Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 14, NWS Dodge City, KS

March 23, 2007Kiowa County, Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Mar 23, 2007, 4:57 PM CDT for Kiowa County, Kansas. It was in force for 48 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Mar 23, 2007, 4:57 PM CDT (21:57 UTC)
Expired: Mar 23, 2007, 5:45 PM CDT
In force: 48 min
Issued by: NWS Dodge City, KS
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Kiowa County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 60 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Mar 23, 4:40 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 10.0 hours before the alert went out and 56 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 995 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 73 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 58 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KDDC 232157
SVRDDC
KSC097-232245-
/O.NEW.KDDC.SV.W.0014.070323T2157Z-070323T2245Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
457 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  KIOWA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

* UNTIL 545 PM CDT

* AT 454 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 16
  MILES SOUTHWEST OF GREENSBURG...OR 12 MILES SOUTH OF MULLINVILLE...
  AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  GREENSBURG...
  HAVILAND...
  RURAL RESIDENCES OF KIOWA COUNTY.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZED HAIL.

BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE
SEEK A STURDY SHELTER AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS
PASSED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT SATURDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3740 9955 3746 9955 3750 9949 3755 9939
      3772 9916 3771 9913 3751 9901 3738 9931
      3738 9952

$$

RITTERLING

1 follow-up statement

000 
WWUS53 KDDC 232217
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
517 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2007

KSC097-232245-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0014.000000T0000Z-070323T2245Z/
KIOWA KS-
517 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT
FOR KIOWA COUNTY...

AT 515 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED 17 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GREENSBURG...OR 11 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
BUCKLIN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT SATURDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3740 9955 3746 9955 3760 9939 3767 9930
      3773 9922 3772 9916 3771 9913 3751 9901
      3738 9931 3738 9952

$$

RITTERLING

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Mar 23, 3:39 PM CDT, 1 hour 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 23, 3:39 PM CDT, 1 hour 18 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
339 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2007

.DISCUSSION...

DAYS 1-2...

MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE THIS AFTERNOON IS PRECIPITATION AND IF A
FLOOD WATCH WILL BE NEEDED FOR PARTS OF SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS.
PRECIPITABLE WATER ON THE NAM WAS INDICATING BETWEEN 1.0 AND 1.5
INCHES OF WATER OVER SW KS BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. MODELS ARE ALSO
SHOWING ROBUST MOISTURE BEING PUSHED INTO THE REGION BY SOUTHERLY
WINDS. AS A SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES THE
AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP. GIVEN THE ABUNDANT MOISTURE ALREADY AVAILABLE AND
IMPROVING INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM PERIODS OF MODERATE TO
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTHWEST KANSAS THROUGH SATURDAY AS OUR UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE SLOWLY MOVES NORTHEAST INTO SE COLORADO. GIVEN
THIS PROLONGED PERIOD OF RAINFALL AND ALREADY SATURATED GROUND
ACROSS OUR NW CWA...ANY EXTRA RAINFALL WILL ONLY ADD FUEL TO THE
FIRE FOR LOCALIZED FLOODING. ALSO SOME SMALL HAIL MAY BE AN ISSUE
EARLIER TONIGHT. EARLIER TODAY TSRA OVER THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS
PRODUCED 1/4 TO 1/2 INCH HAIL SO GIVEN THE ENVIRONMENT SEE NO
REASON WHY A FEW STORMS IN OUR CWA WILL NOT ALSO PRODUCE SOME
SMALL HAIL AS WELL.

DAYS 3-7...

WITH RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY FROM ALL THE MODELS AND ENSEMBLES TODAY
PCPN IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE EAST OF THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT. AS OUR
FIRST SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EARLY
NEXT WEEK MID LVL WINDS WILL BACK BECOMING MORE WESTERLY ENHANCING
DOWNSLOPE CONDITIONS. AS A RESULT SEE LITTLE REASON TO DISAGREE WITH
THE GFS/ECMWF 85H TEMPS PROGS OF +14 TO +17C ON 00Z TUE AND 00Z WED.

