Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2007
Storm Warning 9, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this storm warning at Jan 19, 2007, 9:39 PM AKST. It was in force for 13 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 19, 2007, 9:39 PM AKST (06:39 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 20, 2007, 11:00 AM AKST
- In force
- 13 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 FZAK52 PAJK 201232 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 239 AM AST SAT JAN 20 2007 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-210545- .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC AND MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT AS IT STRENGTHENS. THE LOW WILL WEAKEN BY SUN MORNING. A SECOND STRONG LOW WILL LIKELY FOLLOW ON TUE. $$ PKZ041-210545- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 239 AM AST SAT JAN 20 2007 ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. W SWELL IN THE MORNING. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 20 FT. W SWELL. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 20 FT. W SWELL. .MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. $$ PKZ042-210545- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 239 AM AST SAT JAN 20 2007 ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. W SWELL IN THE MORNING. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT LATE. SW SWELL LATE. RAIN. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 23 FT. W SWELL. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SW SWELL. .MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE THROUGH WED...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. $$ PKZ043-210545- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 239 AM AST SAT JAN 20 2007 ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 20 FT BUILDING TO 26 FT LATE. RAIN. .SUN...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 28 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SW SWELL. .MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE...SE GALE 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. $$ PKZ051-210545- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 239 AM AST SAT JAN 20 2007 ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT BUILDING TO 27 FT LATE. RAIN. .SUN...S GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 29 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .TUE...SE GALE 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. $$ PKZ052-210545- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 239 AM AST SAT JAN 20 2007 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 20 FT BUILDING TO 24 FT LATE. RAIN. .SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .TUE...E GALE 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$
3 follow-up statements
000 FZAK52 PAJK 201234 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AST SAT JAN 20 2007 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-210545- .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC AND MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT AS IT STRENGTHENS. THE LOW WILL WEAKEN BY SUN MORNING. A SECOND STRONG LOW WILL LIKELY FOLLOW ON TUE. $$ PKZ041-210545- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AST SAT JAN 20 2007 ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. W SWELL IN THE MORNING. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 20 FT. W SWELL. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 20 FT. W SWELL. .MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. $$ PKZ042-210545- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AST SAT JAN 20 2007 ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. W SWELL IN THE MORNING. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT LATE. SW SWELL LATE. RAIN. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 23 FT. W SWELL. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SW SWELL. .MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE THROUGH WED...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. $$ PKZ043-210545- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AST SAT JAN 20 2007 ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 20 FT BUILDING TO 26 FT LATE. RAIN. .SUN...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 28 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SW SWELL. .MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE...SE GALE 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. $$ PKZ051-210545- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AST SAT JAN 20 2007 ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT BUILDING TO 27 FT LATE. RAIN. .SUN...S GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 29 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .TUE...SE GALE 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. $$ PKZ052-210545- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AST SAT JAN 20 2007 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 20 FT BUILDING TO 24 FT LATE. RAIN. .SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .TUE...E GALE 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$
