Alert archive / Texas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2007

Flash Flood Warning 141, NWS Fort Worth, TX

May 27, 2007Ellis County, Texas

NWS Fort Worth, TX issued this flash flood warning at May 27, 2007, 11:35 AM CDT for Ellis County, Texas. It was in force for 3 hr. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: May 27, 2007, 11:35 AM CDT (16:35 UTC)
Expired: May 27, 2007, 2:30 PM CDT
In force: 3 hr
Issued by: NWS Fort Worth, TX
Area: Whole counties

County Ellis County, TX

The radar

The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 54 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
May 27, 1:13 PM CDT	FLASH FLOOD	Maypearl, TX	BEE CREEK RD NEAR MAYPEARL AND HIGHWAY 34 AT FM 1181 NEAR ENNIS CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 4.6 hours before the alert went out and 71 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1126 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -9 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 639 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 10 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 10 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 1 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS54 KFWD 271637
FFWFWD
TXC139-271930-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1135 AM CDT SUN MAY 27 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  EASTERN ELLIS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...

* UNTIL 230 PM CDT

* AT 1135 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS           
  DETECTED VERY HEAVY RAIN FROM SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A    
  LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF ENNIS TO ALMA...MOVING    
  NORTH AT 5 MPH.  RADAR ESTIMATES THAT 2 INCHES OF RAIN AN HOUR IS  
  FALLING WITH THIS STORM.  FLOODING OF I-45 NEAR ENNIS IS POSSIBLE. 

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. 
DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN  
DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY AUTOMOBILE.

LAT...LON 3236 9667 3220 9668 3233 9641 3255 9652
      3255 9663

$$

92

2 follow-up statements

000 
WGUS74 KFWD 271735
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1232 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2007

TXC139-271930-
ELLIS TX-
1232 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2007

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM CDT FOR
EASTERN ELLIS COUNTY...

AT 1229 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE MODERATE RAIN ACROSS EASTERN ELLIS COUNTY. THE HEAVY RAIN 
HAS PUSHED NORTHEAST INTO KAUFMAN COUNTY.  FLOODING HAS BEEN 
REPORTED ALONG HIGHWAY 34 SOUTHWEST OF ENNIS WHERE UP TO 3 INCHES OF 
RAIN FELL DURING THE LAST COUPLE HOURS.  

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL 
CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AS WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE 
BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.


LAT...LON 3236 9667 3220 9668 3233 9641 3255 9652
      3255 9663

$$

92

000 
WGUS74 KFWD 271940
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
240 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2007

TXC139-271950-
ELLIS TX-
240 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2007

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR EASTERN ELLIS COUNTY...

THE HEAVY RAIN HAS MOVED OUT OF ELLIS COUNTY AND THE WARNING HAS 
BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  

LAT...LON 3236 9667 3220 9668 3233 9641 3255 9652
      3255 9663

$$

92

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at May 27, 11:30 AM CDT, 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 27, 11:30 AM CDT, 5 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1130 AM CDT SUN MAY 27 2007

.UPDATE...
THE MCV CURRENTLY ROTATING OUT OF THE HILL COUNTRY WILL SHIFT THE
HEAVIEST RAINFALL TO THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN COUNTIES OF NORTH
TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON. FLOODING WILL STILL BE A PROBLEM ACROSS THE
EASTERN TWO THIRDS OF THE REGION SO WILL KEEP THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH
IN THE SAME LOCATION. HAVE DECIDED TO EXTEND THE WATCH THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON AS ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

OTHERWISE...NO MAJOR CHANGES WITH THIS UPDATE.

&&

.12Z AVIATION UPDATE...ANOTHER WET DAY IN STORE FOR THE NORTH
TEXAS AIRPORTS. EXTENSIVE LINE OF SHOWERS/EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS
EXTENDS FROM NEAR SAN ANTONIO NORTH INTO OKLAHOMA...SO EXPECT ON
AND OFF SHOWERS/TSTMS THROUGH THE DAY. WILL PREVAIL MVFR CONDS FOR
MOST OF THE DAY WITH TEMPO SHRA/-TSRA IN THE MORNING. EXACT TIMING
OF ADDITIONAL AFTERNOON ACTIVITY IS NOT CERTAIN...BUT WILL KEEP
PRECIP IN FOR MOST OF THE DAY. ACTIVITY SHOULD ONCE AGAIN DIMINISH
LATE THIS EVENING BEFORE REDEVELOPING AGAIN OVERNIGHT.

