Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2007

Storm Warning 57, NWS Juneau, AK

December 21, 2007

NWS Juneau, AK issued this storm warning at Dec 21, 2007, 11:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 36 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 21, 2007, 11:00 PM AKST (08:00 UTC)
Expired
Dec 23, 2007, 11:00 AM AKST
In force
36 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
FZAK52 PAJK 221246
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AST SAT DEC 22 2007 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-230100-
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A 976 MB LOW OVER THE FAR SE GULF WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE NE ACROSS
THE SOUTH-CENTRAL PANHANDLE THIS MORNING THEN BE E OF THE AREA
BY LATE AFTERNOON. A STORM FORCE LOW WILL MOVE NE TO THE SE GULF
BY SUN AFTERNOON...THEN WEAKEN AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PANHANDLE SUN NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ041-230100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM AST SAT DEC 22 2007 

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 30 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 
24 FT SUBSIDING TO 20 FT BY AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 50 KT LATE. SEAS 19 FT
BUILDING TO 22 FT LATE. RAIN LATE.
.SUN...S STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 28 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...W STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 35 FT. SHOWERS.
.MON...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.WED...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ042-230100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 AM AST SAT DEC 22 2007 

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 
20 FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT BY AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 50 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT
BUILDING TO 19 FT LATE. SW SWELL IN THE EVENING. RAIN LATE.  
.SUN...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...W GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 29 FT. SHOWERS.
.MON...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.WED...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ043-230100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM AST SAT DEC 22 2007 

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS
17 FT. S SWELL. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 50 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT
BUILDING TO 17 FT LATE. SW SWELL IN THE EVENING. RAIN LATE.
.SUN...E GALE TO 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS
21 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.MON...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.WED...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ051-230100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 AM AST SAT DEC 22 2007 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 17 FT
SUBSIDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. S SWELL. RAIN IN THE
MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 35 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT. S
SWELL IN THE EVENING.
.SUN...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ052-230100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 AM AST SAT DEC 22 2007 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17
SUBSIDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. S SWELL.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$
3 follow-up statements
000 
FZAK52 PAJK 230018
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AST SAT DEC 22 2007

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-231815-
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A DEVELOPING STORM MOVING IN THE NORTH PACIFIC IS EXPECTED TO
DEEPEN TO 965 MB AND BE WITHIN 150 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKA SUN
MORNING BEFORE STARTING TO WEAKEN AND TURN EASTWARD MAKING LAND
FALL OVER CENTRAL SE AK LATE SUN.

$$

PKZ041-231815-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 PM AST SAT DEC 22 2007

...STORM WARNING LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 50 KT LATE. SEAS 19 FT
BUILDING TO 21 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. 
.SUN...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 26 FT
BUILDING TO 28 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...W STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 33 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 28 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SHOWERS.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT.  

$$

PKZ042-231815-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 PM AST SAT DEC 22 2007

...STORM WARNING LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 50 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT
BUILDING TO 19 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. 
.SUN...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
23 FT BUILDING TO 25 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...W GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SHOWERS.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 22 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.WED...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT.  

$$

PKZ043-231815-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 PM AST SAT DEC 22 2007

...STORM WARNING LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 50 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT
BUILDING TO 17 FT LATE. SW SWELL IN THE EVENING. RAIN LATE. 
.SUN...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT
BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.WED...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.THU...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT.  

$$

PKZ051-231815-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 PM AST SAT DEC 22 2007

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 35 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT. S
SWELL IN THE EVENING. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT
BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT.  

$$

PKZ052-231815-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 PM AST SAT DEC 22 2007

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN
LATE. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SHOWERS.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.  

$$
000 
FZAK52 PAJK 231255
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AST SUN DEC 23 2007

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-240700-
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A STORM FORCE LOW ABOUT 300 NM W OF THE CHARLOTTES WILL MOVE NE
AND COME ONSHORE JUST N OF CAPE DECISION BY THIS EVENING...THEN
REACH NORTHERN BRITISH COLUMBIA BY LATE TONIGHT. THE LOW WILL
WEAKEN RAPIDLY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. 

$$

PKZ041-240700-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM AST SUN DEC 23 2007

...STORM WARNING EARLY TODAY AND THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...S WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 26
FT BUILDING TO 32 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT LATE. SEAS 32 FT.
RAIN IN THE EVENING.  
.MON...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 28 FT. SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SHOWERS.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 27 FT.  

$$

PKZ042-240700-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 AM AST SUN DEC 23 2007

