Gale Warning 398, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 022309
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT MON APR 2 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-031400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 995 MB LOW NEAR ATKA MON AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO 200 NM WEST OF 
ATKA TUE MORNING AND THEN DISSIPATE TUE AFTERNOON. A 988 MB LOW 
400 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY MON NIGHT
AND THEN DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES SOUTHWARD TUE.
$$

PKZ150-031400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM ADT MON APR 2 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 7 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-031400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM ADT MON APR 2 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ160-031400-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM ADT MON APR 2 2007

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT.

$$

PKZ165-031400-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM ADT MON APR 2 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-031400-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM ADT MON APR 2 2007

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. 

$$

PKZ170-031400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM ADT MON APR 2 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
16 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-031400-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM ADT MON APR 2 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT WITH LOCAL GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY
FOG. SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-031400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM ADT MON APR 2 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT EXCEPT SE WIND 25 KT EAST OF SEGUAM
ISLAND. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-031400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM ADT MON APR 2 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11
FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-031400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM ADT MON APR 2 2007

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW WIND 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ185-031400-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM ADT MON APR 2 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ179-031400-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM ADT MON APR 2 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 031103
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT TUE APR 3 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-040200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 994 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTHEAST OF ATKA WILL WEAKEN TO 997 MB AROUND
400 NM SOUTH OF ATKA TUE EVENING BEFORE DISSIPATING NEAR 47N 176W
WED. OTHERWISE LOOK FOR EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW TO CONTINUE ACROSS 
THE BERING SEA THROUGH THU. 

$$

PKZ150-040200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM ADT TUE APR 3 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-040200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM ADT TUE APR 3 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-040200-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM ADT TUE APR 3 2007

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ165-040200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM ADT TUE APR 3 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-040200-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM ADT TUE APR 3 2007

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 15 KT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-040200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM ADT TUE APR 3 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-040200-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM ADT TUE APR 3 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-040200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM ADT TUE APR 3 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-040200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM ADT TUE APR 3 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-040200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM ADT TUE APR 3 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-040200-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM ADT TUE APR 3 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE 
WATERS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-040200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM ADT TUE APR 3 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM ADT MON APR 2 2007

.DISCUSSION...

ANALYSIS...MAIN DISCERNIBLE FEATURES ON IR IMAGERY/UPPER AIR ANALYSIS
THIS MORNING ARE THE LARGE VERTICALLY STACKED LOW OFF THE EAST COAST
OF KAMCHATKA THAT IS IN THE PROCESS OF GRADUALLY SPINNING DOWN. THE
OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS STILL LINGERING
ACROSS THE CENTRAL BERING SEA...BUT IS CONTINUING TO FALL APART. TO
THE SOUTH OF THIS LOW IS A POWERFUL UPPER LEVEL JET AROUND 40N
CURRENTLY EXTENDING TO AROUND 160W WITH A SURFACE LOW LOCATED SOUTH
OF THE ANDREANOF ISLANDS IN THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF THIS JET.

THE PATTERN OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA AND MAINLAND ALASKA IS
DOMINATED BY UPPER LEVEL RIDGING. THIS RIDGING EXTENDS NORTH FROM THE
GULF OF ALASKA AND IS SPLIT INTO TWO PARTS...ONE RIDGE THAT EXTENDS
NORTH ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALASKA AND ANOTHER RIDGE THAT
EXTENDS ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN ALASKA AND ACROSS THE EASTERN BERING SEA
INTO THE ANADYR GULF. AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER
NORTHWESTERN ALASKA AND THE SEWARD PENINSULA DIVIDES THESE TWO
PORTIONS OF THE RIDGE WHILE ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM
THE AKPEN SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE FAR WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA. THIS FIRST
TROUGH IS RESPONSIBLE FOR THE CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OCCURRING OVER
THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA THIS MORNING WHILE HIGH CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH
THE SECOND TROUGH HAVE BEEN STREAMING AROUND THE BACK SIDE OF THE
RIDGE IN THE GULF AND OVER KODIAK AS WELL AS THE COOK INLET REGION.

MODEL DISCUSSION...GENERALLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT THIS MORNING AND
DECENT CONSISTENCY FROM RUN TO RUN ALLOWED FOR MINOR CHANGES OVERALL
TO THE GRIDS WITH TREND TOWARDS GFS MODEL. REGARDING A MODEL
DIFFERENCE NOTED IN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST DISCUSSION...THE LATEST
RUNS OF THE GFS/NAM/UKMET ALL NOW INDICATE THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN
UPPER LOW WITH A BROAD SURFACE REFLECTION CONSISTING OF MULTIPLE
CENTERS OF CIRCULATION AS OPPOSED TO THE CONSOLIDATED...MORE INTENSE
CENTER THAT WAS INDICATED BY THE MODELS YESTERDAY. GIVEN THE CURRENT
IR IMAGERY THAT INDICATES A COUPLE OF DIFFERENT LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATIONS...THE NEWER SOLUTION SEEMS FEASIBLE.

