Alert archive / Michigan / Winter Storm Warnings in 2007
Winter Storm Warning 10, NWS Grand Rapids, MI
NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued this winter storm warning at Dec 23, 2007, 4:21 AM EST for 12 counties in Michigan. It was in force for 25 hr. 24 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 23, 2007, 4:21 AM EST (09:21 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 24, 2007, 4:54 AM EST
- In force
- 25 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Counties Allegan County, MI, Kent County, MI, Lake County, MI, Mason County, MI, Mecosta County, MI, Montcalm County, MI, Muskegon County, MI, Newaygo County, MI, Oceana County, MI, Osceola County, MI, Ottawa County, MI, Van Buren County, MI
The radar
The Grand Rapids radar (KGRR), 57 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 5:00 PM EST | SNOW 1.2 | Grand Rapids, MI | |
| Dec 23, 5:00 PM EST | SNOW 2.1 | Byron Center, MI | VISIBILITY OCCASIONALLY DOWN TO 1/16 MILE IN BLOWING SNOW. DRIFTS TO 9 INCHES. |
| Dec 23, 7:17 PM EST | SNOW 2 | 3 N Holland, MI | ESTIMATED WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH VISIBILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 MILES |
| Dec 23, 7:21 PM EST | SNOW 2.7 | Grandville, MI | MEASURE WIND GUST 31 MPH |
| Dec 23, 7:35 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 0 | 4 N Holland, MI | VISIBILITY NEAR ZERO WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH |
| Dec 23, 7:35 PM EST | SNOW 3.1 | Byron Center, MI | DRIFTS TO 2 FEET |
| Dec 23, 7:58 PM EST | SNOW 3 | 3 E Grand Junction, MI | |
| Dec 23, 8:29 PM EST | SNOW 3 | Allendale, MI | |
| Dec 23, 8:29 PM EST | SNOW 3 | Wyoming, MI | WIND ESTIMATED 30 MPH |
| Dec 23, 9:26 PM EST | SNOW 5 | Grand Junction, MI | GUSTS TO 30 MPH |
| Dec 23, 9:39 PM EST | SNOW 3.4 | Sparta, MI | |
| Dec 23, 9:51 PM EST | SNOW 3.5 | 1 Nw Hudsonville, MI | |
| Dec 23, 10:16 PM EST | SNOW 3.2 | Grand Rapids, MI | |
| Dec 23, 10:16 PM EST | SNOW 6 | Allegan, MI | |
| Dec 23, 10:20 PM EST | SNOW 3 | Comstock Park, MI | DRIFTS TO 11 INCHES |
| Dec 23, 10:23 PM EST | SNOW 6 | Grand Rapids, MI | |
| Dec 23, 10:28 PM EST | SNOW 4.5 | Grand Rapids, MI | THIS IS A PRELIMINARY MEASUREMENT. NEXT OFFICIAL OBSERVATION WILL BE AT MIDNIGHT. DRIFTS TO 20 INCHES. |
| Dec 23, 10:40 PM EST | SNOW 5.4 | Grandville, MI | MEASURED WIND GUST 28 MPH 1 1/2 FOOT DRIFTS |
| Dec 23, 11:30 PM EST | SNOW 4 | Paw Paw, MI | |
| Dec 23, 11:30 PM EST | SNOW 5 | Grand Rapids, MI | GERALD R. FORD AIRPORT |
| Dec 23, 11:53 PM EST | SNOW 5 | 1 Nw Hudsonville, MI | |
| Dec 24, 12:03 AM EST | SNOW 4.5 | Plainwell, MI | |
| Dec 24, 3:45 AM EST | SNOW 4 | White Cloud, MI | |
| Dec 24, 4:43 AM EST | SNOW 5.9 | Byron Center, MI | 30 INCH DRIFTS |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 00:00Z, 9.4 hours before the alert went out and 209 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 555 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 44 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 159 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 233 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS43 KGRR 230921 WSWGRR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 421 AM EST SUN DEC 23 2007 .AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH LOWER MICHIGAN THIS MORNING. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL POUR INTO THE REGION CAUSING A QUICK FREEZE UP ON AREA ROADS AND SIDEWALKS. ARCTIC AIR STREAMING IN FROM WISCONSIN AROUND A VERY INTENSE WINTER STORM WILL RESULT IN SNOW SQUALLS FROM THIS AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY MORNING. MOST OF THE ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL BE FROM MID AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF MONDAY. WINDS WILL BE GUSTING NEAR 50 MPH AT TIMES. THE COMBINATION OF THE STRONG WINDS AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL RESULT IN NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WITH VISIBILITIES OCCASIONALLY NEAR ZERO. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL WILL BE NEAR US-131 DUE TO THE STRONG WINDS BLOWING THE SNOW SHOWERS INLAND. MIZ037>039-043-044-050-056-064-231730- /O.UPG.KGRR.WS.A.0012.071223T1600Z-071224T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KGRR.WS.W.0010.071223T0921Z-071224T1200Z/ MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY... HART...FREMONT...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND 421 AM EST SUN DEC 23 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL PLOW INTO THE AREA THIS MORNING CAUSING AREA ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS TO QUICKLY FREEZE UP. STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO OCCUR THROUGH THE DAY...OCCASIONALLY GUSTING AS HIGH AS 50 MPH. SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP TOWARD MID DAY AND CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND PERSIST TONIGHT. MOST OF HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS...AND ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL FROM AROUND 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL AROUND 5 AM MONDAY. IN ADDITION THE VERY STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...AND ALONG WITH THE SNOWFALL NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY AT TIMES. TOTAL SNOWFALL 5 TO 8 INCHES IS LIKELY BY MONDAY MORNING. ALSO...WIND CHILLS WILL FALL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY MORNING. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE FORECASTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ MIZ040-045-046-051-057-058-065-231730- /O.UPG.KGRR.WS.A.0012.071223T1600Z-071224T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KGRR.WW.Y.0014.071223T0921Z-071224T1200Z/ CLARE-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MONTCALM-KENT-IONIA-BARRY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT... GREENVILLE...