Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2007

Storm Warning 134, NWS Anchorage, AK

November 19, 2007

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Nov 19, 2007, 11:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 12 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 19, 2007, 11:00 PM AKST (08:00 UTC)
Expired
Nov 20, 2007, 11:00 AM AKST
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 201252
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-210300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 972 MB LOW 400 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT WILL WEAKEN TO 979 MB 
AS IT MOVES OVER KODIAK ISLAND TUE EVENING THEN WEAKEN TO 987 MB 
AS IT MOVES TO NEAR NUNIVAK ISLAND WED. A 979 LOW MOVES TO WITHIN 
400 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT WED NIGHT. 
$$

PKZ120-210300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO E 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 65 KT DEVELOPING LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 21 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. W OF CAPE CLEARE...
WINDS DIMINISHING TO SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 28 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-210300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS 
S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-210300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT DEVELOPING LATE AFTERNOON
THROUGH CHANNELED TERRAIN. SEAS BUILDING TO 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT THROUGH CHANNELED
TERRAIN. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-210300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT BY AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-210300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING 
TO 16 FT. E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 
E 45 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 22 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W OF BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT. E OF BARREN ISLANDS...E WIND 45 KT
DIMINISHING TO S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-210300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO NE 30 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-210300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NORTH END OF STRAIT. 
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-210300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S END OF INLET...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 14 FT. 
RAIN AND SNOW. ELSEWHERE...NE WIND 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT 
OF TURNAGAIN ARM. SEAS 8 FT.  
.TONIGHT...S END OF INLET...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. ELSEWHERE...NE WIND 35 KT
WITH GUSTS UP TO 65 KT OUT OF TURNAGAIN ARM. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 8 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-210300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$
3 follow-up statements
000 
FZAK51 PAFC 201400 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
500 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

UPDATED ZONE 125

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-210300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 972 MB LOW 400 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT WILL WEAKEN TO 979 MB 
AS IT MOVES OVER KODIAK ISLAND TUE EVENING THEN WEAKEN TO 987 MB 
AS IT MOVES TO NEAR NUNIVAK ISLAND WED. A 979 LOW MOVES TO WITHIN 
400 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT WED NIGHT. 
$$

PKZ120-210300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO E 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 65 KT DEVELOPING LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 21 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. W OF CAPE CLEARE...
WINDS DIMINISHING TO SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 28 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-210300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS 
S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-210300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
500 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT THROUGH CHANNELED TERRAIN. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT THROUGH CHANNELED
TERRAIN. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-210300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT BY AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-210300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING 
TO 16 FT. E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 
E 45 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 22 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W OF BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT. E OF BARREN ISLANDS...E WIND 45 KT
DIMINISHING TO S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-210300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO NE 30 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-210300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NORTH END OF STRAIT. 
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-210300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S END OF INLET...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 14 FT. 
RAIN AND SNOW. ELSEWHERE...NE WIND 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT 
OF TURNAGAIN ARM. SEAS 8 FT.  
.TONIGHT...S END OF INLET...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. ELSEWHERE...NE WIND 35 KT
WITH GUSTS UP TO 65 KT OUT OF TURNAGAIN ARM. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 8 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-210300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$
000 
FZAK51 PAFC 201857 AAB
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
955 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

UPDATED ZONES 120 121 125 129 141

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-210300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 972 MB LOW 400 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT WILL WEAKEN TO 979 MB 
AS IT MOVES OVER KODIAK ISLAND TUE EVENING THEN WEAKEN TO 987 MB 
AS IT MOVES TO NEAR NUNIVAK ISLAND WED. A 979 LOW MOVES TO WITHIN 
400 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT WED NIGHT. 
$$

