Flash Flood Warning 121, NWS Fort Worth, TX

000 
WGUS74 KFWD 261540
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1039 AM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

TXC293-261645-
LIMESTONE TX-
1039 AM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 AM CDT FOR
LIMESTONE COUNTY...

AT 1029 AM CDT...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WAS MOVING INTO THE FAR WESTERN 
PORTION OF THE COUNTY...AROUND ODDS AND BEN HUR...AND WILL SPREAD 
NORTHEAST TOWARD COOLIDGE THROUGH 1145 PM.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO MEXIA AND
COOLIDGE

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE 
WARNED AREA.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY
ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW
LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR
IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS WATER COVERED BRIDGES...
DIPS...OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...
EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT. TO ESCAPE RISING WATER MOVE UP TO HIGHER
GROUND.

LAT...LON 3125 9660 3143 9626 3180 9650 3181 9672
      3173 9693

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
651 AM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.12Z AVIATION UPDATE...SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND
ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL LEAD TO CONTINUED PERIODS OF
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. WILL
PREVAIL MODERATE SHRA FOR MOST OF THE MORNING...THEN EXPECTED
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE THIS
AFTERNOON WITH ACTIVITY DECREASING IN COVERAGE LATER THIS EVENING.
ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION MAY REDEVELOP LATE IN THE PERIOD. EXPECT
MVFR CONDS TO PREVAIL THROUGHOUT THE DAY ALL TERMINALS. SOME
IMPROVEMENT POSSIBLE TOMORROW AS PRECIP EXPECTED TO BE MORE SCATTERED.

91/DUNN

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 410 AM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007/

HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES TO BE THE MAIN WEATHER PROBLEM FOR TODAY. AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE WESTERN PART OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS
MORNING...WILL SLOWLY MOVE NORTHEAST TODAY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN OCCURRING OVERNIGHT...MAINLY
ACROSS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS. THIS
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. WITH A SATURATED GROUND
ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL ZONES... HAVE KEPT THE
FLASH FLOOD WATCH AS IS. HAVE ADDED THE MENTION OF HEAVY RAIN TO
TODAYS FORECAST FOR ALL ZONES. THERE WILL ALSO BE SOME TRAINING OF
RAIN TODAY BUT SINCE THE GROUND FARTHER NORTH ISN/T AS
SATURATED...HAVE HELD OFF ON EXPANDING THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH
FARTHER NORTH.

WE WILL REMAIN IN AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN FOR MUCH OF THE
COMING WEEK AS GENERAL TROUGHING CONTINUES ACROSS THE REGION.
THUS HAVE KEPT 30 TO 50 PERCENT POPS IN FOR SUNDAY...AND THEN 20
TO 30 PERCENT POPS FOR SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. THE CLOUD
COVER AND WET GROUND WILL TEND TO KEEP HIGH TEMPERATURES DOWN
FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...BUT WE WILL SEE TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE
MID 80S TO LOWER 90S MID TO LATE WEEK.  #58

#58

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  80  65  80  66  84 /  70  30  40  20  30
WACO, TX              79  66  80  64  82 /  70  30  50  30  40
PARIS, TX             81  65  80  62  83 /  40  20  30  20  30
DENTON, TX            78  64  81  63  82 /  70  30  40  20  30
MCKINNEY, TX          80  63  80  63  83 /  70  30  40  20  30
DALLAS, TX            80  67  81  65  83 /  70  30  40  20  30
TERRELL, TX           80  66  79  63  83 /  60  20  40  20  30
CORSICANA, TX         81  66  80  65  83 /  60  20  40  30  40
TEMPLE, TX            77  66  79  65  81 /  70  40  50  30  40

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: TXZ129-141>143-156>161-174-175.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
450 AM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-271100-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-
NAVARRO-FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-
LIMESTONE-LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
450 AM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS A
LARGE PORTION OF NORTH TEXAS TODAY AS A SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE CROSSES THE REGION. CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO REMAIN
FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS. ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SOME
AREAS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR AREAS SOUTH OF AN
EASTLAND TO WACO TO HEARNE LINE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AND
MONDAY...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT
THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

DUNN