Flash Flood Warning 243, NWS Fort Worth, TX

000 
WGUS74 KFWD 272311
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
610 PM CDT WED JUN 27 2007

TXC145-280130-
FALLS TX-
610 PM CDT WED JUN 27 2007

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM CDT FOR FALLS
COUNTY...

AT 610 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN ACROSS 
PARTS OF FALLS COUNTY. THE HEAVIEST RAIN AT 610 PM CDT WAS LOCATED 8 
MILES SOUTH OF MARLIN...MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH.

THE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE NEAR...
  MARLIN BY 615 PM CDT...

LAT...LON 3142 9698 3152 9681 3126 9663 3123 9660
      3113 9680 3111 9682 3113 9684 3102 9703
      3107 9711

$$

000 
WGUS74 KFWD 280050
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
750 PM CDT WED JUN 27 2007

TXC145-280130-
FALLS TX-
750 PM CDT WED JUN 27 2007

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM CDT FOR
EASTERN FALLS COUNTY...

AT 750 PM CDT...A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN WAS
REPORTED.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 11 MILES EAST OF MARLIN...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

THE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL AFFECT RURAL PARTS 
OF EASTERN FALLS COUNTY AT 800 PM CDT

FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR
IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS WATER COVERED BRIDGES...
DIPS...OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...
EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT. TO ESCAPE RISING WATER MOVE UP TO HIGHER
GROUND.

LAT...LON 3142 9686 3152 9681 3126 9663 3123 9660
      3113 9680 3111 9682 3113 9684 3102 9703
      3107 9711

$$

000 
WGUS74 KFWD 280132
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
826 PM CDT WED JUN 27 2007

TXC145-280146-
FALLS TX-
826 PM CDT WED JUN 27 2007

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 830 PM CDT FOR EASTERN
FALLS COUNTY...

MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN PART OF FALLS 
COUNTY BETWEEN BREMOND AND MARLIN.  LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTS THAT 
ROADWAYS ARE STILL PASSABLE.  RESIDUAL FLOODING MAY STILL BE 
OCCURRING ACROSS THE COUNTY AND WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A THREAT FOR 
TRAVELING OVER LOW WATER CROSSINGS AT SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS.

LAT...LON 3142 9686 3152 9681 3126 9663 3123 9660
      3113 9680 3111 9682 3113 9684 3102 9703
      3107 9711

$$

92

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
500 PM CDT WED JUN 27 2007

.CLIMATE...
500 PM CDT

JUNE 2007 RANKS AMONG WETTEST ON RECORD

DALLAS/FORT WORTH

   1   11.58   1928
   2   10.49   2004
   3    9.78*  2007
   4    8.75   1989
   5    7.85   1981

WACO

   1   12.06   1961
   2   10.55   1927
   3   10.21   1938
   4    9.89   1919
   5    8.13*  2007

  * THROUGH JUNE 27 AT 440 PM

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
300 PM CDT

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH EXTENDED THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

VERY NICE VIS SAT LOOP SHOWING UPPER LOW SPINNING OVER SOUTHWEST
OKLAHOMA NEAR HOBART. THE UPPER LOW IS EXPECTED TO SHEAR OUT LATE
TONIGHT WITH PART OF IT MERGING INTO EASTERN CANADA TROUGH AND
LEAVING THE REMAINDER OVER WRN OKLAHOMA/TEXAS. THIS WEAKEST ALOFT
SEPARATES TWO HIGH PRESSURE CELLS...ONE OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST
AND THE OTHER OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES. MODELS CONTINUE TO KEEP
THE SHEAR ZONES OVER THE REGION THROUGH FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK AS
THE ZONE TILTS WEST TO EAST AND SLIDES DOWN INTO THE HILL COUNTRY
AND CENTRAL TEXAS BY WEDNESDAY.

