Gale Warning 240, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 270715 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST MON FEB 26 2007

CORRECTED ZONE 160.

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-271500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN BERING WILL MOVE INLAND MON NIGHT. 
A 992 MB LOW 200 NM SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA WILL MOVE TO 300 NM WEST OF
SHEMYA TUE AFTERNOON THEN DISSIPATE BY WED AFTERNOON. A 989 MB LOW
WILL MOVE TO 375 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA TUE NIGHT AND THEN TO 175 NM
SOUTHEAST OF SHEMYA WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-271500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AST MON FEB 26 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-271500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AST MON FEB 26 2007

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-271500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AST MON FEB 26 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. PATCHY
FOG. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-271500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AST MON FEB 26 2007

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS.  
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-271500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AST MON FEB 26 2007

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT.  
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT.  
.THU...E WIND 25 KT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. 

$$

PKZ170-271500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AST MON FEB 26 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-271500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AST MON FEB 26 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-271500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AST MON FEB 26 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-271500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AST MON FEB 26 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-271500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AST MON FEB 26 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-271500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AST MON FEB 26 2007

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 17 FT. PATCHY
FOG. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-271500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AST MON FEB 26 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
200 PM AST SUN FEB 25 2007

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS INITIALIZED WELL THIS MORNING WITH MOISTURE FIELD AS WELL AS
SURFACE FIELDS.

OVERALL...TROUGH TO REMAIN OVER THE PANHANDLE EXTENDING THROUGH
EASTERN ALASKA WHILE A RIDGE REMAINS OVER THE EASTERN BERING/WESTERN
ALASKA. IN ADDITION...A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE TO REMAIN OVER THE
WESTERN BERING.

EAST OF THE ALASKA RANGE...STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW TO DEVELOP OVER THE
INTERIOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS THE RIDGE OVER THE BERING IS
PUSHED EAST SLIGHTLY OVER THE INTERIOR TONIGHT. THIS WILL BRING A
LITTLE WARMER AIR TO THE INTERIOR. THE RISE IN TEMPERATURES WILL BE
RATHER SLIGHT TO MOST LOCATIONS. THE STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW WILL
REMAIN OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA THROUGH THE WEEK. A SHORT WAVE
TROUGH TO DROP SOUTH THROUGH EASTERN ALASKA WEDNESDAY BRINGING
ANOTHER SHOT OF COLD AIR TO THE AREA. THIS SHORT WAVE PULLS THE LOW
CURRENTLY IN THE BEAUFORT SEA TO THE PANHANDLE BY SATURDAY OF NEXT
WEEK. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE TO REMAIN AT THE SURFACE THROUGH THE
WEEK. WITH THE COMBINATION OF STRONGER WINDS ALOFT AND A SURGE OF
COLD AIR ONCE AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT...EXPECT WARNING LEVEL OR NEAR
WARNING LEVEL WINDS AGAIN. THE WARNING LEVEL WINDS TODAY WILL LIKELY
SUBSIDE EARLY THIS EVENING AS SLIGHTLY WARMER AIR MOVES IN AND THE
ORIENTATION OF THE FLOW WEAKENS. IN ADDITION...THE SURFACE GRADIENT
TO WEAKEN THIS AFTERNOON. WILL CONTINUE THE STRONG WINDS OVER
THOMPSON PASS AND THE COPPER RIVER DELTA...BUT LIKELY TO SEE A
DECREASE LATER TODAY. THE FRONT THAT WORKS ACROSS THE BERING EARLY
THIS WEEK TO BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO KODIAK ISLAND WEDNESDAY.
OTHER THAT THAT...THE AREA EAST OF THE ALASKA RANGE TO REMAIN DRY.
THERE WILL BE SOME HIGH CLOUDS TONIGHT...BUT TEMPERATURES STILL TO
FALL TO NEAR LAST NIGHTS LEVELS.

WEST OF THE ALEUTIAN RANGE...A STRONG LOW SOUTH OF THE WESTERN
ALEUTIAN CHAIN THIS AFTERNOON TO SWING NORTH BUT SLOWS AS IT HITS THE
RIDGE. AN ASSOCIATED FRONT TO BRING STRONG WINDS TO THE WESTERN AND
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. THE PROGRESSION OF THIS FRONT TO WEAKEN THE RIDGE
OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. THE RIDGE MOVING TO THE COAST WILL RISE
TEMPERATURES SOME TO NEAR NORMAL LEVELS FOR A COUPLE DAYS. THE FRONT
PROCEEDS TO KNOCK DOWN THE RIDGE TUESDAY AS THE FRONT RIDES TO THE
COAST. THE WINDS WILL REMAIN STRONG NEAR THE FRONT ESPECIALLY TO THE
NORTH. THE FRONT WILL BREAK UP AS A RESULT OF AN UPPER LOW MOVING
SOUTH OVER THE INTERIOR AND A SHORT WAVE MOVING SOUTHEAST OUT OF THE
BERING SHEAR THE FRONT WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER SHOT OF
COLDER AIR TO SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND THE ALASKA PENINSULA. IN THE
MEANTIME...STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW WILL REMAIN OVER WESTERN ALASKA AT
THE HEAD OF THE RIDGE WITH A JET OVERHEAD. THESE WINDS TO DILUTE
AFTER THE PASSAGE OF THE UPPER LOW IN THE INTERIOR WEDNESDAY. THE
PARENT LOW REMAINS SOUTH OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS INTO WEDNESDAY
BEFORE A STRONG SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVES OUT OF SIBERIA TOWARD
KAMCHATKA. THIS WILL ACT TO PUSH THE LOW SOUTH OF THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS SLIGHTLY INTO THE BERING THURSDAY. THIS WILL PUSH ANOTHER
FRONT INTO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS AND BERING WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MODERATE
TO STRONG WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THIS FRONT WEDNESDAY AND REMAIN STRONG
INTO THURSDAY ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY. THE FRONT HANGS UP
OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS THURSDAY AS A SHORT WAVE WORKING SOUTH OF
THE CHAIN ACTS TO STRETCH THE FRONT. THIS FRONT EVENTUALLY SHEARS
APART SATURDAY AS THE PARENT LOW OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS LIFTS
NORTH AND RIDGE BUILDS BACK UP IN THE BERING WITH A TROUGH SWINGING
TOWARD KAMCHATKA.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...STORM...175
         GALE...120 121 129 130 132 170 172 176
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY...120 121 125 129 130 138 140 160
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

JN FEB 07