Flash Flood Warning 285, NWS Fort Worth, TX

000 
WGUS74 KFWD 021513
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1011 AM CDT MON JUL 2 2007

TXC429-021700-
STEPHENS TX-
1011 AM CDT MON JUL 2 2007

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT FOR
STEPHENS COUNTY...

AT 1011 AM CDT...A LARGE CLUSTER OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 
PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN WAS CENTERED 5 MILES WEST OF BRECKENRIDGE. 
MOVEMENT WAS SOUTH AT 10 MPH. 

THE BRECKENRIDGE POLICE DEPARTMENT HAS REPORTED STREET FLOODING AND 
ROAD CLOSURES IN BRECKENRIDGE. 

THE HEAVIEST RAINS SINCE 9 AM HAVE FALLEN AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL 
IN AREAS NORTHWEST AND WEST OF BRECKENRIDGE. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING 
WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG HIGHWAY 180 AND HIGHWAY 183 NORTHWEST AND 
WEST OF BRECKENRIDGE THROUGH MIDDAY. 

THE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL AFFECT...           
    BRECKENRIDGE THROUGH 11 AM CDT...
    HIGHWAYS 180 AND 183 NEAR AND WEST OF BRECKENRIDGE THROUGH 1130
    AM CDT...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY
ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW
LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

LAT...LON 3253 9907 3252 9860 3295 9856 3294 9909

$$

000 
WGUS74 KFWD 021610
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1109 AM CDT MON JUL 2 2007

TXC429-021700-
STEPHENS TX-
1109 AM CDT MON JUL 2 2007

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT FOR
STEPHENS COUNTY...

AT 1109 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN 
CONTINUING OVER MOST OF STEPHENS COUNTY. THE ACTIVITY WAS MOVING TO 
THE SOUTH AT 10 MPH. 

THE HEAVIEST RAINS HAVE MOVED SOUTH INTO WESTERN EASTLAND COUNTY 
LATE THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...AN ADDITIONAL HALF INCH OF RAIN WILL BE 
POSSIBLE ACROSS STEPHENS COUNTY THROUGH MIDDAY AS THE RAINS CONTINUE 
TO DIMINISH. 

RUNOFF FROM EARLIER HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO FLOOD LOW WATER 
CROSSINGS AND LOW LYING AREAS ACROSS STEPHENS COUNTY THROUGH AT 
LEAST MIDDAY. 

RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND 
STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AS WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE BANKS OF 
CREEKS AND STREAMS.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

LAT...LON 3253 9907 3252 9860 3295 9856 3294 9909

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
648 AM CDT MON JUL 2 2007

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAF PERIOD/
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING NORTHWEST OF THE
METROPLEX TAF SITES AND WILL BE MOVING SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE
TERMINALS. EXPECT TSRA AT METROPLEX SITES BETWEEN 13 AND 16Z WITH
MVFR CIGS AND VSBY. ANOTHER ROUND OF TSRA IS EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON AFTER 18Z. THERE WILL LIKELY BE A BREAK IN PRECIP DURING
THE EARLY TO MID EVENING HOURS...WITH MORE RAIN POSSIBLE AFTER 09Z
AND TOWARD DAYBREAK ON TUES.

FOR ACT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE CONTINUING TO EXPAND IN
COVERAGE TO THE SOUTH OF THE TERMINAL...AND WILL BE MOVING NORTH
NORTHEAST. TSRA WILL BE POSSIBLE BETWEEN 13 AND 15Z.
OTHERWISE...FORECAST FOR ACT IS SIMILAR TO METROPLEX SITES...WITH
MORE ACTIVITY EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...AND AGAIN OVERNIGHT.

SCHULTZ

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 414 AM CDT MON JUL 2 2007/

DISCUSSION...
A WET WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF THE COMING WEEK.
A TUTT...TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH...OVER THE EXTREME
WESTERN PART OF THE FORECAST AREA IS EVIDENT ON THE WATER VAPOR
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE 200 MB ANALYSIS. THIS FEATURE WILL MOVE
SOUTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. AS IT DOES...THE UPPER LEVEL
LOW OVER SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA WILL LIKEWISE SINK SOUTHWESTWARD
ACROSS NORTH TEXAS...AND MOVE INTO THE SOUTHWEST TEXAS BY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. WITH GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW
AND HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AND THESE STORMS WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAIN. GIVEN THE SATURATED GROUND...
HAVE DECIDED TO EXPAND THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE ALL OF THE
FORECAST AREA FOR TODAY. THE DAY SHIFT WILL PROBABLY NEED TO EXTEND
THE WATCH BEYOND THIS AFTERNOON...BUT FOR NOW HAVE JUST LEFT THE
EXPIRATION TIME OF 23Z. HOWEVER...HAVE PLACED THE MENTION OF HEAVY
RAIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW SEASONAL
NORMALS THROUGH INDEPENDENCE DAY THANKS TO THE CLOUD COVER AND
PRECIPITATION. RAIN CHANCES WILL DECREASE SLIGHTLY TOWARD THE END OF
THE WEEK AND HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL START TO CLIMB CLOSER TO NORMAL.
#58

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  88  73  88  71  87 /  70  50  60  40  60
WACO, TX              88  73  86  72  87 /  70  50  70  60  70
PARIS, TX             87  72  87  71  86 /  70  60  70  30  60
DENTON, TX            86  71  87  70  87 /  70  50  60  40  60
MCKINNEY, TX          85  69  88  71  87 /  70  50  60  40  60
DALLAS, TX            88  73  88  72  87 /  70  50  60  40  60
TERRELL, TX           86  72  87  73  87 /  70  60  70  40  60
CORSICANA, TX         86  72  86  71  87 /  70  60  70  50  60
TEMPLE, TX            87  72  86  71  85 /  70  50  70  60  70

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES:
TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175.

&&

SCHULTZ

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
410 AM CDT MON JUL 2 2007

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-030915-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-
NAVARRO-FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-
LIMESTONE-LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
410 AM CDT MON JUL 2 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTH TEXAS THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY
ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA TODAY. CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...WINDS TO
40 MPH...AND FLASH FLOODING WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN AND ISOLATED
AMOUNTS UP TO 4 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. FURTHERMORE...A FUNNEL
CLOUD OR BRIEF TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING...CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH
ARE THE MAIN HAZARDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
LIMITED SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED.

SCHULTZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
857 AM CDT MON JUL 02 2007

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0856 AM     FLASH FLOOD      6 SW OLNEY              33.30N  98.83W
07/02/2007                   YOUNG              TX   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            HIGHWAY 79 SOUTHWEST OF OLNEY UNDER WATER