Small Craft Advisory 573, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 082317
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT SUN JUL 8 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-091400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE WESTERN BERING THROUGH TUE.
A 996 MB LOW 650 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK WILL MOVE TO 375 NM SOUTH 
OF KODIAK MON AFTERNOON AND THEN TO 175 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK TUE 
AFTERNOON AT 1002 MB.
$$

PKZ150-091400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM ADT SUN JUL 8 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 7 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ155-091400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM ADT SUN JUL 8 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE WIND 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT EAST OF SHUMAGIN ISLANDS. SEAS 8
FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ160-091400-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM ADT SUN JUL 8 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.

.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W WIND 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ165-091400-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM ADT SUN JUL 8 2007

.TONIGHT...N WIND TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W WIND 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ180-091400-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM ADT SUN JUL 8 2007

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE WIND 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-091400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM ADT SUN JUL 8 2007

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ171-091400-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM ADT SUN JUL 8 2007

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ172-091400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM ADT SUN JUL 8 2007

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ175-091400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM ADT SUN JUL 8 2007

.TONIGHT...NE WIND TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ176-091400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM ADT SUN JUL 8 2007

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON THROUGH TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ185-091400-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM ADT SUN JUL 8 2007

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED AND THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-091400-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM ADT SUN JUL 8 2007

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5
FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 091159
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT MON JUL 9 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-100200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE WESTERN BERING THROUGH TUE NIGHT.
A 996 MB LOW 650 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK WILL MOVE TO 190 NM SOUTH 
OF KODIAK AT 1000 MB EARLY TUE MORNING AND THEN TO 160 NM SOUTHEAST
OF KODIAK EARLY WED MORNING AT 1002 MB.

$$

PKZ150-100200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM ADT MON JUL 9 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ155-100200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM ADT MON JUL 9 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ160-100200-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM ADT MON JUL 9 2007

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ165-100200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM ADT MON JUL 9 2007

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ180-100200-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM ADT MON JUL 9 2007

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-100200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM ADT MON JUL 9 2007

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ171-100200-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM ADT MON JUL 9 2007

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ172-100200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM ADT MON JUL 9 2007

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ175-100200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM ADT MON JUL 9 2007

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 5 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-100200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM ADT MON JUL 9 2007

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ185-100200-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM ADT MON JUL 9 2007

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. DENSE FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-100200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM ADT MON JUL 9 2007

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. DENSE FOG.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 100004
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT MON JUL 9 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-101400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE WESTERN BERING THROUGH WED
AFTERNOON. A 998 MB LOW 350 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY WILL MOVE TO 140
NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY AND WEAKEN TO 1006 MB WED AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ150-101400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM ADT MON JUL 9 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF SHELIKOF STRAIT IN THE
EVENING. SEAS TO 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ155-101400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM ADT MON JUL 9 2007

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
7 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ160-101400-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM ADT MON JUL 9 2007

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ165-101400-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM ADT MON JUL 9 2007

.TONIGHT...N WIND TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. WIDESPREAD FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ180-101400-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM ADT MON JUL 9 2007

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ170-101400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM ADT MON JUL 9 2007

.TONIGHT...N WIND TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ171-101400-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM ADT MON JUL 9 2007

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ172-101400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM ADT MON JUL 9 2007

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-101400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM ADT MON JUL 9 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-101400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM ADT MON JUL 9 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-101400-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM ADT MON JUL 9 2007

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. WIDESPREAD FOG. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. WIDESPREAD FOG. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-101400-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM ADT MON JUL 9 2007

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. WIDESPREAD FOG. 
.TUE...NW WIND TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. WIDESPREAD FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 100252 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
650 PM ADT MON JUL 9 2007

UPDATE FOR ZONE 172

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-101400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE WESTERN BERING THROUGH WED
AFTERNOON. A 998 MB LOW 350 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY WILL MOVE TO 140
NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY AND WEAKEN TO 1006 MB WED AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ150-101400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM ADT MON JUL 9 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF SHELIKOF STRAIT IN THE
EVENING. SEAS TO 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ155-101400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM ADT MON JUL 9 2007

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
7 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ160-101400-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM ADT MON JUL 9 2007

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ165-101400-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM ADT MON JUL 9 2007

.TONIGHT...N WIND TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. WIDESPREAD FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ180-101400-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM ADT MON JUL 9 2007

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ170-101400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM ADT MON JUL 9 2007

.TONIGHT...N WIND TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ171-101400-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM ADT MON JUL 9 2007

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ172-101400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
650 PM ADT MON JUL 9 2007

