Alert archive / Iowa / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 273, NWS Sioux Falls, SD

September 30, 2007Plymouth County, Iowa

NWS Sioux Falls, SD issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Sep 30, 2007, 4:44 PM CDT for Plymouth County, Iowa. It was in force for 31 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Sep 30, 2007, 4:44 PM CDT (21:44 UTC)
Expired: Sep 30, 2007, 5:15 PM CDT
In force: 31 min
Issued by: NWS Sioux Falls, SD
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Plymouth County, IA

The radar

The Sioux Falls radar (KFSD), 83 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Sep 30, 4:44 PM CDT	HAIL 1	Akron, IA
Sep 30, 5:05 PM CDT	HAIL 0.75	Akron, IA	HAIL COVERED THE GROUND AND STRIPPED TREES BARE

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 0 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Sep 30, 1:02 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 171 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 1296 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 54 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 450 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 472 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KFSD 302143
SVRFSD
IAC149-302215-
/O.NEW.KFSD.SV.W.0273.070930T2144Z-070930T2215Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
444 PM CDT SUN SEP 30 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SIOUX FALLS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN PLYMOUTH COUNTY IN NORTHWEST IOWA

* UNTIL 515 PM CDT

* AT 444 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL.  THIS
  STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR AKRON...OR ABOUT 13 MILES SOUTH OF
  HAWARDEN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  CRAIG AROUND 515 PM CDT...

THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE LARGE HAIL. GO INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING AND
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR
NORTHWEST IOWA AND NORTHEAST NEBRASKA AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA.

LAT...LON 4277 9648 4282 9658 4284 9655 4288 9656
      4289 9654 4290 9654 4292 9652 4291 9627
TIME...MOT...LOC 2144Z 222DEG 12KT 4283 9654

$$

CJ

1 follow-up statement

000 
WWUS53 KFSD 302201
SVSFSD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
501 PM CDT SUN SEP 30 2007

IAC149-302215-
/O.CON.KFSD.SV.W.0273.000000T0000Z-070930T2215Z/
PLYMOUTH IA-
501 PM CDT SUN SEP 30 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN PLYMOUTH COUNTY...

AT 501 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES NORTHEAST OF AKRON...OR ABOUT 9
MILES SOUTH OF HAWARDEN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE LARGE HAIL. GO INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING AND
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR
NORTHWEST IOWA AND NORTHEAST NEBRASKA AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA.

LAT...LON 4280 9643 4282 9658 4284 9655 4287 9656
      4289 9654 4290 9654 4292 9652 4290 9632
TIME...MOT...LOC 2201Z 222DEG 12KT 4287 9649

$$

CJ

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Sioux Falls, SD wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Sep 30, 2:25 PM CDT, 2 hours 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 30, 2:25 PM CDT, 2 hours 19 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR SOUTHEAST SD/SOUTHWEST MN/NORTHWEST IA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
225 PM CDT SUN SEP 30 2007

.DISCUSSION...
FOR THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...WILL BE
WATCHING FOR POSSIBLE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. CURRENTLY...STORMS
REMAINING ELEVATED AND MULTICELLULAR AND LOW CENTROID...NOT MUCH OF
A CONCERN. HOWEVER A BETTER CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER MAY BE INTO NW
IA WHERE SUNSHINE THIS AFTERNOON IS QUICKLY DESTABILIZING THE BNDRY
LAYER. IF STRATO CU FILLS IN...IT WILL BE TOUGH TO PRODUCE SEVERE
STORMS...BUT IF INDIVIDUAL CELLS CAN POP FREE OF STRATUS...THERE IS
A GOOD CHANCE FOR LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND TORNADOES.

UPPER WAVE RESPONSIBLE FOR TODAYS WEATHER QUICKLY SHIFTS EAST THIS
EVENING TAKING THE CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION WITH IT. CLEAR SKIES
OVER WRN SD UNDER STRONG SUBSIDENCE BEHIND THE WAVE WILL SHIFT EAST
ACROSS THE CWA THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. A NICE DAY TOMORROW WITH
CLEAR SKIES UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE...ALTHOUGH WILL
BECOME A BIT BREEZY IN THE WEST DURING THE AFTERNOON AS PRESSURE
GRADIENT INCREASES.

STILL EXPECTING THE NEXT STRONG UPPER WAVE THAT IS CURRENTLY
CRASHING ON TO THE NW PAC COAST TO MOVE EAST OVER THE AREA ON TUE.
OVERRUNNING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE A GOOD POSSIBILITY AFTER
MIDNIGHT AS A WARM FRONT PUSHES N AHEAD OF THE UPPER LOW MON NIGHT.
SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION GIVEN STEEP LAPSE RATES
AND MARGINAL SHEAR. MODEL TRENDS HAVE BEEN QUICKER WITH THE PASSAGE
OF THIS SYSTEM...BUT ERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA A GOOD BET FOR
THUNDERSTORMS TUE AFT...THEN RAPIDLY CLEARING BY EARLY EVENING.

IN THE EXTENDED MODELS HAVING A DIFFICULT TIME PINNING DOWN TIMING
AND PLACEMENT OF WEATHER SYSTEMS...AS UPPER WAVE PATTERN TRANSITIONS
FROM ZONAL FLOW MID WEEK TO ZONAL FLOW TOWARDS THE END OF THE
WEEK...WITH UPPER TROF DIGGING ACROSS THE WRN CONUS. MAINLY LOOKS
DRY WED THRU SAT...BUT THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE FOR SRN STREAM S/WV AT
SOME POINT AHEAD OF THE UPPER TROF. GFS HAS ACCELERATED EWRD
PROGRESSION OF UPPER TROF AND COLD FRONT THIS COMING WEEKEND BY
ABOUT A FULL DAY. ECMWF AND CANADIAN STILL A BIT SLOWER...THEREFORE
RELUCTANT TO MAKE LARGE CHANGES SO FAR OUT IN THE FORECAST PERIOD.
KEPT EXTENDED FORECAST CLOSE TO HPC GUIDANCE.

