Alert archive / Michigan / Winter Storm Warnings in 2007

Winter Storm Warning 10, NWS Grand Rapids, MI

December 23, 200712 counties in Michigan

NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued this winter storm warning at Dec 23, 2007, 4:21 AM EST for 12 counties in Michigan. It was in force for 25 hr. 24 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Dec 23, 2007, 4:21 AM EST (09:21 UTC)
Expired
Dec 24, 2007, 4:54 AM EST
In force
25 hr
Issued by
NWS Grand Rapids, MI

Counties Allegan County, MI, Kent County, MI, Lake County, MI, Mason County, MI, Mecosta County, MI, Montcalm County, MI, Muskegon County, MI, Newaygo County, MI, Oceana County, MI, Osceola County, MI, Ottawa County, MI, Van Buren County, MI

The radar

The Grand Rapids radar (KGRR), 57 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Dec 23, 5:00 PM ESTSNOW 1.2Grand Rapids, MI
Dec 23, 5:00 PM ESTSNOW 2.1Byron Center, MIVISIBILITY OCCASIONALLY DOWN TO 1/16 MILE IN BLOWING SNOW. DRIFTS TO 9 INCHES.
Dec 23, 7:17 PM ESTSNOW 23 N Holland, MIESTIMATED WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH VISIBILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 MILES
Dec 23, 7:21 PM ESTSNOW 2.7Grandville, MIMEASURE WIND GUST 31 MPH
Dec 23, 7:35 PM ESTHEAVY SNOW 04 N Holland, MIVISIBILITY NEAR ZERO WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH
Dec 23, 7:35 PM ESTSNOW 3.1Byron Center, MIDRIFTS TO 2 FEET
Dec 23, 7:58 PM ESTSNOW 33 E Grand Junction, MI
Dec 23, 8:29 PM ESTSNOW 3Allendale, MI
Dec 23, 8:29 PM ESTSNOW 3Wyoming, MIWIND ESTIMATED 30 MPH
Dec 23, 9:26 PM ESTSNOW 5Grand Junction, MIGUSTS TO 30 MPH
Dec 23, 9:39 PM ESTSNOW 3.4Sparta, MI
Dec 23, 9:51 PM ESTSNOW 3.51 Nw Hudsonville, MI
Dec 23, 10:16 PM ESTSNOW 3.2Grand Rapids, MI
Dec 23, 10:16 PM ESTSNOW 6Allegan, MI
Dec 23, 10:20 PM ESTSNOW 3Comstock Park, MIDRIFTS TO 11 INCHES
Dec 23, 10:23 PM ESTSNOW 6Grand Rapids, MI
Dec 23, 10:28 PM ESTSNOW 4.5Grand Rapids, MITHIS IS A PRELIMINARY MEASUREMENT. NEXT OFFICIAL OBSERVATION WILL BE AT MIDNIGHT. DRIFTS TO 20 INCHES.
Dec 23, 10:40 PM ESTSNOW 5.4Grandville, MIMEASURED WIND GUST 28 MPH 1 1/2 FOOT DRIFTS
Dec 23, 11:30 PM ESTSNOW 4Paw Paw, MI
Dec 23, 11:30 PM ESTSNOW 5Grand Rapids, MIGERALD R. FORD AIRPORT
Dec 23, 11:53 PM ESTSNOW 51 Nw Hudsonville, MI
Dec 24, 12:03 AM ESTSNOW 4.5Plainwell, MI
Dec 24, 3:45 AM ESTSNOW 4White Cloud, MI
Dec 24, 4:43 AM ESTSNOW 5.9Byron Center, MI30 INCH DRIFTS

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 00:00Z, 9.4 hours before the alert went out and 209 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 2007-12-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 2007-12-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 159 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
555 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
159 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
233 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS43 KGRR 230921
WSWGRR

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
421 AM EST SUN DEC 23 2007

.AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH LOWER MICHIGAN THIS
MORNING. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL POUR INTO THE REGION CAUSING A QUICK
FREEZE UP ON AREA ROADS AND SIDEWALKS.  ARCTIC AIR STREAMING IN
FROM WISCONSIN AROUND A VERY INTENSE WINTER STORM WILL RESULT IN
SNOW SQUALLS FROM THIS AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY MORNING. MOST OF THE
ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL BE FROM MID AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS OF MONDAY. WINDS WILL BE GUSTING NEAR 50 MPH AT
TIMES. THE COMBINATION OF THE STRONG WINDS AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL
RESULT IN NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WITH VISIBILITIES OCCASIONALLY
NEAR ZERO. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL WILL BE NEAR US-131 DUE TO THE
STRONG WINDS BLOWING THE SNOW SHOWERS INLAND.

