Small Craft Advisory 955, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 131529 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
630 AM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

UPDATED ZONES 120 125

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-140300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 981 MB LOW 75 NM NORTHWEST OF PORT HEIDEN WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY THROUGH WED AFTERNOON AND SLOWLY WEAKEN TO 987 MB AS ITS
ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF. THE LOW 
WILL THEN MOVE TO 160 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY BY THU MORNING. 
$$

PKZ120-140300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
630 AM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. 
RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-140300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-140300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
630 AM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-140300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-140300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-140300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-140300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-140300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-140300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 131735 AAB
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
835 AM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

UPDATED ZONES 125 130 AND 140.

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-140300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 981 MB LOW 75 NM NORTHWEST OF PORT HEIDEN WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY THROUGH WED AFTERNOON AND SLOWLY WEAKEN TO 987 MB AS ITS
ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF. THE LOW 
WILL THEN MOVE TO 160 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY BY THU MORNING. 
$$

PKZ120-140300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
630 AM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. 
RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-140300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-140300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
835 AM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-140300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-140300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
835 AM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. NE WIND 40
KT IN KAMISHAK BAY IN THE MORNING BECOMING SW 40 KT IN THE 
AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-140300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-140300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-140300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
835 AM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON SOUTH OF
KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-140300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 131830 AAC
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
930 AM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

UPDATED ZONES 125 AND 129.

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-140300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 981 MB LOW 75 NM NORTHWEST OF PORT HEIDEN WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY THROUGH WED AFTERNOON AND SLOWLY WEAKEN TO 987 MB AS ITS
ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF. THE LOW 
WILL THEN MOVE TO 160 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY BY THU MORNING. 
$$

PKZ120-140300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
630 AM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. 
RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-140300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-140300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
930 AM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE 30 KT DIMINISHING TO S 15 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-140300-
PASSAGE CANAL
930 AM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO
2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-140300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
835 AM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. NE WIND 40
KT IN KAMISHAK BAY IN THE MORNING BECOMING SW 40 KT IN THE 
AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-140300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-140300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-140300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
835 AM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON SOUTH OF
KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-140300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 140058
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-141500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST WILL MOVE INLAND
TONIGHT. A 986 MB LOW WILL FORM 225 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND STRENGTHEN TO 976 MB AS IT MOVES TO 90 NM SOUTH OF
SEWARD BY THURSDAY MORNING AND THEN DISSIPATE BY THURSDAY EVENING.
$$

PKZ120-141500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON EAST OF
MIDDLETON ISLAND. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-141500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-141500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-141500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-141500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12
FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-141500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-141500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-141500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-141500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM AST MON NOV 12 2007

