Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2007
Storm Warning 43, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this storm warning at Nov 15, 2007, 11:00 AM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 15, 2007, 11:00 AM AKST (20:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 16, 2007, 10:31 AM AKST
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 FZAK52 PAJK 160031 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AST THU NOV 15 2007 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-161400- .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A 962MB STORM FORCE LOW WILL TRACK NORTH ALONG 140W AND CONTINUE TO DEEPEN TONIGHT. THE LOW WILL BEGIN TO TRACK NORTHWEST AND START TO SLOWLY WEAKEN ON FRIDAY. $$ PKZ041-161400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AST THU NOV 15 2007 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT BUILDING TO 27 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LATE. .FRI...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 27 FT BUILDING TO 33 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 33 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 23 FT. W SWELL. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. W SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ042-161400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AST THU NOV 15 2007 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT BUILDING TO 26 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LATE. .FRI...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 31 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 31 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. W SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ043-161400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AST THU NOV 15 2007 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT BUILDING TO 23 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LATE. .FRI...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 28 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 28 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. W SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ051-161400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AST THU NOV 15 2007 ...STORM WARNING FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. .FRI...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT BUILDING TO 24 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...E GALE TO 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT. $$ PKZ052-161400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AST THU NOV 15 2007 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT LATE. .FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .FRI NIGHT...NE GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF ICY BAY. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .SAT...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 27 FT. $$
3 follow-up statements
000 FZAK52 PAJK 161231 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AST FRI NOV 16 2007 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-170100- .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A 950MB STORM FORCE LOW ABOUT 300 NM W OF DIXON ENTRANCE WILL DRIFT NW TO THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF AND SLOWLY WEAKEN BY SAT MORNING. $$ PKZ041-170100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AST FRI NOV 16 2007 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH TODAY... .TODAY...S WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 33 FT. SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT LATE. SEAS 32 FT SUBSIDING TO 23 FT LATE. RAIN. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 20 FT. W SWELL. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. W SWELL. .SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. W SWELL. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ042-170100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AST FRI NOV 16 2007 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO S 25 KT LATE. SEAS 29 FT SUBSIDING TO 22 FT LATE. RAIN. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. W SWELL. .MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ043-170100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AST FRI NOV 16 2007 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 28 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 26 FT SUBSIDING TO 20 FT LATE. RAIN. .SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. W SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT. $$ PKZ051-170100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AST FRI NOV 16 2007 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 25 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 24 FT SUBSIDING TO 20 FT LATE. RAIN. .SAT...SE GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT. SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. S SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT. $$ PKZ052-170100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AST FRI NOV 16 2007 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 22 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT LATE. RAIN. .SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 27 FT. $$
000 FZAK52 PAJK 161800 AAA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 900 AM AST FRI NOV 16 2007 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-170100- .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A 950MB STORM FORCE LOW ABOUT 300 NM W OF DIXON ENTRANCE WILL DRIFT NW TO THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF AND SLOWLY WEAKEN BY SAT MORNING. $$ PKZ041-170100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 900 AM AST FRI NOV 16 2007 UPDATED FOR THUNDER ...STORM WARNING THROUGH TODAY... .TODAY...S WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 33 FT. SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. .TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT LATE. SEAS 32 FT SUBSIDING TO 23 FT LATE. RAIN. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 20 FT. W SWELL. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. W SWELL. .SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. W SWELL. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ042-170100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 900 AM AST FRI NOV 16 2007 UPDATED FOR THUNDER ...STORM WARNING THROUGH TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT. SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO S 25 KT LATE. SEAS 29 FT SUBSIDING TO 22 FT LATE. RAIN. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. W SWELL. .MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ043-170100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 900 AM AST FRI NOV 16 2007 UPDATED FOR THUNDER ...STORM WARNING THROUGH TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 28 FT. SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 26 FT SUBSIDING TO 20 FT LATE. RAIN. .SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. W SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT. $$ PKZ051-170100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 900 AM AST FRI NOV 16 2007 UPDATED FOR THUNDER ...STORM WARNING THROUGH TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 25 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. .TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 24 FT SUBSIDING TO 20 FT LATE. RAIN. .SAT...SE GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT. SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. S SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT. $$ PKZ052-170100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 900 AM AST FRI NOV 16 2007 UPDATED FOR THUNDER ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. .TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 22 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT LATE. RAIN. .SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 27 FT. $$
