River Flood Warning 210, NWS Fort Worth, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
357 AM CDT SAT JUL 14 2007

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP TODAY NEAR
AND JUST NORTH OF A STALLED BOUNDARY LOCATED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
SECTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS. THE BIGGEST THREAT WILL BE FROM HEAVY
RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING. WILL NOT ISSUE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
FOR THIS AREA AS COVERAGE OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE SPOTTY.
HOWEVER...A FEW LOCATIONS COULD RECEIVE SOME LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING. LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR
LOOP...SHOULD LIMIT THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY
TODAY.

LATEST GFS AND NAM SOLUTIONS SHIFT THE UPPER TROUGH AXIS CLOSER
TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK. THIS PLACEMENT SHOULD KEEP THE WEATHER OVER NORTH TEXAS MUCH
MORE TRANQUIL THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT. WILL STILL KEEP A FEW
SHOWERS AND STORMS MENTIONED IN THE FORECAST FOR THE EASTERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN ZONES BUT MANY AREAS WILL BE DRY THROUGH TUESDAY.

SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN TO ALL LOCATIONS FROM MID WEEK
THROUGH THE WEEKEND WHEN THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE ROCKIES WEAKENS
AND AN INVERTED TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER TEXAS.

TEMPERATURES THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS
WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER AND MIDDLE 90S AND LOWS IN THE 70S.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  90  70  94  72  94 /  20  20  10  10  10
WACO, TX              89  69  92  69  94 /  40  30  20  20  20
PARIS, TX             86  69  92  69  92 /  20  20  10  10  20
DENTON, TX            89  67  93  68  93 /  20  20  10  10  10
MCKINNEY, TX          90  66  93  66  94 /  20  20  10  10  10
DALLAS, TX            90  73  94  73  94 /  20  20  10  10  10
TERRELL, TX           88  69  91  69  92 /  30  20  10  10  10
CORSICANA, TX         88  69  91  70  92 /  40  30  20  20  20
TEMPLE, TX            88  69  91  68  93 /  50  30  20  20  30

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

91/79

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
430 AM CDT SAT JUL 14 2007

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-151100-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-
NAVARRO-FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-
LIMESTONE-LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
430 AM CDT SAT JUL 14 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT.  SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED BUT HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED
FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST HALF OF NORTH TEXAS THROUGH TUESDAY AND REGION WIDE
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.  HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.