.MODEL DISCUSSION...THE GFS MODEL OVERALL IS PREFERRED. SHORT TERM
MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE FAIRLY SIMILAR...BIGGEST DIFFERENCES IN NAM/GFS
COME INTO PLAY ON HOW THEY HANDLE NEXT STORM MOVING TO THE NE PAC
THU. THE NAM SOLUTION CARRIES THE CENTER MUCH FURTHER NORTH THAN THE
GFS/EC MODELS. THE GFS HAS BEEN FAIRLY CONSISTENT IN THE LAST COUPLE
OF RUNS AND LINES UP BETTER WELL WITH EC. CONCERNS WITH THE GFS ARE
THAT THE OPERATIONAL RUNS APPEARS TO BE THE OUTLIER OF THE ENSEMBLE
SOLUTIONS...SO NOT SURE HOW REALISTIC CURRENT MODEL RUN IS. FOR NOW
WILL CONTINUE ALONG WITH FORECASTS BEYOND 72 HOURS AND MAKE SOME
MINOR CHANGES.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THREE LOW CENTERS ARE EASILY IDENTIFIED THIS AFTERNOON SAT PICTURE. A
970S CENTER WEST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...980S CENTER SW OF THE
PRIBILOFS...AND A 980S CENTER NEAR SW OF KUSKOKWIM BAY. MODEL
FORECAST WEAKENS CENTER NEAR KUSKOKWIM BAY AND MAKES THE CENTER SW OF
THE PRIBILOFS THE DOMINANT FEATURE. CENTER MOVES INTO EASTERN BRISTOL
BAY IN THE 970S TUE MORNING. THIS SCENARIO APPEARS REASONABLE AS SAT
PIC SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION AND FAVORABLE JET POSITION. CENTER
EVENTUALLY MOVES INTO THE SW MAINLAND WED AND WEAKENS. ASSOCIATED
FRONTAL TROUGH OVER SW AK WEAKENS...AS A SECONDARY BOUNDARY...
ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEVELOPING CENTER SW OF THE PRIBILOFS...
STRENGTHENS AS MOVES INTO SOUTHCENTRAL/GULF OF ALASKA TUE THEN INTO
THE INTERIOR AND EASTERN GULF WED. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE
WESTERN ALEUTIANS TUE AND SPREADS TO THE CENTRAL BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS
THU MORNING. LONGER RANGE OUT TO FRI AFTERNOON SHOWS A DEEP LOW OVER
THE GULF OF ALASKA...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL BERING
SEA...AND A WEAK FRONTAL TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS/BERING
SEA.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
.EAST...FAIRLY STRONG INVERSION OVER VALLEY SECTIONS OF SOUTHCENTRAL
LIKELY TO HOLD STRATUS IN THROUGH TONIGHT. EXPECT OVERRUNNING SNOW TO
SPREAD TO SOUTHCENTRAL TONIGHT WITH APPROACH OF FRONTAL TROUGH TO
WEST. PRECIPITATION LIKELY TO START AS SNOW OVER COASTAL AREAS AND
KENAI PEN...BUT SHOULD CHANGE OVER TO RAIN/MIX DURING THE DAY
TUE...THEN COOLS AGAIN TUE NIGHT. TEMPS SHOULD REMAIN COLD ENOUGH
OVER INTERIOR AND PORTIONS OF ZONE 131 TO KEEP PRECIPITATION AS SNOW
THROUGH WED. MAY SEE SIGNIFICANT SNOW AMOUNTS OVER HIGHER
ELEVATIONS/COLD POCKETS OF ZONE 125 AND PORTIONS OF ZONE 131 TUE
THROUGH WED MORNING. EXPECT STRONG GAP WINDS OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTHCENTRAL...ESPECIALLY ZONE 101...TUE AS INTENSIFYING LOW CENTER
MOVES INTO BRISTOL BAY. WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH TUE/NIGHT/WED AS CENTER
WEAKENS AND DRIFTS NORTH.

.WEST...SNOW LIKELY TO CONTINUE OVER ZONES 155 AND 161 THROUGH TUE.
MOST SNOW SHOULD BE THE MOST PRONOUNCED OVER BRISTOL BAY WITH
APPROACH OF LOW CENTER. SNOW WILL BE FAIRLY CONVECTIVE AS SEEN ON
CURRENT SAT IMAGERY. SO...MAY SEE LOCALLY SIGNIFICANT SNOW AMOUNTS
AND LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS TUE. COASTAL AREAS OF BRISTOL BAY WILL SEE A
MIX TONIGHT AND TUE. GENERALLY LIGHT SNOW WILL BE THE CENTRAL RULE
OVER BRISTOL BAY. STRONG W TO NW WINDS LIKELY ON THE BACKSIDE OF LOW
MOVING INTO BRISTOL BAY. EXPECT WINDS TO SPREAD FROM THE ALEUTIANS TO
THE EASTERN BERING SEA/AK PEN TONIGHT/TUE. WINDS WILL BE SLOW TO
DIMINISH OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA A LOW ANCHORS OVER SW AK THRU
WED.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 120 130 132 138 150 155 160 165 AND 170.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

RMC NOV 07