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...HASTINGS 421 AM EST SUN DEC 23 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL PLOW INTO THE AREA THIS MORNING CAUSING AREA ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS TO QUICKLY FREEZE UP. STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO OCCUR THROUGH THE DAY...OCCASIONALLY GUSTING AS HIGH AS 50 MPH. SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP TOWARD MID DAY AND CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND PERSIST TONIGHT. MOST OF HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS...AND ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL FROM AROUND 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL AROUND 5 AM MONDAY. IN ADDITION THE VERY STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...AND ALONG WITH THE SNOWFALL NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY AT TIMES. TOTAL SNOWFALL 3 TO 6 INCHES IS LIKELY BY MONDAY MORNING. ALSO...WIND CHILLS WILL FALL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY MORNING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ MIZ052-059-066-231730- /O.NEW.KGRR.WW.Y.0014.071223T0921Z-071224T1200Z/ GRATIOT-CLINTON-EATON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALMA...ST. JOHNS...CHARLOTTE 421 AM EST SUN DEC 23 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL PLOW INTO THE AREA THIS MORNING CAUSING AREA ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS TO QUICKLY FREEZE UP. STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO OCCUR THROUGH THE DAY...OCCASIONALLY GUSTING AS HIGH AS 50 MPH. SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP TOWARD MID DAY AND CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE DAY AND PERSIST TONIGHT. MOST OF HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS...AND ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL FROM AROUND 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL AROUND 5 AM MONDAY. IN ADDITION THE VERY STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...AND ALONG WITH THE SNOWFALL NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY AT TIMES. TOTAL SNOWFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES IS LIKELY BY MONDAY MORNING. ALSO...WIND CHILLS WILL FALL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY MORNING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ JK
5 follow-up statements
000 WWUS43 KGRR 231232 CCA WSWGRR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 718 AM EST SUN DEC 23 2007 .AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH LOWER MICHIGAN THIS MORNING. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL POUR INTO THE REGION CAUSING A QUICK FREEZE UP ON AREA ROADS AND SIDEWALKS. ARCTIC AIR STREAMING IN FROM WISCONSIN AROUND A VERY INTENSE WINTER STORM WILL RESULT IN SNOW SQUALLS FROM THIS AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY MORNING. MOST OF THE ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL BE FROM MID AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF MONDAY. WINDS WILL BE GUSTING NEAR 50 MPH AT TIMES. THE COMBINATION OF THE STRONG WINDS AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL RESULT IN NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WITH VISIBILITIES OCCASIONALLY NEAR ZERO. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL WILL BE NEAR US-131 DUE TO THE STRONG WINDS BLOWING THE SNOW SHOWERS INLAND. MIZ037>039-043-044-050-056-064-232045- /O.UPG.KGRR.WS.A.0012.071223T1600Z-071224T1200Z/ /O.COR.KGRR.WS.W.0010.071223T1218Z-071224T1200Z/ MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY... HART...FREMONT...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND 718 AM EST SUN DEC 23 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING. SNOWFALL OF 5 TO 8 INCHES WILL COMBINE WITH WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH TO PRODUCE NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL PLOW INTO THE AREA THIS MORNING CAUSING AREA ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS TO QUICKLY FREEZE UP. STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO OCCUR THROUGH THE DAY...OCCASIONALLY GUSTING AS HIGH AS 50 MPH. SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP TOWARD MID DAY AND WILL BECOME HEAVY BY LATE AFTERNOON. MOST OF THE ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL OCCUR FROM AROUND 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL AROUND 5 AM MONDAY. IN ADDITION THE VERY STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...AND ALONG WITH THE SNOWFALL NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY AT TIMES. TOTAL SNOWFALL 5 TO 8 INCHES IS LIKELY BY MONDAY MORNING. ALSO...WIND CHILLS WILL FALL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY MORNING. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE FORECASTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ MIZ040-045-046-051-057-058-065-232045- /O.UPG.KGRR.WS.A.0012.071223T1600Z-071224T1200Z/ /O.COR.KGRR.WW.Y.0014.071223T1218Z-071224T1200Z/ CLARE-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MONTCALM-KENT-IONIA-BARRY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT... GREENVILLE...