OUR NEXT PACIFIC SYSTEM REMAINS PROGGED TO CROSS INTO THE PLAINS MID
WEEK. FALLING PRESSURES ALONG THE WESTERN HIGH PLAINS WILL RESULT IN
BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS MID WEEK. ON THURSDAY AS THIS NEXT SYSTEM
MOVES E/NE OF THE AREA A COLD FRONT WILL SLIDE SOUTH ACROSS KS INTO
OKLAHOMA. BASED ON THE 24H CHANGE IN 925/85H TEMPS EXPECTED TO BE
MORE SEASONAL ON THURSDAY. TIMING STILL SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN WITH THIS
NEXT SYSTEM SO WILL STAY WITH PERSISTENCE AND LEAVE POPS AS IS FOR
NOW WED-WED PM.

&&

.AVIATION...

UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION WILL BE OUT BY 4 PM
&&

DAYS 8-10...

THE OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY MARCH 30TH THROUGH SUNDAY APRIL 1ST CALLS FOR
NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  58  70  52  74 /  70  70  20  20
GCK  56  70  49  73 /  80  70   0   0
EHA  53  70  48  74 /  80  50   0   0
LBL  57  72  51  74 /  90  60  10  10
HYS  57  69  52  73 /  70  40  20  10
P28  61  72  60  73 /  40  50  40  40

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

FN31/18

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 23, 5:00 AM CDT, 11 hours 57 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
500 AM CDT FRI MAR 23 2007

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-241000-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
500 AM CDT FRI MAR 23 2007 /400 AM MDT FRI MAR 23 2007/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
KANSAS...SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL
KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND INCREASE
IN AREAL COVERAGE TONIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY MORNING.
SOME CLEARING CAN BE EXPECTED EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS
WILL PROBABLY NOT BE SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTERS WILL PROBABLY NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 23, 4:25 PM CDT, 32 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
425 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     HAIL             3 WNW ENGLEWOOD         37.02N 101.95W
03/23/2007  E0.75 INCH       MORTON             KS   STORM CHASER

            THEY RECEIVED .7 INCH OF RAIN IN ABOUT A HALF HOUR

0400 PM     HAIL             1 W ENGLEWOOD           37.04N 100.00W
03/23/2007  E0.75 INCH       CLARK              KS   STORM CHASER

&&

MB

Local storm report, Mar 23, 4:27 PM CDT, 30 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
427 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0421 PM     HAIL             7 NE ENGLEWOOD          37.11N 99.90W
03/23/2007  E1.00 INCH       CLARK              KS   STORM CHASER

&&

RBURGERT

Local storm report, Mar 23, 4:40 PM CDT, 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
440 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0434 PM     HAIL             NE ASHLAND              37.19N 99.77W
03/23/2007  E1.00 INCH       CLARK              KS   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            EVENT OCCURRED OVER NORTHEAST EDGE ASHLAND

&&

MB

Local storm report, Mar 23, 4:50 PM CDT, 7 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
450 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0410 PM     HAIL             9 WSW ASHLAND           37.14N 99.92W
03/23/2007  M1.25 INCH       CLARK              KS   STORM CHASER

            THEY RECEIVED .73 INCHES RAIN FROM 355 PM TO 420 PM

&&

MB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 23, 3:30 PM CDT	Flood Watch	DDC	Finney, Grant, Hamilton, Kearny, Scott, Stanton	22 hr
Mar 23, 3:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Clark, Meade	43 min
Mar 23, 4:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Clark, Comanche	45 min
Mar 23, 4:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Meade	42 min
Mar 23, 5:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Clark, Meade	35 min
Mar 23, 5:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Meade, Seward	48 min
Mar 23, 5:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Kiowa, Pratt	44 min
Mar 23, 5:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Clark, Ford	33 min
Mar 23, 6:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ford	34 min
Mar 23, 6:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Meade, Seward	21 min
Mar 23, 6:36 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Kiowa	39 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2007 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.