Flash Flood Warning 7, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

000 
WGUS72 KGSP 262355
FFSGSP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
749 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007

NCC099-270215-
JACKSON NC-
749 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 PM EDT FOR
NORTHERN JACKSON COUNTY...

AT 747 PM EDT...COUNTY OFFICIALS REPORTED THAT ARROWOOD ROAD JUST 
OFF OF HIGHWAY 74 HALF WAY BETWEEN SYLVA AND BALSAM.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO SYLVA AND
BALSAM

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

TO REPORT HIGH WATER...FLOODING...MUDSLIDES...LANDSLIDES OR OTHER
SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH OUR AUTOMATED REPORTING SYSTEM...CALL OUR TOLL
FREE NUMBER...1 8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

LAT...LON 3528 8312 3530 8301 3542 8300 3549 8325
      3535 8327

$$

ARK

000 
WGUS72 KGSP 270013
FFSGSP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
813 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007

NCC099-270215-
JACKSON NC-
813 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 PM EDT FOR
NORTHERN JACKSON COUNTY...

AT 747 PM EDT...COUNTY OFFICIALS REPORTED THAT ARROWOOD ROAD IS 
FLOODING JUST OFF OF HIGHWAY 74 HALF WAY BETWEEN SYLVA AND BALSAM.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO SYLVA AND
BALSAM

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

TO REPORT HIGH WATER...FLOODING...MUDSLIDES...LANDSLIDES OR OTHER
SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH OUR AUTOMATED REPORTING SYSTEM...CALL OUR TOLL
FREE NUMBER...1 8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

LAT...LON 3528 8312 3530 8301 3542 8300 3549 8325
      3535 8327

$$

ARK

000 
WGUS72 KGSP 270212
FFSGSP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1011 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007

NCC099-270221-
JACKSON NC-
1011 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 1015 PM EDT FOR NORTHERN
JACKSON COUNTY...

NO ADDITIONAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED.  ALL RAIN IN JACKSON COUNTY HAS 
ENDED AND AREA STREAMS AND CREEKS CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE.
 
TO REPORT HIGH WATER...FLOODING...MUDSLIDES...LANDSLIDES OR OTHER 
SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH OUR AUTOMATED REPORTING SYSTEM...CALL OUR 
TOLL FREE NUMBER...1 8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

LAT...LON 3528 8312 3530 8301 3542 8300 3549 8325
      3535 8327

$$

ARK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
714 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION ON SUNDAY. IT WILL THEN
SLOWLY PUSH SOUTH...INTO THE MIDLANDS BY TUESDAY AND TO THE COAST BY
NEXT THURSDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
ENHANCED CU EVIDENT ON THE LATEST SATELLITE IMAGE ACROSS THE HIGHER
TERRAIN AND ALONG THE I-77 CORRIDOR SOUTH INTO THE MIDLANDS. LAPS
CAPE ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT DWPTS HAVE MIXED OUT ACROSS THE
PIEDMONT THIS AFTERNOON...YIELDING CAPES BELOW 1000 J/KG. CAPE
REMAINS THE HIGHEST ACROSS THE MTNS AND THE UPPER SAVANNAH RIVER
VALLEY. STORMS SHOULD REMAIN THE STRONGEST ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF
OF THE CWA...THE INTENSITY OF THE SHRA/TSRA MAY INCREASE EAST OF THE
MTNS LATE THIS AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING. BY 3Z...CONVECTION WILL
BEGIN TO ASH OUT...LEAVING DEBRIS CLOUDS THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS. LATE TONIGHT...MOST OF THE CWA SHOULD HAVE THIN SKY
COVER...LIGHT/CALM WINDS...AND DWPT DEPRESSIONS WITHIN THREE
DEGREES. NAM COND PRESS DEFICITS PAINTS AREAS LESS THE 10 MB ACROSS
THE FTHILLS AND PIEDMONT ALONG WITH THE MTNS VALLEYS BY 9Z. AREAS
THAT RECEIVE RAINFALL THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOULD HAVE THE
GREATEST FOG POTENTIAL TONIGHT.