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...HASTINGS 718 AM EST SUN DEC 23 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. SNOWFALL OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WILL COMBINE WITH WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH TO PRODUCE NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL PLOW INTO THE AREA THIS MORNING CAUSING AREA ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS TO QUICKLY FREEZE UP. STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO OCCUR THROUGH THE DAY...OCCASIONALLY GUSTING AS HIGH AS 50 MPH. SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP TOWARD MID DAY AND WILL BECOME HEAVY BY LATE AFTERNOON. MOST OF THE ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL OCCUR FROM AROUND 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL AROUND 5 AM MONDAY. IN ADDITION THE VERY STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...AND ALONG WITH THE SNOWFALL NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY AT TIMES. TOTAL SNOWFALL 3 TO 6 INCHES IS LIKELY BY MONDAY MORNING. ALSO...WIND CHILLS WILL FALL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY MORNING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ MIZ052-059-066-232045- /O.COR.KGRR.WW.Y.0014.071223T1218Z-071224T1200Z/ GRATIOT-CLINTON-EATON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALMA...ST. JOHNS...CHARLOTTE 718 AM EST SUN DEC 23 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. SNOWFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WILL COMBINE WITH WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH TO PRODUCE NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL PLOW INTO THE AREA THIS MORNING CAUSING AREA ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS TO QUICKLY FREEZE UP. STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO OCCUR THROUGH THE DAY...OCCASIONALLY GUSTING AS HIGH AS 50 MPH. SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP TOWARD MID DAY AND BECOME LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MOST OF THE ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL OCCUR FROM AROUND 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL AROUND 5 AM MONDAY. IN ADDITION THE VERY STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...AND ALONG WITH THE SNOWFALL NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY AT TIMES. TOTAL SNOWFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES IS LIKELY BY MONDAY MORNING. ALSO...WIND CHILLS WILL FALL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY MORNING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ JK
000 WWUS43 KGRR 231713 WSWGRR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 1213 PM EST SUN DEC 23 2007 .ARCTIC AIR POURING INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST AROUND A VERY INTENSE WINTER STORM WILL RESULT IN SNOW SQUALLS FROM THIS AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY MORNING. MOST OF THE ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL BE FROM MID AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF MONDAY. WINDS WILL BE GUSTING NEAR 50 MPH AT TIMES. THE COMBINATION OF THE STRONG WINDS AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL RESULT IN NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WITH VISIBILITIES OCCASIONALLY NEAR ZERO...ESPECIALLY THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL WILL BE NEAR US-131 DUE TO THE STRONG WINDS BLOWING THE SNOW SHOWERS INLAND. MIZ037>039-043-044-050-056-064-240115- /O.CON.KGRR.WS.W.0010.000000T0000Z-071224T1200Z/ MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY... HART...FREMONT...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND 1213 PM EST SUN DEC 23 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. RAIN FROM EARLY TODAY HAS REFROZE AND SOME SLICK SPOTS HAVE DEVELOPED ON AREA ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS DUE TO THE FALLING TEMPERATURES. STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...OCCASIONALLY GUSTING AS HIGH AS 50 MPH. SNOW SHOWERS WILL BECOMING MORE NUMEROUS THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE AFTERNOON BECOMING HEAVY TOWARDS EVENING. MOST OF THE ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL OCCUR FROM AROUND 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL AROUND 5 AM MONDAY. THE VERY STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...AND ALONG WITH THE SNOWFALL NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY AT TIMES. TOTAL SNOWFALL OF 4 TO 7 INCHES IS LIKELY BY MONDAY MORNING IN THE WARNING AREA. WIND CHILLS VALUES WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE ZERO MUCH OF THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE FORECAST...WHICH WILL MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ040-045-046-051-052-057>059-065-066-240115- /O.CON.KGRR.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-071224T1200Z/ CLARE-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-BARRY- EATON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT... GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...ST. JOHNS...HASTINGS... CHARLOTTE 1213 PM EST SUN DEC 23 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. SOME SLICK SPOTS HAVE ALREADY DEVELOPED ON AREA ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS AS THE MORNING RAIN HAS REFROZE DUE TO THE FALLING TEMPERATURES. STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT...OCCASIONALLY GUSTING AS HIGH AS 50 MPH. SNOW SHOWERS WILL BECOME MORE NUMEROUS THROUGH THE DAY. MOST OF THE ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL OCCUR FROM AROUND 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL AROUND 5 AM MONDAY THOUGH. THE STRONG WINDS ALONG WITH THE SNOWFALL WILL CREATE BLIZZARD LIKE CONDITIONS AT TIMES. TOTAL SNOWFALL OF 2 TO 5 INCHES IS LIKELY BY MONDAY MORNING. THE LOWER AMOUNTS WILL BE EAST TOWARD ALMA AND CHARLOTTE...WITH THE HEAVIER TOTALS IN THE ADVISORY AREA WEST TOWARD HOWARD CITY AND GRAND RAPIDS. WIND CHILL VALUES WILL REMAIN IN THE SINGLE DIGITS MUCH OF THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE SNOW AND WIND WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES...SO BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. YOU ARE URGED TO USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ DUKE
