Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2007

Gale Warning 293, NWS Juneau, AK

October 31, 2007

NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Oct 31, 2007, 11:00 AM AKDT. It was in force for 36 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 31, 2007, 11:00 AM AKDT (19:00 UTC)
Expired
Nov 1, 2007, 11:00 PM AKDT
In force
36 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
FZAK52 PAJK 312323
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM ADT WED OCT 31 2007 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-011400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A DEVELOPING LOW SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA WILL TRACK TO
NEAR SEWARD THURSDAY AS IT SENDS A WEATHER FRONT WITH GALE FORCE
WINDS INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA.  

$$

PKZ041-011400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 PM ADT WED OCT 31 2007 

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING 20 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. W SWELL.
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN LATE. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
18 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. W SWELL. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. W SWELL. 
.SUN...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ042-011400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 PM ADT WED OCT 31 2007 

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. W SWELL. SHOWERS.
.THU...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT.
RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. W SWELL. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. W SWELL. 
.SUN...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ043-011400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 PM ADT WED OCT 31 2007 

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT LATE. W
SWELL. SHOWERS. 
.THU...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT
IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 20 FT. W SWELL. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. W SWELL. 
.SUN...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ051-011400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 PM ADT WED OCT 31 2007 

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING LATE. SW
SWELL. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SW SWELL.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ052-011400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 PM ADT WED OCT 31 2007 

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 18 FT. SW
SWELL IN THE EVENING. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 20 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SW SWELL.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$
4 follow-up statements
000 
FZAK52 PAJK 011143
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM ADT THU NOV 1 2007 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-020100-
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A DEVELOPING 975 MB LOW WILL MOVE THROUGH THE WESTERN GULF
THURSDAY AND ONSHORE NEAR SEWARD THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE
ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WITH SPREAD GALE FORCE WINDS INTO THE
EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND ACROSS SOUTHEAST
ALASKA THURSDAY NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ041-020100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM ADT THU NOV 1 2007 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT
BUILDING TO 18 FT LATE. RAIN. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. W SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. W SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.  

$$

PKZ042-020100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 AM ADT THU NOV 1 2007 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 30 KT LATE. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. W SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. W SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.  

$$

PKZ043-020100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM ADT THU NOV 1 2007 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 30 KT LATE. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. W SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. W SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. W SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...SW GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.  

$$

PKZ051-020100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 AM ADT THU NOV 1 2007 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 
19 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ052-020100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 AM ADT THU NOV 1 2007 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS BUILDING TO 18 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING
TO 23 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SUN...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$
000 
FZAK52 PAJK 012248
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM ADT THU NOV 1 2007 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-021400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
THE WEATHER FRONT OVER THE EASTERN GULF WILL PUSH OVER THE
PANHANDLE TONIGHT. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE
PANHANDLE FRI.


$$

PKZ041-021400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 PM ADT THU NOV 1 2007 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT
BUILDING TO 18 FT LATE. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING.  
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. W SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. W SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. W SWELL. 
.SUN...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ042-021400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 PM ADT THU NOV 1 2007 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT
BUILDING TO 18 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LATE. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. W SWELL. SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. W SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. W SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. W SWELL. 
.SUN...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ043-021400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 PM ADT THU NOV 1 2007 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO
19 FT LATE. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. W SWELL. SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. W SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. W SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. W SWELL. 
.SUN...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.TUE...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

PKZ051-021400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 PM ADT THU NOV 1 2007 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO
20 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SUN...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

PKZ052-021400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 PM ADT THU NOV 1 2007 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT LATE.
SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
20 FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL IN THE
MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SUN...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W GALE TO 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$
000 
FZAK52 PAJK 020614 AAA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1010 PM ADT THU NOV 1 2007 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-021400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
THE WEATHER FRONT OVER THE EASTERN GULF WILL PUSH OVER THE
PANHANDLE TONIGHT. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE
PANHANDLE FRI.


$$

PKZ041-021400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 PM ADT THU NOV 1 2007 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT
BUILDING TO 18 FT LATE. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING.  
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. W SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. W SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. W SWELL. 
.SUN...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ042-021400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 PM ADT THU NOV 1 2007 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT
BUILDING TO 18 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LATE. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. W SWELL. SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. W SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. W SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. W SWELL. 
.SUN...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ043-021400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
1010 PM ADT THU NOV 1 2007 

UPDATED WIND

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT LATE.
SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. W SWELL. SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. W SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. W SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. W SWELL. 
.SUN...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.TUE...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

PKZ051-021400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
1010 PM ADT THU NOV 1 2007 

UPDATED WIND

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO
20 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SUN...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

PKZ052-021400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
1010 PM ADT THU NOV 1 2007 

UPDATED WIND

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT LATE.
SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
20 FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL IN THE
MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SUN...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W GALE TO 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$
000 
FZAK52 PAJK 021105
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM ADT FRI NOV 2 2007 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-030100-
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A STRONG WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH SOUTHEAST ALASKA THIS
MORNING. A MODERATE WEST WIND AND SWELL WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
GULF THROUGH SATURDAY.

$$

PKZ041-030100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM ADT FRI NOV 2 2007 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING
TO 13 FT LATE. SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. W SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. W SWELL. 
.SUN...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ042-030100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 AM ADT FRI NOV 2 2007 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. W SWELL. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. W SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. W SWELL. 
.SUN...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ043-030100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM ADT FRI NOV 2 2007 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. W SWELL. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. W SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. W SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. W SWELL. 
.SUN...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ051-030100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 AM ADT FRI NOV 2 2007 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT LATE. SW
SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SUN...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ052-030100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 AM ADT FRI NOV 2 2007 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT LATE. SW
SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SUN...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Oct 31, 6:00 AM AKDT, 5 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 31, 6:00 AM AKDT, 5 hours before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
1100 AM ADT WED OCT 31 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
.SHORT RANGE...990 MB LOW 200 NM ENE OF SKAGWAY MOVING ENE AWAY
FM FCST AREA.  NAM SEEMS TO HAVE BEST FIT FOR THIS FEATURE...BUT
OTRW THE MODEL CONSENSUS THROUGH THU IS QUITE GOOD.  NOTE THE
PULLING AWAY OF THIS LOW ALLOWS THE WEAKENING PRESSURE
GRADIENET FOR THE END OF THE LAST OF THE WIND ADVISORIES TODAY.

