Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2007
Gale Warning 85, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Feb 16, 2007, 11:00 AM AKST. It was in force for 12 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 16, 2007, 11:00 AM AKST (20:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 16, 2007, 11:00 PM AKST
- In force
- 12 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 FZAK51 PAJK 170026 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AST FRI FEB 16 2007 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-171630- .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... WEATHER FRONT IN THE NORTHPACIFIC WILL MOVE N INTO THE EASTERN GULF TONIGHT AND ONSHORE THE PANHANDLE SATURDAY BEFORE WEAKENING. OUTLOOK...A LOW WILL MOVE E TO THE EASTERN GULF BY LATE MON THEN STALL THERE THROUGH WED. $$ PKZ011-171630- GLACIER BAY- 400 PM AST FRI FEB 16 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. RAIN AND SNOW LATE. .SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...N GALE 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ012-171630- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AST FRI FEB 16 2007 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING N BY 9 PM AND INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW LATE. .SAT...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TUE THROUGH WED...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ013-171630- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AST FRI FEB 16 2007 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING N BY 9 PM AND INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT LATE. RAIN AND SNOW LATE. .SAT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE THROUGH WED...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ021-171630- ICY STRAIT- 400 PM AST FRI FEB 16 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. RAIN AND SNOW LATE. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ022-171630- CROSS SOUND- 400 PM AST FRI FEB 16 2007 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN LATE. .SAT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .WED...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ031-171630- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 PM AST FRI FEB 16 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW AND INCREASING TO 30 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW LATE. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ032-171630- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AST FRI FEB 16 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N BY MIDNIGHT AND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW LATE. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT THROUGH MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ033-171630- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AST FRI FEB 16 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N BY MIDNIGHT AND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN LATE. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. W SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ034-171630- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 PM AST FRI FEB 16 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ035-171630- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 PM AST FRI FEB 16 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT... EXCEPT 16 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ036-171630- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 PM AST FRI FEB 16 2007 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$
1 follow-up statement
000 FZAK51 PAJK 171325 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AST SAT FEB 17 2007 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-180100- .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... THE WEATHER FRONT OVER THE EASTERN GULF SAT MORNING WILL LIFT OVER SE AK THROUGH TODAY. ANOTHER WEATHER FRONT WILL DRIFT EAST ACROSS THE GULF AND LIFT OVER THE PANHANDLE SUN NIGHT...THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW WILL BE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF BY MON. $$ PKZ011-180100- GLACIER BAY- 400 AM AST SAT FEB 17 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. .SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW...THEN SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ012-180100- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AST SAT FEB 17 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. .MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW...THEN SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ013-180100- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AST SAT FEB 17 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW...THEN SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ021-180100- ICY STRAIT- 400 AM AST SAT FEB 17 2007 .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 3 FT IN THE EVENING THEN SUBSIDING. SNOW. .SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW...THEN SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ022-180100- CROSS SOUND- 400 AM AST SAT FEB 17 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON MAINLY AS SW SWELL. RAIN IN THE MORNING... THEN RAIN AND SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W LATE. SEAS 8 FT MAINLY AS SW SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT MAINLY AS SW SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ031-180100- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 AM AST SAT FEB 17 2007 .TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW...THEN SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ032-180100- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AST SAT FEB 17 2007 .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT IN THE MORNING THEN SUBSIDING. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...SE WIND BECOMING 15 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT LATE. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW...THEN SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ033-180100- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AST SAT FEB 17 2007 .TODAY...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT... EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. W SWELL. RAIN. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ034-180100- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 AM AST SAT FEB 17 2007 .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT LATE. RAIN. .SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ035-180100- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 AM AST SAT FEB 17 2007 .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ036-180100- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 AM AST SAT FEB 17 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Feb 16, 6:00 AM AKST, 5 hours earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 16, 6:00 AM AKST, 5 hours before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
1100 AM AST FRI FEB 16 2007
.SYNOPSIS...
.SHORT RANGE...