MIZ037>039-043-044-050-056-064-231730-
/O.UPG.KGRR.WS.A.0012.071223T1600Z-071224T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KGRR.WS.W.0010.071223T0921Z-071224T1200Z/
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...
HART...FREMONT...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND
421 AM EST SUN DEC 23 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. THE
WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

MUCH COLDER AIR WILL PLOW INTO THE AREA THIS MORNING CAUSING AREA
ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS TO QUICKLY FREEZE UP. STRONG WINDS WILL
ALSO OCCUR THROUGH THE DAY...OCCASIONALLY GUSTING AS HIGH AS 50
MPH. SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP TOWARD MID DAY AND CONTINUE TO
INTENSIFY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND PERSIST TONIGHT. MOST OF
HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS...AND ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL FROM AROUND 3 PM
THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL AROUND 5 AM MONDAY. IN ADDITION THE VERY
STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...AND
ALONG WITH THE SNOWFALL NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY AT
TIMES. TOTAL SNOWFALL 5 TO 8 INCHES IS LIKELY BY MONDAY MORNING.
ALSO...WIND CHILLS WILL FALL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS THIS AFTERNOON
AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY MORNING.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE FORECASTED. THIS WILL
MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

MIZ040-045-046-051-057-058-065-231730-
/O.UPG.KGRR.WS.A.0012.071223T1600Z-071224T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KGRR.WW.Y.0014.071223T0921Z-071224T1200Z/
CLARE-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MONTCALM-KENT-IONIA-BARRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT...
GREENVILLE...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...HASTINGS
421 AM EST SUN DEC 23 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. THE
WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

MUCH COLDER AIR WILL PLOW INTO THE AREA THIS MORNING CAUSING AREA
ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS TO QUICKLY FREEZE UP. STRONG WINDS WILL
ALSO OCCUR THROUGH THE DAY...OCCASIONALLY GUSTING AS HIGH AS 50
MPH. SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP TOWARD MID DAY AND CONTINUE TO
INTENSIFY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND PERSIST TONIGHT. MOST OF
HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS...AND ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL FROM AROUND 3 PM
THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL AROUND 5 AM MONDAY. IN ADDITION THE VERY
STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...AND
ALONG WITH THE SNOWFALL NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY AT
TIMES. TOTAL SNOWFALL 3 TO 6 INCHES IS LIKELY BY MONDAY MORNING.
ALSO...WIND CHILLS WILL FALL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS THIS AFTERNOON
AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY MORNING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

MIZ052-059-066-231730-
/O.NEW.KGRR.WW.Y.0014.071223T0921Z-071224T1200Z/
GRATIOT-CLINTON-EATON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALMA...ST. JOHNS...CHARLOTTE
421 AM EST SUN DEC 23 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. 

MUCH COLDER AIR WILL PLOW INTO THE AREA THIS MORNING CAUSING AREA
ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS TO QUICKLY FREEZE UP. STRONG WINDS WILL
ALSO OCCUR THROUGH THE DAY...OCCASIONALLY GUSTING AS HIGH AS 50
MPH. SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP TOWARD MID DAY AND CONTINUE TO
INTENSIFY THROUGH THE DAY AND PERSIST TONIGHT. MOST OF HEAVY SNOW
SHOWERS...AND ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL FROM AROUND 3 PM THIS
AFTERNOON UNTIL AROUND 5 AM MONDAY. IN ADDITION THE VERY STRONG
WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...AND ALONG
WITH THE SNOWFALL NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY AT
TIMES. TOTAL SNOWFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES IS LIKELY BY MONDAY
MORNING. ALSO...WIND CHILLS WILL FALL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS THIS
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY MORNING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

JK
5 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS43 KGRR 231232 CCA
WSWGRR

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
718 AM EST SUN DEC 23 2007

.AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH LOWER MICHIGAN THIS
MORNING. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL POUR INTO THE REGION CAUSING A QUICK
FREEZE UP ON AREA ROADS AND SIDEWALKS.  ARCTIC AIR STREAMING IN
FROM WISCONSIN AROUND A VERY INTENSE WINTER STORM WILL RESULT IN
SNOW SQUALLS FROM THIS AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY MORNING. MOST OF THE
ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL BE FROM MID AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS OF MONDAY. WINDS WILL BE GUSTING NEAR 50 MPH AT
TIMES. THE COMBINATION OF THE STRONG WINDS AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL
RESULT IN NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WITH VISIBILITIES OCCASIONALLY
NEAR ZERO. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL WILL BE NEAR US-131 DUE TO THE
STRONG WINDS BLOWING THE SNOW SHOWERS INLAND.

MIZ037>039-043-044-050-056-064-232045-
/O.UPG.KGRR.WS.A.0012.071223T1600Z-071224T1200Z/
/O.COR.KGRR.WS.W.0010.071223T1218Z-071224T1200Z/
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...
HART...FREMONT...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND
718 AM EST SUN DEC 23 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING. SNOWFALL OF 5 TO 8 INCHES WILL COMBINE WITH WIND
GUSTS TO 50 MPH TO PRODUCE NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS.  

