Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2007
Gale Warning 868, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Nov 19, 2007, 11:00 AM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 19, 2007, 11:00 AM AKST (20:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 20, 2007, 11:00 AM AKST
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 FZAK52 PAFC 200046 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AST MON NOV 19 2007 MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-201500- .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 970 MB LOW 360 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT WILL WEAKEN TO 979 MB AS IT MOVES TO NEAR KODIAK KODIAK TUE EVENING THEN WEAKEN TO 987 MB AS IT MOVES TO NEAR NUNIVAK ISLAND WED. A 987 MB LOW 60 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA WILL BE A 982 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTH OF ADAK TUE AFTERNOON THEN MOVE SOUTHEAST WEAKENING TO 994 MB 600 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY WED. $$ PKZ150-201500- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 PM AST MON NOV 19 2007 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ155-201500- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AST MON NOV 19 2007 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ160-201500- BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN 400 PM AST MON NOV 19 2007 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ165-201500- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AST MON NOV 19 2007 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ180-201500- SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT 400 PM AST MON NOV 19 2007 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ170-201500- EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI 400 PM AST MON NOV 19 2007 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 TO 40 KT. STRONGEST WINDS UNALASKA ISLAND AND EAST WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT THROUGH BAYS AND PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT THROUGH BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ171-201500- UNALASKA BAY 400 PM AST MON NOV 19 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ172-201500- EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK 400 PM AST MON NOV 19 2007 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI AND SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ175-201500- WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA 400 PM AST MON NOV 19 2007 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ176-201500- WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU 400 PM AST MON NOV 19 2007 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...NORTH OF THE ISLANDS...SE WIND 40 KT DECREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W WIND 40 KT SOUTH OF THE ISLANDS. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 50 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 21 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ185-201500- ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 PM AST MON NOV 19 2007 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ179-201500- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS 400 PM AST MON NOV 19 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$
2 follow-up statements
000 FZAK52 PAFC 201255 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007 MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-210300- .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 972 MB LOW 400 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT WILL WEAKEN TO 979 MB AS IT MOVES OVER KODIAK ISLAND TUE EVENING THEN WEAKEN TO 987 MB AS IT MOVES TO NEAR NUNIVAK ISLAND WED. A 987 MB LOW NEAR ADAK WILL MOVE TO 200 NM SOUTHEAST OF DUTCH HARBOR TUE NIGHT THEN TO NEAR SAND POINT AT 998 MB ON WED. $$ PKZ150-210300- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO SE 20 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT AND WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ155-210300- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 25 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS DIMINISHING TO NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ160-210300- BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN 400 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ165-210300- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ180-210300- SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT 400 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 25 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ170-210300- EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI 400 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 30 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS DIMINISHING TO N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT AND WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .WED NIGHT AND THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ171-210300- UNALASKA BAY 400 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007 .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT AND WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .WED NIGHT AND THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ172-210300- EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK 400 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. .WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI AND SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ175-210300- WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA 400 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .WED...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 15 FT. .WED NIGHT AND THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ176-210300- WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU 400 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED NIGHT AND THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ185-210300- ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT AND WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ179-210300- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS 400 AM AST TUE NOV 20 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO N 25 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT AND WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .WED NIGHT AND THU...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI AND SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$
000 FZAK52 PAFC 210020 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AST TUE NOV 20 2007 MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-211500- .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 976 MB LOW 180 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY WILL MOVE NORTHWEST ACROSS KODIAK ISLAND TUE EVENING AND WILL WEAKEN TO 985 MB NEAR DILLINGHAM TUE NIGHT THEN WILL DISSIPATE OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA WED. ANOTHER LOW DEVELOPING 600 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY WED AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO NEAR KODIAK ISLAND AND STRENGTHEN TO 982 MB THU AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ150-211500- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 PM AST TUE NOV 20 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ155-211500- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AST TUE NOV 20 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .WED...WEST OF SAND POINT...N WIND 15 KT. S WIND 30 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ160-211500- BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN 400 PM AST TUE NOV 20 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ165-211500- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AST TUE NOV 20 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. AND RAIN SHOWERS. .THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ180-211500- SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT 400 PM AST TUE NOV 20 2007 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. .THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ170-211500- EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI 400 PM AST TUE NOV 20 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ171-211500- UNALASKA BAY 400 PM AST TUE NOV 20 2007 .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ172-211500- EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK 400 PM AST TUE NOV 20 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ175-211500- WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA 400 PM AST TUE NOV 20 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ176-211500- WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU 400 PM AST TUE NOV 20 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ185-211500- ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 PM AST TUE NOV 20 2007 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ179-211500- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS 400 PM AST TUE NOV 20 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Nov 19, 9:00 AM AKST, 2 hours earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 19, 9:00 AM AKST, 2 hours before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
200 PM AST MON NOV 19 2007
.MODEL DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS...
