High Wind Watch 2, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

000 
WWUS72 KGSP 061539
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1039 AM EST TUE FEB 6 2007

...DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING OVER THE
NORTHERN MOUNTAINS...

.AN ALBERTA CLIPPER WILL DIVE SOUTH...ACROSS WEST VIRGINIA
TONIGHT...AND OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WEDNESDAY MORNING. A
STRONG WIND FIELD WILL DEVELOP SOUTH OF THE LOW...WITH WIND GUSTS
UP TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE
NORTHERN MOUNTAINS BEGINNING LATE THIS EVENING. AS THE LOW MOVES
EAST OF THE REGION...THE WINDS WILL TURN A LITTLE MORE OUT OF THE
NORTH...AND DAMAGING WINDS COULD ADVANCE FARTHER EAST...INTO THE
LEE SLOPES OF THE BLUE RIDGE...FROM LITTLE SWITZERLAND NORTH TO
JONAS RIDGE AND JUST SOUTH OF BLOWING ROCK BY SUNRISE.

NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505-062200-
/O.CON.KGSP.HW.A.0002.070206T2300Z-070207T1700Z/
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE
1039 AM EST TUE FEB 6 2007

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM EST THIS EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

A HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM EST THIS EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

WESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH LATER THIS EVENING
ACROSS THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS. GUSTS TO 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE LATER
TONIGHT. THE STRONG WINDS MAY SPREAD ACROSS THE LEE SLOPES EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING...BEFORE DIMINISHING LATER IN THE DAY. WINDS OF
THIS STRENGTH WILL DOWN TREES AND LIMBS AND CAUSE SCATTERED POWER
OUTAGES. MINOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE COULD ALSO OCCUR.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

$$

000 
WWUS72 KGSP 061853
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
153 PM EST TUE FEB 6 2007

...STRONG WINDS POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.AN ALBERTA CLIPPER WILL DIVE SOUTH...ACROSS WEST VIRGINIA
TONIGHT...AND OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WEDNESDAY MORNING. A
STRONG WIND FIELD WILL DEVELOP SOUTH OF THE LOW...WITH 50 TO 60
MPH WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE ACROSS HIGH ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTH
CAROLINA MOUNTAINS BEGINNING LATE THIS EVENING. AS THE LOW MOVES
EAST OF THE REGION...THE WINDS WILL PICK UP A NORTHERLY
COMPONENT...GIVING RISE TO THE POSSIBILITY OF STRONG WINDS
DEVELOPING INTO THE LOWER VALLEYS WEDNESDAY MORNING.

NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505-070400-
/O.NEW.KGSP.WI.Y.0005.070207T0200Z-070207T0900Z/
/O.EXT.KGSP.HW.A.0002.070207T0900Z-070207T1700Z/
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE
153 PM EST TUE FEB 6 2007

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...
...HIGH WIND WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO
4 AM EST WEDNESDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM
LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH LATER THIS EVENING
ACROSS THE AREA. GUSTS TO 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE LATER
TONIGHT ACROSS HIGH ELEVATIONS. THE STRONG WINDS MAY SPREAD
ACROSS THE LEE SLOPES AND LOWER VALLEYS EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...BEFORE DIMINISHING BY AFTERNOON. DUE TO THE VERY WINDY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED...IT IS POSSIBLE THAT A FEW TREES OR POWER
LINES COULD BE TOPPLED.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062>065-507-509-070400-
/O.NEW.KGSP.WI.Y.0005.070207T0200Z-070207T0900Z/
MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-
SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
POLK MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEROKEE...WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...
SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE...LAKE LURE
153 PM EST TUE FEB 6 2007

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO
4 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH LATER THIS EVENING ACROSS
THE AREA. GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE LATER TONIGHT
ACROSS HIGH ELEVATIONS. THE STRONG WINDS MAY SPREAD ACROSS THE LEE
SLOPES AND LOWER VALLEYS EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...BEFORE
DIMINISHING BY AFTERNOON. DUE TO THE VERY WINDY CONDITIONS
EXPECTED...IT IS POSSIBLE THAT A FEW TREES OR POWER LINES COULD BE
TOPPLED.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