MUCH COLDER AIR WILL PLOW INTO THE AREA THIS MORNING CAUSING AREA
ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS TO QUICKLY FREEZE UP. STRONG WINDS WILL
ALSO OCCUR THROUGH THE DAY...OCCASIONALLY GUSTING AS HIGH AS 50
MPH. 

SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP TOWARD MID DAY AND WILL BECOME HEAVY
BY LATE AFTERNOON. MOST OF THE ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL OCCUR FROM
AROUND 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL AROUND 5 AM MONDAY. IN ADDITION
THE VERY STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT...AND ALONG WITH THE SNOWFALL NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
WILL BE LIKELY AT TIMES. TOTAL SNOWFALL 5 TO 8 INCHES IS LIKELY BY
MONDAY MORNING. ALSO...WIND CHILLS WILL FALL INTO THE SINGLE
DIGITS THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY MORNING.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE FORECASTED. THIS WILL
MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

MIZ040-045-046-051-057-058-065-232045-
/O.UPG.KGRR.WS.A.0012.071223T1600Z-071224T1200Z/
/O.COR.KGRR.WW.Y.0014.071223T1218Z-071224T1200Z/
CLARE-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MONTCALM-KENT-IONIA-BARRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT...
GREENVILLE...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...HASTINGS
718 AM EST SUN DEC 23 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. SNOWFALL OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WILL COMBINE WITH WIND
GUSTS TO 50 MPH TO PRODUCE NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS.

MUCH COLDER AIR WILL PLOW INTO THE AREA THIS MORNING CAUSING AREA
ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS TO QUICKLY FREEZE UP. STRONG WINDS WILL
ALSO OCCUR THROUGH THE DAY...OCCASIONALLY GUSTING AS HIGH AS 50
MPH. 

SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP TOWARD MID DAY AND WILL BECOME HEAVY BY
LATE AFTERNOON. MOST OF THE ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL OCCUR FROM
AROUND 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL AROUND 5 AM MONDAY. IN ADDITION
THE VERY STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT...AND ALONG WITH THE SNOWFALL NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
WILL BE LIKELY AT TIMES. TOTAL SNOWFALL 3 TO 6 INCHES IS LIKELY BY
MONDAY MORNING. ALSO...WIND CHILLS WILL FALL INTO THE SINGLE
DIGITS THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY MORNING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

MIZ052-059-066-232045-
/O.COR.KGRR.WW.Y.0014.071223T1218Z-071224T1200Z/
GRATIOT-CLINTON-EATON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALMA...ST. JOHNS...CHARLOTTE
718 AM EST SUN DEC 23 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. SNOWFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WILL COMBINE WITH WIND
GUSTS TO 50 MPH TO PRODUCE NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS.

MUCH COLDER AIR WILL PLOW INTO THE AREA THIS MORNING CAUSING AREA
ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS TO QUICKLY FREEZE UP. STRONG WINDS WILL
ALSO OCCUR THROUGH THE DAY...OCCASIONALLY GUSTING AS HIGH AS 50
MPH. 

SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP TOWARD MID DAY AND BECOME LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
MOST OF THE ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL OCCUR FROM AROUND 3 PM THIS
AFTERNOON UNTIL AROUND 5 AM MONDAY. IN ADDITION THE VERY STRONG
WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...AND ALONG
WITH THE SNOWFALL NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY AT
TIMES. TOTAL SNOWFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES IS LIKELY BY MONDAY
MORNING. ALSO...WIND CHILLS WILL FALL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS THIS
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY MORNING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

JK
000 
WWUS43 KGRR 231713
WSWGRR

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1213 PM EST SUN DEC 23 2007

.ARCTIC AIR POURING INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST AROUND A VERY
INTENSE WINTER STORM WILL RESULT IN SNOW SQUALLS FROM THIS
AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY MORNING. MOST OF THE ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL
BE FROM MID AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF MONDAY.
WINDS WILL BE GUSTING NEAR 50 MPH AT TIMES. THE COMBINATION OF THE
STRONG WINDS AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL RESULT IN NEAR BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS WITH VISIBILITIES OCCASIONALLY NEAR ZERO...ESPECIALLY
THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL WILL BE
NEAR US-131 DUE TO THE STRONG WINDS BLOWING THE SNOW SHOWERS
INLAND.

MIZ037>039-043-044-050-056-064-240115-
/O.CON.KGRR.WS.W.0010.000000T0000Z-071224T1200Z/
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...
HART...FREMONT...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND
1213 PM EST SUN DEC 23 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. 

RAIN FROM EARLY TODAY HAS REFROZE AND SOME SLICK SPOTS HAVE
DEVELOPED ON AREA ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS DUE TO THE FALLING
TEMPERATURES. STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT...OCCASIONALLY GUSTING AS HIGH AS 50 MPH.

