Gale Warning 193, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 091237
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST FRI FEB 9 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-100300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 978 MB LOW 350 NM NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA MOVES OVER KAMCHATKA FRI
EVENING. SEVERAL NORTH PACIFIC LOWS MERGE INTO A 981 MB LOW WHICH
MOVES TO 225 NM SOUTH OF ATKA SAT NIGHT.
$$

PKZ150-100300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AST FRI FEB 9 2007

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-100300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AST FRI FEB 9 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-100300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AST FRI FEB 9 2007

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-100300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AST FRI FEB 9 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-100300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AST FRI FEB 9 2007

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT.  
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT.  
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT.   

$$

PKZ170-100300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AST FRI FEB 9 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.MON AND TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-100300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AST FRI FEB 9 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-100300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AST FRI FEB 9 2007

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-100300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AST FRI FEB 9 2007

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-100300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AST FRI FEB 9 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-100300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AST FRI FEB 9 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.

.SAT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12
FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-100300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AST FRI FEB 9 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
300 PM AST THU FEB 8 2007

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS
HIGH WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY UNTIL SUNDAY WHEN THIS RIDGE
WEAKENS AS A TROUGH ALONG THE ARCTIC COAST BEGINS TO DESCEND INTO THE
INTERIOR OF THE STATE.

THE UPPER LEVELS IN THE WESTERN PART OF THE STATE ARE INFLUENCED BY
BOTH THE RIDGE IN THE GULF AND A LOW OVER THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA.
THIS IS BRINGING WEAK SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT FOR THE MAINLAND SECTIONS
OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST FLOW OVER THE
ALEUTIAN ISLANDS. THE KAMCHATKA LOW WILL BECOME A TROUGH THAT DIG
OVER THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS THIS WEEKEND AND THAT WILL CAUSE THE UPPER
FLOW IN THAT AREA TO WEAKEN AND BECOME EAST TO SOUTHEAST.

NEAR THE SURFACE IN THE EAST...A WEAK TROUGH WITH A WEDGE OF WARM AIR
JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE HAS CAUSED SOME FREEZING DRIZZLE NEAR COOK
INLET THIS MORNING. WHILE THE FREEZING DRIZZLE HAS LIKELY STOPPED
CLOUDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA FOR ANOTHER DAY OR
TWO.

IN THE WEST...THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS ALSO HAD A BOUT OF FREEZING
DRIZZLE THIS MORNING. THIS AREA HAS MOVED THROUGH AND LEFT FOG BEHIND
IT. A WEAK FRONT JUST WEST OF BRISTOL BAY AND THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA
WILL BRING A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION TO THE BETHEL AREA AND NEAR THE
BRISTOL BAY COAST OVERNIGHT BUT THEN SHOULD DISSIPATE FRIDAY MORNING.
A WEATHER FONT NEAR ADAK IS ALSO MOVING SLOWLY EASTWARD BUT IT WILL
ELONGATE AND QUICKLY WEAKEN OVERNIGHT AS THE SURFACE LOW CENTRAL
MOVES NORTHWESTWARD FROM NEAR ATTU TO KAMCHATKA.

MODELS ARE IN GOOD ALIGNMENT FROM THE 12Z RUN THROUGH 48 HOURS. AFTER
THAT THERE IS A BIT OF DISAGREEMENT AS TO THE MOVEMENT OF A LOW
DEVELOPING SOUTHWEST OF DUTCH HARBOR. SOLUTIONS ARE NOT DRASTICALLY
DIFFERENT BUT ENOUGH TO GIVE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY TO THE FORECAST FOR
THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS FOR THE LATER PART OF THE WEEKEND.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 176.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

FEB 07