Alert archive / North Carolina / Flash Flood Warnings in 2007
Flash Flood Warning 6, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this flash flood warning at Jul 26, 2007, 5:26 PM EDT for Avery County, North Carolina. It was in force for 3 hr. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 26, 2007, 5:26 PM EDT (21:26 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 26, 2007, 8:30 PM EDT
- In force
- 3 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
- Area
- Whole counties
County Avery County, NC
The radar
The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 133 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 6:00 PM EDT | FLASH FLOOD | 1 S Newland, NC | AVERY COUNTY COMMUNICATIONS CENTER REPORTED ONE FOOT OF WATER FLOWING ACROSS THE ROAD AT THE BRIDGE FOR THE NORTH TOE RIVER. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 9.4 hours before the alert went out and 182 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 696 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -31 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 794 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 19 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 14 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 25 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WGUS52 KGSP 262128 FFWGSP NCC011-270030- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 526 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... CENTRAL AVERY COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF NEWLAND... * UNTIL 830 PM EDT * AT 523 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT 3 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN NORTH OF NEWLAND OVER THE PAST HOUR. ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SAME AREAS WITH AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN LIKELY. * LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BANNER ELK...MINNEAPOLIS...AND NEWLAND. A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. EVEN MODERN SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES CANNOT BE SAFELY DRIVEN THROUGH FLOOD WATERS. TO REPORT HIGH WATER...FLOODING...MUDSLIDES...LANDSLIDES OR OTHER SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH OUR AUTOMATED REPORTING SYSTEM...CALL OUR TOLL FREE NUMBER...1 8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2. LAT...LON 3599 8206 3599 8183 3617 8183 3617 8206 $$ ARK
2 follow-up statements
000 WGUS72 KGSP 262240 FFSGSP FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 635 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007 NCC011-270030- AVERY NC- 635 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007 ...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM EDT FOR CENTRAL AVERY COUNTY... AT 631 PM EDT...COUNTY OFFICIALS HAD REPORTED FLOODING OVER A PORTION OF THE TOE RIVER IN THE WARNED AREA. THE THUNDERSTORMS THAT HAVE PRODUCED THE HEAVY RAINS HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED AREA.. HOWEVER...WATER LEVELS ON MANY CREEKS AND STREAMS MAY STILL BE HIGH DUE TO RUN OFF. LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO NEWLAND AND BANNER ELK TO REPORT HIGH WATER...FLOODING...MUDSLIDES...LANDSLIDES OR OTHER SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH OUR AUTOMATED REPORTING SYSTEM...CALL OUR TOLL FREE NUMBER...1 8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2. LAT...LON 3599 8206 3599 8183 3617 8183 3617 8206 $$ ARK
000 WGUS72 KGSP 270030 FFSGSP FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 828 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007 NCC011-270038- AVERY NC- 828 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007 ...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING EXPIRES AT 830 PM EDT FOR CENTRAL AVERY COUNTY... NO ADDITIONAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED. ALL RAIN IN AVERY COUNTY HAD ENDED AND AREA STREAMS AND CREEKS CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE. TO REPORT HIGH WATER...FLOODING...MUDSLIDES...LANDSLIDES OR OTHER SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH OUR AUTOMATED REPORTING SYSTEM...CALL OUR TOLL FREE NUMBER...1 8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2. LAT...LON 3599 8206 3599 8183 3617 8183 3617 8206 $$ DEO