SNOW SHOWERS WILL BECOMING MORE NUMEROUS THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE
AFTERNOON BECOMING HEAVY TOWARDS EVENING. MOST OF THE ACCUMULATING SNOW
WILL OCCUR FROM AROUND 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL AROUND 5 AM
MONDAY. THE VERY STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT...AND ALONG WITH THE SNOWFALL NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
WILL BE LIKELY AT TIMES. TOTAL SNOWFALL OF 4 TO 7 INCHES IS LIKELY
BY MONDAY MORNING IN THE WARNING AREA. WIND CHILLS VALUES WILL BE
IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE ZERO MUCH OF THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE FORECAST...WHICH WILL
MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS.

$$

MIZ040-045-046-051-052-057>059-065-066-240115-
/O.CON.KGRR.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-071224T1200Z/
CLARE-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-BARRY-
EATON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT...
GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...ST. JOHNS...HASTINGS...
CHARLOTTE
1213 PM EST SUN DEC 23 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
MONDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
MONDAY. 

SOME SLICK SPOTS HAVE ALREADY DEVELOPED ON AREA ROADWAYS AND
SIDEWALKS AS THE MORNING RAIN HAS REFROZE DUE TO THE FALLING
TEMPERATURES. STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT...OCCASIONALLY GUSTING AS HIGH AS 50 MPH.

SNOW SHOWERS WILL BECOME MORE NUMEROUS THROUGH THE DAY. MOST OF
THE ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL OCCUR FROM AROUND 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON
UNTIL AROUND 5 AM MONDAY THOUGH. THE STRONG WINDS ALONG WITH THE
SNOWFALL WILL CREATE BLIZZARD LIKE CONDITIONS AT TIMES. TOTAL
SNOWFALL OF 2 TO 5 INCHES IS LIKELY BY MONDAY MORNING. THE LOWER
AMOUNTS WILL BE EAST TOWARD ALMA AND CHARLOTTE...WITH THE HEAVIER
TOTALS IN THE ADVISORY AREA WEST TOWARD HOWARD CITY AND GRAND
RAPIDS. WIND CHILL VALUES WILL REMAIN IN THE SINGLE DIGITS MUCH
OF THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

THE SNOW AND WIND WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES...SO BE PREPARED
FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. YOU ARE URGED TO USE
CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

DUKE
000 
WWUS43 KGRR 232136
WSWGRR

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
436 PM EST SUN DEC 23 2007

.HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED TONIGHT...WITH 4 TO 8
INCHES OF SNOW FALLING BY CHRISTMAS EVE MORNING ALONG AND WEST OF
U.S. HIGHWAY 131 FROM SOUTH HAVEN AND PLAINWELL NORTH. IN THE
ADVISORY AREA 2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH THE
HEAVIEST SNOW IN THE ADVISORY FALLING FROM MOUNT PLEASANT TO IONIA
AND HASTINGS AND BACK TOWARD THE LAKE SHORE NEAR SOUTH HAVEN. NEAR
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED AT TIMES TONIGHT AS STRONG WESTERLY
WINDS CREATE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. ADDING TO THE
TRAVEL CONCERNS...IS THE RAIN THAT FELL EARLIER HAS REFROZE ON
SOME ROADWAYS.

MIZ045-051-057-240545-
/O.UPG.KGRR.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-071224T1200Z/
/O.EXA.KGRR.WS.W.0010.000000T0000Z-071224T1200Z/
MECOSTA-MONTCALM-KENT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BIG RAPIDS...GREENVILLE...GRAND RAPIDS
436 PM EST SUN DEC 23 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH AS MUCH AS 4
TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW POSSIBLE. BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL BRING
NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES WITH STRONG GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS
LIMITING VISIBILITIES.

TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS WITH SLIPPERY ROADWAYS AND
VERY LIMITED VISIBILITIES DROPPING TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES.


$$

MIZ037>039-043-044-050-056-064-240545-
/O.CON.KGRR.WS.W.0010.000000T0000Z-071224T1200Z/
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...
HART...FREMONT...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND
436 PM EST SUN DEC 23 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. 

HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH AS MUCH AS 4
TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW POSSIBLE. BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL BRING
NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES WITH STRONG GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS
LIMITING VISIBILITIES.

TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS WITH SLIPPERY ROADWAYS AND
VISIBILITIES DROPPING TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES.

$$

MIZ071-240545-
/O.EXA.KGRR.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-071224T1200Z/
VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SOUTH HAVEN
436 PM EST SUN DEC 23 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. 

2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS VAN BUREN COUNTY
TONIGHT...WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW OCCURRING IN THE NORTHWEST HALF
OF THE COUNTY...NORTH AND WEST OF PAW PAW.

TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE LESS THAN IDEAL WITH SNOW COVERED AND
SLIPPERY ROADS. STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL ALSO ADD TO THE TRAVEL
PROBLEMS LIMITING VISIBILITIES DUE TO BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.
AT TIMES...NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR.

$$

MIZ040-046-052-058-059-065-066-240545-
/O.CON.KGRR.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-071224T1200Z/
CLARE-ISABELLA-GRATIOT-IONIA-CLINTON-BARRY-EATON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT...ALMA...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE
436 PM EST SUN DEC 23 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
MONDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
MONDAY. 

OCCASIONALLY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST IN THE
ADVISORY AREA THROUGH THE NIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS BY CHRISTMAS EVE
MORNING SHOULD PUSH INTO THE 2 TO 5 INCH RANGE.

STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL CREATE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW...ESPECIALLY OUT IN OPEN COUNTRY. NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
WILL OCCUR AT TIMES...WITH VISIBILITIES DROPPING TO LESS THAN A
QUARTER OF A MILE.

THE SNOW AND WIND WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES...SO BE PREPARED
FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. YOU ARE URGED TO USE
CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

DUKE
000 
WWUS43 KGRR 240303
WSWGRR

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1003 PM EST SUN DEC 23 2007

.HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED TONIGHT...WITH 4 TO
8 INCHES OF SNOW FALLING BY CHRISTMAS EVE MORNING ALONG AND WEST
OF U.S. HIGHWAY 131. IN THE ADVISORY AREA 2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW
CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW IN THE ADVISORY FALLING
FROM MOUNT PLEASANT TO IONIA AND HASTINGS TO KALAMAZOO. NEAR BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED AT TIMES TONIGHT AS STRONG WESTERLY
WINDS CREATE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. ADDING TO THE
TRAVEL CONCERNS...IS THE RAIN THAT FELL EARLIER HAS REFROZE ON
SOME ROADWAYS.

MIZ071-241115-
/O.UPG.KGRR.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-071224T1200Z/
/O.EXA.KGRR.WS.W.0010.000000T0000Z-071224T1200Z/
VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SOUTH HAVEN
1003 PM EST SUN DEC 23 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

4 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS VAN BUREN COUNTY
TONIGHT...WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW OCCURRING IN THE NORTHWEST HALF
OF THE COUNTY...NORTH AND WEST OF PAW PAW.

TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE LESS THAN IDEAL WITH SNOW COVERED AND
SLIPPERY ROADS. STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL ALSO ADD TO THE TRAVEL
PROBLEMS LIMITING VISIBILITIES DUE TO BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.
AT TIMES...NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

MIZ037>039-043>045-050-051-056-057-064-241115-
/O.CON.KGRR.WS.W.0010.000000T0000Z-071224T1200Z/
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-MUSKEGON-MONTCALM-
OTTAWA-KENT-ALLEGAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...
HART...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...MUSKEGON...GREENVILLE...JENISON...
GRAND RAPIDS...HOLLAND
1003 PM EST SUN DEC 23 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. 

HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH AS MUCH AS
4 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW POSSIBLE. BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL
BRING NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES WITH STRONG GUSTY
WESTERLY WINDS LIMITING VISIBILITIES.

TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS WITH SLIPPERY ROADWAYS AND
VERY LIMITED VISIBILITIES DROPPING TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES.

$$

MIZ072-241115-
/O.EXA.KGRR.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-071224T1200Z/
KALAMAZOO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...KALAMAZOO
1003 PM EST SUN DEC 23 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. 

OCCASIONALLY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST IN THE
ADVISORY AREA THROUGH THE NIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS BY CHRISTMAS EVE
MORNING SHOULD PUSH INTO THE 2 TO 5 INCH RANGE.

STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL CREATE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW...ESPECIALLY OUT IN OPEN COUNTRY. NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
WILL OCCUR AT TIMES...WITH VISIBILITIES DROPPING TO LESS THAN A
QUARTER OF A MILE.

THE SNOW AND WIND WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES...SO BE PREPARED
FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. YOU ARE URGED TO USE
CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

MIZ040-046-052-058-059-065-066-241115-
/O.CON.KGRR.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-071224T1200Z/
CLARE-ISABELLA-GRATIOT-IONIA-CLINTON-BARRY-EATON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT...ALMA...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE
1003 PM EST SUN DEC 23 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
MONDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
MONDAY. 

OCCASIONALLY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST IN THE
ADVISORY AREA THROUGH THE NIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS BY CHRISTMAS EVE
MORNING SHOULD PUSH INTO THE 2 TO 5 INCH RANGE.

STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL CREATE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW...ESPECIALLY OUT IN OPEN COUNTRY. NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
WILL OCCUR AT TIMES...WITH VISIBILITIES DROPPING TO LESS THAN A
QUARTER OF A MILE.

THE SNOW AND WIND WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES...SO BE PREPARED
FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. YOU ARE URGED TO USE
CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$
000 
WWUS43 KGRR 240954
WSWGRR

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
454 AM EST MON DEC 24 2007

...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW BEING REPLACED BY
AREAS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE...

