Gale Warning 340, NWS Juneau, AK

000 
FZAK67 PAJK 140021
OFFAJK

OFFSHORE FORECAST FOR GULF OF ALASKA EAST OF 144 WEST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AST THU DEC 13 2007 

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ398-141400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR GULF OF ALASKA NORTH OF 55 NORTH AND EAST OF
144 WEST...
A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE NORTH PACIFIC IS FORECAST TO SPREAD GALE
FORCE WINDS INTO THE SOUTHEAST GULF LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. 

$$

PKZ310-141400-
GULF OF ALASKA NORTH OF 55 DEGREES NORTH AND EAST OF 144 DEGREES
WEST-
400 PM AST THU DEC 13 2007 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS TO 19 FT.
W SWELL IN THE EVENING. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. W SWELL. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. W SWELL. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK67 PAJK 141221
OFFAJK

OFFSHORE FORECAST FOR GULF OF ALASKA EAST OF 144 WEST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AST FRI DEC 14 2007 

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ398-150100-
.SYNOPSIS FOR GULF OF ALASKA NORTH OF 55 NORTH AND EAST OF
144 WEST...
A 980 MB IN THE NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEAST
GULF THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN WEAKEN AS IT MOVES ACROSS CENTRAL
SOUTHEAST ALASKA SATURDAY. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL SPREAD
GALES INTO THE EASTERN GULF AND SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS TODAY. 

$$

PKZ310-150100-
GULF OF ALASKA NORTH OF 55 DEGREES NORTH AND EAST OF 144 DEGREES
WEST-
400 AM AST FRI DEC 14 2007 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. W SWELL. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. W SWELL. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK67 PAJK 150021
OFFAJK

OFFSHORE FORECAST FOR GULF OF ALASKA EAST OF 144 WEST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AST FRI DEC 14 2007 

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ398-151400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR GULF OF ALASKA NORTH OF 55 NORTH AND EAST OF
144 WEST...
A 980 MB IN THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF ALASKA WILL AS IT MOVES ACROSS
CENTRAL SOUTHEAST ALASKA SATURDAY. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL
SPREAD GALES INTO THE EASTERN GULF AND SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS
THIS EVENING. 

$$

PKZ310-151400-
GULF OF ALASKA NORTH OF 55 DEGREES NORTH AND EAST OF 144 DEGREES
WEST-
400 PM AST FRI DEC 14 2007 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SOUTH OF 56N...NW WIND 35 KT IN THE EVENING THEN NW
WIND TO 30 KT. ELSEWHERE NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN IN THE
EVENING. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL.  
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. W SWELL. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. W SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK67 PAJK 150027 CCA
OFFAJK

OFFSHORE FORECAST FOR GULF OF ALASKA EAST OF 144 WEST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
401 PM AST FRI DEC 14 2007 

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

CORRECTED SYNOPSIS

PKZ398-151400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR GULF OF ALASKA NORTH OF 55 NORTH AND EAST OF
144 WEST...
A 980 MB LOW IN THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF ALASKA WILL MOVE ACROSS
CENTRAL SOUTHEAST ALASKA SATURDAY. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL
SPREAD GALES INTO THE EASTERN GULF AND SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS
THIS EVENING. 

$$

PKZ310-151400-
GULF OF ALASKA NORTH OF 55 DEGREES NORTH AND EAST OF 144 DEGREES
WEST-
400 PM AST FRI DEC 14 2007 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SOUTH OF 56N...NW WIND 35 KT IN THE EVENING THEN NW
WIND TO 30 KT. ELSEWHERE NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN IN THE
EVENING. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL.  
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. W SWELL. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. W SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK67 PAJK 151245
OFFAJK

OFFSHORE FORECAST FOR GULF OF ALASKA EAST OF 144 WEST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AST SAT DEC 15 2007 

