Small Craft Advisory 352, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 151315 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
510 AM ADT SUN APR 15 2007

CORRECTED ZONE 125

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-160200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 988 MB LOW 250 NM SOUTH OF SEWARD REMAINS STATIONARY
AS IT WEAKENS TO 997 MB MON MORNING AND THEN DISSIPATES. A 975 MB LOW
375 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT WEAKENS TO 1005 MB MON NIGHT AS IT MOVES
TO THE QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS.

$$

PKZ120-160200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT SUN APR 15 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WINDS INCREASING TO 45 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS BUILDING TO
18 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
SUBSIDING TO 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-160200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT SUN APR 15 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...WINDS BECOMING N WIND 25 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS BUILDING TO 6
FT. SNOW CHANGING TO RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-160200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
510 AM ADT SUN APR 15 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E TO NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-160200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT SUN APR 15 2007

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-160200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM ADT SUN APR 15 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...WINDS BECOMING NE 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-160200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT SUN APR 15 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-160200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM ADT SUN APR 15 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-160200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT SUN APR 15 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
BUILDING TO 8 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS SOUTH OF KALGIN ISLAND. 
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-160200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT SUN APR 15 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 151802 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1000 AM ADT SUN APR 15 2007

UPDATE FOR ZONES 120 121 125 130 132 138 140 141

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-160200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 988 MB LOW 250 NM SOUTH OF SEWARD REMAINS STATIONARY
AS IT WEAKENS TO 997 MB MON MORNING AND THEN DISSIPATES. A 975 MB LOW
375 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT WEAKENS TO 1005 MB MON NIGHT AS IT MOVES
TO THE QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS.

$$

PKZ120-160200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
1000 AM ADT SUN APR 15 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WINDS INCREASING TO 35 KT BY NOON. SEAS BUILDING TO
13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
SUBSIDING TO 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-160200-
RESURRECTION BAY
1000 AM ADT SUN APR 15 2007

.TODAY...N WINDS INCREASING TO 20 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO
4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-160200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
1000 AM ADT SUN APR 15 2007

.TODAY..NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-160200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT SUN APR 15 2007

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-160200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
1000 AM ADT SUN APR 15 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-160200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
1000 AM ADT SUN APR 15 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-160200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
1000 AM ADT SUN APR 15 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-160200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
1000 AM ADT SUN APR 15 2007

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. HIGHEST WINDS
AND SEAS SOUTH OF KALGIN ISLAND. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-160200-
KACHEMAK BAY
1000 AM ADT SUN APR 15 2007

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM ADT SAT APR 14 2007

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE GFS MODEL HAS INITIALIZED BETTER THAN THE NAM, SO THERE IS A
HIGHER LEVEL OF CONFIDENCE IN IT. IN GENERAL, THE GFS CONTINUES TO
BE IN BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE UKMET AND ECMF THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW THE MAIN LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS ABOUT 300
MILES SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR WITH A WELL DEVELOPED WEATHER FRONT
EXTENDING EASTWARD, JUST SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA. SCATTERED
SHOWERS OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA ARE THE LEFTOVERS OF THE WEATHER
FRONT THAT DISSIPATED YESTERDAY.

IN THE UPPER UPPER LEVELS, THE 500 MB LOW IS STACKED OVER THE
SURFACE CENTER SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND HAS BEEN MOVING
EAST IN THE TROUGH OF THE JET STREAM. ANOTHER UPPER LOW OVER THE
CHUKCHI SEA HAD BEEN DRIFTING SOUTH OVER THE LAST TWO DAYS.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA AND THE GULF...
THE MAIN LOW PRESSURE CENTER SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS WILL
MOVE EAST AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN TO 1010 MB 240 MILES WEST OF
VANCOUVER ISLAND TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT
WILL SWING NORTH INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF ALASKA TONIGHT AND WILL
DISSIPATE OVER THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN GULF SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
RAIN AND SNOW ALONG THE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO KODIAK ISLAND TONIGHT
AND WILL SPREAD INTO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST SUNDAY MORNING.
PRECIPITATION SHOULD BECOME SHOWERS SUNDAY EVENING. SCATTERED
SHOWERS WILL PERSIST OVER SOUTHCENTRAL INTERIOR THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
LOWER PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THIS REGION OF THE STATE THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS THE MAIN STORM CENTER PASSES TO THE SOUTH.
WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.

BERING SEA...
THE NORTHERLY FLOW OVER THE BERING WILL WEAKEN TONIGHT. A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC WILL MOVE INTO THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN OVER
THE SOUTHEAST BERING MONDAY NIGHT. RAIN AND GALE FORCE WINDS WILL
MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS SUNDAY NIGHT AND SPREAD TO THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS MONDAY AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA
MONDAY NIGHT AND WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE EASTERN GULF WEDNESDAY. A
STRENGTHENING LOW 500 MILES SOUTH OF ATKA MONDAY NIGHT WILL MOVE
INTO THE WESTERN GULF WEDNESDAY NIGHT. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL MOVE
INTO THE WESTERN GULF AND KODIAK ISLAND TUESDAY NIGHT AND SPREAD
TO THE CENTRAL GULF WEDNESDAY.

ANOTHER STRONG STORM SYSTEM EAST OF JAPAN WILL PASS SOUTH OF THE
ALEUTIANS WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL
MOVE INTO THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WEDNESDAY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 120, 130, 132, 155, 170, 172.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

NM APR 07