000 WWUS43 KGRR 232136 WSWGRR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 436 PM EST SUN DEC 23 2007 .HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED TONIGHT...WITH 4 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW FALLING BY CHRISTMAS EVE MORNING ALONG AND WEST OF U.S. HIGHWAY 131 FROM SOUTH HAVEN AND PLAINWELL NORTH. IN THE ADVISORY AREA 2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW IN THE ADVISORY FALLING FROM MOUNT PLEASANT TO IONIA AND HASTINGS AND BACK TOWARD THE LAKE SHORE NEAR SOUTH HAVEN. NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED AT TIMES TONIGHT AS STRONG WESTERLY WINDS CREATE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. ADDING TO THE TRAVEL CONCERNS...IS THE RAIN THAT FELL EARLIER HAS REFROZE ON SOME ROADWAYS. MIZ045-051-057-240545- /O.UPG.KGRR.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-071224T1200Z/ /O.EXA.KGRR.WS.W.0010.000000T0000Z-071224T1200Z/ MECOSTA-MONTCALM-KENT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BIG RAPIDS...GREENVILLE...GRAND RAPIDS 436 PM EST SUN DEC 23 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH AS MUCH AS 4 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW POSSIBLE. BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL BRING NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES WITH STRONG GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS LIMITING VISIBILITIES. TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS WITH SLIPPERY ROADWAYS AND VERY LIMITED VISIBILITIES DROPPING TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. $$ MIZ037>039-043-044-050-056-064-240545- /O.CON.KGRR.WS.W.0010.000000T0000Z-071224T1200Z/ MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY... HART...FREMONT...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND 436 PM EST SUN DEC 23 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH AS MUCH AS 4 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW POSSIBLE. BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL BRING NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES WITH STRONG GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS LIMITING VISIBILITIES. TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS WITH SLIPPERY ROADWAYS AND VISIBILITIES DROPPING TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. $$ MIZ071-240545- /O.EXA.KGRR.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-071224T1200Z/ VAN BUREN- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SOUTH HAVEN 436 PM EST SUN DEC 23 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. 2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS VAN BUREN COUNTY TONIGHT...WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW OCCURRING IN THE NORTHWEST HALF OF THE COUNTY...NORTH AND WEST OF PAW PAW. TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE LESS THAN IDEAL WITH SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY ROADS. STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL ALSO ADD TO THE TRAVEL PROBLEMS LIMITING VISIBILITIES DUE TO BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. AT TIMES...NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR. $$ MIZ040-046-052-058-059-065-066-240545- /O.CON.KGRR.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-071224T1200Z/ CLARE-ISABELLA-GRATIOT-IONIA-CLINTON-BARRY-EATON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT...ALMA...IONIA... ST. JOHNS...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE 436 PM EST SUN DEC 23 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. OCCASIONALLY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST IN THE ADVISORY AREA THROUGH THE NIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS BY CHRISTMAS EVE MORNING SHOULD PUSH INTO THE 2 TO 5 INCH RANGE. STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL CREATE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...ESPECIALLY OUT IN OPEN COUNTRY. NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR AT TIMES...WITH VISIBILITIES DROPPING TO LESS THAN A QUARTER OF A MILE. THE SNOW AND WIND WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES...SO BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. YOU ARE URGED TO USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ DUKE
000 WWUS43 KGRR 240303 WSWGRR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 1003 PM EST SUN DEC 23 2007 .HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED TONIGHT...WITH 4 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW FALLING BY CHRISTMAS EVE MORNING ALONG AND WEST OF U.S. HIGHWAY 131. IN THE ADVISORY AREA 2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW IN THE ADVISORY FALLING FROM MOUNT PLEASANT TO IONIA AND HASTINGS TO KALAMAZOO. NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED AT TIMES TONIGHT AS STRONG WESTERLY WINDS CREATE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. ADDING TO THE TRAVEL CONCERNS...IS THE RAIN THAT FELL EARLIER HAS REFROZE ON SOME ROADWAYS. MIZ071-241115- /O.UPG.KGRR.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-071224T1200Z/ /O.EXA.KGRR.WS.W.0010.000000T0000Z-071224T1200Z/ VAN BUREN- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SOUTH HAVEN 1003 PM EST SUN DEC 23 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 4 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS VAN BUREN COUNTY TONIGHT...WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW OCCURRING IN THE NORTHWEST HALF OF THE COUNTY...NORTH AND WEST OF PAW PAW. TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE LESS THAN IDEAL WITH SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY ROADS. STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL ALSO ADD TO THE TRAVEL PROBLEMS LIMITING VISIBILITIES DUE TO BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. AT TIMES...NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ MIZ037>039-043>045-050-051-056-057-064-241115- /O.CON.KGRR.WS.W.0010.000000T0000Z-071224T1200Z/ MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-MUSKEGON-MONTCALM- OTTAWA-KENT-ALLEGAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY... HART...