Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2007
Small Craft Advisory 162, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Feb 14, 2007, 11:00 AM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 14, 2007, 11:00 AM AKST (20:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 15, 2007, 11:00 AM AKST
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 FZAK52 PAFC 150012 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AST WED FEB 14 2007 MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-151500- .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 978 MB LOW 225 NM SOUTHEAST OF DUTCH HARBOR WILL MOVE TO 200 NM SOUTH OF CHIGNIK THU AFTERNOON AND THEN DISSIPATE THU NIGHT AND FRI. A 985 MB LOW 55 NM NORTHEAST OF SHEMYA WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH THU AND THEN DISSIPATE THU NIGHT AS IT DRIFTS NORTHWESTWARD. A DEVELOPING PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO 150 NM SOUTHEAST OF SHEMYA FRI AFTERNOON AT 973 MB. $$ PKZ150-151500- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 PM AST WED FEB 14 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ155-151500- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AST WED FEB 14 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. $$ PKZ160-151500- BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN 400 PM AST WED FEB 14 2007 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ165-151500- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AST WED FEB 14 2007 .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. $$ PKZ180-151500- SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT 400 PM AST WED FEB 14 2007 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. .THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. .FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. .SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. $$ PKZ170-151500- EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI 400 PM AST WED FEB 14 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. $$ PKZ171-151500- UNALASKA BAY 400 PM AST WED FEB 14 2007 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU AND THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ172-151500- EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK 400 PM AST WED FEB 14 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. .FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SUN AND MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. $$ PKZ175-151500- WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA 400 PM AST WED FEB 14 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. .FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ176-151500- WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU 400 PM AST WED FEB 14 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ185-151500- ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 PM AST WED FEB 14 2007 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. .SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 16 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. $$ PKZ179-151500- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS 400 PM AST WED FEB 14 2007 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. .FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$
3 follow-up statements
000 FZAK52 PAFC 151259 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 AM AST THU FEB 15 2007 MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-160300- .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 990 MB LOW AT 54N 179E WILL WEAKEN TODAY AND DISSIPATE BY LATE THU NIGHT. A 975 MB LOW 300 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA LATE THU NIGHT WILL MOVE TO 175 NM NORTHEAST OF SHEMYA AND DEEPEN TO 966 MB BY LATE FRI NIGHT. $$ PKZ150-160300- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 AM AST THU FEB 15 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ155-160300- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM AST THU FEB 15 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO S 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. $$ PKZ160-160300- BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN 400 AM AST THU FEB 15 2007 .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ165-160300- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM AST THU FEB 15 2007 .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. $$ PKZ180-160300- SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT 400 AM AST THU FEB 15 2007 .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. .FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. .FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. $$ PKZ170-160300- EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI 400 AM AST THU FEB 15 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 11 FT PACIFIC SIDE...4 FT BERING SIDE. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT PACIFIC SIDE...4 FT BERING SIDE. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. $$ PKZ171-160300- UNALASKA BAY 400 AM AST THU FEB 15 2007 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ172-160300- EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK 400 AM AST THU FEB 15 2007 ...GALE WARNING FRIDAY... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT PACIFIC SIDE...5 FT BERING SIDE. .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT....HIGHEST PACIFIC SIDE. .SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SUN...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. $$ PKZ175-160300- WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA 400 AM AST THU FEB 15 2007 ...GALE WARNING FRIDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. .FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .SUN...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ176-160300- WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU 400 AM AST THU FEB 15 2007 ...GALE WARNING FRIDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. .FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ185-160300- ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 AM AST THU FEB 15 2007 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT...STRONGEST WEST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT...STRONGEST WEST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. .SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 16 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. $$ PKZ179-160300- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS 400 AM AST THU FEB 15 2007 .TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$
