Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 64, NWS Kansas City, MO

June 7, 20074 counties in Missouri

NWS Kansas City, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 7, 2007, 10:12 PM CDT for 4 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 48 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 7, 2007, 10:12 PM CDT (03:12 UTC)
Expired: Jun 7, 2007, 11:00 PM CDT
In force: 48 min
Issued by: NWS Kansas City, MO
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Chariton County, MO, Howard County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Saline County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 140 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 7, 8:31 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 00:00Z, 3.2 hours before the alert went out and 248 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 3024 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 71 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 80 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 271 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KEAX 080312
SVREAX
MOC041-089-175-195-080415-
/O.NEW.KEAX.SV.W.0064.070608T0312Z-070608T0415Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1012 PM CDT THU JUN 7 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN CHARITON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI
  NORTHERN HOWARD COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI
  RANDOLPH COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI
  NORTHEASTERN SALINE COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI

* UNTIL 1115 PM CDT

* AT 1009 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN   
  EXCESS OF 70 MPH. AT 1010 PM...MARSHALL AIRPORT WAS GUSTING TO 46 
  MPH...WELL SOUTH OF THIS STORM.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES 
  WEST OF SLATER...AND RACING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  7 MILES NORTHWEST OF GLASGOW BY 1025 PM CDT.
  SALISBURY AND 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF ARMSTRONG BY 1035 PM CDT.
  HUNTSVILLE BY 1045 PM CDT.
  MOBERLY BY 1050 PM CDT.
  CAIRO BY 1055 PM CDT.

THE TOWNS OF GILLIAM AND CLIFTON HILL ARE ALSO IN THE PATH OF THIS
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH NOT IMMEDIATELY
LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF
SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL
INTERIOR ROOM.

LAT...LON 3933 9314 3910 9308 3926 9232 3962 9230
      3946 9280

$$

BOOKBINDER

3 follow-up statements

000 
WWUS53 KEAX 080339
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1039 PM CDT THU JUN 7 2007

MOC041-195-080349-
/O.CAN.KEAX.SV.W.0064.000000T0000Z-070608T0415Z/
SALINE MO-CHARITON MO-
1039 PM CDT THU JUN 7 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CHARITON AND SALINE COUNTIES
IS CANCELLED...

AT 1033 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE 
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED EAST OF THE 
AREA...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. 
THEREFORE...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING IS CANCELLED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM. ADDITIONAL SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT. KEEP A WEATHER RADIO 
HANDY OVERNIGHT SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

LAT...LON 3947 9272 3917 9275 3926 9232 3962 9230

$$

MOC089-175-080415-
/O.CON.KEAX.SV.W.0064.000000T0000Z-070608T0415Z/
HOWARD MO-RANDOLPH MO-
1039 PM CDT THU JUN 7 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR RANDOLPH AND
NORTHEASTERN HOWARD COUNTIES UNTIL 1115 PM CDT...

AT 1033 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES WEST OF SLATER.
MOVEMENT WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
NORTHEASTERN HOWARD AND RANDOLPH COUNTIES.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH NOT IMMEDIATELY
LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF
SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL
INTERIOR ROOM.

LAT...LON 3947 9272 3917 9275 3926 9232 3962 9230

$$

BOOKBINDER

000 
WWUS53 KEAX 080345 CCA
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1039 PM CDT THU JUN 7 2007

MOC041-195-080349-
/O.CAN.KEAX.SV.W.0064.000000T0000Z-070608T0415Z/
SALINE MO-CHARITON MO-
1039 PM CDT THU JUN 7 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CHARITON AND SALINE COUNTIES
IS CANCELLED...

AT 1033 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE 
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED EAST OF THE 
AREA...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. 
THEREFORE...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING IS CANCELLED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM. ADDITIONAL SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT. KEEP A WEATHER RADIO 
HANDY OVERNIGHT SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

LAT...LON 3947 9272 3917 9275 3926 9232 3962 9230

$$

MOC089-175-080415-
/O.CON.KEAX.SV.W.0064.000000T0000Z-070608T0415Z/
HOWARD MO-RANDOLPH MO-
1039 PM CDT THU JUN 7 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR RANDOLPH AND
NORTHEASTERN HOWARD COUNTIES UNTIL 1115 PM CDT...

AT 1033 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS NEAR MOBERLY...MOVING EAST AT 40 
MPH.

MOBERLY...RENNICK AND CAIRO ARE ALL IN THE PATH OF THIS LINE OF 
SEVERE STORMS. SEEK SHELTER NOW AS WIND DAMAGE IS EXPECTED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH NOT IMMEDIATELY
LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF
SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL
INTERIOR ROOM.