000 FZAK52 PAJK 170031 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 331 PM AST FRI NOV 16 2007 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-171845- .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A 960MB STORM FORCE LOW 300 NM SW OF CROSS SOUND WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWEST ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF AND WEAKEN FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. $$ PKZ041-171845- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 331 PM AST FRI NOV 16 2007 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 30 FT SUBSIDING TO 23 FT LATE. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .SAT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 20 KT LATE. SEAS 21 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. W SWELL. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 15 FT. W SWELL. .SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 11 FT. W SWELL. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. W SWELL. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 28 FT. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 26 FT. $$ PKZ042-171845- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 331 PM AST FRI NOV 16 2007 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 28 FT SUBSIDING TO 22 FT LATE. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. .SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. W SWELL. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. W SWELL. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 28 FT. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 27 FT. $$ PKZ043-171845- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 331 PM AST FRI NOV 16 2007 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 30 KT LATE. SEAS 26 FT SUBSIDING TO 20 FT LATE. SHOWERS TONIGHT WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. .SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. W SWELL. .MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 28 FT. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 27 FT. $$ PKZ051-171845- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 331 PM AST FRI NOV 16 2007 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... .TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 24 FT SUBSIDING TO 20 FT LATE. SHOWERS TONIGHT WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. .SAT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 28 FT. $$ PKZ052-171845- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 331 PM AST FRI NOV 16 2007 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... .TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 21 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .SAT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 30 FT. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 28 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Nov 15, 6:00 AM AKST, 5 hours earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 15, 6:00 AM AKST, 5 hours before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION 1100 AM AST THU NOV 15 2007 .SYNOPSIS... .SHORT RANGE...SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS MORNING IS SHOWING AN APPROACHING 962 MB STORM FORCE LOW NEAR 50N/140W AND TRACKING NORTHEAST AT 35 KTS. THERE IS EVIDENCE TO SUGGEST THAT THIS STORM HAS BEGUN TO TURN TO THE NORTH AS IS EXPECTED...HOWEVER THIS WILL NOT BE READILY APPARENT UNTIL LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE ASSOCIATED FRONTAL CLOUD MASS HAS ALREADY COVERED ALL OF THE PANHANDLE EXCEPT YAKUTAT AND CONTINUES TO BUILD IN MORE THICKLY FROM THE SOUTH WITH CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES OVER THE SOUTHERN ZONES NOW DOWN TO -50F. ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS LOW IN THE WESTERN GULF THERE IS A SHARPLY DEFINED BAROCLINIC CLOUD LEAF ALSO EVIDENT IN IMAGERY AS WELL AS COLD AIR AND A VORT MAX ASSOCIATED WITH THE CORRESPONDING UPPER LEVEL LOW. COLD AIR HAS BEGUN TO WRAP AROUND THE BASE OF THE SURFACE LOW AND AS THIS SYSTEM EVOLVES...EXPECT TO SEE THE STRONGEST OVER-WATER SURFACE WINDS TO BE LOCATED NEAR THE BOUNDARY BETWEEN THE BAROCLINIC LEAF AND THE COLD AIR. RAIN HAS ALREADY BEGUN FOR MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF FREDERICK SOUND. EXPECT TO SEE PRECIPITATION TO WORK ITS WAY NORTH ALONG THE PANHANDLE THROUGHOUT THE DAY. MAIN FORECAST CONCERN FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT IS THE TIMING AND INTENSITY OF THE WIND. WINDS HAVE ALREADY PICKED UP IN EARNEST NEAR THE DIXON ENTRANCE WITH SOUTHEAST AT 30 KT GUSTING TO 35 KTS. WIND ADVISORY SCHEDULED TO BEGIN FOR THE SOUTHERN ZONES AND THE OUTER COAST UP TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER AT NOON. CURRENT WIND ADVISORY FOR ZONES 23...27 AND 28 IS FOLLOWED UP BY A HIGH WIND WATCH BEGINNING AT 6PM. BASED ON LATEST HIGH RESOLUTION MODEL DATA...HIGH WIND WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED FOR ZONES 27 AND 28 BUT NOT 24. SUSTAINED SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 45 KTS FOR SOUTHERN COASTAL AREAS AND WIND CHANNELED LOCATIONS ARE EXPECTED FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH TOMORROW MID MORNING. .LONG RANGE...ANTICIPATE FEW CHANGES TO THE LONG RANGE. STRONG LOW IN THE EASTERN GULF WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AS IT FILLS. THE 12Z GFS/UKMET HAS INITIALIZED WELL AND ARE OF SIMILAR THINKING TO THE MIDNIGHT PACKAGE. WILL LEAVE MOST FIELDS AS IS AND DO SOME SLIGHT TWEAKING OF THE WIND TOMORROW NIGHT AND SATURDAY. WILL CARRY AT LEAST ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS THROUGH MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT ALONG THE COASTAL ZONES AND WILL CONTINUE TO LOOK INTO THE POTENTIAL OF HIGH WIND WARNINGS WITH THE SHORT RANGE. FOR NOW...HIGH GALE FORCE WIND IN THE OUTSIDE AND COASTAL MARINES ALSO LOOK REASONABLE. AS THE LOW PULLS INLAND NEAR PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND...WINDS WILL DISSIPATE FROM SOUTHEAST TO NORTHWEST SATURDAY. BEHIND THIS SYSTEM A WEAKENING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL KEEP LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW IN PLACE OVER THE PANHANDLE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. THE NEXT SYSTEM OF INTEREST REVOLVES AROUND A LOW FORMING IN THE NORTHERN PACIFIC. THIS LOW MOVES NORTHWARD INTO THE WESTERN GULF NEAR KODIAK TUESDAY AFTERNOON. OF NOTE IS THAT THE ECMWF AND OPERATIONAL GFS DIFFER IN STRENGTH BY ABOUT 10 MB AND THAT THE ENSEMBLES SHOW A HIGH DEGREE OF DEVIATION. THEREFORE WILL NOT MAKE CHANGES IN REGARDS TO THIS SYSTEM. LIKELY POPS AND GALE FORCE WINDS IN THE GULF WATERS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE ON TUESDAY NIGHT SEEM REASONABLE. .AJK...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES PUBLIC...ZONES 23-27-28 WIND ADVISORIES NOON-6PM...HIGH WIND WATCH 6PM THRU 12 NOON FRI. ALL OTHER ZONES XCP 18-19 WIND ADVISORY AFT 3 PM TODAY. MARINE...STORM WARNING LATE TNGT PKZ041-043. GALE WARNINGS TDA-TNGT ALL ZONES XCP SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES FOR STEPHENS PASG AND YAK BAY.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 5:09 PM AKST | High Wind Watch | AJK | 22 hr | |
| Nov 14, 11:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 35 hr | |
| Nov 14, 11:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 40 hr | |
| Nov 14, 11:00 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AJK | 36 hr | |
| Nov 15, 10:30 AM AKST | High Wind Warning | AJK | 28 hr | |
| Nov 15, 10:30 AM AKST | Wind Advisory | AJK | 8 hr | |
| Nov 15, 11:00 AM AKST | Storm Warning | AJK | 24 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.