.THE INTENSE STORM SYSTEM WHICH BROUGHT STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY
LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO THE AREA WILL MOVE AWAY TO THE NORTHEAST
TODAY. HOWEVER SOME FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL IMPACT THE AREA THIS
MORNING. 

MIZ037>039-043>045-050-051-056-057-064-071-241800-
/O.CAN.KGRR.WS.W.0010.000000T0000Z-071224T1200Z/
/O.EXB.KGRR.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-071224T1800Z/
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-MUSKEGON-MONTCALM-
OTTAWA-KENT-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...
HART...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...MUSKEGON...GREENVILLE...JENISON...
GRAND RAPIDS...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
454 AM EST MON DEC 24 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

THIS WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED BECAUSE OCCASIONAL
FREEZING DRIZZLE IS EXPECTED TO MAKE SOME ROADS AND SIDEWALKS
SLIPPERY. USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

MIZ067-073-074-241800-
/O.EXB.KGRR.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-071224T1800Z/
INGHAM-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LANSING...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
454 AM EST MON DEC 24 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

THIS WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED BECAUSE OCCASIONAL
FREEZING DRIZZLE IS EXPECTED TO MAKE SOME ROADS AND SIDEWALKS
SLIPPERY. USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

MIZ040-046-052-058-059-065-066-072-241800-
/O.EXT.KGRR.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-071224T1800Z/
CLARE-ISABELLA-GRATIOT-IONIA-CLINTON-BARRY-EATON-KALAMAZOO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT...ALMA...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...KALAMAZOO
454 AM EST MON DEC 24 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

THIS WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT BECAUSE OCCASIONAL
FREEZING DRIZZLE IS EXPECTED TO MAKE SOME ROADS AND SIDEWALKS
SLIPPERY. USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

MEADE

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Rapids, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Dec 22, 11:28 PM EST, 4 hours 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 22, 11:28 PM EST, 4 hours 53 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1128 PM EST SAT DEC 22 2007

LATEST UPDATE...AVIATION...

.SYNOPSIS...(400 PM EST SAT DEC 22 2007)
YET ANOTHER WINTER STORM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES
TONIGHT INTO MONDAY. A STORM CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN MISSOURI THIS
EVENING WILL RACE NORTH NORTHEAST... WHILE IT RAPIDLY DEEPENS... TO
WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR BY EARLY AFTERNOON ON SUNDAY. THAT WILL BRING
SOME OF THE COLDEST AIR OF THE SEASON ACROSS LAKE MICHIGAN. THIS
WILL RESULT IN A PERIOD OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS AFTER
MIDNIGHT. ONCE THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH...GALE FORCE WINDS WILL
BRING TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE 20S BY EARLY AFTERNOON. SNOW
SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP AND INTENSIFY INTO EARLY EVENING. THERE WILL BE
NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ACROSS A GOOD PART OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF
MONDAY.
&&

.SHORT TERM...(1016 PM EST SAT DEC 22 2007)
LOW PRESSURE WAS DEEPENING NEAR STL THIS EVENING.  IT WILL HEAD FOR
GRB BY DAYBREAK AND BEGIN TO DRAG A COLD FRONT THROUGH LOWER
MICHIGAN BY 12Z.  A STEADY AREA OF RAIN WAS MOVING NORTHEAST ACROSS
INDIANA AS OF 03Z AND WILL ARRIVE ACROSS THE CWA OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS.  THE MAIN TWEAK WITH THE UPDATE WILL BE ON TEMPS.  WITH THE
FRONT ALREADY BEGINNING TO PUSH INTO THE CWA BY 12Z TEMPS SHOULD
BEGIN TO FALL IN THE WESTERN CWA.  SO HAVE TUGGED MIN TEMPS DOWN
INTO THE 30S TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS.  PCPN THROUGH 12Z WILL REMAIN
LIQUID THROUGHOUT THE CWA.

FIRST LOOK AT THE 00Z RUNS SUGGESTS MAIN WINDOW FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW
WILL BE FROM ROUGHLY 3 PM SUNDAY TO 5 AM MONDAY.  THIS TIME FRAME IS
COVERED NICELY WITH THE CURRENT WINTER STORM WATCH.