91/DUNN

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 404 AM CDT SUN MAY 27 2007/

A WET WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE VORTEX
OVER SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA MOVING NORTH... WHILE A WEAK SHORTWAVE
OVER SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS IS MOVING EASTWARD. WE WILL SEE SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY ACROSS NORTH TEXAS
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY VERY HEAVY RAIN. THUS WE WILL KEEP
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH AS IS. A COUPLE OF OTHER WEAK UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCES WILL RESULT IN ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FOR TONIGHT AND MONDAY...AND THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH
WILL LIKELY HAVE TO BE EXTENDED BEYOND THE CURRENT EXPIRATION TIME
OF 4 PM TODAY. SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BECOME MORE SCATTERED
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE GFS AND ECMWF SEEM TO BE IN
AGREEMENT THAT A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH INTO NORTH TEXAS LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. WE WILL SEE A GOOD CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AREAWIDE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.
DRIER AIR WILL FILTER INTO NORTH TEXAS THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY...AND RAIN CHANCES WILL DECREASE FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. WITH
THE RAIN CHANCES DECREASING AND MORE INSOLATION...WE WILL
TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S FRIDAY INTO
WEEKEND. #58

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  79  67  81  68  83 /  80  40  50  50  20
WACO, TX              80  69  82  68  82 /  80  40  50  30  30
PARIS, TX             76  66  79  65  82 /  80  50  60  50  40
DENTON, TX            79  67  81  67  83 /  80  40  50  50  20
MCKINNEY, TX          78  65  80  66  82 /  80  40  50  50  30
DALLAS, TX            79  68  81  68  83 /  80  40  50  50  30
TERRELL, TX           78  66  80  67  83 /  80  40  60  40  30
CORSICANA, TX         79  66  81  67  83 /  80  40  60  30  40
TEMPLE, TX            79  68  81  67  82 /  80  40  50  30  20

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES:
TXZ092>095-103>107-118>123-131>135-142>148-156>162-174-175.

&&

91/58

Hazardous weather outlook, May 27, 9:20 AM CDT, 2 hours 15 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
920 AM CDT SUN MAY 27 2007

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-281100-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-
NAVARRO-FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-
LIMESTONE-LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
920 AM CDT SUN MAY 27 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT
ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS AS AMPLE MOISTURE INTERACTS WITH SEVERAL
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES. THE MAIN THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE FLASH
FLOODING...AS GROUNDS ARE SATURATED FROM RECENT RAINS. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 1 INCH WILL BE COMMON WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS IN
EXCESS OF 3 INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR AREAS EAST OF A GAINESVILLE...TO FORT WORTH...
TO GOLDTHWAITE LINE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE FOR ALL OF
NORTH TEXAS THROUGH THURSDAY. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL END NORTH TO
SOUTH ON FRIDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL REMAIN THE MAIN THREAT
THROUGH THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.

13

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 27, 9:33 AM CDT, 2 hours 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
933 AM CDT SUN MAY 27 2007

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0922 AM     FLASH FLOOD      ROYSE CITY              32.98N  96.33W
05/27/2007                   ROCKWALL           TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FM 548 AT LAKES DRIVE FLOODED. PARKER CREEK OVER ITS
            BANKS.

Local storm report, May 27, 9:48 AM CDT, 1 hour 47 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
948 AM CDT SUN MAY 27 2007

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0945 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 W MART                31.54N  96.86W
05/27/2007                   MCLENNAN           TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            OLD MART ROAD NEAR MART CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.

Local storm report, May 27, 10:13 AM CDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1013 AM CDT SUN MAY 27 2007

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1006 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 SE LAVON              33.01N  96.41W
05/27/2007                   COLLIN             TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            S.O. REPORTS CR 2755 CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER

Local storm report, May 27, 10:30 AM CDT, 1 hour 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1030 AM CDT SUN MAY 27 2007

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1025 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 NE FATE               32.96N  96.36W
05/27/2007                   ROCKWALL           TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            S.O. REPORTS HIGH WATER ON FM 2642

Local storm report, May 27, 10:33 AM CDT, 1 hour 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1033 AM CDT SUN MAY 27 2007

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1005 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 W FATE                32.94N  96.40W
05/27/2007                   ROCKWALL           TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FM 549 NORTH OF HWY 66 HAS HIGH WATER ON IT.

Local storm report, May 27, 10:37 AM CDT, 58 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1037 AM CDT SUN MAY 27 2007

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1038 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 NE KOSSE              31.33N  96.60W
05/27/2007                   LIMESTONE          TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FLOODING PROBLEMS CONTINUE FROM YESTERDAY...MORE RAIN
            FALLING. LCR 707 CLOSED.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fort Worth, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 26, 7:11 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	FWD	Wise	3 hr
May 26, 7:15 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	FWD	Hood	3 hr
May 27, 3:13 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	FWD	Cooke	3 hr
May 27, 8:24 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	FWD	Cooke	3 hr
May 27, 8:41 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	FWD	Bell, Coryell, McLennan	3 hr
May 27, 8:46 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	FWD	Milam	3 hr
May 27, 9:10 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	FWD	Rockwall	3 hr
May 27, 9:45 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	FWD	Hill	3 hr
May 27, 9:57 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	FWD	Collin	3 hr
May 27, 10:33 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	FWD	Limestone	3 hr
May 27, 10:49 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	FWD	Hunt	3 hr
May 27, 11:09 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	FWD	Navarro	3 hr
May 27, 11:13 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	FWD	Kaufman	3 hr
May 27, 11:54 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	FWD	Cooke	3 hr
May 27, 3:58 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	FWD	Young	32 min
May 27, 4:03 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	FWD	Eastland	27 min
May 27, 4:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Eastland	38 min
May 27, 4:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Young	47 min
May 27, 4:39 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	FWD	Young	3 hr
May 27, 5:03 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	FWD	Jack	27 min
May 27, 6:37 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	FWD	Denton	23 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Texas, 2007 Every flash flood warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.