000 FZAK52 PAJK 201941 AAA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1040 AM AST SAT JAN 20 2007 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-210545- .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC AND MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT AS IT STRENGTHENS. THE LOW WILL WEAKEN BY SUN MORNING. A SECOND STRONG LOW WILL LIKELY FOLLOW ON TUE. $$ PKZ041-210545- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 1040 AM AST SAT JAN 20 2007 ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 20 FT. W SWELL. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 20 FT. W SWELL. .MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. $$ PKZ042-210545- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 1040 AM AST SAT JAN 20 2007 ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT LATE. SW SWELL LATE. RAIN. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 23 FT. W SWELL. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SW SWELL. .MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE THROUGH WED...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. $$ PKZ043-210545- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AST SAT JAN 20 2007 ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 20 FT BUILDING TO 26 FT LATE. RAIN. .SUN...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 28 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SW SWELL. .MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE...SE GALE 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. $$ PKZ051-210545- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AST SAT JAN 20 2007 ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT BUILDING TO 27 FT LATE. RAIN. .SUN...S GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 29 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .TUE...SE GALE 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. $$ PKZ052-210545- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AST SAT JAN 20 2007 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 20 FT BUILDING TO 24 FT LATE. RAIN. .SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .TUE...E GALE 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$
000 FZAK52 PAJK 210010 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AST SAT JAN 20 2007 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-211600- .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... LOW PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN GULF SATURDAY WILL MOVE TO NEAR PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND SUNDAY. GALE FORCE WINDS WITH THE FRONT OVER THE EASTERN GULF IS EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM. OUTLOOK. ANOTHER DEEP LOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND MOVE TO THE SOUTHERN GULF TUESDAY. $$ PKZ041-211600- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AST SAT JAN 20 2007 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 24 FT. W SWELL. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 20 FT. W SWELL. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. W SWELL. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. $$ PKZ042-211600- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AST SAT JAN 20 2007 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 18 FT BUILDING TO 24 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. .SUN...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 28 FT SUBSIDING TO 26 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 21 FT. W SWELL. .MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .THU...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. $$ PKZ043-211600- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AST SAT JAN 20 2007 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT BUILDING TO 29 FT LATE. RAIN. .SUN...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 33 FT SUBSIDING TO 31 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 23 FT. SW SWELL. .MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .THU...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ051-211600- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AST SAT JAN 20 2007 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT BUILDING TO 28 FT LATE. RAIN. .SUN...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 32 FT SUBSIDING TO 29 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .WED...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .THU...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ052-211600- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AST SAT JAN 20 2007 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED THROUGH THU...S GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Jan 19, 6:40 AM AKST, 14 hours 59 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 19, 6:40 AM AKST, 14 hours 59 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
1140 AM AST FRI JAN 19 2007
.SYNOPSIS...
.SHORT RANGE...AT 18Z ONE SFC LOW IS FILLING OVER WRANGELL MTNS
AND MOVG N OUT OF THE FCST AREA. ANOTHER LOW CENTER /1001 MB/ IS
LOCATED 250 NM WEST OF DIXON ENTRANCE NEAR 54N 139W. A WEAK SFC
RIDGE LIES E-W ACROSS THE NORTHERN ZONES IN BETWEEN THE LOWS. SFC
PRESSURE OBS AT 18Z ARE A TAD LOWER THAN AUTOMATED ANALYSIS TOOL
AND 6H MODEL PROGS. PRESSURES ARE FALLING OVER SOUTHERN ZONES
AHEAD OF LOW W OF DIX ENTR BUT BELIEVE THIS SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN
AND MOVE ONLY SLIGHTLY NWD THROUGH TONIGHT. SYSTEM WINDING UP AT
40N 165W WILL BE A BIGGER PLAYER FOR SE AK SAT NIGHT.
AMS QUITE MOIST ACROSS THE PANHANDLE TODAY. MVFR CONDS PREVAIL...
GIGS/VSBYS HIGHER IN THE NORTH UNDER WEAK RIDGE. HI POPS TODAY
EVERYWHERE BUT GENERALLY LIGHT AMTS. MODELS MAINTAIN GREATEST
UPWARD MOTION OVER CENTRAL 1/3 OF PANHANDLE ON NE SIDE OF
DIFLUENT AND NEGATIVELY TILTED TROF. WINDS DROPPING OFF TODAY BUT
WILL TAKE UNTIL THIS AFTN FOR SIGFNT DROP OFF IN LYNN CANAL.
CURRENTLY NO PUBLIC ADVISORIES IN EFFECT.
TWO MAIN FCST PROBLEMS ARE SOMEWHAT RELATED: DIFFERNTIATING
BETWEEN LIQUID AND FROZEN PRECIP AND THE EXACT TRACK OF GALE
DEVELOPING OUT AT 40N 165W. BELIEVE THERE WILL BE A TREND TOWARD
DRAINAGE WINDS OUT OF INTERIOR AS LOWS APPROACH FROM THE S AND W.