UPPER AIR...THE POWERFUL JET STREAK MAKES ITS WAY EAST BEARING THE
500MB LOW WITH ACCOMPANYING SURFACE LOWS TO A POSITION SOUTH OF THE
GULF OF ALASKA BY WEDNESDAY. BY THIS TIME THE MULTIPLE SURFACE LOW
CENTERS ARE PROGGED TO CONSOLIDATE INTO ONE LARGE VERTICALLY STACKED
LOW THAT BECOMES THE PRIMARY FEATURE OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE
FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. IN THE MEANTIME THE UPPER
RIDGE EXTENSION OVER THE EASTERN BERING GETS UNDERCUT AS A VORTMAX
COMING AROUND THE TOP OF THE RIDGE TUESDAY AMPLIFIES THE SHORTWAVE
TROUGH JUST DOWNSTREAM OVER NORTHERN ALASKA TO THE POINT THAT IT
EXPLOITS A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE...LEADING TO A CUTOFF ANTICYCLONE
THAT BECOMES CENTERED OVER WESTERN SIBERIA BY TUESDAY EVENING. THE
UPPER TROUGH ITSELF BECOMES A CUTOFF LOW OVER THE EASTERN BERING BY
THURSDAY MORNING. WITH THE MAIN UPPER RIDGE CURRENTLY OVER ALASKA
HAVING BEEN DECAPITATED BY THIS FEATURE WITH THE REST OF THE RIDGE
SHOVED EAST BY THE JET/UPPER LOW COMBO IN THE SOUTHERN GULF OF
ALASKA...A BROAD UPPER LOW BECOMES ESTABLISHED OVER THE REGION BY
THURSDAY...PROMISING MORE A MORE UNSETTLED PATTERN THROUGH THE REST
OF THE WEEK AND MOST LIKELY INTO NEXT WEEK.

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...HIGH CLOUDS IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE UPPER LOW
WILL GRADUALLY THICKEN ACROSS KODIAK ISLAND AND THE COOK INLET REGION
TODAY AS THE UPPER TROUGH SOUTH OF THE AKPEN GRADUALLY SLIDES EAST.
EASTERLY FLOW THAT DEVELOPS OVER THE GULF AS THE MAIN SURFACE LOW
MOVES INTO PLACE SOUTH OF THE GULF OF ALASKA...BRINGING A CHANCE OF
PRECIP INTO KODIAK ISLAND BY LATE TONIGHT. AS THIS LARGE SURFACE LOW
MAKES ITS WAY NORTH INTO THE GULF...EXPECT GALES TO DEVELOP OVER A
LARGE PORTION OF THE GULF WED NIGHT INTO THU ALONG WITH A LARGE
FRONTAL PRECIP BAND THAT MOVES NORTH TO KODIAK BY THU MORNING AND
MUCH OF THE REST OF THE NORTH GULF COAST BY THU NIGHT. EXPECT WET
WEATHER TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND ACROSS MUCH OF THE GULF COAST
WITH AT LEAST CHANCE POPS AS FLOW REMAINS EASTERLY TO SOUTHERLY WITH
ANOTHER LOW FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE GULF WITH A STRONG WARM FRONT
IMPACTING THE GULF COAST SAT INTO SUN. GIVEN THAT THE FLOW REMAINS
GENERALLY EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY OVER THE INLAND ZONES...DONT
EXPECT CLOUDY SKIES WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF PRECIP THROUGHOUT THE
FORECAST PERIOD. TEMPS SHOULD REMAIN SEASONABLE OVERALL AS WARMING
TEMPERATURE ALOFT AS THE LOWS/WARM FRONTS MOVE ONSHORE ARE
COUNTERACTED BY THE INCREASING CLOUD COVER ASSOCIATED WITH SAID
SYSTEMS.

SOUTHWESTERN ALASKA AND THE ALEUTIANS...GENERALLY WET PATTERN FOR THE
ALEUTIANS THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS A WEAK LOW IS SHUNTED
WEST ACROSS THE CHAIN DUE TO CYCLONIC FLOW AROUND THE ANTICYCLONE
NORTH OF THE BERING STRAIT THROUGH TUE NIGHT. THE UPPER TROUGH THAT
MOVES ACROSS THE WESTERN ALASKA INTO THE EASTERN BERING BY WED NIGHT
WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS INTO THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND
BRISTOL BAY REGIONS TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT. EXPECT SHOWERS TO
SPREAD ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS AS COLD AIR SPILLS DOWN ACROSS THE BERING

DUE TO THE UPPER LOW AND NORTHEASTERLY FLOW. THIS UNSETTLED WEATHER
CONTINUES THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW BECOMES
ENTRENCHED ACROSS THE REGION.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 170 175 176
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

WOOD APR 07