A FAIRLY STRONG LOW IN THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL MOVE NORTHEAST INTO
THE GULF OF ALASKA SATURDAY. HOWEVER...MOST OF THE STRONGER
PRECIPITATION AND WIND FOR THE PANHANDLE WILL COME WITH THE
OCCLUDED FRONT OUT AHEAD OF THE LOW...WITH PRECIPITATION
SPREADING FROM SOUTH TO NORTH THROUGH THE NIGHT. GFS INITIALIZED
WELL WITH THE LOW AND MOISTURE FIELDS THIS MORNING...AND IS THE
MODEL OF CHOICE.
POSSIBILITY FOR SNOW IS A CONCERN FOR THE NORTHERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL PANHANDLE TONIGHT. EXPECT WINDS TO QUICKLY COME BACK
AROUND TO THE NORTH FOR THESE AREAS THIS EVENING AS THE OCCLUSION
APPROACHES. THESE WINDS SHOULD REACH GALE FORCE BY LATE TONIGHT
FOR LYNN CANAL...WITH LOCALIZED STRONG WINDS NEAR DOWNTOWN JUNEAU
AS WELL. ALONG WITH THIS NORTHERLY WIND SHIFT WILL COME THE
POSSIBILITY OF A SHOT OF SIGNIFICANT SNOW AS THE OCCLUSION
APPROACHES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MARGINAL...WITH READING HOVERING
RIGHT AROUND FREEZING. EXPECT THE NORTH CENTRAL PANHANDLE TO
CHANGE OVER TO RAIN BY MIDDAY SATURDAY AS THE FRONT PASSES.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OCCUR BEGINNING THIS EVENING FOR THE
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PANHANDLE...ALONG WITH STRONG WINDS FOR SOME
AREAS. PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE OVER THE ENTIRE AREA THROUGH
THE DAY SATURDAY...AS THE MAIN LOW WILL STILL BE JUST OFF THE
COAST.
.LONG RANGE...FORCAST PACKAGE THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY WILL
CHANGE LITTLE...INCLUDING TEMPERATURES FROM NEAR FREEZING
TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE WITH MOST FORECAST PERIODS IN CENTRAL
SOUTHEAST ALASKA HAVING BOTH SNOW AND RAIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
MODEL CONSENSUS FOR THE LONG RANGE IS GOOD AND THE GFS
CONTINUES TO BE THE PRIMARY GUIDANCE...MODELS DISCUSSED
BELOW.
MOST IMPORTANT TREND IS WED AND THU...WITH THE DETERMINISTIC
MODELS DEPICTING A TROUGH ALOFT DEVELOPING FROM OVER NORTHWAY
AND SPREADING S TO THE EASTERN GULF. THIS TROUGH...ALONG WITH
AN UPSTREAM RIDGE OF HIGH AMPLITUDE...WILL PROVIDE AN ARCTIC
OUTBREAK OVER THE GULF THAT SHOULD GENERATE STRONG SHOWERS
IN THE EASTERN GULF BEGINNING WED. AFTER THE CONVECTIVE
AVAIABLE POTENTIAL ENEERGY...CALLED CAPE...GETS MORE USED
UP LATE IN THE WEEK...THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE SHOULD GET
NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS. SOLN WILL BE TO LIMIT THE
COOLING UNTIL SUCCESSIVE RUNS COME IN THAT COULD VERIFY
THE TREND...IE...WE HAVE LEAST CONFIDENCE FURTHEST OUT IN
THE FUTURE.
MODELS...GFS RUNS ARE CONSISTENT...IE..LITTLE DIFFERENCE
FROM THE ENSEMBLE MEAN. THE ENSEMBLE HAS LITTLE SPREAD AT
500 MB THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY. EUROPEAN HAS SYNOPTIC AGREEMENT.
.AJK...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PUBLIC...WIND ADVISORY ZONES 18 19 25 27 28.
SNOW ADVISORY ZONE 19.
MARINE...GALE WARNINGS ZONES 12 13 36 41 42 43 310.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ELSEWHERE.
TF JTThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 11:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Feb 15, 11:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Feb 15, 11:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Feb 15, 11:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 36 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.