LAT...LON 3947 9272 3917 9275 3926 9232 3962 9230

$$

BOOKBINDER

000 
WWUS53 KEAX 080400
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1100 PM CDT THU JUN 7 2007

MOC089-175-080410-
/O.CAN.KEAX.SV.W.0064.000000T0000Z-070608T0415Z/
HOWARD MO-RANDOLPH MO-
1100 PM CDT THU JUN 7 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR RANDOLPH AND NORTHEASTERN
HOWARD COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

AT 1059 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE 
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED EAST OF THE 
AREA...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. 
THEREFORE...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING IS CANCELLED.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN PLEASANT HILL.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM. ADDITIONAL SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT. KEEP A WEATHER RADIO 
HANDY OVERNIGHT SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

LAT...LON 3947 9272 3917 9275 3926 9232 3962 9230

$$

BOOKBINDER

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 7, 6:40 PM CDT, 3 hours 32 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 7, 6:40 PM CDT, 3 hours 32 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
640 PM CDT THU JUN 7 2007

UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION

.DISCUSSION...

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT-FRIDAY)...

WARM SECTOR AIRMASS CONTINUES TO UNDERGO AMPLE HEATING AND
MOISTENING EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 80S AND
DEWPOINTS APPROACHING 70F ARE CONTRIBUTING TO MLCAPES ON THE ORDER
2000 J/KG. DRYLINE HAS BECOME INCREASINGLY ACTIVE OVER THE PAST HOUR
OR SO...WITH MOST DISCRETE STORMS NOTED OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF
THE CWA. EFFECTIVE SHEAR IS MORE THAN SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELL
STORMS AND FAST MOVING MINI-BOW SEGMENTS WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND
ISOLATED TORNADOES THE PRIMARY THREATS. HIGH FREEZING LEVELS AND
ONLY MODEST MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES MAY KEEP THREAT OF LARGE HAIL
MARGINAL...ALTHOUGH THIS CAN BE AUGMENTED BY DEGREE OF DEEP LAYER
SHEAR.

FURTHER SOUTH...DRYLINE HAS BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY FROM KANSAS CITY
TO SOUTHWEST OF LAWRENCE KANSAS. DEEP LAYER SHEAR VECTOR ORIENTED
ALONG THIS BOUNDARY HAS CONTRIBUTED TO MORE WIDESPREAD DEVELOPMENT
WITH A CLASSIC TRAINING SETUP UNFOLDING OVER A VERY NARROW (10 MILE
WIDE) CORRIDOR. SLOW MOVING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AHEAD OF THIS ACTIVITY
PER KEAX WSR-88D SUGGESTS THAT SEVERE THREAT MAY BE LIMITED FOR NOW
WITH A VERY HEIGHTENED CONCERN OF FLASH FLOODING. POTENT MID LEVEL
SPEED MAX MOVING ACROSS THE PLAINS WILL ARRIVE ACROSS THIS REGION
BETWEEN 00 AND 03Z...AND COULD RESULT IN A FAIRLY RAPID INCREASE IN
STORM MODE EVOLUTION AND AN INCREASED SEVERE THREAT.

ACTIVITY SHOULD PUSH EAST OF THE REGION AFTER 06Z WITH DRYLINE
PASSAGE. BULK OF CLOUD COVER ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER LOW SHOULD REMAIN
NORTH OF THE THE REGION...ALLOWING FOR A MARKEDLY CHANGED DAY
TOMORROW WITH TEMPS SOME 15 DEGREES COOLER AND MUCH DRIER AIR
ADVECTING INTO THE REGION.

BOOKBINDER

EXTENDED (SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...

DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION ON SATURDAY...AS AN AREA
OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SLOWLY DRIFTS OFF TO THE EAST.
HOWEVER...THIS QUIET PERIOD OF WEATHER LOOKS TO ONCE AGAIN FLOP BACK
INTO A MORE ACTIVE STRETCH OF WEATHER ON SUNDAY.  MEDIUM RANGE
MODELS ARE IN DECENT LONG WAVE PATTERN AGREEMENT THROUGH MONDAY...IN
DEVELOPING YET ANOTHER DEEP TROUGH OVER THE WEST COAST OF THE
CONUS.  THE LOCAL AFFECTS OF THIS PATTERN WILL BEGIN TO BE FELT ON
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...AS SW FLOW ALOFT LIFTS TONIGHTS COLD
FRONT BACK NORTHWARD AS A WARM FRONT.  NAM/GFS BOTH INDICATE WEAK
ISENTROPIC LIFT ON THE 305K-310K SFC BEGINNING IN THE WESTERN ZONES
BY 06Z SAT.  HOWEVER...THE BIGGEST CONCERN WITH THIS NORTHWARD
LIFTING FRONT WILL BE POTENTIAL FOR SVR DEVELOPMENT SUNDAY
AFTERNOON.  IF THE WARM FRONT SLOWLY LIFTS NEAR THE MO/IA BORDER BY
SUN AFT...THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH TIME FOR AREAS TO THE SOUTH OF THE
FRONT TO WARM WELL INTO THE MID-UPR 80S. EVEN THOUGH THE BEST SHEAR
WILL BE CONFINED TO AREAS OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS...MODERATE
INSTABILITY SHOULD BE ABLE TO WORK WITH THE AVAILABLE 20-30 KTS 0-6
KM BULK SHEAR VALUES TO CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR SVR WX OVER THE
AREA.