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...MUSKEGON...GREENVILLE...JENISON... GRAND RAPIDS...HOLLAND 1003 PM EST SUN DEC 23 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH AS MUCH AS 4 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW POSSIBLE. BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL BRING NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES WITH STRONG GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS LIMITING VISIBILITIES. TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS WITH SLIPPERY ROADWAYS AND VERY LIMITED VISIBILITIES DROPPING TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. $$ MIZ072-241115- /O.EXA.KGRR.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-071224T1200Z/ KALAMAZOO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...KALAMAZOO 1003 PM EST SUN DEC 23 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. OCCASIONALLY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST IN THE ADVISORY AREA THROUGH THE NIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS BY CHRISTMAS EVE MORNING SHOULD PUSH INTO THE 2 TO 5 INCH RANGE. STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL CREATE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...ESPECIALLY OUT IN OPEN COUNTRY. NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR AT TIMES...WITH VISIBILITIES DROPPING TO LESS THAN A QUARTER OF A MILE. THE SNOW AND WIND WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES...SO BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. YOU ARE URGED TO USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ MIZ040-046-052-058-059-065-066-241115- /O.CON.KGRR.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-071224T1200Z/ CLARE-ISABELLA-GRATIOT-IONIA-CLINTON-BARRY-EATON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT...ALMA...IONIA... ST. JOHNS...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE 1003 PM EST SUN DEC 23 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. OCCASIONALLY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST IN THE ADVISORY AREA THROUGH THE NIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS BY CHRISTMAS EVE MORNING SHOULD PUSH INTO THE 2 TO 5 INCH RANGE. STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL CREATE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...ESPECIALLY OUT IN OPEN COUNTRY. NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR AT TIMES...WITH VISIBILITIES DROPPING TO LESS THAN A QUARTER OF A MILE. THE SNOW AND WIND WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES...SO BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. YOU ARE URGED TO USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$
000 WWUS43 KGRR 240954 WSWGRR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 454 AM EST MON DEC 24 2007 ...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW BEING REPLACED BY AREAS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE... .THE INTENSE STORM SYSTEM WHICH BROUGHT STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO THE AREA WILL MOVE AWAY TO THE NORTHEAST TODAY. HOWEVER SOME FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL IMPACT THE AREA THIS MORNING. MIZ037>039-043>045-050-051-056-057-064-071-241800- /O.CAN.KGRR.WS.W.0010.000000T0000Z-071224T1200Z/ /O.EXB.KGRR.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-071224T1800Z/ MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-MUSKEGON-MONTCALM- OTTAWA-KENT-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY... HART...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...MUSKEGON...GREENVILLE...JENISON... GRAND RAPIDS...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN 454 AM EST MON DEC 24 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THIS WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED BECAUSE OCCASIONAL FREEZING DRIZZLE IS EXPECTED TO MAKE SOME ROADS AND SIDEWALKS SLIPPERY. USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ MIZ067-073-074-241800- /O.EXB.KGRR.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-071224T1800Z/ INGHAM-CALHOUN-JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LANSING...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON 454 AM EST MON DEC 24 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED BECAUSE OCCASIONAL FREEZING DRIZZLE IS EXPECTED TO MAKE SOME ROADS AND SIDEWALKS SLIPPERY. USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ MIZ040-046-052-058-059-065-066-072-241800- /O.EXT.KGRR.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-071224T1800Z/ CLARE-ISABELLA-GRATIOT-IONIA-CLINTON-BARRY-EATON-KALAMAZOO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT...ALMA...IONIA... ST. JOHNS...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...KALAMAZOO 454 AM EST MON DEC 24 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT BECAUSE OCCASIONAL FREEZING DRIZZLE IS EXPECTED TO MAKE SOME ROADS AND SIDEWALKS SLIPPERY. USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ MEADE
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Grand Rapids, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Dec 22, 11:28 PM EST, 4 hours 53 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 22, 11:28 PM EST, 4 hours 53 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1128 PM EST SAT DEC 22 2007
LATEST UPDATE...AVIATION...