PKZ120-210300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
955 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 26 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. W OF CAPE CLEARE...
WINDS DIMINISHING TO SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 30 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-210300-
RESURRECTION BAY
955 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-210300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
955 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT THROUGH CHANNELED TERRAIN. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 11 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT THROUGH CHANNELED TERRAIN.
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-210300-
PASSAGE CANAL
955 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-210300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING 
TO 16 FT. E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 
E 45 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 22 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W OF BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT. E OF BARREN ISLANDS...E WIND 45 KT
DIMINISHING TO S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-210300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO NE 30 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-210300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NORTH END OF STRAIT. 
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-210300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S END OF INLET...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 14 FT. 
RAIN AND SNOW. ELSEWHERE...NE WIND 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT 
OF TURNAGAIN ARM. SEAS 8 FT.  
.TONIGHT...S END OF INLET...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. ELSEWHERE...NE WIND 35 KT
WITH GUSTS UP TO 65 KT OUT OF TURNAGAIN ARM. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 8 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-210300-
KACHEMAK BAY
955 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$
000 
FZAK51 PAFC 210003
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-211500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 976 MB LOW 180 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY WILL MOVE NORTHWEST INTO
BRISTOL BAY TUE NIGHT. A 998 MB LOW DEVELOPING 600 NM SOUTH OF 
KODIAK CITY WED AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO 80 NM SOUTHWEST OF KODIAK 
CITY AND STRENGTHEN TO 982 MB THU AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ120-211500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 55 KT. SEAS 30 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-211500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-211500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-211500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-211500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
25 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-211500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 22 FT. 
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-211500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10
FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-211500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-211500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Nov 19, 9:00 AM AKST, 14 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 19, 9:00 AM AKST, 14 hours before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
200 PM AST MON NOV 19 2007

.MODEL DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS...
THE CURRENT SURFACE ANALYSIS HAS A WEAK LOW OVER THE NORTHERN KENAI
PENINSULA THAT IS SLOWLY DISSIPATING AS THE NEXT BIG STORM IS
APPROACHING THE ALASKA PENINSULA FROM THE SOUTH. A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE EXTENDS INTO THE CENTRAL TO WESTERN ALEUTIANS AS ANOTHER
LARGE STRONG LOW MOVES INTO THE EXTREME WESTERN ALEUTIANS.

OVERALL THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH WED. BEYOND WED SOME
UNCERTAINTY EXISTS AS THE ENSEMBLE SOLUTIONS DIVERGE AFTER WED.

THE GFS MODEL HAS REMAINED CONSISTENT IN ITS SOLUTION IN THE SHORT
TERM THROUGH WED AFTERNOON. IT STILL HAS ISSUES WITH RESOLVING THE
INTENSITY AND LOCATION OF THE NEXT STORM THAT IS MOVING TOWARD THE
ALASKA PENINSULA FROM THE SOUTH WED NIGHT AND THU. THIS WILL IMPACT
THE FORECAST SOLUTION. AT THIS TIME WE WILL TEND TO LEAN TO THE
LATEST NAM AND ECMWF MODEL SOLUTIONS BEGINNING WED NIGHT THAT RESULTS
IN A WEAKER LOW AND A MORE EAST SOLUTION IN THE PLACEMENT OF THE LOW
WED NIGHT.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...THE MAIN CONCERN AT THIS TIME IN THE SOUTHWEST
IS THE BRISTOL BAY ZONE. WE EXPECT THE ONSET OF THIS EVENT TO BEGIN
AS A GOOD OVER RUNNING SNOW FALL COUPLED WITH NODERATE NORTHEAST WIND
BEFORE THE WARM AIR MIXES IN FROM THE SOUTH AS THE FRONT PUSHES
NORTH. THIS PRESENTS THE POTENTIAL FOR A BLIZZARD IN THE ZONE IF THE
WIND AND SNOW COINCIDE BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED WARMING. PRECIPITATION
HAS ALREADY BEGUN IN KODIAK IN THE FORM OF RAIN AND SNOW.
TEMPERATURES ARE RISING IN THE BRISTOL BAY ZONE WHICH IS CAUSING US
TO LEAN TO A MORE RAPID INFLUX OF WARM AIR AND THUS IF ANY BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS OCCUR, THEY WILL BE BRIEF AND INCONSEQUENTIAL. WE ARE
LEANING AWAY FROM FREEZING RAIN FOR THIS ZONE AS WE ANTICIPATE
CONDITIONS TO BE WELL MIXED WITH THE EXPECTED STRONG WIND REGIME AND
WARM ADVECTION IN ADVANCE OF AND WITH THE INCOMING FRONT TO REMOVE
THE THREAT OF THE FREEZING RAIN. IF IT DOES OCCUR, WE EXPECT IT TO BE
SPOTTY AND EXTREMELY LIGHT.

OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA AN IN PARTICULAR PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND THE
FIRST MAJOR QUESTION CONCERNS THE TIMING OF A CHANGE OVER FROM SNOW
TO RAIN. EXPECT HEAVY SNOW INITIALLY IN WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
ACROSS TURNAGAIN ARM INTO TURNAGAIN PASS PRIOR TO THE CHANGE OVER TO
RAIN. THE HEAVY SNOWFALL AND RAPIDLY INCREASING WIND PRESENTS THE
PROBLEM OF BRIEF BLIZZARD CONDITIONS IN EASTERN TURNAGAIN ARM AND
PORTAGE VALLEY TONIGHT. WE DO NOT EXPECT THIS TO BE A WARNING EVENT
SINCE THE DURATION OF THE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY BE AN HOUR
OR TWO IF AT ALL BEFORE THE WARM AIR CHANGES THE SEA LEVEL
PRECIPITATION TO RAIN OR A RAIN SNOW MIX TUE MORNING. CURRENT
TEMPERATURES ARE ALREADY ABOVE FREEZING ON THE SOUND SIDE.

FURTHER WEST TO THE ALASKA PENINSULA WE WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR
REDUCED VISIBILITY IN SNOW SHOWERS AND STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS. EXPECT
LOCALIZED SHORT DURATION BLIZZARD LIKE CONDITIONS ON THE PENINSULA IN
THIS NORTHERLY FLOW PATTERN THROUGH TUESDAY.

HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO THE WESTERN SUSITNA VALLEY
BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT AS UPSLOPE FLOW INCREASES. WE ARE CONTINUING
WITH THE SNOW ADVISORY TO BEGIN TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. WE ANTICIPATE
RAPID WARMING OF THE AIRMASS TO INHIBIT THE MAGNITUDE OF THIS SNOW
EVENT BEFORE MIXING WITH OR CHANGING TO RAIN AS WARM AIR SURGES
NORTHWARD. SNOWFALL TOTALS THROUGH THOMPSON PASS MAY ALSO BE VERY
HIGH WITH THE RAPID INFLOW OF WARM AIR LIMITING THE SNOW FALL FOR
THIS AREA TUESDAY.

THE NORTHERLY PUSH OF THIS INTENSE STORM WILL BRING WITH IT A GOOD
CHINOOK EVENT ACROSS THE SOUTH CENTRAL REGION BY WED RESULTING IN
CONSIDERABLE WARMING. ON THE FLIP SIDE OF THIS PERSISTENT NORTHERLY
FLOW OVER THE EASTERN BERING WILL KEEP WESTERN ALASKA IN THE COLD
WINTER FLOW AND HELP THE ICE EDGE MOVE SOUTH.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE MODELS REMAIN DIVERGENT AND THUS CONFIDENCE IN ANY LONG TERM
SOLUTION IS MINIMAL. WE WILL CONTINUE ALONG WITH FORECASTS CLOSE TO
THE CLIMATE NORMALS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR UNTIL WE GET MORE
CONSISTENT SOLUTIONS FROM THE LONGER TERM MODELS.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM 120 155 176 351 352.
         GALE 125 130 132 138 140 141 150 160 165 170 175 411 413.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 180.
FIRE WEATHER...DONE.

SAM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 19, 11:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Nov 19, 11:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC48 hr
Nov 19, 11:00 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC12 hr
Nov 20, 12:14 AM AKSTHigh Wind WatchAFC12 hr
Nov 20, 2:02 AM AKSTFreezing Rain AdvisoryAFC10 hr
Nov 20, 7:43 AM AKSTHigh Wind WarningAFC21 hr
Nov 20, 11:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Nov 20, 11:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Nov 20, 11:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC48 hr
Nov 20, 12:10 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC11 hr

Nearby

Storm Warnings in Alaska, 2007Every storm warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.