THE DRY SLOT WILL WRAP IN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT DURING THE LATE
MORNING HOURS OF SUNDAY. THE WRAP AROUND MOISTURE WILL RETURN LATER
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND IT IS AT THAT POINT THE SNOW SHOWERS WILL BEING
TO INTENSIFY.  A SECOND SHORTWAVE ROTATING AROUND THE UPPER LOW
EARLY IN THE EVENING WILL BRING THE INVERSION HEIGHT TO 12000 FT
BETWEEN 8 PM AND MIDNIGHT. THE DGZ IS NEARLY 10000 FT DEEP DURING
THAT TIME FRAME AND THERE IS STRONG LIFT IN THE DGZ TOO THEN. GIVEN
THE LAKE IS NEAR 3C AND THE 850 MB TEMP IS NEAR -16C AND NEARLY 500
J/KG OF INDUCED CAPE I HAVE TO BELIEVE THERE WILL BE SOME STRONG
SNOW SQUALLS (50 KNOT BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS). THUS WE CONTINUED THE
WINTER STORM WATCH FOR MOST OF THE AREA EXCEPT THE EXTREME EASTERN
AND SOUTHERN COUNTIES.

FOR THE COUNTIES OUTSIDE THE WINTER STORM WATCH WE HAVE ISSUED A
WIND ADVISORY FROM AROUND NOON TILL AFTER MIDNIGHT FOR THOSE 50 KNOT
BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS BEING MIXED DOWN BY THE COLD ADVECTION
MOMENTUM.

BEYOND THAT WIND DECREASE DURING MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT AS THE 850
MB TEMP SLOWLY WARMS. THE INVERSION HEIGHT ALSO FALLS BELOW 5000 FT
ON MONDAY. ALL OF THAT SHOULD LEAD TO SIGNIFICANT DECREASE IN SNOW
SHOWER ACTIVITY MONDAY.
&&

.LONG TERM...(400 PM EST SAT DEC 22 2007)
AS THE EXTENDED PERIODS BEGIN... A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL MOVE
INTO THE REGION. THEN... THINGS GET INTERESTING. THE MID RANGE
MODELS SHOW AN ACTIVE PATTERN FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.
WITH NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAM SYSTEMS FORECAST TO INTERACT AS
THEY MOVE ACROSS THE U.S.... THE FORECAST GETS PRETTY MUDDY.

THE FIRST FEATURE OF INTEREST IS A TROUGH WHICH ENTERS THE PICTURE
FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. CURRENTLY IT APPEARS THAT AN
ELONGATED N-S SURFACE TROUGH WILL CROSS THE REGION AND BRING SOME
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. HOWEVER THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A STRONG
SOUTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE TO HEAD NORTHEAST FROM THE SRN PLAINS/GULF
COAST REGION AND SPIN UP A DECENT SURFACE LOW WHICH COULD PASS
THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY. THIS SCENARIO COULD LEAD TO A SIGNIFICANT
SNOW EVENT... BUT THE MODELS ARE NOT IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT ON HOW
THIS WILL PLAY OUT.

CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT DEEP H5 LONGWAVE TROUGHING WILL PERSIST
EAST OF THE ROCKIES INTO THE LATE WEEK PERIOD. THIS PATTERN MAY
ALLOW ANOTHER SYSTEM OR TWO TO TRACK SW TO NE THROUGH THE REGION
AND BRING A THREAT OF RAIN OR SNOW. WITH THE UNCERTAINTY IN SYSTEM
PATHS AND STRENGTHS... 30 TO 40 POPS IN SNOW ARE IN THE GRIDS FROM
WEDNESDAY NIGHT ON.
&&

.AVIATION...(1128 PM EST SAT DEC 22 2007)
LOW CLOUDS HAVE SCATTERED OUT THIS EVENING BUT EXPECT THEM TO RETURN
ALONG WITH STEADY RAIN AROUND 10Z. VISIBILITIES WILL ALSO BE
DECREASING...BUT DO NOT EXPECT THEM TO DROP BELOW TWO MILES UNTIL
CHANGEOVER TO SNOW OCCURS AROUND 15Z. IFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT
MKG...GRR...AZO AND BTL BETWEEN 00Z AND 06Z SUNDAY AS LAKE EFFECT
SNOW GETS GOING. LAN AND JXN MAY NOT BE GETTING MUCH SNOW UNTIL
WINDS COME AROUND MORE TO THE NW LATER SUNDAY NIGHT.
&&

.MARINE...(727 PM EST SAT DEC 22 2007)
WILL GO AHEAD AND ISSUE THE GALE WARNING NOW SO WE DON/T HAVE TWO
HEADLINES IN THE NEAR SHORE.  THIS WILL AVOID ANY CONFUSION.  THERE
IS STILL A CHANCE WE COULD SEE STORM FORCE WINDS OVER THE SOUTHERN
NEAR SHORE WATERS SUNDAY EVENING. LATER SHIFTS WILL HAVE TO ADDRESS
THAT ISSUE. MAY BE SOME FREEZING SPRAY LATER SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO
SUNDAY NIGHT TOO.
&&