AGAIN WE EXPECT SOME ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE NEXT 36
HOURS...HOPEFULLY NOT A SEVERE AS MARBLE FALLS OR HOOD COUNTY
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...CONVECTION WILL FAVOR AREAS WEST
AND EAST OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR. WE WILL REMAIN UNSTABLE WITH PWATS
AROUND 2 INCHES THROUGH SATURDAY...THEN PWATS COMES DOWN TO 1.5
FIRST OF NEXT WEEK.

EXPECT SLIGHTLY LESS CONVECTION OVER THE WEEKEND AS THE SHEAR ZONE
LOSSES SOME OF ITS ENERGY...BUT SOME HEAVY RAIN PRODUCERS ARE STILL
POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNDAY. LOWER POPS EVEN MORE MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AS THE ZONES SLIDES SOUTH OF THE CWA.

BELOW NORMAL HIGHS THROUGH SATURDAY DUE TO CLOUD COVER AND
RAINFALL...THEN WARMER AFTERWARD. LOWS RETURNING TO NORMAL BY
MONDAY.

75

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  70  84  70  86  72 /  70  60  40  40  40
WACO, TX              72  86  70  87  72 /  70  60  40  30  40
PARIS, TX             71  84  71  87  70 /  50  50  40  40  40
DENTON, TX            70  83  69  85  70 /  70  60  40  40  40
MCKINNEY, TX          69  83  69  85  70 /  70  60  40  40  40
DALLAS, TX            72  84  71  87  72 /  70  60  40  40  40
TERRELL, TX           69  84  71  87  71 /  60  50  40  40  40
CORSICANA, TX         74  86  72  88  72 /  60  40  30  30  30
TEMPLE, TX            71  86  71  85  72 /  70  60  40  30  30

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES:
TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175.

&&

26/25/82
06/09/79/92/91

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
345 PM CDT WED JUN 27 2007

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-281100-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
345 PM CDT WED JUN 27 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTH TEXAS THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING.

WEAK LIFT AND ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION TONIGHT.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE PERIODS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL WHICH WILL LIKELY RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING. AN ISOLATED
SEVERE STORM WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS OR
EVEN A BRIEF TORNADO.  ALTHOUGH...FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING WILL
BE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS... LOCATIONS WEST OF
INTERSTATE 35 WILL HAVE THE HIGHEST FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THE THREAT FOR VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
ALL OF NORTH TEXAS THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL LINGER FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL DECREASE BY TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE TRIES
TO ESTABLISH ITSELF OVER THE REGION. HOWEVER...SCATTERED AFTERNOON
AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FOR FLASH FLOODING AS WELL AS
ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
418 PM CDT WED JUN 27 2007

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0411 PM     FLASH FLOOD      HAMILTON                31.70N  98.12W
06/27/2007                   HAMILTON           TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            STREET FLOODING AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS FLOODED

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
511 PM CDT WED JUN 27 2007

TXZ159-160-272245-
MCLENNAN TX-FALLS TX-
511 PM CDT WED JUN 27 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHERN FALLS COUNTY
  EASTERN MCLENNAN COUNTY

AT 511 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES NORTHWEST OF MARLIN...MOVING NORTH AT 20
MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE GOLINDA...HALLSBURG...
MARLIN...MART AND RIESEL.

VERY HEAVY RAIN AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY RESULT IN FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS
DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS AS THEY MAY BE WASHED OUT.

LAT...LON 3136 9710 3126 9686 3142 9675 3174 9696

92

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
517 PM CDT WED JUN 27 2007

TXZ121-122-272245-
VAN ZANDT TX-KAUFMAN TX-
517 PM CDT WED JUN 27 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN KAUFMAN COUNTY
  WESTERN VAN ZANDT COUNTY

AT 517 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES NORTH OF GUN BARREL CITY...MOVING NORTH
AT 30 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE KAUFMAN...KEMP AND WILLS
POINT.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...AND WIND
GUSTS TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS STORM.

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY RESULT IN FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS
DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS AS THEY MAY BE WASHED OUT.

IF THIS STORM INTENSIFIES...A SEVERE WEATHER WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

LAT...LON 3237 9638 3236 9597 3272 9590 3270 9628

92