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. LOCALLY HIGHER GUSTS TO 30 KT THROUGH
CHANNELED TERRAIN ATKA EAST. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-101400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM ADT MON JUL 9 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-101400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM ADT MON JUL 9 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-101400-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM ADT MON JUL 9 2007

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. WIDESPREAD FOG. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. WIDESPREAD FOG. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-101400-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM ADT MON JUL 9 2007

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. WIDESPREAD FOG. 
.TUE...NW WIND TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. WIDESPREAD FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 101158
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT TUE JUL 10 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-110200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE WESTERN BERING THROUGH WED NIGHT.
A 1000 MB LOW 160 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY AND WEAKEN TO 1010 MB EARLY THU MORNING.
$$

PKZ150-110200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM ADT TUE JUL 10 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.TONIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ155-110200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM ADT TUE JUL 10 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ160-110200-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM ADT TUE JUL 10 2007

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT AMD THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ165-110200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM ADT TUE JUL 10 2007

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ180-110200-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM ADT TUE JUL 10 2007

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. AREAS OF FOG.
.TONIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-110200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM ADT TUE JUL 10 2007

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ171-110200-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM ADT TUE JUL 10 2007

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TONIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.WED NIGHT AND THU...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ172-110200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM ADT TUE JUL 10 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ175-110200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM ADT TUE JUL 10 2007

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. DENSE FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ176-110200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM ADT TUE JUL 10 2007

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. DENSE FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ185-110200-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM ADT TUE JUL 10 2007

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. DENSE FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ179-110200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM ADT TUE JUL 10 2007

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. DENSE FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 110021 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT TUE JUL 10 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-111400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN BERING WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN
THROUGH THU. A 1003 MB LOW 800 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA WILL MOVE TO 480 NM
SOUTH OF SHEMYA THU AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ150-111400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM ADT TUE JUL 10 2007

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT...HIGHEST SOUTH OF CHIRIKOF
ISLAND. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ155-111400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM ADT TUE JUL 10 2007

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ160-111400-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM ADT TUE JUL 10 2007

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ165-111400-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM ADT TUE JUL 10 2007

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.WED...W WIND TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ180-111400-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM ADT TUE JUL 10 2007

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ170-111400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM ADT TUE JUL 10 2007

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ171-111400-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM ADT TUE JUL 10 2007

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ172-111400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM ADT TUE JUL 10 2007

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ175-111400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM ADT TUE JUL 10 2007

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ176-111400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM ADT TUE JUL 10 2007

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ185-111400-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM ADT TUE JUL 10 2007

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ179-111400-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM ADT TUE JUL 10 2007

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
125 PM ADT SAT JUL 7 2007

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...LITTLE CHANGE FROM YESTERDAY IN THE
UPPER LEVELS WITH A REX BLOCK EXTENDING ACROSS THE BERING SEA
AND NORTHWEST ALASKA TO THE BEAUFORT SEA. THERE ARE TWO CLOSED
LOWS SOUTH AND EAST OF THIS RIDGE...ONE STATIONARY OVER THE SOUTHERN
GULF OF ALASKA...AND ANOTHER OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC TRACKING SLOWLY
EASTWARD NEAR 44N 164W. A NEARLY ZONAL UPPER JET EXTENDS ACROSS THE
NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 35N AND 45N TO AROUND THE POSITION OF THE UPPER
LOW AND THEN BUCKLES SLIGHTLY AT THE POSITION OF A DEVELOPING SURFACE
LOW BEFORE HEADING NORTHEAST TOWARD BRITISH COLUMBIA. THE LOW IS IN
GOOD POSITION TO CONTINUE DEEPENING AND UPPER LOW WILL MOVE OVERHEAD
WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS.

NORTHEAST FLOW ALONG THE EAST SIDE OF THE REX BLOCK CONTINUES TO
BRING SHORT-WAVES FROM THE YUKON SOUTHWESTWARD ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL
AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA. ONE WAVE COMBINED WITH AN ALREADY UNSTABLE
AIRMASS PRODUCED THUNDERSTORMS ALL NIGHT ACROSS THE INTERIOR OF
ALASKA. AS THESE STORMS APPROACHED AND CROSSED THE ALASKA RANGE
THEY RAN INTO A MORE STABLE AIR MASS...SO NO THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
BEEN OBSERVED SOUTH OF THE RANGE. RADAR IMAGERY ALSO SHOWS CHARACTER
OF PRECIP MOVING ACROSS THE RANGE HAS BECOME MORE STRATIFORM.
SURFACE OBS SHOW AREAS OF RAIN AND FOG ALONG THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE
RANGE. RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE SUSITNA
VALLEY AND COPPER RIVER BASIN THIS AFTERNOON.