CSH

000 
WWUS72 KGSP 070318
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1018 PM EST TUE FEB 6 2007

...STRONG WINDS POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.AN ALBERTA CLIPPER WILL DIVE SOUTH...ACROSS WEST VIRGINIA
TONIGHT...AND OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WEDNESDAY MORNING. A
STRONG WIND FIELD WILL DEVELOP SOUTH OF THE LOW...WITH 50 TO
60 MPH WIND GUSTS ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTH
CAROLINA MOUNTAINS. AS THE LOW MOVES EAST OF THE REGION...THE
WINDS WILL PICK UP A NORTHERLY COMPONENT...GIVING RISE TO THE
POSSIBILITY OF STRONG WINDS DEVELOPING INTO SOME OF THE LOWER
VALLEYS EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505-070900-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-070207T0900Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.HW.A.0002.070207T0900Z-070207T1700Z/
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE
1018 PM EST TUE FEB 6 2007

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY. A
HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH...MAINLY OVER THE NORTHERN
NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...AND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH ARE ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS SOME OF THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THE STRONG WINDS MAY SPREAD
ACROSS THE LEE SLOPES AND LOWER VALLEYS EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...BEFORE DIMINISHING BY AFTERNOON. DUE TO THE VERY WINDY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED...IT IS POSSIBLE THAT A FEW TREES OR POWER
LINES COULD BE TOPPLED.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062>065-507-509-070900-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-070207T0900Z/
MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-
SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
POLK MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEROKEE...WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...
SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE...LAKE LURE
1018 PM EST TUE FEB 6 2007

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH LATER THIS EVENING
ACROSS THE SOUTH AND CENTRAL MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA. GUSTS
IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE LATER TONIGHT ACROSS THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS. THE STRONG WINDS MAY SPREAD ACROSS THE LEE SLOPES AND
LOWER VALLEYS EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING... BEFORE DIMINISHING BY
AFTERNOON. DUE TO THE VERY WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED...IT IS
POSSIBLE THAT A FEW TREES OR POWER LINES COULD BE TOPPLED.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

000 
WWUS72 KGSP 070503
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1203 AM EST WED FEB 7 2007

...STRONG WINDS TO CONTINUE THROUGH NOON ACROSS THE NORTHERN 
MOUNTAINS AND THE EAST SLOPES OF THE BLUE RIDGE...

.AN ALBERTA CLIPPER WILL MOVE OFF THE VIRGINIA CAPES BY SUNRISE.
A STRONG WIND FIELD EXISTS SOUTH OF THE LOW...AND WINDS HAVE
ALREADY GUSTED OVER 70 MPH ATOP MOUNT MITCHELL THIS EVENING. AS
THE LOW MOVES EAST OF THE REGION...WINDS WILL TURN MORE OUT OF THE
NORTH AND COLDER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE MOUNTAINS. THIS WILL
RESULT IN THE STRONGER WINDS AFFECTING VALLEY LOCATIONS AND PARTS
OF THE LEE SLOPES FROM LAKE LURE AND BLACK MOUNTAIN NORTHWARD.

NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505-071400-
/O.UPG.KGSP.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-070207T0900Z/
/O.UPG.KGSP.HW.A.0002.070207T0900Z-070207T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KGSP.HW.W.0002.070207T0503Z-070207T1700Z/
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE
1203 AM EST WED FEB 7 2007

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. THE WIND ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. THE HIGH
WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

SUSTAINED WESTERLY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH 
AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS...WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT MORE TO THE NORTHWEST AT 
SIMILAR SPEEDS THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. A FEW SMALL-SCALE 
AREAS OF EVEN STRONGER WINDS ARE POSSIBLE. INITIALLY THE STRONG
WINDS WILL AFFECT THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS.
HOWEVER...AS THE EARLY MORNING HOURS PROGRESS...THE STRONG WINDS
WILL LOWER IN ELEVATION.

EVENTUALLY THESE STRONG WINDS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE LEE SLOPES OF
THE BLUE RIDGE...AFFECTING AREAS FROM LAKE LURE AND BLACK
MOUNTAIN...NORTH TO LITTLE SWITZERLAND...JONAS RIDGE AND AREAS
JUST SOUTH OF BLOWING ROCK. WINDS OF THIS STRENGTH WILL BLOW DOWN
TREES AND LIMBS...RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. MINOR
STRUCTURAL DAMAGE IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

$$

NCZ053-507-071400-
/O.UPG.KGSP.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-070207T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KGSP.HW.W.0002.070207T0503Z-070207T1700Z/
BUNCOMBE-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHEVILLE...LAKE LURE
1203 AM EST WED FEB 7 2007

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. THE WIND ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

SUSTAINED WESTERLY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH 
AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS...WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT MORE TO THE NORTHWEST AT 
SIMILAR SPEEDS THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. A FEW SMALL-SCALE 
AREAS OF EVEN STRONGER WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS SYSTEM. 
INITIALLY THE STRONG WINDS WILL AFFECT THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE 
NORTHERN MOUNTAINS. HOWEVER...AS THE EARLY MORNING HOURS 
PROGRESS...THE STRONG WINDS WILL LOWER IN ELEVATION. 