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 26, 3:22 PM EDT, 2 hours 4 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 26, 3:22 PM EDT, 2 hours 4 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 322 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007 .SYNOPSIS... A COLD FRONT MOVE INTO THE REGION ON SUNDAY. IT WILL THEN SLOWLY PUSH SOUTH...INTO THE MIDLANDS BY TUESDAY AND TO THE COAST BY NEXT THURSDAY. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/... ENHANCED CU EVIDENT ON THE LATEST SATELLITE IMAGE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND ALONG THE I-77 CORRIDOR SOUTH INTO THE MIDLANDS. LAPS CAPE ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT DWPTS HAVE MIXED OUT ACROSS THE PIEDMONT THIS AFTERNOON...YIELDING CAPES BELOW 1000 J/KG. CAPE REMAINS THE HIGHEST ACROSS THE MTNS AND THE UPPER SAVANNAH RIVER VALLEY. STORMS SHOULD REMAIN THE STRONGEST ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE CWA...THE INTENSITY OF THE SHRA/TSRA MAY INCREASE EAST OF THE MTNS LATE THIS AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING. BY 3Z...CONVECTION WILL BEGIN TO ASH OUT...LEAVING DEBRIS CLOUDS THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. LATE TONIGHT...MOST OF THE CWA SHOULD HAVE THIN SKY COVER...LIGHT/CALM WINDS...AND DWPT DEPRESSIONS WITHIN THREE DEGREES. NAM COND PRESS DEFICITS PAINTS AREAS LESS THE 10 MB ACROSS THE FTHILLS AND PIEDMONT ALONG WITH THE MTNS VALLEYS BY 9Z. AREAS THAT RECEIVE RAINFALL THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOULD HAVE THE GREATEST FOG POTENTIAL TONIGHT. FRI...PATTERN REMAINS VERY SIMILAR TO TODAY. HOWEVER...FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THE CLOSED LOW SHOULD BE LESS. COVERAGE OF THE CONVECTION SHOULD BE CLOSELY ASSOCIATED TO THE DIURNAL INSTABILITY. I WILL FAVOR THE MTNS FOR AFTERNOON SHRA/TSRA...KEEPING ALL AREAS NORTH OF I-85 LIMITED TO A CHC. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A LITTLE HIGHER TOMORROW...ESPECIALLY EAST OF THE MTNS. FOLLOWING A MOS CONSENSUS...LOW 80S EXPECTED IN THE MTN VALLEYS TO LOW 90S ACROSS THE PIEDMONT. && .SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... RAIN CHANCES ARE LOOKING BETTER FOR SATURDAY AS A SHORT WAVE...WHICH IS CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER THE NRN PLAINS...WILL TRACK DOWN THE BACK SIDE OF THE ERN CONUS LONG WAVE. THE NAM AND GFS ARE SIMILAR IN THEIR HANDLING OF THE FEATURE WHICH THEY BRING INTO WV AS A WEAKLY CLOSED LOW BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. IT APPEARS THAT AN MCS WILL ENTER THE NC MTNS AROUND SUNRISE ON SATURDAY AND THEN TRACK ESE DURING THE DAY. HOPEFULLY THIS WILL PROVIDE A LITTLE MORE WIDESPREAD RAINFALL...THOUGH THE BEST SYNOPTIC SCALE FORCING LOOKS TO PASS A LITTLE TO OUR NORTH IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE VORT OVER WV. STILL...I/M GOING WITH LIKELY POPS ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...TAPERING TO LOW CHANCE IN THE SE TIER. BY SUNDAY...THE NAM IS FARTHER SOUTH WITH IT/S LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION...WITH AN H8 LOW CENTER RIGHT ON TOP OF GSP. THIS RESULTS IN LLVL UPSLOPE FLOW ACROSS MOST OF THE APPALACHIANS DURING THE DAY. THE GFS HAS IT/S LOW CENTER MUCH FARTHER TO THE NORTH AND DOES NOT AVE ANY EASTERLY UPSLOPE FLOW TO SPEAK OF. ALOFT...THE LONG WAVE AXIS WILL BE JUST EAST OF THE REGION. IT/S HARD TO PUT MUCH STOCK IN THE SMALLER WAVES THIS FAR OUT...BUT WITH THE ORIENTATION OF THE LONG WAVE...BEST CONVECTIVE COVERAGE WILL PROBABLY BE TO OUR EAST. I STILL HAVE CHANCE POPS IN EVERYWHERE...BUT I WOULD EXPECT A DRIER DAY OVERALL ON SUNDAY. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... THE LONG TERM FORECAST PERIOD BEGINS WITH A RATHER BAGGY UPPER TROF IN PLACE ACROSS THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE COUNTY. THIS TROF PERSISTS IN THIS REGION AND IS ONLY EXPECTED TO MAKE GRADUAL EASTWARD PROGRESS THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. AS THE AXIS OF THE TROF SHIFTS OFF THE EAST COAST WED MORNING...UPPER RIDGING BUILDS N OF THE GREAT LAKES. AT THE SURFACE...THE MAIN FEATURE OF INTEREST IS A COLD FRONT THAT HPC ADVERTISES AS BEING DRAPED ACROSS THE FA ON MON...PUSHING FURTHER S AND E OF THE AREA BY TUES. THE FORECAST FOLLOWS THE HPC SOLUTION CLOSELY AND FEATURES SOLID CHANCE POPS THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD...MAINLY EACH AFTERNOON/EVENING IN LINE WITH A DIURNAL TREND. AS WITH THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE...TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW CLIMO THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. && .AVIATION /20Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... DEEP CONVECTION BEGINNING TO DEVELOP OVER THE EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MTNS AND ACROSS THE EASTERN EXTREME OF THE CWA. THE SHRA/TSRA SHOULD TRACK SLOWLY ESE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. EACH TERMINAL WILL HAVE A GOOD CHANCE OF SEEING A CB WITHIN 20 NM BY 3Z THIS EVENING. BY LATE THIS EVENING...COVERAGE OF THE CONVECTION SHOULD DECREASE AND DEBRIS CLOUDS SHOULD THIN. CALM WINDS...CLEARING SKY...AND WARM DEWPOINTS SHOULD YIELD FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF FOG. THE FOG SHOULD BE THE THICKEST NEAR AREAS OF RECENT RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY THE MTN VALLEYS. I WILL CARRY MVFR AT ALL TERMINALS...KAVL MAY FALL TO LIFR LATE TONIGHT. BY 14Z...THE FOG SHOULD MIX OUT...LEAVING SCT CU AND LIGHT SW WINDS. AVIATION OUTLOOK...A MOIST EASTERLY FLOW WILL LEAD TO CONTINUED CLOUDS...MORNING FOG...ESPECIALLY AT KAVL...AND AT LEAST SCATTERED LATE DAY CONVECTION INTO THE WEEKEND. && .GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... GA...NONE. NC...NONE. SC...NONE. && SYNOPSIS...MCAVOY NEAR TERM...NED SHORT TERM...MCAVOY LONG TERM...BSH AVIATION...NED
