Severe Thunderstorm Warning 46, NWS Hastings, NE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1132 AM CDT SAT MAY 5 2007

.DISCUSSION...WILL KEEP THIS SHORT DUE TO DEVELOPING WEATHER.
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS TORNADIC SITUATION IN PLACE ACROSS THE
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS TODAY WITH VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS
LOADED WITH SHEAR. WILL BE ISSUING QUICK UPDATE TO THE ZONES TO
CLEAN UP MORNING WORDING...OTHERWISE THINGS ON TRACK WITH FLASH
FLOOD WATCH AND WIND ADVISORY OVER MANY OF THE COUNTIES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION ISSUED AT 431 AM CDT SAT MAY 5

.DISCUSSION...SEVERE WEATHER LATE NIGHT...ON GOING...AND INTO THE
SUNDAY THE MAIN ISSUE.

LIMITED TIME FOR MUCH TO SAY. OUTBREAK OF SEVERE WEATHER TODAY
WITH SHEAR PROFILES IN GREAT SHAPE. WILL HIT ALL PUBLIC PRODUCTS
HARD WITH SIGNIFICANT SEVERE RISK TODAY.

WIND ADVISORY POSTED FOR TODAY...AS SOUTHEAST CRANK THIS
AFTERNOON. TIGHT GRADIENT ENOUGH TO OVERCOME CLOUD COVER ISSUES
TODAY. SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL BE NOTED...ESPECIALLY
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON.

HYRDO-WISE...PUSHED THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY WITH A
REPEAT SCENARIO SATURDAY NIGHT. LOCALLY IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES OF
RAIN WILL FALL IN SOME SPOTS.

SUNDAY LOOKING ROUND 3 AS UPPER TROUGH INCHES SLOWLY EAST. COULD
SET UP FOR A SIGNIFICANT SQUALL LINE TYPE EVENT LATE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

NO CHANGES TO BEYOND. GOTTA GO.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR NEZ039>041-046>049-
     060>064-072>077-082>087.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
     NEZ060>064-072>077-082>087.

KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR KSZ005>007-017>019.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
     KSZ005>007-017>019.

&&

19

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1152 AM CDT SAT MAY 5 2007

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
061200-
PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-VALLEY-GREELEY-NANCE-
SHERMAN-HOWARD-MERRICK-POLK-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-HAMILTON-YORK-
GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN-
WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER-
1152 AM CDT SAT MAY 5 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
THIS OUTBREAK OF SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDES LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF
BASEBALLS...WIND GUSTS OVER 70 MPH...AND TORNADOES. THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STRONG...LONGER TRACK TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY
BETWEEN 3 PM AND 11 PM TODAY.

IN ADDITION...WIDESPREAD RAINFALL THE NEXT 24 HOURS WILL
AGGRAVATE CONDITIONS IN ALREADY FLOODED AREAS...AND MAY RESULT IN
FLASH FLOODING ELSEWHERE. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS POSTED FOR ALL OF
SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS THROUGH TONIGHT.

FINALLY...SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL BE NOTED LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. A WIND ADVISORY IS POSTED
FOR AREAS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA ALONG AND SOUTH OF STATE
HIGHWAY 92...AND FOR ALL OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS FROM NOON THROUGH
7 PM TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ONGOING ACROSS A LARGE PART OF THE AREA
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...AND MAY BE SEVERE. THE MAIN HAZARD EARLY
SUNDAY WILL BE LARGE HAIL.

LATER IN THE DAY...YET ONE MORE ROUND OF SEVERE WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. THIS TIME...A SQUALL LINE MAY EVENTUALLY EVOLVE LATE
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...AND ROLL ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY EVENING. THE
RISK FOR HIGH WINDS...LARGE HAIL...FLOODING RAINS...AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES IS FORECAST FOR SUNDAY. THE RISK IS HIGHER FOR AREAS
ALONG AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 281.

THERE ARE INTERMITTENT CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD
SEVERE WEATHER THE REST OF THE WEEK IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT. SPOTTER GROUPS
SHOULD EXPECT SEVERAL SEVERE WEATHER WATCHES THROUGH TONIGHT...AND
BE ALERT TO THE NEED FOR RAPID DEPLOYMENT.

SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED AGAIN ON SUNDAY IN MANY AREAS.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS  (ALL LOWERCASE)

19

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
804 AM CDT SAT MAY 5 2007

NEZ041-048-051330-
MERRICK-NANCE-
804 AM CDT SAT MAY 5 2007

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ALERT FOR MERRICK AND NANCE COUNTIES...

AT 759 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ARCHER...OR 15 MILES
NORTHEAST OF GRAND ISLAND...AND MOVING NORTH AT 45 MPH.

* THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  PALMER BY 810 AM CDT
  FULLERTON BY 825 AM CDT
  BELGRADE BY 830 AM CDT

DIME SIZE HAIL IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE, OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

HEINLEIN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
807 AM CDT SAT MAY 5 2007

NEZ040-047-051330-
GREELEY-HOWARD-
807 AM CDT SAT MAY 5 2007

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ALERT FOR GREELEY AND HOWARD COUNTIES...

AT 804 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR ELBA...OR 27 MILES NORTHWEST OF GRAND
ISLAND...AND MOVING NORTH AT 45 MPH.

* THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  WOLBACH BY 820 AM CDT
  GREELEY BY 825 AM CDT
  SPALDING BY 830 AM CDT

SMALL HAIL IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE, OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

HEINLEIN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1120 AM CDT SAT MAY 5 2007

NEZ041-051645-
NANCE-
1120 AM CDT SAT MAY 5 2007

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ALERT FOR NANCE COUNTY...

AT 1120 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES EAST OF FULLERTON...OR 27 MILES WEST OF
COLUMBUS...AND MOVING NORTH AT 50 MPH.

* THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  GENOA BY 1130 AM CDT

SMALL HAIL AND TORRENTIAL RAIN IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE, OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

HEINLEIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1130 AM CDT SAT MAY 05 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1128 AM     HAIL             8 E FULLERTON           41.36N 97.82W
05/05/2007  E1.00 INCH       NANCE              NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

PFANNKUCH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1138 AM CDT SAT MAY 5 2007

NEZ040-051715-
GREELEY-
1138 AM CDT SAT MAY 5 2007

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ALERT FOR GREELEY COUNTY...

AT 1136 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR SCOTIA...OR 34 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
BURWELL...AND MOVING NORTH AT 65 MPH.

* THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  RURAL NORTHERN GREELEY COUNTY BY 1150 AM CDT

SMALL HAIL IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE, OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

HEINLEIN

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