EVENTUALLY THESE STRONG WINDS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE LEE SLOPES OF
THE BLUE RIDGE...AFFECTING AREAS FROM LAKE LURE AND BLACK
MOUNTAIN...NORTH TO LITTLE SWITZERLAND...JONAS RIDGE AND AREAS
JUST SOUTH OF BLOWING ROCK. WINDS OF THIS STRENGTH WILL BLOW DOWN
TREES AND LIMBS...RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. MINOR
STRUCTURAL DAMAGE IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

$$

NCZ048-051-052-058-059-062>065-509-070900-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-070207T0900Z/
MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-
SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-POLK MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEROKEE...WAYNESVILLE...SYLVA...
FRANKLIN...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE
1203 AM EST WED FEB 7 2007

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

WEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS ACROSS THE SOUTH AND CENTRAL MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA.
GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS. DUE TO THE VERY WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED...IT IS
POSSIBLE THAT A FEW TREES OR POWER LINES COULD BE TOPPLED.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$
MCAVOY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
248 AM EST TUE FEB 6 2007

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
TODAY...
LOW LEVEL ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE WILL INCREASE ACROSS NORTHWEST PORTIONS
OF THE CWFA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL OCCUR IN ADVANCE OF A RATHER
POTENT SURFACE LOW THAT WILL MOVE RAPIDLY ACROSS THE MID-MISS VALLEY
AND OHIO VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. BY 00Z...H10-H5 RH
NEARS 80 PERCENT ACROSS THE NORTHERN MTNS...ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE REMAINS RELATIVELY DRY. WILL RETAIN A TOKEN CHANCE POP FOR
VERY LATE IN THE 1ST PERIOD ACROSS THE NORTHERN MTNS TO ACCOUNT FOR
THIS.

TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...
CONCERNS FOR TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY INCLUDE WINTRY PCPN ALONG THE TN
LINE AND POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS IN PARTS OF THE NC MTNS. THE
SHORT RANGE ENSEMBLE FORECAST CONTINUES TO ADVERTISE A NEARLY 90
PERCENT CHANCE OF MEASURABLE PCPN ALONG THE TN LINE LATER
TONIGHT...AND HAVE RAISED POPS INTO THE LIKELY CATEGORY FROM MADISON
COUNTY NORTHWARD AS A RESULT. THE PCPN TYPE IS GOING TO BE A TOUGH
CALL...THOUGH THE QPF WILL BE QUITE LIGHT REGARDLESS OF WHAT FALLS.
H8 WARM NOSE LOOKS WEAKER ON TONIGHT/S MODELS...SO I DON/T SEE
NORTHERN MTN VALLEYS WARMING A GREAT DEAL OVERNIGHT. USING THE
UNIVERSAL NOMOGRAM AND A LOCAL P-TYPE ALGORITHM YIELDS SNOW AT
ONSET...TRANSITIONING TO MOSTLY FREEZING RAIN IN THE NRN MTNS AFTER
MIDNIGHT...WITH MAINLY RAIN AFTER SUNRISE. LOOKING AT BUFKIT
SOUNDINGS...THIS SEEMS LIKE A REASONABLE CALL. AGAIN...THERE WON/T
BE A LOT OF PCPN...BUT ROADS COULD BECOME QUITE SLICK IN SPOTS LATE
TONIGHT.

