Alert archive / Georgia / Red Flag Warnings in 2007
Red Flag Warning 24, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this red flag warning at May 19, 2007, 9:48 AM EDT for 6 counties in Georgia. It took effect at May 19, 2007, 12:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 8 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- May 19, 2007, 9:48 AM EDT (13:48 UTC)
- In effect from
- May 19, 2007, 12:00 PM EDT
- Expired
- May 19, 2007, 8:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Counties Elbert County, GA, Franklin County, GA, Habersham County, GA, Hart County, GA, Rabun County, GA, Stephens County, GA
The radar
The Greer radar (KGSP), 101 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 1.8 hours before the alert went out and 172 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1721 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 21 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -60 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 160 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS82 KGSP 191348 RFWGSP RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 948 AM EDT SAT MAY 19 2007 ...VERY DRY IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA TODAY AND SUNDAY... .A DRY RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL LOWER THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY TO NEAR 20 PERCENT TODAY AND SUNDAY IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA FROM RABUN COUNTY TO ELBERT COUNTY. GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-192000- /O.NEW.KGSP.FW.W.0024.070519T1600Z-070520T0000Z/ /O.CON.KGSP.FW.A.0012.070520T1600Z-070521T0000Z/ RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT- 948 AM EDT SAT MAY 19 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE LIKELY TO FALL TO AROUND 20 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON OVER NORTHEAST GEORGIA...AND AGAIN ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON. FUELS IN THIS AREA ARE ALSO VERY DRY. THIS IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND LOW FUEL MOISTURE WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ 07
2 follow-up statements
000 WWUS82 KGSP 191859 RFWGSP RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 259 PM EDT SAT MAY 19 2007 ...VERY DRY IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA LATE TODAY AND SUNDAY... .A DRY RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL LOWER THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY TO NEAR 20 PERCENT LATE TODAY AND SUNDAY IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA FROM RABUN COUNTY TO ELBERT COUNTY. GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-200000- /O.UPG.KGSP.FW.A.0012.070520T1600Z-070521T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KGSP.FW.W.0025.070520T1500Z-070521T0000Z/ /O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0024.000000T0000Z-070520T0000Z/ RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT- 259 PM EDT SAT MAY 19 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT SUNDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE LIKELY TO FALL TO AROUND 25 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON OVER NORTHEAST GEORGIA...AND TO 20 PERCENT ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON. FUELS IN THIS AREA ARE ALSO VERY DRY. THIS IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND LOW FUEL MOISTURE WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ 07
000 WWUS82 KGSP 200005 RFWGSP RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 805 PM EDT SAT MAY 19 2007 ...VERY DRY IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA LATE TODAY AND SUNDAY... .A DRY RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL LOWER THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY TO NEAR 20 PERCENT LATE TODAY AND SUNDAY IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA FROM RABUN COUNTY TO ELBERT COUNTY. GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-200815- /O.EXP.KGSP.FW.W.0024.000000T0000Z-070520T0000Z/ /O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0025.070520T1500Z-070521T0000Z/ RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT- 805 PM EDT SAT MAY 19 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT SUNDAY... ...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED... THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT SUNDAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE LIKELY TO FALL BELOW 25 PERCENT OVER NORTHEAST GEORGIA SUNDAY AFTERNOON. FUELS IN THIS AREA ARE ALSO VERY DRY WHICH WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at May 19, 9:45 AM EDT, 3 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 19, 9:45 AM EDT, 3 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
945 AM EDT SAT MAY 19 2007
.SYNOPSIS...
COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA BRINGING A CHANCE OF
FROST AGAIN TO THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS TONIGHT. ON MONDAY A
WEAK FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH AND STALL OVER WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. BY
TUESDAY THE FRONT WILL DISSIPATE ALLOWING HIGH PRESSURE TO TAKE OVER
AGAIN. A WEAKENING COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE MOUNTAINS
BY NEXT FRIDAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
A CLOSED UPPER LOW WAS ANALYZED IN EASTERN PA THIS MORNING...LIFTING
OUT TO THE NORTHEAST. A DRY NORTHWESTERLY SURFACE FLOW BETWEEN
THE DEPARTING UPPER LOW AND AN ADVANCING SURFACE RIDGE WILL KEEP
SKIES MOSTLY CLEAR...AND ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO RECOVER FROM THE
UNSEASONABLY COOL READINGS OF THIS MORNING. BASED ON CURRENT
TEMPERATURES TRENDS... MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL BE RAISED TWO
DEGREES...AND TOWARD THE 06Z MAV GUIDANCE NUMBERS. WITH DEEP
MIXING...WINDS COULD BECOME A BIT GUSTY...BUT SHOULD REMAIN BELOW
LAKE WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE FORECAST AREA WILL BE IN A WEAK NW FLOW REGIME BETWEEN THE
SLOWLY RETREATING UPPER LOW OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST AND A
BUILDING...DEEP LAYER RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS. THIS WILL KEEP A
VERY DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE OVER THE REGION...RESULTING IN LARGE
DIURNAL RANGES THROUGH MONDAY. FROST LOOKS LIKE A GOOD BET AGAIN
TONIGHT...THOUGH IT SHOULD MAINLY BE CONFINED TO THE INTERIOR
VALLEYS OF THE SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL MOUNTAINS. THEREFORE...WL ISSUE
ANOTHER FROST ADVISORY FOR PARTS OF THE NC MTNS...BUT FOR A SMALLER
AREA THIS TIME. IN PARTICULAR...WL NOT INCLUDE THE NRN MTNS AND THE
UPPER FRENCH BROAD VALLEY. OTHERWISE LOOK FOR CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT
AND SUNNY SKIES ON SUNDAY. CHAMBER OF COMMERCE TYPE WEATHER.
ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY A WEAK BACK-DOOR COLD FRONT MAKES A RUN AT THE
NE ZONES. THE GFS HAS MODEST CAPE VALUES NORTH OF I-40 MONDAY
AFTERNOON. I/VE KEPT A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHRA/TSTMS IN THIS AREA...
BUT THAT SEEMS LIKE A FAINT HOPE AT THIS POINT WITH PAULTRY DEEP
LAYER RH VALUES AND AN H5 RIDGE PARKED SQAURELY OVER THE REGION BOTH
DAYS.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE GFS HAS FAIRLY HIGH LOW LEVEL RH VALUES TUE-THU. HOWEVER...THE
HIGH AMPLITUDE H5 RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE MID ATLANTIC SURE LOOKS
LIKE THE KIND OF CONFIGURATION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW IMPACT CAD
EVENT - THOUGH TO CALL THE GFS SOLUTION CAD IN THE FIRST PLACE MIGHT
BE PUSHING IT. AT ANY RATE...AM INCLINED TO KEEP IT ON THE PARTLY
CLOUDY AND DRY SIDE TUE AND WED. NO POINT IN YANKING THE SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS THU AS CLIMATOLOGICALLY YOU WOULD EXPECT SOME CONVECTION
IN LATER MAY. UNFORTUNATELY THE FRONT FOR LATE IN THE WEEK...EITHER
THU NGHT OR FRI...IS LOOKING MUCH WEAKER ON BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF
TONIGHT.
&&
.AVIATION /14Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE WEATHER PATTERN OVER
THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LIGHT/VARIABLE WINDS EARLY THIS
MORNING EXPECTED TO GIVE WAY TO NORTHEAST FLOW OF 6-8 KTS BY
MID-MORNING. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO TURN OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AT 5-7
KTS BY LATE AFTERNOON.
AVIATION OUTLOOK...INCR MOIST EASTERLY FLOW OFF THE ATLANTIC COULD
RESULT IN WIDESPREAD RESTRICTIONS TO CIGS BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK...MAINLY DURING THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
THE LATEST ADJUSTED MAV DEW POINTS LOWER RELATIVE HUMIDITY TO BELOW
25 PERCENT EVERYWHERE BUT HE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTHERN NC
MOUNTAINS. A RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE HOISTED IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA
FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. WINDS WILL STAY SHORT OF RED
FLAG CRITERIA IN NC AND SC...THOUGH HIGHER NC ELEVATIONS COULD SEE
GUSTS UP TO 20 KTS DURING MAX HEATING. WITH A DESCENDING SUBSIDENCE
INVERSION...WE WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR DRAMATICALLY LOWERING
DEWPOINTS IN THE NC MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON.
RH/S WILL NOT RECOVER A GREAT DEAL OVERNIGHT...PARTICULARLY AT
HIGHER ELEVATIONS...THOUGH WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE MORE THAN 10
KTS AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
DRY AGAIN ON SUNDAY. CURRENTLY MANY AREAS ARE PREDICTED TO SEE RH/S
FALL TO AROUND 20 PERCENT...AND THAT IS PROBABLY A LITTLE ON THE
HIGH SIDE. FORTUNATELY THE WINDS SHOULD BE LIGHTER ON SUNDAY THAN
TODAY. I HAVE ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR NE GA AS WE SHOULD SEE
SEVERAL HOURS OF SUB 25 PERCENT RH.
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR GAZ010-017-
018-026-028-029.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING FOR GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029.
NC...FROST ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR
NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062.
SC...NONE.
&&
SYNOPSIS...BPM
NEAR TERM...JAT
SHORT TERM...BPM
LONG TERM...BPM
AVIATION...JDL
FIRE WEATHER...JATHazardous weather outlook, May 19, 3:16 AM EDT, 6 hours 32 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 316 AM EDT SAT MAY 19 2007 NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062-200730- MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON- 316 AM EDT SAT MAY 19 2007 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING... ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT SUNDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FROST ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FROST ADVISORY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NCZ033-049-050-063>065-200730- AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON- 316 AM EDT SAT MAY 19 2007 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FROST ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-200730- ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON- MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL- BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL- RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK- OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS- GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG- CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD- 316 AM EDT SAT MAY 19 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-200730- RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT- 316 AM EDT SAT MAY 19 2007 ...FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FIRE DANGER STATEMENT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FIRE WEATHER WATCH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, May 19, 8:13 AM EDT, 1 hour 35 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 813 AM EDT SAT MAY 19 2007 GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-192200- RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...TOCCOA... HARTWELL...ELBERTON 813 AM EDT SAT MAY 19 2007 ...FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL FALL TO NEAR CRITICAL VALUES FOR SEVERAL HOURS THIS AFTERNOON IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA...FROM RABUN TO HABERSHAM COUNTIES. THE DRY CONDITIONS WILL COMBINE WITH LOW FUEL MOISTURE TO ELEVATE FIRE DANGER. 07
The office that day
Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2:54 AM EDT | Fire Weather Watch | GSP | Elbert, Franklin, Habersham, Hart, Rabun, Stephens | 12 hr |
| May 19, 2:59 PM EDT | Red Flag Warning | GSP | Elbert, Franklin, Habersham, Hart, Rabun, Stephens | 29 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Georgia, 2007Every red flag warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.