THERE IS FAIRLY EXTENSIVE MAINLY MID TO HIGH CLOUD COVER OVER
SOUTHWEST ALASKA THIS MORNING AND ISOLATED SHOWERS. VISIBLE
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CUMULUS BUILDING IN CLEAR AREAS AND WHERE
CLOUDS ARE THIN. THERE ARE ALSO ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS JUST NORTH
OF THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD. SO EVEN WITH A
STABLE SOUNDING OUT OF MCGRATH THIS MORNING...THERE APPEARS TO BE
ENOUGH SURFACE HEATING GOING FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO FORM
LATER THIS AFTERNOON. WEAK UPPER WAVES WILL ALSO PROVIDE A LITTLE
LIFT TO HELP OUT.

MOST OF THE EFFECTS OF THE UPPER LOW OVER THE GULF ARE BEING FELT
OVER WATER. THE EXCEPTION IS KODIAK ISLAND WHERE BANDS OF CLOUDS
AND RAIN SHOWERS CONTINUE TO ROTATE ONSHORE.

BACK OVER THE BERING SEA UNDER THE RIDGE IS AND ABUNDANCE OF STRATUS
AND FOG. BASED ON THE SPARSE NETWORK OF OBSERVATIONS OUT THERE FOG
DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE WIDESPREAD AT THIS TIME...MOST OBS ARE SHOWING
STRATUS.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS CONTINUE TO DISPLAY SIGNIFICANT
DIFFERENCES IN THE EVOLUTION OF DEVELOPING SYSTEM OVER THE NORTH
PACIFIC. THE GFS ENSEMBLE STILL SHOWS A LARGE SPREAD OF SOLUTIONS.
HOWEVER THE OPERATIONAL RUN CONTINUES TO MATCH UP WELL WITH THE
ENSEMBLE MEAN AND SHOWS GOOD RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY. SINCE THIS
SOLUTION IS WHAT THE PAST FEW FORECASTS HAVE BEEN BASED ON AND DONT
HAVE ENOUGH INFORMATION TO CHANGE TRACKS YET...WILL STICK WITH THE
GFS. HOWEVER...WILL MONITOR THE EVOLUTION OF THIS SYSTEM CLOSELY THE
NEXT 12 HOURS. THERE ARE ASPECTS OF THE NAM/UKMET SOLUTIONS THAT MAKE
A LOT OF SENSE. ALL MODELS SHOW THE UPPER LOW MOVING OVERHEAD THE
SURFACE LOW WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS AND SLOWING PROGRESSION.
THE NAM/UKMET ARE DIFFER FROM THE GFS IN SHOWING A WEAK TRIPLE POINT
LOW FORMING AS THE LOW CENTER ELONGATES AND THE FRONT IS PUSHED OFF
TO THE NORTHEAST...AND THIS LOW BECOMES DOMINANT. THIS IN TURN
RESULTS IN A FASTER AND MORE EASTERLY SURFACE LOW TRACK. THE NAM
IS FASTEST AND FARTHEST EAST WHILE THE UKMET IS IN BETWEEN THE NAM
AND GFS. THIS EVOLUTION MAKES SENSE...BUT THE UPPER LEVELS COMPLICATE
THINGS. AS THE SYSTEM GETS CLOSER TO THE GULF AND RIDGE BUILDS AHEAD
OF DEVELOPING SYSTEM THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF LOW WILL BE PULLED
SOUTHWEST AND AROUND THE BACK SIDE OF THE NEW SYSTEM. THE NAM/UKMET
SOLUTIONS MAKE THIS WESTERN LOW THE DOMINANT UPPER CLOSED FEATURE
WHILE THE GFS SOLUTION MAKES THE NEW SYSTEM CIRCULATION DOMINANT.
THIS OF COURSE IS THE KEY TO WHICH DIRECTION THE LOW WILL BE FORCED.
SO...WILL MONITOR THESE ASPECTS TO DETERMINE WHICH SOLUTION IS
CORRECT IN UPCOMING FORECASTS.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...THE WESTERN HALF OF THE COPPER BASIN...THE
SUSITNA VALLEY...AND THE MAT VALLEY LOOK LIKE A SURE BET TO GET A
WETTING RAIN TONIGHT AS UPPER WAVES TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE
AREAS. EXTENT OF PRECIP ALONG THE EDGE OF THESE AREAS...INCLUDING
ANCHORAGE...IS TRICKIER. WITH BEST LIFT OFF TO THE NORTH AND
WEST...THINK ANY RAIN THAT FALLS FROM THE SOUTHERN COPPER BASIN TO
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND TO THE KENAI PENINSULA WILL BE VERY LIGHT. FOR
ANCHORAGE PATTERN WILL LIKELY BE SIMILAR TO RECENT CASES WITH HIGHER
AMOUNTS AS YOU HEAD NORTH AND WEST. THERE ARE MORE UPPER WAVES TO
MOVE THROUGH SUNDAY SO EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER WILL REMAIN. AFTER A
BREAK SUNDAY MORNING BEHIND THE FIRST WAVE THERE WILL BE A SHOT AT
SHOWERS OR LIGHT RAIN THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW
WILL THEN BEGIN TO SHIFT SUNDAY NIGHT TO EAST TO SOUTHEAST IN
RESPONSE TO THE PACIFIC SYSTEM TRACKING TOWARD KODIAK. THIS WILL
RESULT IN ANOTHER SHORT BREAK SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. HOWEVER...AN
UPPER SHORT-WAVE AND SURFACE FRONT WILL APPROACH SOUTHCENTRAL FROM
THE SOUTH LATE MONDAY...SPREADING RAIN TO THE COAST AND SHOWERS
INLAND MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...THE KEY TO THE EXTENT OF CONVECTION OVER SOUTHWEST
ALASKA THE NEXT FEW DAYS IS CLOUD COVER. WEAK UPPER WAVES CONTINUE
TO MOVE FROM NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE REGION...MAINTAINING
QUITE A BIT OF CLOUDINESS OVERHEAD AND LIMITING SURFACE HEATING.
MODELS INDICATE WARMER LOW LEVEL AIR ADVECTING INTO THE SOUTHWEST
ALASKA SUNDAY RESULTING IN MORE INSTABILITY. HOWEVER...THE STRONGER
WAVES MOVING ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL TONIGHT WILL TRACK ALONG THE ALASKA
AND ALEUTIAN RANGES SUNDAY...BRINGING RAIN ALONG THE MOUNTAINS AND
POSSIBLY EVEN WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS. THIS COULD SPREAD A THICK LAYER
OF CLOUDS WESTWARD OVER MUCH OF THE REGION AND LIMIT SURFACE HEATING
AND CONVECTION. THEREFORE...THINK THE BEST CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
ON SUNDAY WILL BE ALONG THE KUSKOKWIM MOUNTAINS. IF THERE ARE SOME
BREAKS IN THIS AREA THE SHORT-WAVES COULD PROVIDE SOME ADDITIONAL
LIFT. MONDAY LOOKS A LITTLE BETTER FOR BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS SO
EXPECT AT LEAST ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY
TO THE DELTA. ON TUESDAY SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL BE BETWEEN THE SYSTEM
APPROACHING THE GULF AND A TROUGH DROPPING DOWN FROM THE NORTH...SO
ONCE AGAIN IF THERE ARE ANY BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS IT COULD BE AN
ACTIVE THUNDERSTORM DAY.