...STORM WARNING EARLY TODAY AND THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
20 FT BUILDING TO 23 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT LATE. SEAS 26 FT.
RAIN IN THE EVENING.  
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT. SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SHOWERS.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT.  

$$

PKZ043-240700-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM AST SUN DEC 23 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.  

$$

PKZ051-240700-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 AM AST SUN DEC 23 2007

...GALE WARNING EARLY TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. S SWELL IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  
.MON...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

PKZ052-240700-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 AM AST SUN DEC 23 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  
.MON...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SHOWERS.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$
000 
FZAK52 PAJK 240020
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AST SUN DEC 23 2007 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-241400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
966 MB STORM NEAR SITKA WILL WEAKEN SUN NIGHT AS IT MOVES EAST
OVER FREDERICK SOUND. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN RAPIDLY ON MON
FROM THE SW FOLLOWED BY A STRONG WEATHER FRONT THAT MOVES TO THE
EASTERN GULF MON NIGHT.

$$

PKZ041-241400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 PM AST SUN DEC 23 2007 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 33 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 28 FT SUBSIDING
TO 23 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.  
.MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 24 FT. W SWELL. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 27 FT.  

$$

PKZ042-241400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 PM AST SUN DEC 23 2007 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN IN
THE EVENING. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
25 FT SUBSIDING TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL IN THE
MORNING. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.  
.MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 23 FT. W SWELL. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 26 FT.  

$$

PKZ043-241400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 PM AST SUN DEC 23 2007 

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
21 FT SUBSIDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL IN THE
MORNING. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.  

$$

PKZ051-241400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 PM AST SUN DEC 23 2007 

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.  
.MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

PKZ052-241400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 PM AST SUN DEC 23 2007 

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Dec 21, 7:00 AM AKST, 16 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 21, 7:00 AM AKST, 16 hours before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
1200 PM AST FRI DEC 21 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
.SHORT RANGE...LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS THREE SEPARATE
STRONG LOWS LOCATED IN THE GULF AND NORTHERN PACIFIC.  THE FIRST
OF THESE LOWS IS A 975 MB STORM MOVING NORTHWARD INTO PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND.  AN OCCLUSION EXTENDS SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARDS THE
PANHANDLE THEN SOUTHWESTWARD TO A SECOND LOW LOCATED NEAR 48N
140W.  THIS SECOND LOW IS RAPIDLY DEEPENING AS IT MOVES
NORTHEASTWARD TOWARDS DIXON ENTRANCE.  THE THIRD LOW IS SLIDING
EASTWARD ALONG THE ALASKAN PENINSULA.

GALE FORCE WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS THE GULF MARINE WATERS AS WELL
AS LINCOLN ROCK AND CAPE DECISION.  ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS ARE ALSO
BEING REPORTED AT SITKA...KETCHIKAN/METLAKATLA...AND YAKUTAT.
MOST LOCATIONS HAVE WARMED ENOUGH TO CHANGE OVER TO RAIN OR MIX
WITH RAIN.  TEMPERATURES REMAIN COLD ENOUGH TO SUPPORT SNOW IN
HYDER...HAINES AND SKAGWAY.  HAINES CONTINUES UNDER HEAVY
SNOWFALL WITH VISIBILITY OF A QUARTER-MILE.  SNOW HIGHLIGHTS HAVE
BEEN DROPPED FOR ALL BUT THE AFOREMENTIONED LOCATIONS.

AS THE OCCLUDED FRONT MOVES INLAND THROUGH THE DAY
TODAY...ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS WILL DIMINISH ALONG THE NORTHERN
COAST BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.  THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE MAY SEE A
BRIEF REPRIEVE FROM WINDS THIS EVENING BEFORE THEY PICK BACK UP
TONIGHT.  THE SECOND LOW...DIRECTED TOWARD DIXON ENTRANCE DEEPENS
TO AROUND 973 MB OVERNIGHT.  MODELS DEPICT AT LEAST ADVISORY
LEVEL WINDS WITH WARNING GUSTS PROBABLE FOR ZONES 27 AND 28.
WILL EXPLORE THE POTENTIAL FOR STORM FORCE SUSTAINED WINDS IN
CLARENCE AND MARINE 41.

PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL AGAIN BE TRICKY THROUGH TOMORROW.
OVERNIGHT...EXPECT LOWS TO FALL NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW FREEZING
IN THE NORTH...THEN WARM SLIGHTLY DURING THE DAY SATURDAY.  WILL
GO WITH A MIX OR A MIX BECOMING SNOW OVERNIGHT.  LYNN CANAL AREA
WILL CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE TO WARM. THE POTENTIAL FOR A
DEFORMATION BAND TO DEVELOP NORTHWEST OF THE SECOND LOW CENTER
WILL ALSO BE A CONCERN. THEREFORE WILL KEEP SNOW IN THE FORECAST.
MUCH OF THE SOUTH SHOULD STICK TO RAIN WHILE INLAND PORTLAND
CANAL/HYDER WILL SEE SNOW.

