Small Craft Advisory 975, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 210103 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

CORRECTED ZONE 155

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-211500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 976 MB LOW 180 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY WILL MOVE NORTHWEST ACROSS
KODIAK ISLAND TUE EVENING AND WILL WEAKEN TO 985 MB NEAR DILLINGHAM
TUE NIGHT THEN WILL DISSIPATE OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA WED. ANOTHER LOW
DEVELOPING 600 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY WED AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO
NEAR KODIAK ISLAND AND STRENGTHEN TO 982 MB THU AFTERNOON. 
$$

PKZ150-211500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-211500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...WEST OF SAND POINT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. ELSEWHERE...S
WIND 30 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-211500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-211500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. AND
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-211500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-211500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-211500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-211500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-211500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-211500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-211500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-211500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 211254
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST WED NOV 21 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-220300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 985 MB LOW NEAR KING SALMON THIS MORNING MOVES NORTHWEST TO BETHEL
TODAY AND DISSIPATES. A 989 MB LOW MOVES NORTH TO 520 NM SOUTH OF
KODIAK THIS EVENING...THEN STRENGTHENS TO 979 MB AS IT MOVES TO 60 NM
EAST OF CHIGNIK THU MORNING. THE LOW MOVES INTO BRISTOL BAY AT 975 MB
THU EVENING. A 954 MB LOW MOVES NORTHEAST TO 170 NM SOUTHWEST OF
AMCHITKA LATE THU NIGHT.


$$

PKZ150-220300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AST WED NOV 21 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-220300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AST WED NOV 21 2007

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-220300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AST WED NOV 21 2007

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-220300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AST WED NOV 21 2007

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-220300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AST WED NOV 21 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 18 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-220300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AST WED NOV 21 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-220300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AST WED NOV 21 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-220300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AST WED NOV 21 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 55 KT. SEAS 30 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-220300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AST WED NOV 21 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 31 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-220300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AST WED NOV 21 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-220300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AST WED NOV 21 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-220300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AST WED NOV 21 2007

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT AND THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 211344 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
445 AM AST WED NOV 21 2007

CORRECT ZONE 179

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-220300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 985 MB LOW NEAR KING SALMON THIS MORNING MOVES NORTHWEST TO BETHEL
TODAY AND DISSIPATES. A 989 MB LOW MOVES NORTH TO 520 NM SOUTH OF
KODIAK THIS EVENING...THEN STRENGTHENS TO 979 MB AS IT MOVES TO 60 NM
EAST OF CHIGNIK THU MORNING. THE LOW MOVES INTO BRISTOL BAY AT 975 MB
THU EVENING. A 954 MB LOW MOVES NORTHEAST TO 170 NM SOUTHWEST OF
AMCHITKA LATE THU NIGHT.


$$

PKZ150-220300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AST WED NOV 21 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-220300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AST WED NOV 21 2007

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-220300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AST WED NOV 21 2007

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-220300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AST WED NOV 21 2007

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-220300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AST WED NOV 21 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 18 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-220300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AST WED NOV 21 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-220300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AST WED NOV 21 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-220300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AST WED NOV 21 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 55 KT. SEAS 30 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-220300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AST WED NOV 21 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 31 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-220300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AST WED NOV 21 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-220300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AST WED NOV 21 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-220300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AST WED NOV 21 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT AND THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 220045
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST WED NOV 21 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-221500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 992 MB LOW 520 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY WED EVENING WILL MOVE TO 150
NM SOUTHWEST OF KODIAK CITY AND STRENGTHEN TO 979 MB THU MORNING THEN
MOVE ONSHORE NEAR DILLINGHAM THU EVENING. A 992 MB LOW OVER THE
NORTHWEST PACIFIC WED NIGHT WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AND STRENGTHEN TO 955
MB 110 NM NORTH OF AMCHITKA ISLAND FRI AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ150-221500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AST WED NOV 21 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. BECOMING NE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT EAST OF
CHIRIKOF ISLAND. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 25 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-221500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AST WED NOV 21 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-221500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AST WED NOV 21 2007

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-221500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AST WED NOV 21 2007

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-221500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AST WED NOV 21 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THURSDAY...

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-221500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AST WED NOV 21 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 MPH. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING 
SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-221500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AST WED NOV 21 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-221500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AST WED NOV 21 2007

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...S WIND 55 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-221500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AST WED NOV 21 2007

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...SW WIND 60 KT. SEAS 34 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-221500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AST WED NOV 21 2007

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-221500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AST WED NOV 21 2007

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-221500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AST WED NOV 21 2007

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
430 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007