THE CURRENT SURFACE ANALYSIS HAS A WEAK LOW OVER THE NORTHERN KENAI
PENINSULA THAT IS SLOWLY DISSIPATING AS THE NEXT BIG STORM IS
APPROACHING THE ALASKA PENINSULA FROM THE SOUTH. A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE EXTENDS INTO THE CENTRAL TO WESTERN ALEUTIANS AS ANOTHER
LARGE STRONG LOW MOVES INTO THE EXTREME WESTERN ALEUTIANS.
OVERALL THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH WED. BEYOND WED SOME
UNCERTAINTY EXISTS AS THE ENSEMBLE SOLUTIONS DIVERGE AFTER WED.
THE GFS MODEL HAS REMAINED CONSISTENT IN ITS SOLUTION IN THE SHORT
TERM THROUGH WED AFTERNOON. IT STILL HAS ISSUES WITH RESOLVING THE
INTENSITY AND LOCATION OF THE NEXT STORM THAT IS MOVING TOWARD THE
ALASKA PENINSULA FROM THE SOUTH WED NIGHT AND THU. THIS WILL IMPACT
THE FORECAST SOLUTION. AT THIS TIME WE WILL TEND TO LEAN TO THE
LATEST NAM AND ECMWF MODEL SOLUTIONS BEGINNING WED NIGHT THAT RESULTS
IN A WEAKER LOW AND A MORE EAST SOLUTION IN THE PLACEMENT OF THE LOW
WED NIGHT.
.SHORT TERM FORECAST...THE MAIN CONCERN AT THIS TIME IN THE SOUTHWEST
IS THE BRISTOL BAY ZONE. WE EXPECT THE ONSET OF THIS EVENT TO BEGIN
AS A GOOD OVER RUNNING SNOW FALL COUPLED WITH NODERATE NORTHEAST WIND
BEFORE THE WARM AIR MIXES IN FROM THE SOUTH AS THE FRONT PUSHES
NORTH. THIS PRESENTS THE POTENTIAL FOR A BLIZZARD IN THE ZONE IF THE
WIND AND SNOW COINCIDE BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED WARMING. PRECIPITATION
HAS ALREADY BEGUN IN KODIAK IN THE FORM OF RAIN AND SNOW.
TEMPERATURES ARE RISING IN THE BRISTOL BAY ZONE WHICH IS CAUSING US
TO LEAN TO A MORE RAPID INFLUX OF WARM AIR AND THUS IF ANY BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS OCCUR, THEY WILL BE BRIEF AND INCONSEQUENTIAL. WE ARE
LEANING AWAY FROM FREEZING RAIN FOR THIS ZONE AS WE ANTICIPATE
CONDITIONS TO BE WELL MIXED WITH THE EXPECTED STRONG WIND REGIME AND
WARM ADVECTION IN ADVANCE OF AND WITH THE INCOMING FRONT TO REMOVE
THE THREAT OF THE FREEZING RAIN. IF IT DOES OCCUR, WE EXPECT IT TO BE
SPOTTY AND EXTREMELY LIGHT.
OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA AN IN PARTICULAR PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND THE
FIRST MAJOR QUESTION CONCERNS THE TIMING OF A CHANGE OVER FROM SNOW
TO RAIN. EXPECT HEAVY SNOW INITIALLY IN WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
ACROSS TURNAGAIN ARM INTO TURNAGAIN PASS PRIOR TO THE CHANGE OVER TO
RAIN. THE HEAVY SNOWFALL AND RAPIDLY INCREASING WIND PRESENTS THE
PROBLEM OF BRIEF BLIZZARD CONDITIONS IN EASTERN TURNAGAIN ARM AND
PORTAGE VALLEY TONIGHT. WE DO NOT EXPECT THIS TO BE A WARNING EVENT
SINCE THE DURATION OF THE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY BE AN HOUR
OR TWO IF AT ALL BEFORE THE WARM AIR CHANGES THE SEA LEVEL
PRECIPITATION TO RAIN OR A RAIN SNOW MIX TUE MORNING. CURRENT
TEMPERATURES ARE ALREADY ABOVE FREEZING ON THE SOUND SIDE.
FURTHER WEST TO THE ALASKA PENINSULA WE WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR
REDUCED VISIBILITY IN SNOW SHOWERS AND STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS. EXPECT
LOCALIZED SHORT DURATION BLIZZARD LIKE CONDITIONS ON THE PENINSULA IN
THIS NORTHERLY FLOW PATTERN THROUGH TUESDAY.
HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO THE WESTERN SUSITNA VALLEY
BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT AS UPSLOPE FLOW INCREASES. WE ARE CONTINUING
WITH THE SNOW ADVISORY TO BEGIN TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. WE ANTICIPATE
RAPID WARMING OF THE AIRMASS TO INHIBIT THE MAGNITUDE OF THIS SNOW
EVENT BEFORE MIXING WITH OR CHANGING TO RAIN AS WARM AIR SURGES
NORTHWARD. SNOWFALL TOTALS THROUGH THOMPSON PASS MAY ALSO BE VERY
HIGH WITH THE RAPID INFLOW OF WARM AIR LIMITING THE SNOW FALL FOR
THIS AREA TUESDAY.
THE NORTHERLY PUSH OF THIS INTENSE STORM WILL BRING WITH IT A GOOD
CHINOOK EVENT ACROSS THE SOUTH CENTRAL REGION BY WED RESULTING IN
CONSIDERABLE WARMING. ON THE FLIP SIDE OF THIS PERSISTENT NORTHERLY
FLOW OVER THE EASTERN BERING WILL KEEP WESTERN ALASKA IN THE COLD
WINTER FLOW AND HELP THE ICE EDGE MOVE SOUTH.
.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE MODELS REMAIN DIVERGENT AND THUS CONFIDENCE IN ANY LONG TERM
SOLUTION IS MINIMAL. WE WILL CONTINUE ALONG WITH FORECASTS CLOSE TO
THE CLIMATE NORMALS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR UNTIL WE GET MORE
CONSISTENT SOLUTIONS FROM THE LONGER TERM MODELS.
.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM 120 155 176 351 352.
GALE 125 130 132 138 140 141 150 160 165 170 175 411 413.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 180.
FIRE WEATHER...DONE.
SAMThe office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 6:50 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 4 hr | |
| Nov 18, 11:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Nov 18, 11:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Nov 18, 11:00 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Nov 18, 11:00 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 4 days | |
| Nov 18, 11:00 PM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | 4 days | |
| Nov 18, 11:00 PM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | ||
| Nov 19, 12:04 AM AKST | Snow Advisory | AFC | 46 hr | |
| Nov 19, 11:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Nov 19, 11:00 AM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Nov 19, 11:00 AM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Nov 19, 1:20 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 70 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.