Flash Flood Warning 375, NWS Fort Worth, TX

000 
WGUS74 KFWD 141504
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1003 AM CDT SAT JUL 14 2007

TXC331-141600-
MILAM TX-
1003 AM CDT SAT JUL 14 2007

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 AM CDT FOR
MILAM COUNTY...

AT 1003 AM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED CONTINUING 
FLOODING FROM SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM OVER THE WARNED AREA. 
NUMEROUS FARM TO MARKET ROADS ARE CLOSED.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO 
BUCKHOLTS...CAMERON...AND ROCKDALE.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY
ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW
LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

LAT...LON 3048 9715 3076 9731 3089 9726 3111 9684
      3107 9682 3104 9678 3094 9677 3090 9670
      3085 9670 3076 9662 3072 9665

$$

13

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
707 AM CDT SAT JUL 14 2007

.12Z AVIATION UPDATE...MVFR CIGS DOMINATING MOST OF NORTH
TEXAS...EXCEPT A PATCH OF VFR HAS BROKEN THROUGH RIGHT ACROSS THE
METROPLEX. THINK THIS WILL FILL BACK IN FOR AT LEAST A FEW HOURS
THIS MORNING...SO WILL PREVAIL MVFR CIGS FOR BKN020 UNTIL ABOUT
16Z IN THE NORTH. LIGHT NORTH FLOW WILL BECOME LIGHT/VAR LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AS CIGS RISE TO VFR CONDS AT SCT045. FARTHER SOUTH
NEAR WACO...EXPECT BETTER CHANCES FOR RAIN WHERE HIGHER MOISTURE
AND INFLUENCE OF WEAK DISTURBANCES IN THE NORTH FLOW ALOFT WILL
BE. VCSH LIKELY THIS MORNING AT ACT...THEN SCATTERED SHRA/TSRA BY
MID AFTERNOON.

91/DUNN

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 357 AM CDT SAT JUL 14 2007/

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
TODAY NEAR AND JUST NORTH OF A STALLED BOUNDARY LOCATED ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS. THE BIGGEST THREAT WILL BE FROM
HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING. WILL NOT ISSUE A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH FOR THIS AREA AS COVERAGE OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE SPOTTY.
HOWEVER...A FEW LOCATIONS COULD RECEIVE SOME LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING. LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR
LOOP...SHOULD LIMIT THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY
TODAY.

LATEST GFS AND NAM SOLUTIONS SHIFT THE UPPER TROUGH AXIS CLOSER
TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK. THIS PLACEMENT SHOULD KEEP THE WEATHER OVER NORTH TEXAS MUCH
MORE TRANQUIL THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT. WILL STILL KEEP A FEW
SHOWERS AND STORMS MENTIONED IN THE FORECAST FOR THE EASTERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN ZONES BUT MANY AREAS WILL BE DRY THROUGH TUESDAY.

SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN TO ALL LOCATIONS FROM MID WEEK
THROUGH THE WEEKEND WHEN THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE ROCKIES WEAKENS
AND AN INVERTED TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER TEXAS.

TEMPERATURES THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS
WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER AND MIDDLE 90S AND LOWS IN THE 70S.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  90  70  94  72  94 /  20  20  10  10  10
WACO, TX              89  69  92  69  94 /  40  30  20  20  20
PARIS, TX             86  69  92  69  92 /  20  20  10  10  20
DENTON, TX            89  67  93  68  93 /  20  20  10  10  10
MCKINNEY, TX          90  66  93  66  94 /  20  20  10  10  10
DALLAS, TX            90  73  94  73  94 /  20  20  10  10  10
TERRELL, TX           88  69  91  69  92 /  30  20  10  10  10
CORSICANA, TX         88  69  91  70  92 /  40  30  20  20  20
TEMPLE, TX            88  69  91  68  93 /  50  30  20  20  30

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

79/91

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
430 AM CDT SAT JUL 14 2007

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-151100-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-
NAVARRO-FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-
LIMESTONE-LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
430 AM CDT SAT JUL 14 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT.  SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED BUT HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED
FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST HALF OF NORTH TEXAS THROUGH TUESDAY AND REGION WIDE
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.  HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
609 AM CDT SAT JUL 14 2007

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0603 AM     FLASH FLOOD      5 N CAMERON             30.93N  96.98W
07/14/2007                   MILAM              TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS ROADS UNDER WATER. 8 INCHES OF WATER OVER
            HIGHWAY 77 BETWEEN BURLINGTON AND CAMERON. PARTS OF FM
            485 UNDER WATER.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
647 AM CDT SAT JUL 14 2007

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0635 AM     FLASH FLOOD      7 E CAMERON             30.86N  96.86W
07/14/2007                   MILAM              TX   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            FM 485 NEAR MAYSFIELD UNDER WATER WITH AT LEAST 8 INCHES
            OF WATER OVER ROAD.