.SYNOPSIS...(400 PM EST SAT DEC 22 2007)
YET ANOTHER WINTER STORM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES
TONIGHT INTO MONDAY. A STORM CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN MISSOURI THIS
EVENING WILL RACE NORTH NORTHEAST... WHILE IT RAPIDLY DEEPENS... TO
WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR BY EARLY AFTERNOON ON SUNDAY. THAT WILL BRING
SOME OF THE COLDEST AIR OF THE SEASON ACROSS LAKE MICHIGAN. THIS
WILL RESULT IN A PERIOD OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS AFTER
MIDNIGHT. ONCE THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH...GALE FORCE WINDS WILL
BRING TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE 20S BY EARLY AFTERNOON. SNOW
SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP AND INTENSIFY INTO EARLY EVENING. THERE WILL BE
NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ACROSS A GOOD PART OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF
MONDAY.
&&
.SHORT TERM...(1016 PM EST SAT DEC 22 2007)
LOW PRESSURE WAS DEEPENING NEAR STL THIS EVENING. IT WILL HEAD FOR
GRB BY DAYBREAK AND BEGIN TO DRAG A COLD FRONT THROUGH LOWER
MICHIGAN BY 12Z. A STEADY AREA OF RAIN WAS MOVING NORTHEAST ACROSS
INDIANA AS OF 03Z AND WILL ARRIVE ACROSS THE CWA OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS. THE MAIN TWEAK WITH THE UPDATE WILL BE ON TEMPS. WITH THE
FRONT ALREADY BEGINNING TO PUSH INTO THE CWA BY 12Z TEMPS SHOULD
BEGIN TO FALL IN THE WESTERN CWA. SO HAVE TUGGED MIN TEMPS DOWN
INTO THE 30S TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS. PCPN THROUGH 12Z WILL REMAIN
LIQUID THROUGHOUT THE CWA.
FIRST LOOK AT THE 00Z RUNS SUGGESTS MAIN WINDOW FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW
WILL BE FROM ROUGHLY 3 PM SUNDAY TO 5 AM MONDAY. THIS TIME FRAME IS
COVERED NICELY WITH THE CURRENT WINTER STORM WATCH.
THE DRY SLOT WILL WRAP IN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT DURING THE LATE
MORNING HOURS OF SUNDAY. THE WRAP AROUND MOISTURE WILL RETURN LATER
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND IT IS AT THAT POINT THE SNOW SHOWERS WILL BEING
TO INTENSIFY. A SECOND SHORTWAVE ROTATING AROUND THE UPPER LOW
EARLY IN THE EVENING WILL BRING THE INVERSION HEIGHT TO 12000 FT
BETWEEN 8 PM AND MIDNIGHT. THE DGZ IS NEARLY 10000 FT DEEP DURING
THAT TIME FRAME AND THERE IS STRONG LIFT IN THE DGZ TOO THEN. GIVEN
THE LAKE IS NEAR 3C AND THE 850 MB TEMP IS NEAR -16C AND NEARLY 500
J/KG OF INDUCED CAPE I HAVE TO BELIEVE THERE WILL BE SOME STRONG
SNOW SQUALLS (50 KNOT BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS). THUS WE CONTINUED THE
WINTER STORM WATCH FOR MOST OF THE AREA EXCEPT THE EXTREME EASTERN
AND SOUTHERN COUNTIES.