BERING SEA...THE COMBINATION OF SHORT-WAVE DROPPING DOWN INTO THE
NORTHERN BERING AND SYSTEM MOVING TO AKPENN WILL HELP SHOVE RIDGE
WESTWARD ON TUESDAY. THIS WILL BRING A CHANCE OF PRECIP TO THE
EASTERN BERING AND SOUTHERN AKPENN AS WELL AS A LITTLE WIND.
OTHERWISE...CONTINUED FOG AND STRATUS UNDER THE RIDGE.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...MODELS INDICATE BERING RIDGE FINALLY BREAKING
DOWN DURING THE WEEK AS SYSTEMS PUSH ON IT FROM ALL SIDES. THE UPPER
LOW SOUTH OF THE AKPENN TUESDAY LOOKS LIKE IT WILL DRIFT NORTH OVER
SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND SIT IN PLACE. SO THERE IS NO LETUP IN SITE FOR
THE CLOUDY AND WET WEATHER ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND AS WE LOOK
TO THE END OF NEXT WEEK. THE EASTERN BERING...EASTERN
ALEUTIANS...SOUTHERN AKPENN MAY SEE SOME PRECIP BY THE END OF THE
WEEK. FURTHER WEST WILL REMAIN DRY...BUT SYSTEMS WILL BE APPROACHING
BY NEXT WEEKEND AND THIS COULD POTENTIALLY BE THE BEGINNING OF A
LARGER PATTERN CHANGE.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

SEB JUL 07