&&

.AVIATION...
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AT FSD AND SUX BUT ENDING BY
EARLY THIS EVENING. ALSO WILL SEE MVFR CEILINGS AT SUX AND FSD
THROUGH MUCH OF THE EVENING...BUT THEN CLEARING SKIES AND DECREASING
WINDS INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES EAST OUT
OF THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE AND CLEAR SKIES FOR MONDAY.

&&

.FSD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

SD...NONE.
MN...NONE.
IA...NONE.
NE...NONE.

&&

LIEBL

Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 30, 9:45 AM CDT, 6 hours 59 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
945 AM CDT SUN SEP 30 2007

SDZ038>040-050-052>071-MNZ071-072-080-081-089-090-097-098-
IAZ001>003-012>014-020>022-031-032-NEZ013-014-011200-
AURORA-BEADLE-BON HOMME-BROOKINGS-BRULE-BUENA VISTA IA-
CHARLES MIX-CHEROKEE IA-CLAY-CLAY IA-COTTONWOOD MN-DAKOTA NE-
DAVISON-DICKINSON IA-DIXON NE-DOUGLAS-GREGORY-HANSON-HUTCHINSON-
IDA IA-JACKSON MN-JERAULD-KINGSBURY-LAKE-LINCOLN-LINCOLN MN-
LYON IA-LYON MN-MCCOOK-MINER-MINNEHAHA-MOODY-MURRAY MN-NOBLES MN-
OBRIEN IA-OSCEOLA IA-PIPESTONE MN-PLYMOUTH IA-ROCK MN-SANBORN-
SIOUX IA-TURNER-UNION-WOODBURY IA-YANKTON-
945 AM CDT SUN SEP 30 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA...
SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA...NORTHWEST IOWA...AND NORTHEAST NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF
NORTHWEST IOWA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY EAST OF THE JAMES
RIVER. SOME STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
NORTHWEST IOWA BETWEEN NOON AND 6 PM. THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT WILL
BE QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH.	ISOLATED BRIEF
TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE OVER NORTHWEST IOWA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY AS
ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVES EAST ACROSS THE AREA. ISOLATED STORMS
COULD BE SEVERE...MAINLY EAST OF THE JAMES RIVER VALLEY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE POSSIBLE BETWEEN NOON AND 6 PM ACROSS
NORTHWEST IOWA.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/FSD. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 30, 3:06 PM CDT, 1 hour 38 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
306 PM CDT SUN SEP 30 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 PM     HAIL             MADISON                 44.01N 97.11W
09/30/2007  E0.75 INCH       LAKE               SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BT

Local storm report, Sep 30, 3:34 PM CDT, 1 hour 10 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
334 PM CDT SUN SEP 30 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0327 PM     HAIL             9 N COLMAN              44.12N 96.82W
09/30/2007  E0.75 INCH       MOODY              SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BT

Local storm report, Sep 30, 3:38 PM CDT, 1 hour 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
338 PM CDT SUN SEP 30 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0330 PM     HAIL             MECKLING                42.84N 97.07W
09/30/2007  E1.00 INCH       CLAY               SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL THE SIZE OF QUARTERS

&&

LIEBL

Local storm report, Sep 30, 4:07 PM CDT, 37 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
407 PM CDT SUN SEP 30 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0353 PM     HAIL             10 N FLANDREAU          44.19N 96.60W
09/30/2007  E0.88 INCH       MOODY              SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PEA TO NICKEL SIZED HAIL AT COVERING THE GROUND ON
            HIGHWAY 13 AT BROOKINGS MOODY COUNTY LINE

0353 PM     HAIL             11 N FLANDREAU          44.21N 96.60W
09/30/2007  E0.88 INCH       BROOKINGS          SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PEA TO NICKEL SIZED HAIL COVERING THE GROUND ALONG
            HIGHWAY 13

0340 PM     HAIL             5 N MECKLING            42.91N 97.07W
09/30/2007  E0.75 INCH       CLAY               SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

0350 PM     HAIL             2 NW ALCESTER           43.04N 96.66W
09/30/2007  E1.00 INCH       UNION              SD   PUBLIC

&&

BT

Local storm report, Sep 30, 4:35 PM CDT, 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
435 PM CDT SUN SEP 30 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0405 PM     HAIL             3 N ALCESTER            43.07N 96.63W
09/30/2007  E0.75 INCH       UNION              SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

            40-50 MPH WINDS AND PENNY SIZED HAIL

0430 PM     HAIL             10 SW HUBBARD           42.28N 96.73W
09/30/2007  E1.00 INCH       DIXON              NE   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

BT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Sioux Falls, SD issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Sep 30, 4:04 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	FSD	Sioux	41 min
Sep 30, 4:36 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Woodbury	39 min
Sep 30, 4:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Lyon, Sioux	40 min
Sep 30, 5:09 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Plymouth	36 min
Sep 30, 5:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Woodbury	33 min
Sep 30, 5:30 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	FSD	Plymouth	30 min
Sep 30, 5:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Ida	28 min
Sep 30, 5:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Cherokee	48 min
Sep 30, 5:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Buena Vista	38 min
Sep 30, 5:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Plymouth	36 min
Sep 30, 5:59 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	FSD	Ida	8 min
Sep 30, 6:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Cherokee	25 min
Sep 30, 6:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Buena Vista	16 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Iowa, 2007 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.