FOR THE COUNTIES OUTSIDE THE WINTER STORM WATCH WE HAVE ISSUED A
WIND ADVISORY FROM AROUND NOON TILL AFTER MIDNIGHT FOR THOSE 50 KNOT
BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS BEING MIXED DOWN BY THE COLD ADVECTION
MOMENTUM.
BEYOND THAT WIND DECREASE DURING MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT AS THE 850
MB TEMP SLOWLY WARMS. THE INVERSION HEIGHT ALSO FALLS BELOW 5000 FT
ON MONDAY. ALL OF THAT SHOULD LEAD TO SIGNIFICANT DECREASE IN SNOW
SHOWER ACTIVITY MONDAY.
&&
.LONG TERM...(400 PM EST SAT DEC 22 2007)
AS THE EXTENDED PERIODS BEGIN... A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL MOVE
INTO THE REGION. THEN... THINGS GET INTERESTING. THE MID RANGE
MODELS SHOW AN ACTIVE PATTERN FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.
WITH NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAM SYSTEMS FORECAST TO INTERACT AS
THEY MOVE ACROSS THE U.S.... THE FORECAST GETS PRETTY MUDDY.
THE FIRST FEATURE OF INTEREST IS A TROUGH WHICH ENTERS THE PICTURE
FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. CURRENTLY IT APPEARS THAT AN
ELONGATED N-S SURFACE TROUGH WILL CROSS THE REGION AND BRING SOME
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. HOWEVER THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A STRONG
SOUTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE TO HEAD NORTHEAST FROM THE SRN PLAINS/GULF
COAST REGION AND SPIN UP A DECENT SURFACE LOW WHICH COULD PASS
THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY. THIS SCENARIO COULD LEAD TO A SIGNIFICANT
SNOW EVENT... BUT THE MODELS ARE NOT IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT ON HOW
THIS WILL PLAY OUT.
CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT DEEP H5 LONGWAVE TROUGHING WILL PERSIST
EAST OF THE ROCKIES INTO THE LATE WEEK PERIOD. THIS PATTERN MAY
ALLOW ANOTHER SYSTEM OR TWO TO TRACK SW TO NE THROUGH THE REGION
AND BRING A THREAT OF RAIN OR SNOW. WITH THE UNCERTAINTY IN SYSTEM
PATHS AND STRENGTHS... 30 TO 40 POPS IN SNOW ARE IN THE GRIDS FROM
WEDNESDAY NIGHT ON.
&&
.AVIATION...(1128 PM EST SAT DEC 22 2007)
LOW CLOUDS HAVE SCATTERED OUT THIS EVENING BUT EXPECT THEM TO RETURN
ALONG WITH STEADY RAIN AROUND 10Z. VISIBILITIES WILL ALSO BE
DECREASING...BUT DO NOT EXPECT THEM TO DROP BELOW TWO MILES UNTIL
CHANGEOVER TO SNOW OCCURS AROUND 15Z. IFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT
MKG...GRR...AZO AND BTL BETWEEN 00Z AND 06Z SUNDAY AS LAKE EFFECT
SNOW GETS GOING. LAN AND JXN MAY NOT BE GETTING MUCH SNOW UNTIL
WINDS COME AROUND MORE TO THE NW LATER SUNDAY NIGHT.
&&
.MARINE...(727 PM EST SAT DEC 22 2007)
WILL GO AHEAD AND ISSUE THE GALE WARNING NOW SO WE DON/T HAVE TWO
HEADLINES IN THE NEAR SHORE. THIS WILL AVOID ANY CONFUSION. THERE
IS STILL A CHANCE WE COULD SEE STORM FORCE WINDS OVER THE SOUTHERN
NEAR SHORE WATERS SUNDAY EVENING. LATER SHIFTS WILL HAVE TO ADDRESS
THAT ISSUE. MAY BE SOME FREEZING SPRAY LATER SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO
SUNDAY NIGHT TOO.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...(1132 AM EST SAT DEC 22 2007)
NO SIGNIFICANT HYDRO ISSUES ARE ANTICIPATED. A QUICK CHECK OF OUR
RIVERS AT 15Z SHOWS THEY ARE FOR THE MOST PART STEADY AND SHOWING NO
SIGNIFICANT RISES. THEY ARE ALSO ALL SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW ACTION
STAGE. WE HAVE SOME INDICATIONS OF RIVER ICE IN PLACES BUT WITH THIS
SLOW WARM UP BEFORE THE RAIN COMES...AND WITH THE QPF BEING A HALF
INCH OR LESS WITH THE RAIN PART OF THIS SYSTEM PLUS CONSIDERING
THAT WHAT IS RUNNING OFF WILL QUICKLY FREEZE SUNDAY ANYWAY I BELIEVE
WE DO NOT HAVE TO WORRY TO MUCH ABOUT ANY HYDRO HAZARDS.
