND WARNINGS...AND POSSIBLY
FROST ADVISORIES...ARE LIKELY. PLAN AHEAD NOW TO TAKE STEPS TO
PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION LATER THIS WEEK.

BREEZY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY COULD LEAD TO INCREASED
FIRE DANGER ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 5, 4:11 AM EDTFreeze WarningGSPAlexander, Burke, Cabarrus, Caldwell, Catawba, Cleveland and 10 more28 hr
Apr 5, 3:33 PM EDTFire Weather WatchGSPAlexander, Avery, Buncombe, Burke, Cabarrus, Caldwell and 22 more23 hr
Apr 5, 3:38 PM EDTFreeze WatchGSPAlexander, Burke, Cabarrus, Caldwell, Catawba, Cleveland and 10 more12 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in North Carolina, 2007Every red flag warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.