FRI...PATTERN REMAINS VERY SIMILAR TO TODAY. HOWEVER...FORCING
ASSOCIATED WITH THE CLOSED LOW SHOULD BE LESS. COVERAGE OF THE
CONVECTION SHOULD BE CLOSELY ASSOCIATED TO THE DIURNAL INSTABILITY.
I WILL FAVOR THE MTNS FOR AFTERNOON SHRA/TSRA...KEEPING ALL AREAS
NORTH OF I-85 LIMITED TO A CHC. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A LITTLE HIGHER
TOMORROW...ESPECIALLY EAST OF THE MTNS. FOLLOWING A MOS
CONSENSUS...LOW 80S EXPECTED IN THE MTN VALLEYS TO LOW 90S ACROSS
THE PIEDMONT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
RAIN CHANCES ARE LOOKING BETTER FOR SATURDAY AS A SHORT WAVE...WHICH
IS CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER THE NRN PLAINS...WILL TRACK DOWN THE BACK
SIDE OF THE ERN CONUS LONG WAVE. THE NAM AND GFS ARE SIMILAR IN
THEIR HANDLING OF THE FEATURE WHICH THEY BRING INTO WV AS A WEAKLY
CLOSED LOW BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. IT APPEARS THAT AN MCS WILL ENTER
THE NC MTNS AROUND SUNRISE ON SATURDAY AND THEN TRACK ESE DURING THE
DAY. HOPEFULLY THIS WILL PROVIDE A LITTLE MORE WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL...THOUGH THE BEST SYNOPTIC SCALE FORCING LOOKS TO PASS A
LITTLE TO OUR NORTH IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE VORT OVER WV.
STILL...I/M GOING WITH LIKELY POPS ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...TAPERING
TO LOW CHANCE IN THE SE TIER.

BY SUNDAY...THE NAM IS FARTHER SOUTH WITH IT/S LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION...WITH AN H8 LOW CENTER RIGHT ON TOP OF GSP. THIS
RESULTS IN LLVL UPSLOPE FLOW ACROSS MOST OF THE APPALACHIANS DURING
THE DAY. THE GFS HAS IT/S LOW CENTER MUCH FARTHER TO THE NORTH AND
DOES NOT AVE ANY EASTERLY UPSLOPE FLOW TO SPEAK OF. ALOFT...THE LONG
WAVE AXIS WILL BE JUST EAST OF THE REGION. IT/S HARD TO PUT MUCH
STOCK IN THE SMALLER WAVES THIS FAR OUT...BUT WITH THE ORIENTATION
OF THE LONG WAVE...BEST CONVECTIVE COVERAGE WILL PROBABLY BE TO OUR
EAST. I STILL HAVE CHANCE POPS IN EVERYWHERE...BUT I WOULD EXPECT A
DRIER DAY OVERALL ON SUNDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THE LONG TERM FORECAST PERIOD BEGINS WITH A RATHER BAGGY UPPER TROF
IN PLACE ACROSS THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE COUNTY. THIS TROF PERSISTS
IN THIS REGION AND IS ONLY EXPECTED TO MAKE GRADUAL EASTWARD PROGRESS
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. AS THE AXIS OF THE TROF SHIFTS OFF
THE EAST COAST WED MORNING...UPPER RIDGING BUILDS N OF THE GREAT
LAKES. AT THE SURFACE...THE MAIN FEATURE OF INTEREST IS A COLD FRONT
THAT HPC ADVERTISES AS BEING DRAPED ACROSS THE FA ON MON...PUSHING
FURTHER S AND E OF THE AREA BY TUES. THE FORECAST FOLLOWS THE HPC
SOLUTION CLOSELY AND FEATURES SOLID CHANCE POPS THROUGHOUT THE
PERIOD...MAINLY EACH AFTERNOON/EVENING IN LINE WITH A DIURNAL TREND.
AS WITH THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE...TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR OR
SLIGHTLY BELOW CLIMO THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /23Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS ANVIL CIRRUS OVER THE MOUNTAINS
THIS EVENING...IN A WEST SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. TO THE EAST...
SCATTERED CUMULUS AND A FEW CIRRUS WERE INDICATED. RADAR RETURNS
SUGGEST THUNDER AND BROKEN CUMULUS IN PORTIONS OF THE MOUNTAINS...
INCLUDING KAVL...AS WELL AS AT KGSP AND KGMU IN THE SC FOOTHILLS.
TEMPORARY THUNDER WILL BE CARRIED AT KAVL...KGSP AND KGMU PER RADAR
TRENDS...AND CUMULONIMBUS WILL BE CARRIED AT KHKY.  A LOW VFR
CEILING WILL BE CARRIED AT KAVL FOR A PORTION OF THE EVENING...AND
TEMPORARILY WITH THUNDER AT KGSP AND KGMU.