&&
.GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM 16Z SUNDAY THROUGH
12Z MONDAY FOR ALL BUT THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN ROW OF SOUTHWEST
LOWER MICHIGAN.
A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR GRATIOT... CLINTON... EATON...
INGHAM... VAN BUREN... KALAMAZOO... CALHOUN... JACKSON COUNTIES
FROM MID DAY SUNDAY UNTIL EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
LM...A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR ALL NEAR
SHORE WATERS.
&&
SYNOPSIS: WDM
SHORT TERM: WDM
LONG TERM: IOD
AVIATION: OSTUNO
MARINE: WDM/JK
HYDROLOGY: WDMHazardous weather outlook, Dec 22, 4:10 PM EST, 12 hours 11 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 410 PM EST SAT DEC 22 2007 MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071>074-230930- MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON- MONTCALM-GRATIOT-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON- INGHAM-VAN BUREN-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON- 410 PM EST SAT DEC 22 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT WINDS WILL BE BECOME GUSTY TONIGHT AS A NARROW COLD FRONTAL RAIN BAND WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN SQUALLS MOVES THROUGH THE AREA AFTER 4 AM. THAT IS JUST AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. LAKE SHORE AREAS COULD SEE GUSTS OVER 40 MPH AS THAT MOVES THROUGH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL COME THROUGH LOWER MICHIGAN DURING THE MID MORNING HOURS OF SUNDAY. THE ARCTIC AIR STREAMING IN FROM WISCONSIN AROUND A VERY INTENSE WINTER STORM WILL RESULT IN SNOW SQUALLS FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL BE GUSTING NEAR 50 MPH AT TIMES. AT THIS POINT WHILE THERE MAY BE SOME SNOW SHOWERS SUNDAY AFTERNOON... ALMOST ALL THE SNOW THAT WILL ACCUMULATE DURING THIS EVENT WILL BE AFTER 7 PM SUNDAY NIGHT. THE COMBINATION OF THE STRONG WINDS AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL RESULT IN NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WITH VISIBILITIES OCCASIONALLY NEAR ZERO. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL WILL BE NEAR OR JUST EAST OF US-131 DUE TO THE STRONG WINDS BLOWING THE SNOW SHOWERS INLAND. THE MOST LIKELY TIMING FOR THE LOWEST VISIBILITIES AND HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS BETWEEN 7 PM SUNDAY AND 2 AM MONDAY MORNING. AFTER A PERIOD OF QUIET WEATHER TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY... MORE SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. LMZ844>849-230930- ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI- HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI-GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI- WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI-PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI- 410 PM EST SAT DEC 22 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT INCREASING SOUTH WINDS WILL CAUSE WAVES OF 3 TO 5 FEET TONIGHT. A RAIN SQUALL WITH WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 40 KNOTS IS POSSIBLE JUST AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT AFTER 300 AM. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY GALE FORCE SOUTHWEST WINDS WITH WAVES OF 12 TO 16 FEET ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. FREQUENT SNOW SQUALLS WILL RESTRICT VISIBILITIES. STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHERN NEAR SHORE AREAS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING. AFTER A PERIOD OF QUIET WEATHER TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY... MORE SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. MEADE WDM
The office that day
Everything else NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 4:00 AM EST | Special Marine Warning | GRR | 90 min | |
| Dec 23, 4:21 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | GRR | Allegan, Barry, Calhoun, Clare, Clinton, Eaton and 17 more | 28 hr |
| Dec 23, 4:29 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRR | Allegan, Van Buren | 46 min |
| Dec 23, 5:09 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRR | Allegan, Barry, Kalamazoo | 51 min |
| Dec 23, 5:29 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRR | Ionia, Kent, Mecosta, Montcalm, Muskegon, Newaygo and 2 more | 61 min |
| Dec 23, 5:38 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRR | Barry, Calhoun, Eaton, Kalamazoo | 55 min |
| Dec 23, 5:52 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRR | Clare, Clinton, Gratiot, Ionia, Isabella, Mecosta and 2 more | 38 min |
| Dec 23, 6:01 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRR | Calhoun, Eaton, Ingham, Jackson | 59 min |
| Dec 23, 6:39 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRR | Gratiot, Isabella, Montcalm | 42 min |
| Dec 23, 6:59 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRR | Ingham, Jackson | 22 min |
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in Michigan, 2007Every winter storm warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.