.MODEL DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS...A LARGE AND VERY DYNAMIC LOW SOUTH
OF KODIAK ISLAND WILL TRACK SLOWLY NORTHWARD CROSSING THE ISLAND
LATER TONIGHT THEN INTO BRISTOL BAY. MEANWHILE...THE ASSOCIATED FRONT
WILL LIFT NORTH THROUGH THE GULF AND INTO THE MAT-SU VALLEY/COPPER
RIVER BASIN BY WED MORNING. MODELS HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT WITH THIS
TRACK AND THUS CONFIDENCE IS FAIRLY HIGH...UNTIL THE NEXT LOW TAKES A
SIMILAR PATH...WHICH IS WHEN SOLUTIONS DIVERGE A BIT. OVER THE NEXT
TWO DAYS...THE MEAN TROUGH AXIS CURRENTLY ALONG THE SW ALASKA COAST
WILL RETROGRADE WESTWARD TO EASTERN RUSSIA WHICH WOULD TAKE THE TRACK
OF THE NEXT LOW ON THURS OVER THE AKPENN AS OPPOSED TO OVER KODIAK
ISLAND. RIGHT NOW WE ARE STICKING WITH A TRACK JUST SW OF KODIAK
WHICH IS ESSENTIALLY A NAM/GFS BLEND.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...THE WARM AIR SURGE HAS BEEN QUICK TO INVADE
SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING LOW. A SHORTWAVE THAT
CAME THROUGH EARLIER THIS MORNING ENHANCED WINDS A BIT MORE THAN
FORECASTED...BUT AS THIS FEATURE PUSHES WESTWARD...A RELATIVE BREAK
IN THE WINDS CAN BE SEEN BEFORE THE NEXT PEAK LATER TODAY/TONIGHT.
SEVERAL MAJOR CONCERNS AGAIN RANGING FROM HIGH WINDS TO POTENTIALLY
HEAVY SNOW.

AS THE LOW LIFTS NORTH AND WEST OF KODIAK ISLAND TONIGHT...WINDS
ALONG TURNAGAIN ARM AND THROUGH PORTAGE VALLEY WILL REALLY CRACK UP
WITH BOTH MODELS SHOWING 80+ KTS AROUND 2KFT OFF THE SFC...WITH THAT
BEING SAID... WE WILL ISSUE A HIGH WIND WATCH FOR ZONES 101 AND 125.
WINDS WILL BE SLOW TO COME DOWN AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT JUST DOES
NOT WANT TO RELAX...AND IN FACT...HIGH WINDS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN
THURSDAY AS THE NEXT LOW APPROACHES. ANOTHER AREA OF CONCERN FOR WIND
IS ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST NEAR CORDOVA. A BARRIER JET HAS
DEVELOPED ALONG THE COAST AND WITH THE FRONT LIFTING NORTH
TODAY...THE JET WILL ALSO BE PUSHED UP TO THE COASTLINE WITH GUSTS
EXPECTED UPWARDS OF 60 MPH.

UPSLOPE SNOW CONTINUES WEST OF THE PARKS HIGHWAY IN THE SUSITNA
VALLEY AND WE HAVE DECIDED TO EXTEND THE CURRENT SNOW ADVISORY
THROUGH THE DAY. UNCERTAINTY LIES IN JUST HOW QUICK THE PRECIP WILL
MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO RAIN. AFTER A BRIEF BREAK...A STRONG SOUTHERLY
FETCH DEVELOPS BEHIND THE FRONT ON WED WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A
PROLONG PERIOD OF SNOW FOR THE NORTHERN SUSITNA VALLEY.

MEANWHILE FURTHER WEST...OVERRUNNING PRECIP CONTINUES IN BRISTOL BAY
AND THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA. MOST OF THE BRISTOL BAY ZONE WILL SWITCH TO
RAIN BUT FURTHER NORTH AND EAST...A LOW LEVEL NE WIND WILL KEEP THE
COLD AIR TRAPPED WITH SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. RELATIVELY BENIGN
WEATHER OUT OVER THE ALEUTIANS AND BERING AS A DECAYING FRONT OVER
THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS SLIDES SE. COLD NE FLOW OVER THE WARMER
BERING SEA WILL PROMOTE SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WHICH SHOULD BE OF
LITTLE CONSEQUENCE.

THIS COMPLICATED PATTERN WILL REPEAT ITSELF WITH THE NEXT LOW ON
THURSDAY. EXPECT SIMILAR CONDITIONS TO WHAT OCCURS TODAY AND TONIGHT
THEN A QUIETER REGIME TAKES HOLD FOR THE WEEKEND. THIS CHINOOK
PATTERN WILL HOLD FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES WELL
ABOVE AVERAGE (IN THE 30S) FOR A LOT OF LOCATIONS IN SOUTH CENTRAL.
OF COURSE THE WINDIEST SPOTS WILL ALSO BE THE WARMEST...BUT EVEN
THOSE AREAS THAT DONT SEE A LOT OF WIND SHOULD EXPERIENCE THE
RELATIVE WARMTH.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...INTO NEXT WEEK...THE MODELS REMAIN DIVERGENT
AND THUS CONFIDENCE IN ANY LONG TERM SOLUTION IS MINIMAL. WE WILL
CONTINUE ALONG WITH FORECASTS CLOSE TO THE CLIMATE NORMALS FOR THIS
TIME OF YEAR UNTIL WE GET MORE CONSISTENT MODEL SOLUTIONS.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WATCH 101 125.
MARINE...STORM 120 125 130 140 351 352.
         GALE 121 129 132 138 141 172 175 176.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 180 185 414.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

JCA