THIS SHOULD PULL IN COOL ENOUGH TEMPS FOR WET LOW LEVEL SNOWS
THROUGH SAT. STG WARM AIR ADVECTION IS FCST SAT NIGHT INTO SUN
MORNING AHEAD OF DEVELOPING SYSTEM. SNOW LEVEL MAY RISE ABV 4K FT
SOUTHERN ZONES AND UP TO ABOUT 2K FT IN THE N. CONSIDERABLE
SPREAD OF MODEL SOLUTIONS FOR SFC LOW TRACK. ENSEMBLE MEAN
DEPICTS 982MB CENTER MAKING LANDFALL SUN MORNING NEAR OR WEST OF
YAKUTAT BAY. SOME INDIV ENSEMBLE MEMBERS 8 MB DEEPER AND FARTHER
WEST. AFTER COORD WITH ANC WE WILL LEAN TWD DEEPER SOLUTIONS OF
GFS-40 AND NAM. WILL LOWER SFC PRESSURES A BIT IN CURRENT GRID
FCSTS AND MAINTAIN LOW TRACK TWD YAK BAY. BOTTOM LINE IMPACT WILL
BE GALES AND WIND ADVISORIES FOR SAT NIGHT AND SUN MORNING. WILL
HOLD OFF A LITTLE LONGER ON ISSUING ADV STATEMENTS SINCE EVENT IS
STILL 36H AWAY AND TRUST FUTURE MODEL RUNS WILL BETTER DEFINE
SPECIFIC ZONES NEEDING ADVISORIES.
.LONG RANGE...MOST OF THE MODELS APPEAR TO BE IN FAIR AGREEMENT
WITH THE GENERAL SYNOPTIC EVOLUTION OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...
ALTHOUGH THERE ARE SOME DISAGREEMENT WITH THE DETAILS. SURFACE
LOW WILL ENTER THE SOUTH CENTRAL GULF LATE SATURDAY...THEN
MIGRATE NORTHWARD THROUGH SUNDAY AND WILL LIKELY REACH THE GULF
COAST IN THE VICINITY OF YAKUTAT LATE SUNDAY NIGHT OR EARLY
MONDAY MORNING. THERE IS SOME DIFFERENCE IN THE DEPTH OF THE LOW.
THE GFS IS THE DEEPEST AND THE ETA IS THE WEAKEST. WILL LIKELY
TAKE A COMPROMISE OF THE TWO SOLUTIONS WITH THE INTENSITY WHICH
WOULD LOWER THE SURFACE PRESSURES A LITTLE BIT FROM WHAT IS
CURRENTLY IN THE GRIDS.
AFTER THIS LOW GOES INLAND...HIGH PRESSURE...BOTH AT THE SURFACE
AND ALOFT...BUILD ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALASKA THROUGH THE FIRST HALF
OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL CREATE AN OFFSHORE FLOW OVER A LARGE PART
OF SOUTHEAST...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE FAR NORTHERN PART AND
NORTHEAST GULF COAST. POPS WILL BE ON THE DECREASE OVER THE
CENTRAL AND SOUTH...AND REMAIN THAT WAY THROUGH MID WEEK.
MID LEVEL RIDGE BEGINS TO SHIFT EASTWARD DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY
AND SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS OVER THE CENTRAL GULF. ONSHORE FLOW
RESUMES AREAWIDE EARLY WEDNESDAY AND POPS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE ON
THE INCREASE.
.AJK...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...SCA THROUGH FRI NIGHT ALG OUTER COAST. SCA THROUGH THIS
AFTN LYNN CANAL/CROSS SND.The office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 9:39 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 33 hr | |
| Jan 19, 9:39 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 25 hr | |
| Jan 19, 9:39 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AJK | 37 hr | |
| Jan 20, 11:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 2 hr | |
| Jan 20, 1:00 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AJK | 18 hr | |
| Jan 20, 2:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 17 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.