000 FZAK52 PAFC 151717 CCA CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 815 AM AST THU FEB 15 2007 CORRECTED SYNOPSIS MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-160300- .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 990 MB LOW 235 NM NORTHWEST OF ADAK WILL WEAKEN TODAY AND DISSIPATE BY LATE THU NIGHT. A 975 MB LOW 300 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA LATE THU NIGHT WILL MOVE TO 175 NM NORTHEAST OF SHEMYA AND DEEPEN TO 966 MB BY LATE FRI NIGHT. $$ PKZ150-160300- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 AM AST THU FEB 15 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ155-160300- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM AST THU FEB 15 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO S 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. $$ PKZ160-160300- BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN 400 AM AST THU FEB 15 2007 .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ165-160300- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM AST THU FEB 15 2007 .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. $$ PKZ180-160300- SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT 400 AM AST THU FEB 15 2007 .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. .FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. .FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. $$ PKZ170-160300- EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI 400 AM AST THU FEB 15 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 11 FT PACIFIC SIDE...4 FT BERING SIDE. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT PACIFIC SIDE...4 FT BERING SIDE. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. $$ PKZ171-160300- UNALASKA BAY 400 AM AST THU FEB 15 2007 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ172-160300- EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK 400 AM AST THU FEB 15 2007 ...GALE WARNING FRIDAY... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT PACIFIC SIDE...5 FT BERING SIDE. .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT....HIGHEST PACIFIC SIDE. .SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SUN...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. $$ PKZ175-160300- WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA 400 AM AST THU FEB 15 2007 ...GALE WARNING FRIDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. .FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .SUN...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ176-160300- WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU 400 AM AST THU FEB 15 2007 ...GALE WARNING FRIDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. .FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ185-160300- ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 AM AST THU FEB 15 2007 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT...STRONGEST WEST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT...STRONGEST WEST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. .SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 16 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. $$ PKZ179-160300- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS 400 AM AST THU FEB 15 2007 .TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$
000 FZAK52 PAFC 152340 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AST THU FEB 15 2007 MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-161500- .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 992 MB LOW 175 NM SOUTH OF CHIGNIK WILL MOVE TO 300 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK FRI MORNING AT 1000 MB AND THEN DISSIPATE. A 980 MB LOW 700 NM SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA WILL STRENGTHEN TO 965 MB AS IT MOVES TO 150 NM SOUTHEAST OF SHEMYA FRI AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL THEN MOVE TO 200 NM NORTHEAST OF SHEMYA SAT AFTERNOON WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH. $$ PKZ150-161500- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 PM AST THU FEB 15 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ155-161500- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AST THU FEB 15 2007 ...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ160-161500- BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN 400 PM AST THU FEB 15 2007 .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ165-161500- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AST THU FEB 15 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ180-161500- SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT 400 PM AST THU FEB 15 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. .FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. $$ PKZ170-161500- EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI 400 PM AST THU FEB 15 2007 ...