Brisk Wind Advisory 142, NWS Fairbanks, AK

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
125 PM AST SUN NOV 25 2007

.DISCUSSION...WEAKENING SOUTH FLOW ALOFT COVERS AK TODAY.
IMPRESSIVE LOOKING 960 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 55N/148W MOVING
N TOWARD PADQ AND UPPER RIDGE OVER HIGH ARCTIC N OF BEAUFORT
SEA REMAINS IN PLACE.

MODELS IN BASIC AGREEMENT ON KEY FEATURES THROUGH 60 HOURS.
WRN GULF AK LOW WILL WEAKEN AND SPLIT RAPIDLY TONIGHT/MON.
REMAINS OF ASSOCIATED OCCLUDED FRONT WILL MOVE N OVER W COAST
AND WRN INTERIOR TONIGHT AND MON. SOME MOISTURE FROM THIS WILL
ALSO MOVE N AND E OVER CENTRAL/ERN INTERIOR MON AS WELL.
ANOTHER LOW OVER SRN BERING WILL LIFT N AND DISSIPATE OVER W
COAST LATE TUE. A STRONGER SYSTEM IN THE CENTRAL BERING FORECAST
BY ALL MODELS TO PUMP UP VERY STRONG RIDGE OVER CENTRAL AK WED
NIGHT AND THU.

N SLOPE: STRONG LOW-MID LEVEL SERLY WINDS ROTATING AROUND ARCTIC
HIGH OVER ZONE 204 WILL FINALLY DIMINISH LATE MON/TUE AS UPPER
HIGH WEAKENS. LIGHTER E-SE WINDS WILL CONTINUE REST OF N SLOPE
BUT ONLY LIMITED STRATUS/FLURRIES EXPECTED. TEMPS. REMAINING WELL
ABOVE NORMAL UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.

W COAST: REMAINS OF WRN GULF LOW WILL BRING 1-3 INCHES SNOW ZONE
214 TONIGHT/MON...LESSER AMOUNTS N TO ABOUT PAGA-PAOM. NEXT SYSTEM
TUE WILL SPREAD WARMER AIR N...FOR SNOW TO MIX WITH RAIN NORTON
SOUND COAST S. THE NEXT SYSTEM FORECAST TO MOVE N IN STRONG SRLY
FLOW WED/WED NIGHT WILL BE EVEN WARMER.

INTERIOR: SOME LIGHT OVER-RUNNING FLURRIES OR SNOW WILL OCCUR LATE
TONIGHT/MON OVER ZONE 224. GUSTY WINDS OVER UPLANDS ZONES 219/220/
221 TONIGHT WITH DEEP LOW TO S REQUIRES WIND ADVISORY. THESE WINDS
WILL DIMINISH LATE MON. A VERY WEAK UPPER LOW WILL OOZE W FROM NRN
YUKON OVER INTERIOR/BROOKS RANGE TUE. THIS WILL INDUCE A LIGHT SW
TO W LOW-MID LEVEL FLOW OVER CENTRAL/ERN INTERIOR. THIS COULD GENERATE
SOME FLURRIES OR -SN FROM PAFA N AND E TUE. IF MODELS VERIFY WITH
STRONG UPPER RIDGE DEVELOPING BY THU AND PERSISTING THEREAFTER...
A LONG WARM AND DRY SPELL IN THE CARDS FOR INTERIOR. NOT GOOD NEWS
FOR WINTER OUTDOOR PURSUITS.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FOR AKZ219-AKZ220-AKZ221.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ220.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ245.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ240.
&&

MAR NOV 07