GOES IR LOOP SHOWS NMRS CONVECTIVE CELLS OVER NE HALF OF THE
GLFALSK.  WHILE THE VORT FEATURES OVER THE GLFALSK ARE GETTING
WEAKER...WILL NOT FCST ANY TSTMS...THE SIMPLE BUOYANCY AIDING THE
CONVECTION IS STRONG. 528 DKM THICKNESS OR COLDER FOR MOST OF
THE GLF.

985 MB LOW 200 NM S OF COLD BAY WILL BE THE SOURCE OF OUR NEXT
WIND EVENT.  PLEASE NOTE THE FCST FOR THIS SYSTEM STRADDLES THE
SHORT RANGE TO LONG RANGE HANDOFF.  00Z FRI THIS LOW SHOULD BE
A 978 MB INVOF SEWARD...WITH THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT EXTENDING
S FM PAYA.

.LONG RANGE...STRONG FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH ACROSS THE
PANHANDLE WITH GALE FORCE AND WIND ADVISORY WINDS AHEAD OF THE
FRONT THURSDAY NIGHT.  THESE WINDS WILL LINGER ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PANHANDLE THROUGH EARLY MONDAY.  MEANWHILE THE PARENT
LOW IN THE NORTHWESTERN GULF WILL STALL AND SLOWLY FILL.  IT
GRADUALLY DRIFTS EAST ACROSS THE GULF WHILE ADVECTING COLDER AIR
AND SHOWERS INTO THE FORECAST AREA FRIDAY AND MUCH OF SATURDAY.

THE PATTERN BEGINS TO SHIFT ON SATURDAY NIGHT AS A RIDGE BUILDS
OVER THE CENTRAL GULF AND DRIVES THE AFOREMENTIONED TROUGH
INLAND.  WITH THIS SCENARIO IN PLACE...EXPECT THE SHOWERS TO SHUT
OFF BRIEFLY SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.  BREAKS IN THE CLOUD COVER
WILL ALSO ALLOW COLDER TEMPERATURES IN THE 20S TO FILTER SOUTH
FROM THE INTERIOR.

UP TO THIS POINT...LONG RANGE MODELS REMAIN IN RATHER GOOD
AGREEMENT.  HOWEVER...SOME CHANGES ARE SEEN IN THE EVOLUTION OF A
LOW DEVELOPING ALONG THE JET IN THE NORTHERN PACIFIC.  THE 12Z
GFS AND 00Z ECMWF BOTH DEEPEN THE LOW TO AROUND 992MB AND SWING
IT RAPIDLY NORTHEAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE MONDAY.  THIS
SOLUTION IS SIMILAR TO THAT SEEN IN YESTERDAYS RUN...HOWEVER IT
IS MUCH DIFFERENT THAN THE 06Z GFS VERSION.  WITH COORDINATION
WITH ANCHORAGE...HAVE DECIDED TO FOLLOW THE 12Z GFS AND BRING THE
LOW ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE.  STRONGEST WINDS (GALE FORCE)
AND HIGHEST POPS WILL BE ACROSS THE SOUTH MONDAY AND MONDAY
NIGHT.

MOST RECENT MODEL RUNS ALSO INDICATE A LOW CONFIDENCE SITUATION
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. ONE MODEL SHOWS A STRONG FRONT SLIDING
THROUGH THE EASTERN GULF WHILE ANOTHER DEPICTS A LOW FORMING IN
THE CENTRAL GULF.  THEREFORE WILL KEEP NUMBERS CLOSE TO SEASONAL.

.AJK...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PUBLIC...NOTE THE WIND ADVISORIES FOR ZONES 27 THROUGH 28 WILL BE
EXPIRED SOON AFTER THIS PRODUCT IS ISSUED.  THE WIND ADVISORY
FOR ZONE 18 WILL BE KEPT TO ABOUT 6 PM.

MARINE...PLEASE NOTE AMD TO MARINE ZONES 41 AND 36...THEY HAVE
BEEN GALE BUT ARE GETTING AMDS TO SCA.  GALE 12 KEPT.
OTHER SCA...ALL OTHER ZONES EXCEPT 32.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 30, 9:30 PM AKDTStorm WarningAJK90 min
Oct 30, 11:00 PM AKDTGale WarningAJK7 hr
Oct 30, 11:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK12 hr
Oct 31, 4:30 AM AKDTGale WarningAJK7 hr
Oct 31, 4:30 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK55 hr
Oct 31, 6:25 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK5 hr
Oct 31, 6:25 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK17 hr
Oct 31, 11:00 AM AKDTGale WarningAJK24 hr
Oct 31, 11:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK60 hr
Oct 31, 11:15 AM AKDTWind AdvisoryAJK46 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2007Every gale warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.