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ171-161500- UNALASKA BAY 400 PM AST THU FEB 15 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ172-161500- EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK 400 PM AST THU FEB 15 2007 ...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. .SUN...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 28 FT. .MON...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ175-161500- WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA 400 PM AST THU FEB 15 2007 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. .SUN...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. .MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .TUE...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ176-161500- WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU 400 PM AST THU FEB 15 2007 ...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .TUE...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 28 FT. $$ PKZ185-161500- ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 PM AST THU FEB 15 2007 ...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. $$ PKZ179-161500- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS 400 PM AST THU FEB 15 2007 ...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Feb 14, 9:00 AM AKST, 2 hours earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 14, 9:00 AM AKST, 2 hours before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA 200 PM AST WED FEB 14 2007 .DISCUSSION... WITH THE UPPER JET WELL TO THE SOUTH AND GENERALLY WEAK FLOW ACROSS THE STATE THE WEATHER IS SLOW TO CHANGE. CURRENT SHORT-TERM FORECASTS LOOK GOOD AND ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WILL BE MADE WITH THE NEW PACKAGE THIS AFTERNOON. THE LOW COMPLEX SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS/AKPENN HAS DEVELOPED TWO CENTERS OF ROTATION. THIS HAS TIGHTENED UP THE PRESSURE GRADIENT A LITTLE MORE THAN THOUGHT SO THAT GALES ARE BEING OBSERVED ALONG THE COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE AKPENN AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS. EXPECT WINDS TO REALLY LIGHTEN UP THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING BEHIND THE OCCLUDED FRONT. PRECIPITATION TYPE FORECAST IS A BIT TRICKY FOR THESE AREAS. COLD BAY 12Z SOUNDING SHOWS LOTS OF LOW LEVEL COLD AIR IN PLACE WITH ABOVE FREEZING TEMPS LIMITED TO THE SURFACE. WARMER AIR ALOFT WILL MOVE IN THIS AFTERNOON AS OCCLUDED FRONT REACHES LAND. HOWEVER...ADVECTION IS WEAK...THERE IS NO BIG PUSH FROM THE SOUTH...AND MODELS SHOW TEMPS ALOFT WILL REMAIN BELOW FREEZING. THEREFORE...THINK PRECIP WILL BE MAINLY SNOW...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH RAIN ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST WHERE THE MARINE LAYER MAY BE WARM ENOUGH TO MELT THE FALLING SNOW. THE LOW WILL SLOWLY DRIFT OFF TO THE EAST AND DISSIPATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY JUST LEAVING SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS IN ITS WAKE. FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA THERE ARE A FEW SHOWERS LEFT FROM A FRONT THAT FELL APART ALONG THE COAST LAST NIGHT. BUT FOR THE MOST PART THERE ARE JUST MID TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS LYING EAST-WEST OVER THE CENTRAL GULF WILL MOVE NORTHWARD ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL TONIGHT. ONCE AGAIN EXPECT MINIMAL IMPACT WITH A FEW SHOWERS ALONG THE COAST AND CLOUDS ELSEWHERE. REMNANTS OF AKPENN LOW WILL REMAIN OUT OVER THE GULF SO EXPECT CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS MOST OF SOUTHCENTRAL. SOUTHWEST ALASKA...SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS MOISTURE SPREADING FROM THE GULF/SOUTHCENTRAL TO SOUTHWEST ALASKA. AS UPPER TROUGH MOVES NORTHWARD TONIGHT MAY SEE A FEW AREAS OF LIGHT PRECIP. WILL THEN DRY OUT FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK. THE NEXT BIG STORM TO AFFECT THE ANCHORAGE AOR IS CURRENTLY SPINNING OFF THE COAST OF CHINA. MODEL RUN-TO-TUN CONSISTENCY WITH THIS SYSTEM IS FAIR...SPEED IS VERY CONSISTENT WHILE DEPTH OF LOW ONCE IT REACHES THE ALEUTIANS HAS FLUCTUATED FROM RUN-TO-RUN. THE LATEST GFS IS UP TO 6 MB WEAKER THAN THE PREVIOUS SOLUTION AND IN LINE WITH THE OTHER MODELS. ALSO...MODELS INDICATE TRIPLE POINT DEVELOPMENT FROM 42 TO 48 HOURS. WITH UPPER JET SUPPORT AND LOTS OF COLD AIR BEING PULLED INTO THE SYSTEM FROM SIBERIA THIS MAKES A LOT OF SENSE. THIS TRIPLE POINT LOW WILL QUICKLY BECOME THE DOMINANT LOW THAT MOVES TO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND INTO THE CENTRAL BERING FRIDAY NIGHT. CONSISTENT WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST EXPECT WIDESPREAD MAX GALES (POSSIBLY A FEW AREAS OF MIN STORMS) WITH THIS SYSTEM. STRONG WARM ADVECTION AHEAD OF IT WILL PRODUCE RAIN ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS/AKPENN/CENTRAL BERING AND SNOW ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW ACROSS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. ITS WAY TOO EARLY...BUT AS THE SYSTEM GETS CLOSER WILL NEED TO TAKE A LOOK AT THE POTENTIAL FOR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW SINCE COLD ADVECTION LOOKS TO BE SIGNIFICANT AND WINDS WILL BE STRONG. .AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY PUBLIC...NONE. MARINE...NONE. SEB FEB 07
The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 4:20 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 7 hr | |
| Feb 13, 11:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Feb 14, 1:40 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 9 hr | |
| Feb 14, 1:40 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 9 hr | |
| Feb 14, 11:00 AM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | 60 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2007Every small craft advisory in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.