CALM WINDS...CLEARING SKY...AND WARM DEWPOINTS SHOULD YIELD
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF FOG...AFTER MIDNIGHT AT
KAVL...AND BEFORE DAWN ELSEWHERE. THE FOG SHOULD BE THE THICKEST
NEAR AREAS OF RECENT RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY THE MOUNTAIN VALLEYS.
MVFR VISIBILITY WILL BE CARRIED AT ALL TERMINALS. KAVL MAY FALL TO
LIFR LATE TONIGHT. BY 14Z...THE FOG SHOULD MIX OUT...LEAVING
SCATTERED CUMULUS AND LIGHT SW WINDS. ALTHOUGH ANOTHER ROUND OF
SCATTERED CONVECTION IS EXPECTED FRIDAY AFTERNOON...AT THIS POINT
ONLY A LOW VFR CEILING WILL BE CARRIED AT KAVL.

AVIATION OUTLOOK...A MOIST EASTERLY FLOW WILL LEAD TO CONTINUED
CLOUDS...MORNING FOG...ESPECIALLY AT KAVL...AND AT LEAST SCATTERED
LATE DAY CONVECTION INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MCAVOY
NEAR TERM...NED
SHORT TERM...MCAVOY
LONG TERM...BSH
AVIATION...JAT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
442 AM EDT THU JUL 26 2007

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-270845-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER-
IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-
ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
442 AM EDT THU JUL 26 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY OVER THE NORTH AND CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS AND THE FOOTHILLS OF NORTH CAROLINA TODAY...MAINLY THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
THE REST OF THE FORECAST AREA BY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY. ISOLATED
SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOONS AND
EVENINGS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
305 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007

NCZ052-261930-
HAYWOOD-
305 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN HAYWOOD COUNTY THROUGH
330 PM EDT...

AT 305 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR CANTON...OR 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF
WAYNESVILLE. THIS STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

* OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO CLYDE AND
  CANTON.

PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

BSH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
608 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007

NCZ059-262245-
NORTHERN JACKSON-
608 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN JACKSON COUNTY THROUGH
645 PM EDT...

AT 605 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES NORTHEAST OF SYLVA...MOVING EAST AT 15
MPH.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  BALSAM BY 620 PM EDT.

PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

ARK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
631 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 S NEWLAND             36.07N 81.93W
07/26/2007                   AVERY              NC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            AVERY COUNTY COMMUNICATIONS CENTER REPORTED ONE FOOT OF
            WATER FLOWING ACROSS THE ROAD AT THE BRIDGE FOR THE NORTH
            TOE RIVER.

&&

OUTLAW

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
642 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007

NCZ059-262315-
NORTHERN JACKSON-
642 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN JACKSON COUNTY THROUGH
715 PM EDT...

AT 639 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF CULLOWHEE...OR 5 MILES EAST
OF SYLVA...MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  BALSAM BY 650 PM EDT.

PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

ARK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
700 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007

SCZ006-262330-
GREATER GREENVILLE-
700 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN GREENVILLE COUNTY
THROUGH 730 PM EDT...

AT 656 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR FOUNTAIN INN...OR 13 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
GREENVILLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

SMALL HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

INTENSE LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...STAY
AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. MOVE INDOORS IF
POSSIBLE. WHEN INDOORS...STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID
USING TELEPHONES UNLESS IT IS AN EMERGENCY. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY
ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES BEFORE THE THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

ARK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
715 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007

NCZ053-505>508-262345-
BUNCOMBE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-GREATER RUTHERFORD-MCDOWELL
MOUNTAINS-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
715 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN RUTHERFORD...
SOUTHEASTERN BUNCOMBE AND SOUTHERN MCDOWELL COUNTIES THROUGH 745 PM
EDT...

AT 713 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF BAT CAVE...OR 17 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF MARION...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO CHIMNEY
  ROCK...THERMAL CITY...SUGAR HILL...OLD FORT...GLENWOOD AND FERO.

PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

ARK