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ398-160100-
.SYNOPSIS FOR GULF OF ALASKA NORTH OF 55 NORTH AND EAST OF
144 WEST...
A 980 MB LOW JUST S SITKA WILL WEAKEN SLOWLY AND MOVE NE ACROSS
CENTRAL SE AK TODAY. ANOTHER LOW WILL MOVE N INTO THE SE GULF BY
LATE SUN. 

$$

PKZ310-160100-
GULF OF ALASKA NORTH OF 55 DEGREES NORTH AND EAST OF 144 DEGREES
WEST-
400 AM AST SAT DEC 15 2007 

.TODAY...W WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. W SWELL. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. W SWELL.  
.SUN...W WIND 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. W SWELL. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. W SWELL. 
.MON...E WIND 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. W SWELL. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
1100 AM AST WED DEC 12 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
.SHORT RANGE...998 MB LOW LOCATED SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND WILL
CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT  DRIFTS INTO THE NORTHERN GULF.  A
POORLY ORGANIZED OCCLUDED FRONT IS SLIDING EASTWARD INTO THE
EASTERN GULF THIS MORNING.  LIGHT PRECIPITATION IS SPREADING
INLAND AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND WINDS REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT
LEVELS.

THE FRONT WILL WIND ITS WAY TOWARDS THE PANHANDLE TODAY AND BRING
CONTINUED RAIN TO THE AREA.  IN THE NORTHERN HALF...SNOW WILL MIX
WITH THE RAIN WHILE HAINES WILL LIKELY SEE MAINLY SNOWFALL.  QPF
AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT AND THEREFORE AM NOT EXPECTED ANY
SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS.  WINDS WILL RISE TO SMALL CRAFT
LEVELS IN THE COASTAL WATERS THIS AFTERNOON IN THE VICINITY OF
THE FRONT BUT WILL DROP BACK DOWN TO AROUND 20 KT TONIGHT.

BEHIND THE FRONT...ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND
THURSDAY.  THEREFORE LIGHT PRECIPITATION...LOW CLOUDS...AND VERY
LITTLE DIURNAL TEMPERATURE RANGES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE SHORT
RANGE. H85 TEMPERATURES SUGGEST SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
NEAR OF JUST ABOVE FREEZING. SEAS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY HIGH AS A
STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY SWELL CONTINUES. MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD
AGREEMENT AND HAVE OPTED TO FOLLOW THE 12Z GFS.

.LONG RANGE...MODEL RUNS IF FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE MID
RANGE AND SOME IMPROVING CONSISTENCY WITH THE LATER PERIODS OF
THE FORECAST PACKAGE. WILL BE MAKING SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS INTO
THE WEEKEND AND THE LATER PERIODS WILL VERY LIKELY RIDE IT OUT AS
IS INTO THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEK.

MODELS AGREE ON SYSTEM MOVING OUT OF THE NORTH PACIFIC AND
ROLLING UP ALONG THE OUTER COAST OF THE PANHANDLE FRIDAY NIGHT
AND EARLY SATURDAY TO THE NORTHEAST GULF OF ALASKA.  WHILE
ANOTHER SHORT WAVE IN THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW MOVES FROM THE
ALEUTIANS AROUND THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE LOW/TOUGH OVER THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF ALASKA. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED AND ROLLS IT
NORTH ALONG THE COAST AS WELL SUNDAY MORNING.

INTO EARLY PART OF THE WEEK THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE BERING
SEA LOOKS TO CUT OFF TO A HIGH OVER WESTERN RUSSIAN WITH A ZONAL
FLOW OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC. WHILE A CLOSED LOW PERSISTS OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF NEAR PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND.

THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY IT LOOKS LIKE GALE FORCE TO NEAR STORM
WINDS MAY BE SPREADING INTO THE SOUTHEAST GULF (310/041/042/043)
FOR THURSDAY NIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY. RIGHT NOW WE HAVE STRONG
GALES IN THE FORECAST WHICH STILL LOOK LIKE A FAIR BET.

.AJK...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...SMCR...ZONE 22-33-35-36-41-42-43-51-52

KJH - BMB