LCL WEATHER BECOMES MORE MUDDLED BY MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH MODEL
DISCREPANCIES BECOMING MORE NUMEROUS.  GENERALLY FOLLOWED THE GFS
ENSEMBLES AND 00Z ECMWF FOR THE MONDAY TO THURSDAY TIMEFRAME AS
OPERATIONAL GFS IS SEEMS A BIG OUT OF PLACE AND IS SUFFERING FROM
QUITE A BIT OF CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK.  REGARDLESS...AFOREMENTIONED
MODELS SUGGEST A CONTINUED DEEPENING OF THE WESTERN TROUGH...MAKING
FOR A VERY ACTIVE PATTERN ACROSS THE CENTRAL US.  CLOSER TO
HOME...WITH SLIGHTLY STRONGER SWLY FLOW ALOFT THE POTENTIAL EXISTS
FOR STORM ACTIVITY THROUGH MUCH OF THE MID-WEEK TIMEFRAME. STORMS
WILL LIKELY NOT BE WIDESPREAD...AS A RESULT ONLY LOW CHANCE POPS ARE
WARRANTED.  THE LOCATION OF THE UPR RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN CONUS
WILL DETERMINE HOW MUCH WARM AIR ALOFT WILL EXIST TO PREVENT DAILY
CONVECTION.

AS FAR AS TEMPERATURES ARE CONCERNED...WITH RATHER BREEZY SWLY FLOW
THROUGH THE WORK WEEK...TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE INTO THE UPPER
80S FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK.  THESE TEMPERATURES MAY BE CONSERVATIVE
AND LATER SHIFTS WILL NEED TO EVALUATE FURTHER.

DUX

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE ST. JOSEPH TERMINAL...PRECIPITATION CHANCES HAVE ENDED.
PRIMARY SENSIBLE WEATHER CONCERN REVOLVES AROUND A WIND SHIFT FROM
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST THIS EVENING. VISIBLE AND IR SATELLITE
IMAGERY CONTINUE TO TRACK AN EXTENSIVE AREA OF CLOUD COVER WRAPPING
AROUND THE LARGE UPPER LOW OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THE POTENTIAL
EXISTS FOR THIS VFR CLOUD DECK TO REACH THE TERMINAL JUST BEFORE
SUNRISE FRIDAY.

FOR THE KANSAS CITY TERMINALS...LITTLE SOUTHWARD PROGRESSION OF
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BEEN OBSERVED SINCE THE MID AFTERNOON
HOURS AS THE DRYLINE HAS NEARLY HALTED ITS FORWARD PROGRESS. WHILE
THE BULK OF ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN JUST SOUTH OF KCI THIS EVENING...
HAVE OPTED TO INCLUDE VCTS FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS BEFORE THE FRONT
EDGES A LITTLE FARTHER EAST BY 03Z.  OCCASIONAL BOUTS OF CONVECTION
WILL CONTINUE FOR THE MKC TERMINAL THROUGH AT LEAST THE EARLY
EVENING HOURS. CURRENT MESOSCALE MODEL OUTPUT TRENDS CONTINUE TO
INDICATE A SLOW SHIFT OF THIS CONVECTION TO THE EAST THIS EVENING.
THE 00Z TAF PACKAGE FEATURES A CONTINUATION OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
03Z...WITH VICINITY THUNDER FOR A FEW HOURS THEREAFTER IN CASE THE
EASTWARD PROGRESSION OF THIS ACTIVITY IS SLOWER THAN FIRST THOUGHT.

GAGAN

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THURSDAY TO 7 PM THURSDAY FOR
     MOZ008-MOZ017-MOZ024-MOZ025-MOZ032-MOZ033-MOZ039-
     MOZ040-MOZ044-MOZ045-MOZ046-MOZ053-MOZ054.

KS...NONE.