.HYDROLOGY...(1132 AM EST SAT DEC 22 2007)
NO SIGNIFICANT HYDRO ISSUES ARE ANTICIPATED. A QUICK CHECK OF OUR
RIVERS AT 15Z SHOWS THEY ARE FOR THE MOST PART STEADY AND SHOWING NO
SIGNIFICANT RISES. THEY ARE ALSO ALL SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW ACTION
STAGE. WE HAVE SOME INDICATIONS OF RIVER ICE IN PLACES BUT WITH THIS
SLOW WARM UP BEFORE THE RAIN COMES...AND WITH THE QPF BEING A HALF
INCH OR LESS WITH THE RAIN PART OF THIS SYSTEM PLUS CONSIDERING
THAT WHAT IS RUNNING OFF WILL QUICKLY FREEZE SUNDAY ANYWAY I BELIEVE
WE DO NOT HAVE TO WORRY TO MUCH ABOUT ANY HYDRO HAZARDS.
&&

.GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM 16Z SUNDAY THROUGH
12Z MONDAY FOR ALL BUT THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN ROW OF SOUTHWEST
LOWER MICHIGAN.

     A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR GRATIOT... CLINTON... EATON...
     INGHAM... VAN BUREN... KALAMAZOO... CALHOUN... JACKSON COUNTIES
     FROM MID DAY SUNDAY UNTIL EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

LM...A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR ALL NEAR
SHORE WATERS.

&&

SYNOPSIS:   WDM
SHORT TERM: WDM
LONG TERM:  IOD
AVIATION:   OSTUNO
MARINE:     WDM/JK
HYDROLOGY:  WDM
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 22, 4:10 PM EST, 12 hours 11 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
410 PM EST SAT DEC 22 2007

MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071>074-230930-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-
INGHAM-VAN BUREN-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
410 PM EST SAT DEC 22 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

WINDS WILL BE BECOME GUSTY TONIGHT AS A NARROW COLD FRONTAL RAIN
BAND WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN SQUALLS MOVES THROUGH THE AREA
AFTER 4 AM. THAT IS JUST AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. LAKE SHORE AREAS
COULD SEE GUSTS OVER 40 MPH AS THAT MOVES THROUGH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL COME THROUGH LOWER MICHIGAN DURING THE
MID MORNING HOURS OF SUNDAY. THE ARCTIC AIR STREAMING IN FROM
WISCONSIN AROUND A VERY INTENSE WINTER STORM WILL RESULT IN SNOW
SQUALLS FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL BE
GUSTING NEAR 50 MPH AT TIMES. AT THIS POINT WHILE THERE MAY BE SOME
SNOW SHOWERS SUNDAY AFTERNOON... ALMOST ALL THE SNOW THAT WILL
ACCUMULATE DURING THIS EVENT WILL BE AFTER 7 PM SUNDAY NIGHT.

THE COMBINATION OF THE STRONG WINDS AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL RESULT IN
NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WITH VISIBILITIES OCCASIONALLY NEAR ZERO.
THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL WILL BE NEAR OR JUST EAST OF US-131 DUE TO THE
STRONG WINDS BLOWING THE SNOW SHOWERS INLAND. THE MOST LIKELY TIMING
FOR THE LOWEST VISIBILITIES AND HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS BETWEEN 7 PM
SUNDAY AND 2 AM MONDAY MORNING.

AFTER A PERIOD OF QUIET WEATHER TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY... MORE SNOW
SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

LMZ844>849-230930-
ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI-
HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI-GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI-
WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI-PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI-
410 PM EST SAT DEC 22 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

INCREASING SOUTH WINDS WILL CAUSE WAVES OF 3 TO 5 FEET TONIGHT.
A RAIN SQUALL WITH WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 40 KNOTS IS POSSIBLE JUST
AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT AFTER 300 AM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

GALE FORCE SOUTHWEST WINDS WITH WAVES OF 12 TO 16 FEET ARE EXPECTED
SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. FREQUENT SNOW SQUALLS WILL RESTRICT
VISIBILITIES. STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHERN NEAR
SHORE AREAS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING.

AFTER A PERIOD OF QUIET WEATHER TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY... MORE SNOW
SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

MEADE WDM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 23, 4:00 AM ESTSpecial Marine WarningGRR90 min
Dec 23, 4:21 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryGRRAllegan, Barry, Calhoun, Clare, Clinton, Eaton and 17 more28 hr
Dec 23, 4:29 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRAllegan, Van Buren46 min
Dec 23, 5:09 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRAllegan, Barry, Kalamazoo51 min
Dec 23, 5:29 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRIonia, Kent, Mecosta, Montcalm, Muskegon, Newaygo and 2 more61 min
Dec 23, 5:38 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRBarry, Calhoun, Eaton, Kalamazoo55 min
Dec 23, 5:52 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRClare, Clinton, Gratiot, Ionia, Isabella, Mecosta and 2 more38 min
Dec 23, 6:01 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRCalhoun, Eaton, Ingham, Jackson59 min
Dec 23, 6:39 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRGratiot, Isabella, Montcalm42 min
Dec 23, 6:59 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRIngham, Jackson22 min

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Michigan, 2007Every winter storm warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.