THE SECOND ISSUE TONIGHT IS THAT OF THE STRONG LOW LEVEL JET THAT
DEVELOPS ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE CLIPPER SYSTEM THAT DROPS ACROSS
WV. THE NAM CONTINUES TO ADVERTISE A 65+ WESTERLY WIND MAX AT 850MB
ENTERING THE MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 3 AND 6 UTC. WHILE THE STRONGEST
WINDS MOVE ACROSS THE HIGH TERRAIN IN ASSOCIATION WITH WARM
ADVECTION...DAMAGING WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
AS THE CLIPPER PULLS AWAY FROM THE REGION WED MORNING...WEAK COLD
ADVECTION KICKS IN...AND THE FLOW GOES MORE WNW. THIS IS A GOOD FLOW
PATTERN TO GET SOME DAMAGING WINDS IN THE NRN MTNS AND THE LEE
SLOPES...AND THIS IS WHERE I WILL POST THE HIGH WIND WATCH FOR
TONIGHT AND EARLY WED.

MAX TEMPS WILL BE MUCH WARMER ON WED...ESPECIALLY OVER SC AND NE GA
WHERE HIGHS WILL RISE TO NEAR 60. TEMPS WILL BE COOLER IN THE NRN
TIER WHERE LLVL THICKNESSES ARE LOW AND IN THE WESTERN MTNS WHERE
UPSLOPE FLOW WILL KEEP TEMPS IN THE 30S AND 40S.

A COOLER AIRMASS WILL MOVE IN ON THURSDAY. A COUPLE ENSEMBLE MEMBERS
HAVE A LITTLE PCPN BY LATE IN THE DAY...BUT THE OPERATIONAL MODELS
LOOK DRY.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
LATE THU NIGHT AND FRI THE GFS DEVELOPS A QUICK SHOT OF UPGLIDE
AHEAD OF A STRONG NRN STREAM SHORT WAVE. THE NAM IS MUCH WEAKER
WITH THIS FEATURE...AS ARE THE ECMWF AND UKMET...SO I/M QUITE
SKEPTICAL THAT THIS FEATURE WILL ACTUALLY MATERIALIZE. HOWEVER...I
DID LOWER MAX TEMPS 4 TO 5 DEG ON FRI...CLOSER TO THE MEX
GUIDANCE...AND WENT WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES. IF THE GFS IS
LATCHING ON TO SOMETHING...PCPN TYPE COULD BE SNOW IN THE NORTHERN
ZONES. NO CHANGES WERE MADE AFTER FRIDAY TO THE GRIDS.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z-06Z/...
QUIET AVIATION WEATHER ANTICIPATED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AS A
VERY DRY AIRMASS REMAINS IN PLACE OVER THE REGION. THIS WILL BEGIN
TO BE GRADUALLY DISPLACED LATER TODAY...AS SOUTHERLY FLOW INCREASES
AHEAD OF APPROACHING COLD FRONT. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE
THROUGH THE FIRST 12 HOURS OR SO OF THE PERIOD...THEN PICK UP OUT OF
THE SOUTHWEST BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. WINDS COULD BECOME GUSTY BY
LATE AFTERNOON...BUT WILL OMIT GUSTS FROM THE FORECAST ATTM. WINDS
MAY REMAIN GUSTY WELL INTO THE LATE EVENING...AS SURFACE GRADIENT
CONTINUES TO TIGHTEN IN RESPONSE TO LOW PRESSURE.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
     FOR NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505.

     WIND CHILL ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR NCZ033-049-
     050-501-503-505.

SC...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...JDL/MCAVOY
LONG TERM...MCAVOY
AVIATION...JDL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
354 PM EST MON FEB 5 2007

NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505-062100-
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
354 PM EST MON FEB 5 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NORTH
CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...THE COMBINATION OF COLD TEMPERATURES AND A
NORTHWEST WIND OF 10 TO 15 MPH WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND
CHILL VALUES. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS
EVENING UNTIL 9 AM TUESDAY MORNING. FOR MORE INFORMATION...SEE THE
URGENT WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE ISSUED AT 226 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF SNOW SNOWERS ACROSS THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS
AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE FROM LATE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. AT THIS TIME...ANY
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT. ANOTHER SMALL CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS WILL COME ON SATURDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062>065-507-509-062100-
MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-
SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
POLK MOUNTAINS-
354 PM EST MON FEB 5 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NORTH
CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY THAT SOME LOCATIONS COULD SEE A SNOW
SHOWER FROM LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON TO WEDNESDAY MORNING...MAINLY
AT THE HIGH ELEVATIONS AND ALONG THE TENNESSEE BORDER. IF THERE IS
AN ACCUMULATION...IT WILL BE LIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-
506-508-510-SCZ001>014-019-062100-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-
DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-
UNION NC-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
354 PM EST MON FEB 5 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
GEORGIA...PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

MOORE