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 26, 4:42 AM EDT, 12 hours 44 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 442 AM EDT THU JUL 26 2007 GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065- 068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-270845- RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER- IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA- ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA- HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC- CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE- MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS- GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS- PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE- GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK- ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD- 442 AM EDT THU JUL 26 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY OVER THE NORTH AND CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND THE FOOTHILLS OF NORTH CAROLINA TODAY...MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REST OF THE FORECAST AREA BY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY THERE IS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY. ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOONS AND EVENINGS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 26, 1:35 PM EDT, 3 hours 51 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 135 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007 NCZ033-501-261800- AVERY-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS- 135 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN AVERY AND NORTHWESTERN CALDWELL COUNTIES THROUGH 200 PM EDT... AT 135 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GLOBE...OR 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NEWLAND. THIS STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY. * OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO UPTON... GLOBE AND EDGEMONT. PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. BSH
Special weather statement, Jul 26, 1:40 PM EDT, 3 hours 46 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 140 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007 NCZ064-261815- TRANSYLVANIA- 140 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN TRANSYLVANIA COUNTY THROUGH 215 PM EDT... AT 139 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR BREVARD...MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO LITTLE RIVER...BREVARD AND BALSAM GROVE. PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. BSH
Special weather statement, Jul 26, 2:20 PM EDT, 3 hours 6 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 220 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007 NCZ057-261845- ROWAN- 220 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN ROWAN COUNTY THROUGH 245 PM EDT... AT 220 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR ROCKWELL...OR 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SALISBURY. THIS STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY. * OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO SPENCER... ROCKWELL...GRANITE QUARRY...GOLD HILL...FAITH AND CRAVEN. PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. BSH
Special weather statement, Jul 26, 2:46 PM EDT, 2 hours 40 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 246 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007 NCZ053-505-261915- BUNCOMBE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS- 246 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN BUNCOMBE AND SOUTHWESTERN MCDOWELL COUNTIES THROUGH 315 PM EDT... AT 246 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BLACK MOUNTAIN...OR 14 MILES EAST OF ASHEVILLE. THIS STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY. * OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO SWANNANOA...MONTREAT AND BLACK MOUNTAIN. PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. BSH
Special weather statement, Jul 26, 3:05 PM EDT, 2 hours 21 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 305 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007 NCZ052-261930- HAYWOOD- 305 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN HAYWOOD COUNTY THROUGH 330 PM EDT... AT 305 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR CANTON...OR 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF WAYNESVILLE. THIS STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY. * OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO CLYDE AND CANTON. PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. BSH
The office that day
Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 7:19 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | GSP | Jackson | 3 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2007Every flash flood warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.