Alert archive / Georgia / Red Flag Warnings in 2007

Red Flag Warning 25, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

May 19, 20076 counties in Georgia

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this red flag warning at May 19, 2007, 2:59 PM EDT for 6 counties in Georgia. It took effect at May 20, 2007, 11:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 9 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 19, 2007, 2:59 PM EDT (18:59 UTC)
In effect from
May 20, 2007, 11:00 AM EDT
Expired
May 20, 2007, 8:00 PM EDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

Counties Elbert County, GA, Franklin County, GA, Habersham County, GA, Hart County, GA, Rabun County, GA, Stephens County, GA

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 101 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 172 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2007-05-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2007-05-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -60 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1721 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-60 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
160 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS82 KGSP 191859
RFWGSP

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
259 PM EDT SAT MAY 19 2007

...VERY DRY IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA LATE TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.A DRY RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL LOWER THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY TO
NEAR 20 PERCENT LATE TODAY AND SUNDAY IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA FROM
RABUN COUNTY TO ELBERT COUNTY.

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-200000-
/O.UPG.KGSP.FW.A.0012.070520T1600Z-070521T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KGSP.FW.W.0025.070520T1500Z-070521T0000Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0024.000000T0000Z-070520T0000Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-
259 PM EDT SAT MAY 19 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A RED FLAG WARNING FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM
TO 8 PM EDT SUNDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.
A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA UNTIL
8 PM EDT THIS EVENING.

RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE LIKELY TO FALL TO AROUND 25 PERCENT
THIS AFTERNOON OVER NORTHEAST GEORGIA...AND TO 20 PERCENT ON
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. FUELS IN THIS AREA ARE ALSO VERY DRY. THIS IS
EXPECTED TO RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND LOW FUEL MOISTURE WILL CREATE
EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$
07
6 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS82 KGSP 200005
RFWGSP

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
805 PM EDT SAT MAY 19 2007

...VERY DRY IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA LATE TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.A DRY RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL LOWER THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY TO
NEAR 20 PERCENT LATE TODAY AND SUNDAY IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA FROM
RABUN COUNTY TO ELBERT COUNTY.

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-200815-
/O.EXP.KGSP.FW.W.0024.000000T0000Z-070520T0000Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0025.070520T1500Z-070521T0000Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-
805 PM EDT SAT MAY 19 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT
SUNDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR THIS EVENING.
A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT
SUNDAY.

RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE LIKELY TO FALL BELOW 25 PERCENT
OVER NORTHEAST GEORGIA SUNDAY AFTERNOON. FUELS IN THIS AREA ARE
ALSO VERY DRY WHICH WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$
000 
WWUS82 KGSP 200649
RFWGSP

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
249 AM EDT SUN MAY 20 2007

...VERY DRY IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA AGAIN TODAY...

.A DRY RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL LOWER THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY TO
NEAR 20 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA FROM RABUN
COUNTY TO ELBERT COUNTY.

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-201600-
/O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0025.070520T1500Z-070521T0000Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-
249 AM EDT SUN MAY 20 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE LIKELY TO FALL BELOW 25 PERCENT OVER
NORTHEAST GEORGIA FOR SEVERAL HOURS TODAY. FUELS IN THIS AREA ARE
ALSO VERY DRY WHICH WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$
MCAVOY
000 
WWUS82 KGSP 200726
RFWGSP

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
326 AM EDT SUN MAY 20 2007

...VERY DRY IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA THROUGH MONDAY...

.A DRY RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL LOWER THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY TO
NEAR 20 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AND MONDAY AFTERNOON IN NORTHEAST
GEORGIA FROM RABUN COUNTY TO ELBERT COUNTY.

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-201530-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FW.A.0013.070521T1600Z-070522T0000Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0025.070520T1500Z-070521T0000Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-
326 AM EDT SUN MAY 20 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM
11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE LIKELY TO FALL BELOW 25 PERCENT OVER
NORTHEAST GEORGIA FOR SEVERAL HOURS TODAY AND ONCE AGAIN ON MONDAY
AFTERNOON. FUELS IN THIS AREA ARE VERY DRY...WHICH WILL COMBINE
WITH THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY TO RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$
BPM/LANE
000 
WWUS82 KGSP 201518
RFWGSP

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1118 AM EDT SUN MAY 20 2007

...VERY DRY IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA THROUGH MONDAY...

.A DRY RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL LOWER THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY TO
NEAR 20 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AND MONDAY AFTERNOON IN NORTHEAST
GEORGIA FROM RABUN COUNTY TO ELBERT COUNTY.

GAZ018-026-028-029-202330-
/O.UPG.KGSP.FW.A.0013.070521T1600Z-070522T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KGSP.FW.W.0026.070521T1600Z-070522T0000Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-070521T0000Z/
STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-
1118 AM EDT SUN MAY 20 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 8 PM EDT
MONDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
THIS EVENING.

RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 25 PERCENT OVER
NORTHEAST GEORGIA FOR SEVERAL HOURS TODAY AND ONCE AGAIN ON MONDAY
AFTERNOON. FUELS IN THIS AREA ARE VERY DRY...WHICH WILL COMBINE
WITH THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY TO RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

GAZ010-017-202330-
/O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-070521T0000Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.FW.A.0013.070521T1600Z-070522T0000Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-
1118 AM EDT SUN MAY 20 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING.
A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. 

RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE LIKELY TO FALL BELOW 25 PERCENT OVER
NORTHEAST GEORGIA FOR SEVERAL HOURS TODAY AND ONCE AGAIN ON
MONDAY AFTERNOON. FUELS IN THIS AREA ARE VERY DRY...WHICH WILL
COMBINE WITH THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY TO RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$
LG
000 
WWUS82 KGSP 201828
RFWGSP

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
228 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2007

...VERY DRY IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA THROUGH MONDAY...

.A DRY RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL LOWER THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY TO
NEAR 20 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AND MONDAY AFTERNOON IN NORTHEAST
GEORGIA FROM RABUN COUNTY TO ELBERT COUNTY.

GAZ010-017-211000-
/O.UPG.KGSP.FW.A.0013.070521T1600Z-070522T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KGSP.FW.W.0026.070521T1600Z-070522T0000Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-070521T0000Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-
228 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 8 PM EDT
MONDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING.

RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL BELOW 25 PERCENT OVER NORTHEAST
GEORGIA FOR SEVERAL HOURS TODAY AND ONCE AGAIN ON MONDAY
AFTERNOON. FUELS IN THIS AREA ARE VERY DRY...WHICH WILL COMBINE
WITH THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY TO RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE
FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

GAZ018-026-028-029-211000-
/O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-070521T0000Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0026.070521T1600Z-070522T0000Z/
STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-
228 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 8 PM EDT
MONDAY...

RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 25 PERCENT
OVER NORTHEAST GEORGIA FOR SEVERAL HOURS TODAY AND ONCE AGAIN ON
MONDAY AFTERNOON. FUELS IN THIS AREA ARE VERY DRY...WHICH WILL
COMBINE WITH THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY TO RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE
FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$
LG
000 
WWUS82 KGSP 210004
RFWGSP

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
804 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2007

...VERY DRY IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA THROUGH MONDAY...

.A DRY RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL LOWER THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY TO
NEAR 20 PERCENT IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA MONDAY AFTERNOON.

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-210815-
/O.EXP.KGSP.FW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-070521T0000Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0026.070521T1600Z-070522T0000Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-
804 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 8 PM EDT
MONDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WAS ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 8 PM THIS EVENING. A
RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE
GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at May 19, 1:11 PM EDT, 1 hour 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 19, 1:11 PM EDT, 1 hour 48 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
111 PM EDT SAT MAY 19 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA BRINGING A CHANCE OF
FROST AGAIN TO THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS TONIGHT. ON MONDAY A
WEAK FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH AND STALL OVER WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. BY
TUESDAY THE FRONT WILL DISSIPATE ALLOWING HIGH PRESSURE TO TAKE OVER
AGAIN. A WEAKENING COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE MOUNTAINS
BY NEXT FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
A CLOSED UPPER LOW WAS ANALYZED IN EASTERN PA...LIFTING OUT TO THE
NORTHEAST. A DRY NORTHWESTERLY SURFACE FLOW BETWEEN THE DEPARTING
UPPER LOW AND AN ADVANCING SURFACE RIDGE WILL KEEP SKIES MOSTLY
CLEAR...AND ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO RECOVER FROM THE UNSEASONABLY COOL
READINGS OF THIS MORNING. BASED ON CURRENT TEMPERATURES TRENDS...
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL BE RAISED TWO DEGREES...AND TOWARD THE 06Z
MAV GUIDANCE NUMBERS. WITH DEEP MIXING...WINDS COULD BECOME A BIT
GUSTY...BUT SHOULD REMAIN BELOW LAKE WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE FORECAST AREA WILL BE IN A WEAK NW FLOW REGIME BETWEEN THE
SLOWLY RETREATING UPPER LOW OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST AND A
BUILDING...DEEP LAYER RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS. THIS WILL KEEP A
VERY DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE OVER THE REGION...RESULTING IN LARGE
DIURNAL RANGES THROUGH MONDAY. FROST LOOKS LIKE A GOOD BET AGAIN
TONIGHT...THOUGH IT SHOULD MAINLY BE CONFINED TO THE INTERIOR
VALLEYS OF THE SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL MOUNTAINS. THEREFORE...WL ISSUE
ANOTHER FROST ADVISORY FOR PARTS OF THE NC MTNS...BUT FOR A SMALLER
AREA THIS TIME. IN PARTICULAR...WL NOT INCLUDE THE NRN MTNS AND THE
UPPER FRENCH BROAD VALLEY. OTHERWISE LOOK FOR CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT
AND SUNNY SKIES ON SUNDAY. CHAMBER OF COMMERCE TYPE WEATHER.

ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY A WEAK BACK-DOOR COLD FRONT MAKES A RUN AT THE
NE ZONES. THE GFS HAS MODEST CAPE VALUES NORTH OF I-40 MONDAY
AFTERNOON. I/VE KEPT A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHRA/TSTMS IN THIS AREA...
BUT THAT SEEMS LIKE A FAINT HOPE AT THIS POINT WITH PAULTRY DEEP
LAYER RH VALUES AND AN H5 RIDGE PARKED SQAURELY OVER THE REGION BOTH
DAYS.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HAVE INCREASED CLOUD COVER SOMEWHAT DURING THE PERIOD.  DEVELOPING
ONSHORE FLOW RESULTS IN RATHER HIGH MEAN RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN
THE 1000-85 MB LAYER... ESPECIALLY IN THE UPSLOPE AREAS OF WESTERN
PIEDMONT... FOOTHILLS... AND MOUNTAINS TUESDAY INTO THE LATTER PART
OF THE WEEK.  NO CHANGES WILL BE MADE TO POPS AT THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION /17Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WEST TO
NORTHWEST WINDS AT LESS THAN 10 KNOTS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE
THIS EVENING...WHILE A FEW CUMULUS GIVE WAY TO A FEW ALTOCUMULUS.
WINDS WILL COME UP FROM THE WEST AT LESS THAN 10 KNOTS SUNDAY
MORNING.

AVIATION OUTLOOK...INCREASING MOISTURE IN AN EASTERLY FLOW OFF THE
ATLANTIC COULD RESULT IN RESTRICTIONS TO CEILINGS BY THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK...MAINLY DURING THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS.
THESE SAME EASTERLY WINDS WOULD PROVIDE SOME MIXING...AND AT LEAST
PARTIALLY OFFSET INCREASING RELATIVE HUMIDITY...LIMITING FOG
PRODUCTION.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
THE LATEST ADJUSTED MAV DEW POINTS LOWER RELATIVE HUMIDITY TO BELOW
25 PERCENT EVERYWHERE BUT HE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTHERN NC
MOUNTAINS. A RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE HOISTED IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA
FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. WINDS WILL STAY SHORT OF RED
FLAG CRITERIA IN NC AND SC...THOUGH HIGHER NC ELEVATIONS COULD SEE
GUSTS UP TO 20 KTS DURING MAX HEATING. WITH A DESCENDING SUBSIDENCE
INVERSION...WE WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR DRAMATICALLY LOWERING
DEWPOINTS IN THE NC MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON.

RH/S WILL NOT RECOVER A GREAT DEAL OVERNIGHT...PARTICULARLY AT
HIGHER ELEVATIONS...THOUGH WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE MORE THAN 10
KTS AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

DRY AGAIN ON SUNDAY. CURRENTLY MANY AREAS ARE PREDICTED TO SEE RH/S
FALL TO AROUND 20 PERCENT...AND THAT IS PROBABLY A LITTLE ON THE
HIGH SIDE. FORTUNATELY THE WINDS SHOULD BE LIGHTER ON SUNDAY THAN
TODAY. I HAVE ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR NE GA AS WE SHOULD SEE
SEVERAL HOURS OF SUB 25 PERCENT RH.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR GAZ010-017-
     018-026-028-029.
     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR GAZ010-017-
     018-026-028-029.
NC...FROST ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR
     NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...PAT
NEAR TERM...JAT
SHORT TERM...BPM
LONG TERM...LGL
AVIATION...JAT
FIRE WEATHER...JAT
Hazardous weather outlook, May 19, 3:16 AM EDT, 11 hours 43 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
316 AM EDT SAT MAY 19 2007

NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062-200730-
MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-
316 AM EDT SAT MAY 19 2007

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT
SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FROST ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FROST ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ033-049-050-063>065-200730-
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
316 AM EDT SAT MAY 19 2007

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FROST ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-200730-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-
BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
316 AM EDT SAT MAY 19 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH
CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-200730-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-
316 AM EDT SAT MAY 19 2007

...FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FIRE DANGER STATEMENT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 19, 2:54 AM EDTFire Weather WatchGSPElbert, Franklin, Habersham, Hart, Rabun, Stephens12 hr
May 19, 9:48 AM EDTRed Flag WarningGSPElbert, Franklin, Habersham, Hart, Rabun, Stephens10 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Georgia, 2007Every red flag warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.