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 7, 1:04 PM CDT, 9 hours 8 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
104 PM CDT THU JUN 7 2007

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-081815-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-
BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-
RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-
CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
104 PM CDT THU JUN 7 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL
AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL PASS TO OUR NORTH TODAY. A
NARROW BAND OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAS FORMED ALONG A DRY LINE
WHICH EXTENDS FROM DES MOINES TO NEAR BETHANY TO JUST EAST OF ST
JOSEPH INTO SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS. THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED TO INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AS THE AIRMASS AHEAD OF THIS
BOUNDARY BECOMES MORE UNSTABLE FROM SURFACE HEATING. VERY STRONG WIND
FIELDS EXTENDING WELL UP INTO THE ATMOSPHERE WILL PROVIDE SIGNIFICANT
SHEAR WHICH WILL HELP SUPPORT MORE ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY. SINCE THE WIND FIELDS ARE NEARLY UNIDIRECTIONAL AND THE
FREEZING LEVEL IS SO HIGH THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT WILL BE FROM
DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS. HOWEVER...AN ISOLATED TORNADO IS
POSSIBLE DUE TO THE EXTREME WIND FIELDS AND INCREASING INSTABILITY.

ALTHOUGH SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE ENTIRE REGION
EAST OF AN EASTON KANSAS TO BETHANY LINE THE GREATEST THREAT OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE OVER NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI THIS
AFTERNOON...INCLUDING THE BETHANY...PRINCETON...TRENTON AND GALLATIN
AREAS. AFTER 5 PM AND CONTINUING INTO THE MID EVENING HOURS THE BEST
THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE EAST OF A LUCERNE TO ODESSA LINE.
THE SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT SOUTHEAST OF A BUTLER TO
SEDALIA TO BOONVILLE LINE BY MIDNIGHT.

OTHERWISE...STRONG SOUTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED TODAY
WITH WIND GUSTS FROM 35 TO 45 MPH. THE STRONGEST WIND GUSTS THIS
AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO BE EAST OF A LINE FROM BUTLER TO CARROLLTON
TO KIRKSVILLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT WITH A FEW
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
TONIGHT...SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM ST JOSEPH TO BETHANY.

MJ

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 7, 7:22 PM CDT, 2 hours 50 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
722 PM CDT THU JUN 07 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 PM     HAIL             BRUNSWICK               39.42N 93.13W
06/07/2007  E1.75 INCH       CHARITON           MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

SWATSON

Special weather statement, Jun 7, 8:06 PM CDT, 2 hours 6 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
806 PM CDT THU JUN 7 2007

MOZ030-031-080130-
CARROLL-RAY-
806 PM CDT THU JUN 7 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR SOUTHERN RAY AND WESTERN CARROLL
COUNTIES UNTIL 830 PM CDT...

AT 801 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR ORRICK...OR 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF EXCELSIOR
SPRINGS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  6 MILES NORTHWEST OF HENRIETTA BY 810 PM CDT.
  6 MILES NORTHWEST OF HARDIN BY 820 PM CDT.
  8 MILES NORTHWEST OF NORBORNE BY 830 PM CDT.

THE TOWNS OF FLEMING...RAYVILLE...RUSSELLVILLE AND STET ARE ALSO IN
THE PATH OF THIS STORM.

PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

MJ

Local storm report, Jun 7, 8:14 PM CDT, 1 hour 58 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
814 PM CDT THU JUN 07 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0642 PM     TSTM WND DMG     NORBORNE                39.30N 93.68W
06/07/2007                   CARROLL            MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            POWER POLES AND TREE LIMBS DOWN...HAIL DAMAGE TO CROPS
            ALSO OBSERVED

&&

SWATSON

Local storm report, Jun 7, 8:34 PM CDT, 1 hour 38 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
834 PM CDT THU JUN 07 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0816 PM     HAIL             RICHMOND                39.28N 93.97W
06/07/2007  E0.75 INCH       RAY                MO   PUBLIC

&&

SWATSON

Local storm report, Jun 7, 9:15 PM CDT, 57 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
915 PM CDT THU JUN 07 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0911 PM     TSTM WND DMG     LAKE LOTAWANA           38.93N 94.26W
06/07/2007                   JACKSON            MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN IN LAKE LOTAWANA.

&&

GAMIS

Local storm report, Jun 7, 9:23 PM CDT, 49 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
923 PM CDT THU JUN 07 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0841 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 SE MACON              39.70N 92.42W
06/07/2007  E65 MPH          MACON              MO   PUBLIC

            LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN NEAR MACON DUE TO STRONG
            THUNDERSTORM WINDS

&&

SWATSON

The office that day

Everything else NWS Kansas City, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 7, 8:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Carroll, Ray	29 min
Jun 7, 9:04 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Jackson, Johnson, Lafayette	41 min
Jun 7, 9:35 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Lafayette, Saline	40 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2007 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.