Alert archive / Michigan / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 15, NWS Grand Rapids, MI

May 15, 2007Newaygo County, Michigan

NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 15, 2007, 3:22 AM EDT for Newaygo County, Michigan. It was in force for 23 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 15, 2007, 3:22 AM EDT (07:22 UTC)
Expired
May 15, 2007, 3:45 AM EDT
In force
23 min
Issued by
NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Newaygo County, MI

The radar

The Grand Rapids radar (KGRR), 76 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 00:00Z, 7.4 hours before the alert went out and 211 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 00:00Z on 2007-05-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 340 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 00:00Z on 2007-05-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 184 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
340 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-244 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2348 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
184 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
386 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Rapids, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 14, 10:34 PM EDT, 4 hours 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 14, 10:34 PM EDT, 4 hours 48 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, May 14, 4:40 PM EDT, 10 hours 42 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
440 PM EDT MON MAY 14 2007

MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071>074-151015-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-
INGHAM-VAN BUREN-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
440 PM EDT MON MAY 14 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT MAINLY NORTHWEST
OF A LINE FROM MUSKEGON TO BIG RAPIDS. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TOWARD
DAYBREAK TUESDAY COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE ACROSS THAT AREA.
THUNDERSTORM MOVEMENT WILL BE EAST SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH LATE
TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY AREAWIDE ON TUESDAY AS A COLD FRONT COMES
THROUGH THE AREA. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY BE STRONG TO SEVERE...
ESPECIALLY JUST SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM HOLLAND TO GRAND RAPIDS
AND MT. PLEASANT BETWEEN 1 PM AND 7 PM. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED VERY LATE TONIGHT AND ON TUESDAY.

LMZ844>849-151015-
ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND-
HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN-GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL-
WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER-PENTWATER TO MANISTEE-
440 PM EDT MON MAY 14 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WAVES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MID EVENING DUE TO
STRONG SOUTH SOUTHWEST WINDS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE
HIGHEST WAVES WILL BE NORTH OF MUSKEGON.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT... MAINLY NORTH
OF GRAND HAVEN. THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE TOWARD
DAYBREAK TUESDAY AND THUNDERSTORM MOVEMENT WILL BE SOUTHEAST AT 35
MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TUESDAY AS A COLD FRONT COMES THROUGH THE
AREA. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY BE STRONG OR SEVERE... ESPECIALLY
SOUTH OF MUSKEGON.

LARGE WAVES ARE ALSO EXPECTED ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS
WINDS INCREASE OUT OF THE NORTHWEST BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED VERY LATE TONIGHT AND ON TUESDAY.

LAURENS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 15, 3:34 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRMontcalm41 min
May 15, 4:38 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRGratiot37 min
May 15, 2:00 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRJackson30 min
May 15, 2:48 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRJackson27 min
May 15, 3:12 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRLenawee33 min
May 15, 3:15 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRIsabella30 min
May 15, 5:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRVan Buren48 min
May 15, 5:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRCalhoun, Jackson, Kalamazoo61 min
May 15, 6:10 PM EDTTornado WarningGRRCalhoun, Kalamazoo20 min
May 15, 6:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRREaton, Ingham46 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Michigan, 2007Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.