.LONG RANGE...
ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT SE AK THROUGH NEXT
WEEK. COLD LONG WAVE TROUGH EXTENDS S FROM N POLE JUST EAST OF
DATELINE. LONG WAVE RIDGE JUST OFF CONUS W COAST. RESULT IS
STRONG AND WET STORM TRACK THROUGH GULF AK. SEVERAL VERY DEEP SFC
LOWS ARE FCST TO DEVELOP FROM WARM WAVES AROUND 40N AND BARREL
TOWARD SE AK WITH HIGH WINDS...HEAVY SEAS...AND PLENTY OF PRECIP.
SYSTEMS ARE TAPPING INTO JUICY TROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE.
LOCATION OF RAIN-SNOW LINES WILL BE ANOTHER TRICKY PROBLEM IN THE
EXTENDED RANGE.

FAVORING GFS MODEL AGAIN TODAY BASED ON ITS ACCURATE
INITIALIZATION OF ALL UPSTREAM SYSTEMS. TODAYS RUN IS A BIT
FASTER ON DETAILS THROUGH TUE...AS IS ECMWF AND SREF...SO I WILL
NUDGE GRID FORECASTS SLIGHTLY EASTWARD. PANHANDLE WILL BE IN
BETWEEN FRONTS SAT NIGHT BUT THINGS CHANGE QUICKLY SUN. LOW
CENTER DEVELOPING TODAY AT 38N 177W IS FCST TO TRAVEL 40KTS TO BE
JUST OFF DIXON ENTRANCE SUNDAY MORNING WHILE DEEPENING TO 960 MB.
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS 1-2 INCHES OF LIQUID PRECIP POSSIBLE WITH THIS
SYSTEM...GREATEST OVER SRN PANHANDLE... ALONG WITH GALE TO STORM
FORCE WINDS ALONG S COAST AND SRN CLARENCE STR. APPEARS TO BE A
WRM CORE SYSTEM SO FRZG LEVELS WILL BUMP UP SOME AND MELT LOW
LEVELS SNOW...AGAIN MAINLY S HLF PANHANDLE...WHICH MAY AGGRIVATE
HYDRO SITUATION SUN INTO MON.

ALL GUIDANCE SHOWS ANOTHER LOW CENTER AIMING TOWARD SE AK MON
NIGHT AND EARLY TUE. THIS ONE IS SHOWING BROAD AREA OF STORM
FORCE SE WIND AHEAD OF FRONT. HEAVY PRECIP POTENTIAL FOR IS FOR
NORTHERN ZONES INSTEAD...ESP YAKUTAT. MOIST ONSHORE FLOW THROUGH
MID WEEK KEEP POPS VERY HIGH. ANOTHER STRONG STORM MOVES WEST
ACROSS THE GULF THU AND IS CURRENTLY PREDICTED TO MAKE LANDFALL
OVER SRN QN CHARLOTTE SOUND WHICH MAY ACTUALLY HELP REVERSE THE
FLOW ALF TO EASTERLY AND HELP DRY OUT PANHANDLE BRIEFLY BUT NOT
BANKING ON IT YET.  TA

.AJK...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PUBLIC...HVY SNOW WARN...ZONE 19
         SNOW ADVY...ZONES 18-29
         WIND ADVY...ZONES 17-22-23-26-27-28-29
         HI WIND WARN...ZONES 27-28 TONIGHT

MARINE...STORM WARN...ZONES 51-52
         GALE WARN...ZONES 33-35-36-41-42-43-53-310
         SMCR...ELSEWHERE

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 21, 11:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK54 hr
Dec 21, 11:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK12 hr
Dec 21, 11:00 PM AKSTStorm WarningAJK36 hr
Dec 22, 5:30 AM AKSTGale WarningAJK6 hr
Dec 22, 7:04 AM AKSTHigh Wind WarningAJK29 hr
Dec 22, 7:04 AM AKSTWind AdvisoryAJK44 hr
Dec 22, 11:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAJK23 hr
Dec 22, 11:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAJK42 hr
Dec 22, 11:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK36 hr
Dec 22, 11:00 AM AKSTStorm WarningAJK23 hr

Nearby

Storm Warnings in Alaska, 2007Every storm warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.